Sharp Drop Ends Volatile Week On Wall St.
Stocks End Roller Coaster Trading Session Down Nearly 340 Points
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(CBS/AP)
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Some retrenchment was to be expected after Thursday's big rally, in which the Dow shot up more than 550 points after falling near its lows for the year. But, there was plenty of discouraging news for investors to focus on, including comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke that the markets remain under "severe strain" and a sobering report on October retail sales.
Analysts believe the market is still searching for a bottom after last month's huge losses, and that the pattern of volatility will continue for some time - selling, even on technical reasons like looming deadlines for cashing out hedge fund holdings, is still coming against a backdrop of an extremely weak economy.
"Clearly, the trading crowd like hedge funds can take this market in any direction they want to. Anybody looking to build a position is just not confident," said Joseph V. Battipaglia, chief investment officer at Ryan Beck & Co.
The session saw another stream of bad news. Bernanke said during a speech in Frankfurt, Germany, that he would work closely with other central banks to try to alleviate the global financial crisis and left open the door to a fresh interest rate cut. The Fed is scheduled to meet Dec. 16 at its last regularly scheduled meeting this year.
While Wall Street would like to see another rate cut, many investors aren't sure, given the litany of bad economic and corporate news, of how effective a rate reduction would be in the near term. Many investors are still trying to assimilate to the idea that the economy's downturn would be protracted, lasting well into next year and perhaps longer.
"The economic news continues to be very negative," said Ben Halliburton, chief investment officer of Tradition Capital Management. "The realization that '09 is going to be a very bad year for economic activity is starting to dawn on people and they are starting to digest how bad it's going to be."
The Commerce Department reported that retail sales plunged by the largest amount on record in October as consumers cut back on spending in the wake of the financial crisis. Retail sales fell by 2.8 percent last month, surpassing the old mark of a 2.65 percent drop in November 2001 in the wake of the terrorist attacks that year.
The decline in sales was led by a huge drop in auto purchases, but retail industry analyst Bert Flickinger says shell-shocked consumers cut back on just about everything:
"Furniture, consumer electronics, apparel, sporting goods - every single category except for Internet sales were weak," Flickinger told CBS News.
Already retailers are bracing for what they fear will be a poor holiday shopping season, said CBS News correspondent Alexis Christoforous.
Both Abercrombie & Fitch Co. and JCPenney Co. warned that profits will come in below Wall Street's already lowered projections as retailers head into a holiday shopping season that could be among the slowest on record.
The great fear on the Street is that Americans' reluctance to spend will extend what is already a serious economic downturn. A barrage of negative consumer news sent stocks tumbling earlier in the week.
But the market drew some comfort in the afternoon from comments from Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, who told CNBC that capital injections in the banking sector will help stimulate lending. He also defended the decision to not buy toxic assets from banks, saying that it would not work as quickly; the move helped send stocks falling earlier this week.
There was disquieting news from the tech sector that weighed on the Nasdaq composite index. Sun Microsystems Inc. said it will cut up to 6,000 workers, or about 18 percent of global staff, as part of a massive restructuring plan. And handset maker Nokia Corp. warned the global economic slowdown will weigh on sales next year.
Fidelity Investments also announced it will eliminate 1,700 jobs early next year in a second round of cuts at the nation's largest mutual fund company.
Boston-based Fidelity said last week that it would eliminate nearly 1,300 jobs this month in the first round, with plans to make further unspecified cuts early next year.
According to preliminary calculations, the Dow fell 337.93, or 3.82 percent, to 8,497.31 at its lows of the day. The Dow fell more than 300 in early trading, recovered to a slim advance and then turned sharply lower at the end of the day as hedge funds cashed out. Fund investors had a Nov. 15 deadline for withdrawing their money.
The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 38.00, or 4.17 percent, to 873.29, and the Nasdaq stumbled 79.85, or 5.00 percent, to 1,516.85.
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- I grew up in the "30s and we were lucky; my dad had a job that paid $100 a month.(You could buy a hamburger for 5 cents.) So we never went hungry but I recall grade school mates who came to class cold, miserable and half starved. Sometimes they''d come home with me and my mom would give them something to eat.
See ya all this comin'' fall at the big rock candy mountain. - Reply to this comment
- and the force of this nation will be heard through the economic system and not the politcal system, they will not be able to alter this course.
Posted by spaceatoms at 12:28 AM : Nov 15, 2008
I beg to differ. Look at how many countries out there with abundant natural resources, yet its people live in poverty, and at countries with little natural resources but are the richest in the world. Then look at their political system. It makes a huge difference. - Reply to this comment
- This is the W admin fault! Anyone who think''s it is not has not been paying attention for the last 8 years!
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- A related article about retail sales tells me consumer confidence is in the loo. Next to the war machine, consumer confidence is the biggest influence driving our economic engine.
Well, we''ve run the war well dry years ago and with consumers tucking in their heads and shutting down, I can see producers of goods and services with no choice but to implement massive layoffs. Many well known companies will fold completely.
During the mid thirties, 25% of all employable adults were jobless. I can easily see that figure being left way behind by this time next year. The bottom has fallen out of home sales; up to 17% of homes in some cities (Las Vegas for instance) are in foreclosure. Discretionary spending is at an historic low. And though Americans are a little better at saving now, the majority are still a paycheck or less from having to pick out that refrigerator box or shipping container and parking it under an overpass. Without that paycheck.....
I wasn''t around during the Great Depression so I can offer only a wild guess as to how bad it could get. Unfortunately that guess includes the possibility that those who still have vivid memories of how rough it was during that awful period are, as with many of the rest of us, about to find out what hard times are REALLY like. - Reply to this comment
- If people think the economy is bad now, just wait until next year. Companies are just beginning to announce layoffs. Even if they bail out Detroit, massive layoffs will be required if the automakers are to survive. There are thousands of companies who supply parts to the Big Three, who will be affected.
Personally I wouldn''t get back to the stock market just yet. - Reply to this comment
- You know it''s kinda weird how many single women with 3.5 kids and no job skills think us old guys with a job or a pension remind them of George Clooney or Brad Pitt.
Something I learned from younger days of fishin''-when the bait starts chasing even the dumbest of fish, the fish will run like helll. ; ) - Reply to this comment
- The ''global financial system" system is DEAD!!!!
Any rally from here on out will be short lived because the our "financial system" suffered a blow-out that was fatal back in August 2007.
Only Lyndon Larouche''s plan for ''global recovery'' can fix our situation before our real economy is past the point of ''no-return''.
larouchepac. - Reply to this comment
- Yet another "vote of confidence" for the Obama dictatorship...
...the Dark Ages are beginning...
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Since Obama has two months to even take office, these are interesting comments. The Gramm/Leahy/Bliley Act and Commodities Modernization Act DEREGULATED FINANCIAL INSTITIONS AND DERIVATIVES.
When was the last all Republican White House, Senate and House? During the DEREGULATORY ERA RIGHT BEFORE THE GREAT DEPRESSION I. - Reply to this comment
- Can it get any worse? Answer: Yes.
- Reply to this comment
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