Oct. 25, 2008
White Support For Obama At Historic Level
Politico: Polls Suggest Democratic Nominee Poised To Win Larger Share Of White Vote Than Any Democrat Since 1976
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Play CBS Video Video Obama Draws Big Crowds States like Illinois, Michigan, and Minnesota are shifting towards Barack Obama and he certainly felt the love during a stop in Indiana. Dean Reynolds reports.
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Video Racist Obama Campaign Signs? Oregon resident Walter Powers has posted controversial political signs on his property. One sign reads, "Got white guilt? Vote Hussein Osama Biden." K-VAL's Elissa Harrington reports.
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Video Can McCain Make A Comeback? Most polls are favoring Barack Obama in the presidential race, but John McCain has been called the "comeback kid." Chip Reid reports on McCain's revised strategy.
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Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., flanked by Mara Rudman, left, and former Georgia Sen. Sam Nunn, speaks to the media in Richmond, Va. Wednesday, Oct. 22, 2008. (AP)
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Photo Essay Obama On The Trail Sen. Barack Obama campaigns for the presidency.
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News Tools Poll Database Search for results from the latest CBS News national polls on the president, the campaign and more.
Barack Obama, the first black major party nominee, is positioned to win the largest share of white voters of any Democrat in more than three decades, according to an exclusive Politico analysis of recent Gallup and Pew Research Center polling.
The most recent two weeks of Gallup polling, which includes roughly 13,000 interviews, show 44 percent of non-Hispanic white voters presently support Obama - the highest number for a Democrat since 47 percent of whites backed Jimmy Carter in 1976.
Until the stock market swoon in mid-September, Obama had never reached 40 percent among white voters.
No Democrat has won a majority of white voters since Lyndon Johnson in 1964. John McCain has shuffled between 48 percent and 50 percent support in recent weeks - which would be the lowest share for a Republican candidate in a two-man race since Barry Goldwater's run.
If Obama's share holds, it would top the 43 percent of white voters who backed Bill Clinton in 1996, when the Democrat won a plurality among white females and 38 percent of white men, the best performance by a Democrat in all those categories since 1976.
Before the party conventions, Obama's support among white men had never passed 35 percent. In September, he matched Clinton's level of support, and last week he jumped five points to 43 percent.
“That is amazing,” Obama’s pollster Cornell Belcher said after those numbers were read to him.
“It was already a change election and now you have a cross pressure of the economy,” he said, causing whites “who have not been voting for white Democrats" to back Obama.
A Politico breakdown of the Pew polling shows dramatic improvement for Obama among whites since early September on the question of who would do a better job "improving the economy." White women, who last month were split, now believe Obama will do a better job “improving the economy” by a 49 to 35 percent margin. White men, who had favored McCain by 10 points, are now split with 41 percent preferring Obama and 43 percent McCain.
About half of whites say the economy is the most important issue in this campaign, while 8 percent said Iraq and 6 percent terrorism, according to the ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll covering Monday through Thursday.
In a similar poll in mid-October 2004, white voters were evenly split, with 26 percent citing the economy as the most important issue, while 25 percent said Iraq and 21 percent said terrorism.
A new Public Policy Polling report shows Obama's newfound leads in North Carolina, Virginia and Florida result from gains among white voters.
“Even as Obama continues to trail by a good amount with whites overall in these states, he’s winning with them on the issue foremost on voters’ minds this year,” the report concluded. “There’s not much doubt the economy is the main factor causing whites who voted Republican for president in 2004 to go Democratic this year. That is the single biggest factor driving his lead in the polls across the country right now.”
Only 7 percent of voters today are satisfied with the direction of the country, the lowest number in Gallup’s history. The reason, Gallup repeatedly notes, is the economy.
A new report by the Democratic firm Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research found that in 13 battleground states, rural voters - nine in 10 of whom are white - were split, with 46 percent backing Obama and 45 percent McCain. In September these voters favored McCain by 10 points .
The report found that Obama’s “improvement is driven by rising voter concerns over the economy in the aftermath of the collapse on Wall Street.”
A recent analysis by Gallup of some 40,000 interviews found that Obama's lead over McCain “has risen proportionately when the percentage of Americans who are negative about the U.S. economy increaes.”
McCain maintains large advantages over Obama with white voters on issues ranging from instituting a “wise foreign policy” to “defending the nation” to “dealing with immigration.” But all of these issues, which have tended to draw whites toward the Republican party, have been eclipsed amongst voter concerns by the market dives.
Pew recently found that 35 percent of whites said they are “most concerned about the financial markets” specifically, compared with 17 percent of blacks.
Eight-six percent of white Democrats now support Obama, roughly equal to what John F. Kerry earned in 2004. Until the economic crisis began, that number had been in the 70s, on par with Michael Dukakis in 1988 and Clinton in 1992.
More than eight in 10 white working-class Democrats now back Obama, roughly a 20 percentage point rise compared to the week before the Democratic convention.
Obama also splits white independents with McCain, with 46 percent backing each candidate, a performance unseen by a Democrat since Clinton in 1996. In the past week, Obama’s support has slightly waned with independent white working-class men, the largest group of independents. But he has gained with women in the same bloc.
Until the market collapse, Obama was narrowly losing white Catholics. He's now opened up a 54 percent to 39 percent lead, according to Pew.
While Obama’s support among whites under age 30 has long been stronger than recent Democratic nominees, he's now within single digits among white voters age 50 to 64 as well as seniors, according to Pew.
It remains to be seen if Obama's polling numbers among whites translate into support within the privacy of the election booth. About one in five voters say they “personally” know someone who will “not vote for Obama because he is black.”
But the economy, in Belcher's view, has mitigated even the role of race. “We are seeing race being trumped by economic concerns and overall changes in the direction of the country in a fundamental way,” he said. “That is perhaps pushing aside, for the first time in our cultural history, race as a debilitating obstacle.”
By David Paul Kuhn
Copyright 2008 POLITICO
- How stupid the people of this country, who are voting for Obama, have become.
Posted by Katia327
Well...how stupid were the people of this country to elect a chronic failure of a cowardly moron like Bush?
Oh...that''s right...he WASN''T elected the first time. A partisan Supreme Court APPOINTED him. For the second term, there can be no excuse.
Our Deserter-in-Chief commits treasonous, impeachable offenses daily. His party has demonstrated a willingness to work against the interests of the American people to further their partisan political ends.
THEY JUST WANT TO BE IN POWER BECAUSE THAT''S WHERE THE MONEY IS! - Reply to this comment
- I have enough to live on. I do not go to bed hungry. I have shelter. I have clothing. Obama is welcome to redistribte my wealth to somebody else who needs it more.
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- that is a cute little story that you told ct92777. problem is,i can''tseewhere it''s relevant to this election! many of you who dont''tlike mccain are afraid toseea person of color run this country.the statement "spread the wealth" has been taken out ofcontext! now unless you are in that 5% who make the most money, you should be celebrating! the plan is so simple even my 5 year old granddaughter understands it. obama says this, if you make under 250,000.00 net profit you will get a tax break! this happens to be about 95% of us. less than 3% of the small businesses in this country make a net profit of 250,000.00 or more. the rest of the small businesses will get tax breaks and incentives! big businesses that leftcountry will get incentives to come back. this means morejobs! ihave yet to hear mccain deny that he was not going to give the oil companies tax breaks.i have not heard him address the 10 billion that is going to iraq each month.even though it was stated months ago that the war could not be won militarily! remember that? see if you knew mccains family history you would understand why he wants to "win the war"! pay attention to what is happening. it''s the old fear tactic!,usingallof the stereotypes! ever wonder,i.e.,why they don''t have bin laden? because they eon''t want to catch him! then who would they have to scare you with when they want to play the terrorist card!
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- My friend forwarded me this email today. I enjoyed it.
%u201CToday on my way to lunch I passed a homeless guy with a sign that read "Vote Obama, I need the money." I laughed. Once in the restaurant I noticed that my server had on a "Obama 08" tie, again I laughed as he had given away his political preference -- just imagine the coincidence. When the bill came I decided not to tip the server and explained to him that I was exploring the Obama redistribution of wealth concept. He stood there in disbelief while I told him that I was going to redistribute his tip to someone who I deemed more in need--the homeless guy outside. The server angrily stormed from my sight. I went outside, gave the homeless guy $10 and told him to thank the server inside as I''ve decided he could use the money more. The homeless guy was grateful. At the end of my rather unscientific redistribution experiment I realized the homeless guy was grateful for the money he did not earn, but the waiter was pretty angry that I gave away the money he did earn even though the actual recipient deserved money more. I guess redistribution of wealth is an easier thing to swallow in concept than in practical application. Also, employers could announce the consideration of employee raises, then withhold those raises and give the proceeds to a worthy cause, preferably one involving non-workers ... PRICELESS - Reply to this comment
- i keep hearing mccain and co.talking about how much experience he has running a country? is he o.k.? i can''t recall him ever being president! i can''t recall him even holding a cabinet post! so, where did he get all of this experience? he was a pilot in nam,he got shot down. does that make him a hero? i got buddies that fought in nam and their own mothers could''nt recognize them when thet they came home! the cong had carved maps in their faces! these guys are hero''s in my book! mccain has never had to deal with a major crisis! being a p.o.w. does''t qualify. the point is, ncain is no more qualified than obama is! when are they going to stop insulting our intelligence? now mccain is blaming obama for the financial crisis. but i don''t hear mccain talking about stopping the 10 billion a month going to iraq and all of the other spending the republicans have been doing the last eight years! is this the man we really want for a president?
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- McCain off the bat seemed like an old man that couldnt remember his name when all this first started.
Regardless of whether he is a war hero,he was just a republican kleenx for the party now hes got changes and jokes. Despite all the dumbsh*t and nonsense I still respect the man, but I wont vote for him.
Palin came in as a campaign swinger,till she expressed her coleminers daughter views with the twang to match (you know)that she thought everyone outside of the woods might relate, not to mention the chic is just spooky/fugly.
can anyone say(abusive first grade teacher)
I dont care about f*cking Israel.
I dont want middle east oil.
Its easy to say (we can''t tuck and run) if your *** isn''t getting shot at.
Palin is an insult to all educated women.
McCain is just a nobody in a popularity contest. - Reply to this comment
- http://www.jesus2020.com/
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- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-x3hq7bmnRY&feature=related
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- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lDaO7N-JujU&feature=related
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- http ://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xyspCRmJv7w
Berg''s official web site is here:
http://obamacrimes.com/
Missionaries in Kenya who Know Obama - Reply to this comment
- Voters Guide. http://wallbuilders.com/LIBissuesArticles.asp?id=5386
As Obama era looms, Gates drops ''Islamist'' from characterization of terrorism
Defense Secretary Robert Gates last week referred to Islamist terrorism by the politically-correct term %u201Cviolent extremism%u201D during a speech to the U.S. Institute of Peace. The use of the non-Islamist terminology highlights the ongoing debate in government over the use of terms like jihad and Islamic extremism in public discussions of terrorism.
Gates said Oct. 15 that %u201Cin violent extremism, we face an adversary today that seeks to eject all Westerners and Western influence from the Middle East and Southwest Asia, to destroy Israel and overthrow all secular and Western-oriented governments in the region.%u201D
In a second reference, he said %u201Cthe long reach of violent extremism emanating from failed and failing states, from ungoverned spaces brought terror to America''s shores and subsequently brought America and our allies to Afghanistan.%u201D - World Tribune October 24, 2008 - Reply to this comment
Please go to humanevents.com- Reply to this comment
- Voters Guide. http://wallbuilders.com/LIBissuesArticles.asp?id=5386
As Obama era looms, Gates drops ''Islamist'' from characterization of terrorism
Defense Secretary Robert Gates last week referred to Islamist terrorism by the politically-correct term %u201Cviolent extremism%u201D during a speech to the U.S. Institute of Peace. The use of the non-Islamist terminology highlights the ongoing debate in government over the use of terms like jihad and Islamic extremism in public discussions of terrorism.
Gates said Oct. 15 that %u201Cin violent extremism, we face an adversary today that seeks to eject all Westerners and Western influence from the Middle East and Southwest Asia, to destroy Israel and overthrow all secular and Western-oriented governments in the region.%u201D
In a second reference, he said %u201Cthe long reach of violent extremism emanating from failed and failing states, from ungoverned spaces brought terror to America''s shores and subsequently brought America and our allies to Afghanistan.%u201D - World Tribune October 24, 2008 - Reply to this comment
- Voters Guide. http://wallbuilders.com/LIBissuesArticles.asp?id=5386
As Obama era looms, Gates drops ''Islamist'' from characterization of terrorism
Defense Secretary Robert Gates last week referred to Islamist terrorism by the politically-correct term %u201Cviolent extremism%u201D during a speech to the U.S. Institute of Peace. The use of the non-Islamist terminology highlights the ongoing debate in government over the use of terms like jihad and Islamic extremism in public discussions of terrorism.
Gates said Oct. 15 that %u201Cin violent extremism, we face an adversary today that seeks to eject all Westerners and Western influence from the Middle East and Southwest Asia, to destroy Israel and overthrow all secular and Western-oriented governments in the region.%u201D
In a second reference, he said %u201Cthe long reach of violent extremism emanating from failed and failing states, from ungoverned spaces brought terror to America''s shores and subsequently brought America and our allies to Afghanistan.%u201D - World Tribune October 24, 2008 - Reply to this comment
- Jim, it has been a long and hard campaign season, hasn''t it? It must be frustrating to have spent all this time and energy trying to defend the indefensible, only to see McCain crash and burn day after day. At least you can look forward to Palin in four years, as she has obviously abandoned the McCain effort in an attempt to position her own political success in the futre. So typically GOP. I commend you for your efforts, and I assume that as the patriotic American you and the rest of the GOP say you are, you will jump fully behind the new Preesident, regardless of who it is, and attempt to help them be succesful for the sake of America.
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- Remember: If a white does not vote for Obama, the voter must be a racist. This works well. Get rid of your white guilt vote, Obama. Don''''t think about Obama''''s words, [lack of] accomplishments, his friends, etc. All that matters is race.
Posted by downsteamjim at 10:20 AM : Oct 26, 2008
There a greater percentage of whites in America voting for Obama than have voted for any Democrat in over 4 decades. If you want to attribute that to white guilt, go ahead if it makes you feel better.I think you''re full of it. But I suggest your start practicing saying ''President Obama''. - Reply to this comment
- Remember: If a white does not vote for Obama, the voter must be a racist. This works well. Get rid of your white guilt vote, Obama. Don''t think about Obama''s words, [lack of] accomplishments, his friends, etc. All that matters is race.
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- This story is only newsworthy as the MEDIA and Universities LEfties are shocked - because they have a template that Whites are racists, and teach the same, no matter what the facts may show.
Other templates ??
Posted by hamiltonGRAD at 09:58 AM : Oct 26, 2008
No, it is newsworthy because:
''No Democrat has won a majority of white voters since Lyndon Johnson in 1964. John McCain has shuffled between 48 percent and 50 percent support in recent weeks - which would be the lowest share for a Republican candidate in a two-man race since Barry Goldwater''s run.'' (see paragraph 4)
No Democrat has won a majority of white voters in over 4 DECADES. That makes it newsworthy.
As far as your sad assertion that we all teach our kids that all whites are racist, many of us ARE white! I looked in the mirror this morning and, yep, still white. - Reply to this comment
- This story is only newsworthy as the MEDIA and Universities LEfties are shocked - because they have a template that Whites are racists, and teach the same, no matter what the facts may show.
Other templates ?? - Reply to this comment
- As far as a lot of us white American''s are concerned. Obama is the only decent candidate. He is obviously far more intelligent and that''s important to a lot of us. McCain is more of the same mess we have now. I don''t recall one policy of his that''s changed from George''s failed ones. His decision making abilities are even more suspect than his policies. He has not come off as being a cool head in a crisis. His choice of a Vice President was even worse. I am a pro choice woman who votes that way. Unless I don''t have any other choice.
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