Early Voting Undercutting McCain?
Expert: Even If He Mounts Late Comeback, Its Impact Could Be Blunted By Ballots Already Cast If Obama Is Truly Ahead
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Photos
Pursuing The Presidency
Images from the debates, conventions and campaign trail in the 2008 presidential election.
But, says CBS News Senior White House Correspondent Bill Plante, a comeback isn't entirely out of the question.
Most polls have McCain down anywhere from 3-to-13 points. Still, Plante points out, he's been counted out before and come from behind.
So, what are McCain's chances of pulling off any upset?
"It's rare at this stage ... that candidates will come from behind and win," says James Thurber, director of the Center for Congressional and Presidential Studies at American University.
But, Plante notes, it's happened before. In 1980, Ronald Reagan trailed Jimmy Carter in the polls, but surged ahead in the last week following their only debate.
"He turned the election into a referendum on Carter and what Carter had done the previous four years," Thurber explained.
In 1968, Hubert Humphrey almost overtook Richard Nixon "promising to get out of the war in Vietnam and that got a lot of people excited about him and he almost won," Thurber says.
Al Gore was down by 12 points in 2000, and came back to win the popular vote, though not the election.
So, what would it take in 2008?
"What it would take," Thurber says, "is to have a clear strategy theme and message by McCain on the economy and have people believe in it."
This year, early voting means the choices of millions of voters are already locked in.
"If some event occurs in the next (seven) days to help McCain," Thurber observed, "he may still lose, because a whole lot of people have already voted for Obama."
Another problem, Plante says" There simply aren't that many undecided voters left -- perhaps five percent.
So, the bottom line, according to Plante: A McCain comeback is possible, but it would take a very large swing of already committed voters.
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See all 134 CommentsPosted by silverStar06 at 08:04 AM : Oct 28, 2008
Rofl, your argument is hilarious. Only socialist democrats are teachers? Lmfao. Are they the only ones qualified?
Sorry if most educated people are Democrats.
Calling them Socialists or Communists isn''t what this country needs right now, it need meaningful change. Get your tax facts correct, do some research and you will find that Obama''s tax plan is simply better that the Bush/McCain plan that hasn''t worked.
Remember the republican party has always stood for deregulation and less oversight.
With all do respect, The Democrats can''t push out those that already left to cheaper labor. It will just tax them for no longer being a American employee Company.
If they want tax breaks, Employ Americans.....
Posted by silverStar06 at 08:04 AM : Oct 28, 2008
No Child Left Behind is leftist ??
Buried deep within the funding benefits of No Child Left Behind is Section 9528 which grants the Pentagon access to directories with students names, addresses and phone numbers so that they may be more easily contacted and recruited for military service.
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Posted by thechooch1 at 08:13 AM : Oct 28, 2008
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Yes, and look where it got us unfortunatly.
Voting Obama... today, tomorrow and next Tuesday!
Posted by bob5ford
Oh!!!! Is that why we have a trillion dollar deficit and the economy is crumbling????? Is due to conservative responsibility????? Who would have ever guessed??? Most of it is due to their ''borrow and spend'' philosophy. They don''t believe in paying the bills just leave them for the Democrats to pay. Their ''smoke and mirror''s'' economizing almost ruined us in Reagan/Bush1 era. Now thanks to his son we have a bigger mess due to their incompetence. We have wound up in two financial disasters with Republican''s (conservatives) at the helm now. When are people going to wake up and realize these people know jack s... about small government and economizing both????? Their ''trickle down'' theory doesn''t work!
Posted by silverStar06 at 08:35 AM : Oct 28, 2008
Ooooh another wing nut invokes the Soviet Union scare. When will you learn we are not buying the kool-aide you are selling.
It will be over in a few days and then you wing nuts can really scream and yell. Maybe Rush, Bill, and Sean can all jump up and down and call for well whatever.
Good night anc good luck.
Obama/Biden for a needed change in direction in America.
Obama ''08...
McCain sound likie an old time grandpa. He gets something negative about his opponent going and he just can''t get off that particular horse.
McCain proved himself to be an idiot when he picked Palin, who is right now probably the worlds most dangerous woman (and most trasparently uneducated and idiotic). McCain''s negative political campaign is so "old timey" as to be funny, if it wasn''t for the fact that this liar and angry old man is running for president of the finest country in the world.
Posted by bob5ford at 08:35 AM : Oct 28, 2008
Actually it was a Republican that first mentioned "Social Security" for the American citizen.
Ralph Owen Brewster (February 22, 1888%u2013December 25, 1961) was an American politician from Maine. Brewster, a Republican, was solidly conservative, a close confidant of Joseph McCarthy of Wisconsin and antagonist of Howard Hughes.
During his time in Congress, Brewster worked on legislation to provide old-age pensions (the forerunner of Social Security) although he was a prominent opponent of welfare and spending programs in President Roosevelt''s New Deal.
there is no quick financial fix, it will take at least 4-5 years to slowly make a difference.
Most liberals have expoused a socialist or marxist viewpoint for years. That is why they are called liberals. The difference is that liberals ask what you can do to assist the government (i.e. higher taxes and stricter regulation) while conservatives believe in very little government intervention (i.e. personal responsibility). To a liberal, the state is all, to a conservative the state is a hinderance to personal responsibility. Does that make the difference clear? Or did you go to government run schools?
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Hi, Bob, and welcome to Earth! First off, I think "expousing" is what you do when you get a divorce. ;-)
Second, these "conservatives" on your planet sound interesting. They certainly don''t bear any resemblence to the ones we have here. Our conservatives got us into an unnecessary war, increased government intrusion into our lives and bankrupted the economy. Now, they are engaging in real socialism by nationalizing our financial markets.
As far as personal responsibility goes, they seem to duck it in any way they can. One of them got convicted of outing one of our secret agents, and another one pardoned him. A bunch of the others made billions of dollars off dubious financial schemes but now blame everyone else and expect the government to take care of their mess.
McLame is just pushing the same old trickle down economics that have gotten the rich much richer while the middle class is slipping into poverty and the the whole country is sliding into massive debt.
Enough!
It''s time for CHANGE.
Obama 08!
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Posted by jamesm12341 at 09:42 AM : Oct 28, 2008
Please!! Don''t pi55 down on my back and tell me it''s raining.
We''re laughing at you neocons!
lol...you have become a silly joke and have lil''bush to thank for it ;P
Ha.
*****
McCain would be in the lead if he pick Romney as his running mate. The entire NE would have been in contention because states like MA liked Mitt.
Bad choice by McCain and now it is coming around to biting him in the backside.
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Posted by jamesm12341 at 09:42 AM : Oct 28, 2008
Please!! Don''''''''t pi55 down on my back and tell me it''''''''s raining.
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Posted by midvale3 at 09:47 AM : Oct 28, 2008
thus the personal responsibility, dont put yourself in a postion to be pi55ed on
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Posted by jamesm12341 at 09:50 AM : Oct 28, 2008
I''m not going to, which is why I''m voting for Obama.
lol...you have become a silly joke and have lil''''''''bush to thank for it ;P
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Posted by RepForBarack at 09:48 AM : Oct 28, 2008
and yet the "neocons" will still be more successful than you , no matter who gets elected.
Posted by jamesm12341
We''ve had this talk before.
Like you''d have any idea what success is...you''re a known troll around these parts. What''s happening over at fox faux news?
But all racists are McCain supporters."
Early Voting?
I voted last wednesday for Barack!
Posted by cbsguest6
Congratulations!! Admitting you have a problem is the first step on the road to recovery.
Seriously, I''m pleased when anyone votes...even if I disagree with their choice. Voting is not only a right, it is a privilege and a responsibility. I haven''t missed an election in the four decades I''ve been eligible to vote.
And a special thanks to Al Gore for making the Internet a public resource. The League of Women Voters did a good job with little money and few kudos, but the Internet allows us to really research candidates and issues.
The devil said "my sons, welcome home".
Posted by Colt8881
Nice! Can I add that to my ongoing list?
*****
You see this the reason why the GOP is getting hammer; liberals do not support giving a person a living wage so they can sit on their backside. What we want to do is give people a little breathing room so they can get back on their own two feet.
Until the GOP learns that people need help *temporarily* then they will continue to get hammered at the polls.
Yes I have had experience with working with the mentally ill and I have found that the system does work as long as the individual works at it.
Obama/Biden 08-12 =)
Obama reminds us of what''s good about America!
7 days from now they will expire along with McSinister''s failed campaign...
McCain/Ditzbot`08
Sarah Quaylin
Melenoma McLamely
McBritney
McSpears
McLifeAlert
McBush
McPsycho
McChicken
McInsane in the Membrane
McHoover
McCancer
McLame
McSame
Catfish McCain
McCain isn''t Able
Mc9/11
McSayAnything
McPOW
McNazi
McCantflyAPlane
McLoser
McComa
McGrinch
McYouAintMyFriend.....get away from me!!!!
McSouthernWhiteTrash
McGigolo
McVain
McCrypt
McClone
McBombBomb
McCrazy
McWanderingEyes
McTool
McAdulterer
McFlipFlop
McCelebrity
McSurgeOn
McPOS
McKook
McAnger
McCreep
McLoser
McLiverSpots
McStayTheCourse
Combover McLiverspot
McCantankerous
McLooseCannon
McInsane
McBuzzard
McLiar...with or without cheese?
McCon
McCan''t
McLooney
McSenile
McTrash
McImpotent
McLimp
McForget
McCrash
McDepends
McSlimey
McScum
McOldPeopleSmell
McTalesFromTheCrypt
McManWhore
McFalseTeeth
McOld
McTemper
McWheeze
McPorkBarrel
McPolygrip
McFailin
McRacist
McFallenAndCantGetUp
McWarMonger
McRaceCard
McWho
Amnesty Mccain
Captain McDiapers
Captain McDouschebag
added :)
Posted by BlackBabyMom
Excuuuuuse me. What am I...chopped liver? I''m an Obama supporter, but you will never find any hatred (or stereotyping all supporters of a candidate) in any of my postings. Stop trying to demonize Obama supporters.
Posted by jamesm12341
When are you going to get that this "trickle down" junk does not work? Most rich people put these profits in their off-shore accounts instead of investing back into the economy. Now if we live in a fairy tale world where people always did the right thing, the trickle down effect would work but we don''t and they do not work. For a change, lets give the tax breaks to the middle class (the back bone of the economy).
Posted by jamesm12341
Something of which jamesm12341 would have no idea about...heck even bush got the greatest job in the land.
Posted by RepForBarack at 09:55 AM : Oct 28, 2008
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I''m guessing you meant "bane".
Posted by jamesm12341
When james gets backed against a wall he always reverts to the ''I''m more successful than you'' bit. I''m posting this from inside a major company btw
Posted by jamesm12341
Please tell me where you work!! I worked in Fortune 100 companies for 25 years, and that wasn''t my experience. I found many immature, self-centered, ignorant, greedy "workers" among the "leadership". BTW, I was in administration...not an hourly union worker.
Posted by jamesm12341
I have never talked/wrote about the above bush/jobs...
So jamesy...tell us about all the wonderful reasons why you''re voting for McCain
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Posted by RepForBarack at 10:22 AM : Oct 28, 2008
because i have the right to vote for whoever I want to.
Posted by jamesm12341
Typical...it''s kinda tough to find someone who has something positive to say about McCain
Did you guys get out of line when God was passing out the compassion gene? Thanks to the Great Depression, my parents'' generation developed a "there, but for the grace of God, go I" sensibility. They saw the devastation of unemployment, homelessness, and starvation first-hand. Do you understand that many middle-class people have lost their jobs and their homes through no fault of their own? Would you guys have to experience it personally to learn some humility and kindness?
Posted by codymac4
How in the world does this seem funny? With our troubled past with respect to political assassination and our poor reputation on racism, one would have to brain dead to see any humor at all in this....Unless of course you are racist skin-head.
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