Oil Prices Soar As Mideast Fighting Rages

(AP)  Crude prices rose above $40 a barrel Monday as Israel and Palestinian militants exchanged rocket fire and the death toll mounted in the oil-rich region.

Light trading contributed to market volatility in the final days of 2008, with price swings of close to $5 a barrel.

Light, sweet crude for February delivery rose $2.31 to settle at $40.02 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the first time crude has ended the day above $40 in a week. Nymex will be closed Thursday for the New Year's Day holiday.

Retail gasoline prices in the U.S. continued to fall and neared $1.60 per gallon (42 cents a liter) nationally Monday.

In the Middle East, Israel destroyed symbols of Hamas power on the third day of what the defense minister described Monday as a "war to the bitter end." The three-day death toll rose to at least 364 on Monday, with some 1,400 reported wounded. Israel launched its campaign, the deadliest against Palestinians in decades, on Saturday in retaliation for rocket fire aimed at civilians in southern Israeli towns.

Israel obliterated symbols of Hamas power, with missiles striking next to the Hamas premier's home, and devastating a security compound and a university building.

Phil Flynn, an analyst at Alaron Trading Corp. in Chicago, called oil's initial run-up "an emotional reaction to what was going on in Israel," and said similar, short-lived spikes have occurred during other clashes in the region.

"In reality, the likelihood the conflict is going to interrupt oil supply in any way, shape or form is highly unlikely," Flynn said. "Obviously, if the conflict widens, and other countries get involved directly, you might have a different situation."

There were also hints from China the government could go on a crude-buying spree to take advantage of prices below $40 a barrel. A senior government official writing in the People's Daily said China wants to increase its oil reserves to cushion supply shocks that it believes are inevitable.

China is encouraging companies to use all spare petroleum storage capacity to take advantage of the current low prices, the official said.

Asia's biggest refiner, the state-owned China Petroleum & Chemical Corp., recently completed construction of its largest storage project, a 38-tank facility with a total capacity of 32.4 million barrels.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, which accounts for about 40 percent of global supply, has announced crude production cuts totaling more than 4 million barrels per day as it tries to stop the decline in prices. OPEC members, however, have a history of ignoring announced quotas and crude traders are looking for evidence the 13-nation group is tightening the spigot.

In Vienna, JBC Energy, in its daily newsletter, said "the UAE has decided to reduce crude supplies in January and February in line with the OPEC production cuts." The United Arab Emirates are the fourth-largest producers in the 13-nation cartel.

Analysts at the U.S. firm Cameron Hanover noted Monday the UAE, unlike a number of other OPEC members, typically abides by planned cuts. "If OPEC countries actually cut all of the output they have agreed to cut, global supplies of crude will be tighter come spring," Cameron Hanover said.

Oil prices have fallen 73 percent since peaking at $147.27 a barrel on July 11 as a credit crisis in the U.S. sparked a steep drop-off in consumer demand and corporate earnings. Analysts expect more dismal economic news from the fourth quarter over the next few weeks.

"More bad profit reports, jobs reports, housing results will put pressure on prices," said Gerard Rigby, energy analyst with Fuel First Consulting in Sydney. "Once Obama comes in, that might start changing sentiment and generate more optimism." Barack Obama is scheduled to be sworn in as U.S. president Jan. 20.

In other Nymex trading, gasoline futures fell less than a penny to 84.2 cents a gallon. Heating oil rose a half cent to fetch $1.25 a gallon, while natural gas for January delivery jumped 19 cents to $6.02 per 1,000 cubic feet.

In London, February Brent crude rose 43 to $38.80 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange.

[pepperwood2]

Oil Prices Soar As Mideast Fighting Rages Crude Ends Above $40 A Barrel As Death Toll Mounts In Oil-Rich Region.

Well it didn''t take long for the Commodity Speculators to jump in to see if they can manipulate the price of oil like they''ve been able to do prior to Sept 08. I believe That''s where Madoff got his expertise. Now his buddies have to recoup their losses in 2008 at the expense the people.

The Earthquake Story in Yellowstone should be good for a few more dollars a barrel, etc. So be prepared & don''t say these tactics won''t happen again or again. They go on every day against the consumer.

[runningralph]

Consumers should stay with conservation. Commodities traders smell profit in the wind.

[whitemale08]

Doesn''t look like oil prices are ''soaring'' to me.

The Wall Street wants to see prices soar which is why British oligarchs are in part funding both sides of all the conflicts in the Middle East and Southwest Asia.

However at the same time the British ''oil-spot-market'' is to destroy Venezuela, Iran and Russia while the U.S. is collapsing financially.

In the end oil prices will go through the same hyper-inflation that food is going through right now when OPEC cuts to zero.

Then a fake ''peak-oil-shortage'' will be used as an excuse for the hyper-inflation in oil prices.

[cbsblogger]

Israel''s actions in the early 70s cost us trillions due to the resultant Arab oil embargo.

Should we be happy with their reckless actions again as the US struggles with our economy? Israel''s economy is in good shape because the USA gives it (borrows from China) $5 billion a year for a country smaller than NJ. That needs to end.

We also give Egypt and Jordan another couple billion a year, that we don''t have, as a bribe to appease Israel, as they just did by blocking their borders.

[antizion]

Aren''''t we just full of conspiracy theories today.

Speculation on oil futures are more likely based on OPEC''''s previously stated 4 million barrel reduction / day. The unrest in Gaza makes it more likely that OPEC will actually do what it says.

Not very gripping, but likely closer to the truth.


Posted by dwmcgill at 09:30 PM : Dec 29, 2008
************************


conspiracy theories? Hah... Yeah, because they drill so much oil in Gaza? What is that, an idiot theory?

It''s the Jews stupid.

[antizion]

Any reason for the Jews on Wall Street to bid the price of oil up to pillage the American people is a good reason as far as those crooks are concerned. Nationalize the oil companies and the economic problems go away in the US.

[debinok1]

$40 a barrel is soaring? amazing. Meanwhile here in OK we have gas from .91 to $1.40 a gallon depending on where you live.

[vcofreason]

They will find some way, ANY way to raise the prices. The oil companies miss their billion dollar windfalls they stole from us earlier this year. They are allowed to because we vote the idiots in who let it happen.

[dwmcgill]

If you really want to get interested in a conspiracy theory, then maybe you should consider the oil futures speculation that just took place prior to the presidential election in November. Democrats, certain to have massive gains in Congress, plus the Presidency, stated clearly that drilling for oil would be highly scrutinized (offshore, ANWR, etc.). Speculators bet heavily on the Dem win and assumed a much higher price for oil/gas in the future. Less than 2 months after the election, crude is around 40$/barrel vs. $147 at peak.
That speculation cost driving Americans billions of dollars.

[dwmcgill]

Aren''t we just full of conspiracy theories today.

Speculation on oil futures are more likely based on OPEC''s previously stated 4 million barrel reduction / day. The unrest in Gaza makes it more likely that OPEC will actually do what it says.

Not very gripping, but likely closer to the truth.