New Jobless Claims Make Unexpected Jump
Latest Unemployment Figures Are Worst In 26 Years; Consumer Spending Down For Fifth Straight Month
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The Labor Department reported that initial requests for jobless benefits rose to a seasonally adjusted 586,000 in the week ending Dec. 20, from an upwardly revised figure of 556,000 the previous week. That's much more than the 560,000 economists had expected.
That's also the highest level of claims since November 1982, though the work force has grown by about half since then.
A Labor Department analyst said auto-related layoffs were a factor in the increase.
Meanwhile, the bad economic news sent oil prices tumbling Wednesday, with a barrel of crude briefly fetching less than $37 in thin Christmas Eve trading.
The four-week average of initial unemployment claims, which smooths out fluctuations, increased to 558,000. That's the highest since December 1982, when the economy was emerging from a steep recession.
There was some improvement in the number of Americans continuing to seek unemployment benefits, which dropped slightly to 4.37 million from 4.39 million the previous week. Wall Street economists had expected the number to increase to 4.4 million.
But some economists think that the recent economic data, which included reports of shrinking home sales and productivity Tuesday, will continue to pour in without some meaningful economic stimulus.
"Until we see an economic stimulus plan that gives us confidence, it's gonna be hard to see our way out of the current downturn," economist Mary Kay Plantes told CBS News Radio.
Economists consider jobless claims a timely, if volatile, indicator of the health of the labor markets and broader economy. A year ago, initial claims stood at 353,000.
The elevated level of new jobless applications is just one of several signs that the labor market has deteriorated rapidly in recent months.
The Labor Department said earlier this month that employers cut a net total of 533,000 jobs in November, sending the unemployment rate to 6.7 percent, the highest in 15 years.
Mass layoffs are taking place in a wide range of industries. Industrial conglomerate Textron Inc. on Tuesday said it has cut 2,200 jobs, while technology services provider Unisys Corp. said Monday it will eliminate 1,300 jobs. Sovereign Bancorp Inc.'s bank unit said last week it is laying off 1,000 employees.
Meanwhile, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday that consumer spending fell for a fifth straight month in November, the longest weak stretch in a half-century, while incomes declined under the weight of massive job layoffs.
Until we see an economic stimulus plan that gives us confidence, it's gonna be hard to see our way out of the current downturn.
Mary Kay Planteseconomist
Americans' incomes fell by a worse-than-expected 0.2 percent. It was the first decline since July and reflected in part the fact that more than a half-million jobs were cut in November as the recession deepened.
The 0.6 percent drop in consumer spending followed an even larger 1 percent fall in October. However, the steep plunge in gasoline prices, which is actually good news for consumers, made the declines look worse.
Excluding price changes, consumer spending would have dropped 0.5 percent in October and actually risen by 0.6 percent in November. The November increase excluding inflation was the best showing in more than three years.
Still, economists think the overall trend for consumer spending is down, given the problems facing the economy including the longest recession in a quarter century, a severe financial crisis that has cut off access to credit for millions of borrowers and a massive wave of job layoffs.
All of those troubles have left retailers braced for what could be their worst holiday shopping season in decades.
Economists don't think the hard times will end any time soon. The government reported Thursday that the overall economy, as measured by gross domestic product, was contracting at an annual rate of 0.5 percent in the July-September quarter and analysts believe the contraction will accelerated in the current quarter. Some are forecasting that GDP will plunge at an annual rate of 6 percent, which would be the worst showing in 26 years.
Many analysts say GDP will also fall in the first and second quarters next year before beginning a modest rebound in the summer. If that forecast turns out to be accurate, it would make the current recession, which began in December 2007, the longest in the post World War II period.
The economic weakness is helping to keep inflation under control. A price gauge tied to consumer spending fell by a record 1.1 percent in November, the second monthly decline. Excluding the cost of energy and food, the price index was unchanged last month.
Over the past 12 months, consumer prices are up 1.4 percent, the smallest 12-month change since August 2002.
© MMVIII, CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. The Associated Press contributed to this report.



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See all 130 CommentsThese numbers go back to the Reagan years. Somebody remind me why he is considered a ''great'' president? In 1982 home mortgage rates were 18% --- never again tell me conservative Republicans are fiscally responsible. I''ll take Democrat tax-and-spend over Republican borrow-and-spend any day of the week.
These numbers go back to the Reagan years. Somebody remind me why he is considered a ''''great'''' president? In 1982 home mortgage rates were 18% --- never again tell me conservative Republicans are fiscally responsible. I''''ll take Democrat tax-and-spend over Republican borrow-and-spend any day of the week.
Posted by oleander8 at 10:40 AM : Dec 24, 2008
_________________________
Because he slept through most of his riegn?
If he would have been awake he could/would have done a lot more damage to the economy?
Before you critize me, I am just asking!
There needs to be a new conservative party, without the religous bigotry and greed that is the surviving remnant of today''s Republican Party!
DUH!
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Posted by oleander8
Reasgan took the unemployment rate from 6.0% to 10+% in hiss first year.
1980-01-01 6.3
1980-02-01 6.3
1980-03-01 6.3
1980-04-01 6.9
1980-05-01 7.5
1980-06-01 7.6
1980-07-01 7.8
1980-08-01 7.7
1980-09-01 7.5
1980-10-01 7.5
1980-11-01 7.5
1980-12-01 7.2
1981-01-01 7.5
1981-02-01 7.4
1981-03-01 7.4
1981-04-01 7.2
1981-05-01 7.5
1981-06-01 7.5
1981-07-01 7.2
1981-08-01 7.4
1981-09-01 7.6
1981-10-01 7.9
1981-11-01 8.3
1981-12-01 8.5
1982-01-01 8.6
1982-02-01 8.9
1982-03-01 9.0
1982-04-01 9.3
1982-05-01 9.4
1982-06-01 9.6
1982-07-01 9.8
1982-08-01 9.8
1982-09-01 10.1
1982-10-01 10.4
1982-11-01 10.8
Posted by oleander8 at 10:40 AM : Dec 24, 2008
Granpa Reagan sold the family farm economically to give us one last barn dance.
Lyndon B. Johnson subsidized poverty with his Great Society policy which made it more reasonable not to work for minimum wage and go on welfare instead.
But the big one was Tricky *** Nixon taking us off the gold standard essentially making the dollar worthless but for the faith of the American public.
The problem over the years has been what amounts to fiscal prostitution-the pimps in the White House have been working with hookerz in the legislative branch to give the "Johns" Q. Public what they want.
Our leaders, in order to stay in office, wound up in the position of being unable to say no-to practically anybody.
Don''t worry folks!
All that money Bush funneled to the super-rich is going to "trickle down" to you sooner or later.
If, when the trickle finally reaches you, it looks and smells like urine............that''s because it is.
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Posted by fear_crysis
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Most of us peon Americans had nothing to do with the bloodbath caused by the government in Iraq and Afghanistan. Judging an entire nation of people just exposes what an idiot you are.
GW Bush
Man I don''t know why you stopped in the 6th grade... you could have done so much if you''d have gone on to High School! Now when Sir Lies-A-Lot and the De-regulate EVERYTHING Fascist took over we had a Balanced Budget and a Surplus. The national Debt was set to be paid off in 5 years and UNEMPLOYMENT was at a record low. NOW look at us! Even a 6th grade drop out should be able to see and understand FAILURE when they see it!!
Posted by BRdeckard
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That would be 1 continent down and 6 to go.
Amen. Well, look at the bright side, at least we don''t have Vice President Palin. The dumb cycle has been broken.
Posted by jsklinemn at 11:34 AM : Dec 24, 2008
Your comments are only half true, when things are going well GW Bush takes the credit so when things are not going well the Public obviously expects GW Bush to take the blame, GW Bush can''t have it one way!
Posted by BRdeckard
***************
I wondered if anyone would catch on to that comment.
Since you don''t think that Bush should be blamed, then just what do think deficit spending (done by Bush for his created war in Iraq) does to the dollar?
GW Bush
Posted by troutfisher4 at 11:37 AM
It''s like someone said elsewhere, right now, we are like a ship with no captain, because this idiot Bush isn''t going to do one thing about it. What a failure, and a failure at everything he does.
What is up with that, CBS? Why do you keep parroting their words, when the evidence screams this Administration has been playing the American people for eight solid years? Say it like it is:
"The Administration was unable to stay ''''on message'''' due to the weight of publicly-available numbers and admitted that initial claims for unemployment had jumped again."
Now that the looting is in full swing, we are on the edge of the cliff of a total economic black hole.
Here''s an explanation from Larouche:
Lyndon LaRouche today forcefully warned that the entire global financial system is "now ripe for a total blowout.'''' LaRouche declared, "It could come at any moment now--tomorrow morning, Jan. 2, anytime. The world is as good as dead, in terms of the survival of the nation-state system, unless this situation is corrected immediately, through the steps that I have repeatedly outlined.''''
Posted by ConDumbistan at 11:53 AM : Dec 24, 2008
So to fix the broken job market, we dump a half-million more people into the unemployment lines after eliminating their jobs as well as jobs all across the defense industry?
Interesting approach.
Posted by ConDumbistan at 11:53 AM : Dec 24, 2008
So to fix the broken job market, we dump a half-million more people into the unemployment lines after eliminating their jobs as well as jobs all across the defense industry?
Interesting approach.
Interesting approach.
Posted by ibsteve2u at 11:57 AM : Dec 24, 2008
LOL Kinda like pouring Gasoline on a fire huh?? LOL When WE the PEOPLE understand that it all starts with that guy who goes to work everyday and stop the rush to the bottom, nothing is going to change. We allowed the Snake Oil Sales Men to sell us "Trickle Down" and the wealth IS NOT in the hands of those who drive the economy.
Which means not even 100s of billions in new job creations will work because the entire ''monetary-system'' is DEAD!
It''s the same thing a throwing a snowball at a freight-train. When money has no value who cares how much money you print?
We must put the entire ''monetary-system into receivership so we can re-organize it under bankruptcy and cancel over a quadrillion in derivatives.
This of course will require ''treaty-agreements'' within the frame-work of a new Bretton Woods.
That way all nation-states can ''utter'' their own ''development-credit'' that will restore adequate food supplies, energy, salible water and infrastructure.
That will bring about ''fully employ'' peoples around the world and we will once and for all and we can throw away the old bankrupt Anglo-American Wall Street City of London financial empire into the ash-heaps of history!
Posted by DebinOK1 at 12:03 PM : Dec 24, 2008
Oh come on! Haven''t we tried this garbage long enough? Time to understand ONE thing here. Those people who bought the LIE that good jobs would be created by "Free Trade" were the backbone of this nation. WE fed them to the wolves and now it''s come home. When WE allowed our Government to put them in competition with FORCED Labor in China, we were cutting our OWN throats!!
Posted by ConDumbistan at 12:04 PM : Dec 24, 2008
Look Sparky I don''t know where you get off calling people you don''t even know or know NOTHING about deadbeats but BLAMING them is NOT going to help!! NOT ONE BIT! The point he made and it''s a very valid one, you DO NOT turn around UNEMPLOYMENT and the ECONOMY by putting MORE people into the UNEMPLOYMENT batch!! Our PROBLEM is we do NOT have the engine, the CONSUMER, buying anymore!!
Posted by irmcvet971
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Sorry my brain thought faster than my fingers were typing, also included should have been:
closing our borders, no jobs out, no illegals in. and if its sold here its made here.
Obama and the Democrats are planning on spending over 1 trillion dollars on a stimulus package that they believe will be the answer to all the problems.
It''s laughable because by the time inflation catches up to it it will be a 3 trillion dollar boondoggle, and the American taxpayers will be paying for it along with the other trillions that the Democrats have already given the bankers and Wall Street, this time in the 22nd Century, if the country and the world last that long.
Every time I look to Washington all I see is a deeper hole they are digging for us all to sink into. When is this country and the people going to realize that massive debt in government, and the private sector is what got us here? More debt is just going to sink us deeper.
Once that temporary period of prosperity is over, the Venetian style creditors can loot the bankrupt ''middle-class'' making everyone poor and leave only a handfull of oligarchial families that rule alongside so-called monarchies to reduce the mass population in poverty.
Once that population is less then 2 billion, it will once again become manegeable by pharmaceutical, cloning human/animal hybrids to worship them as Pharoahs and God-Kings.
*****************
That is something I say almost daily, we need to make what we need and quit the "free trade", we need to get back on our feet first, then and only then should we even consider "equal trade", when we are once again self sustaining then we can open trade but only on an equal basis, and nothing can be imported that we can provide for ourselves.
Posted by DaVicar3
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Protecting and taking care of OUR OWN first. Protectionism!
Lyndon Larouche
Oh oh, folks, could that be one of the ''significant plaers'' that Lyndon Larouche was talking about?
Remember the Rothschild family is one of the founding fathers of private central banking systems.
If they are exposed to a never ending cascade of law suits and just simply a bankrupt ''monetary system'', it''s easy to see how Lyndon Larouche could be right.
Posted by whitemale08
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DUHHHHHHHHHHH, nobody wants to hear that, no matter how you say it, how many times you say it, the average american has their head in the sand and WONT look to see the wolves attacking. Some of us are very aware of what is happening and are preparing for it.
Workers Comp''
OSHA
EPA
Unemployement Insurance
FDIC
Etc....etc
We should pick each nation we trade with and add this cost onto their products, not a difficult thing to do; unless you have a lot of dishonest politicians. If they claim they do have these things like the ChiComs who no doubt will do we should make them prove it.
We don''t have a level playing field, there is no fare trade. Both parties have allowed the American worker to get hosed for years now because of corruption at every level.
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