Fed Chief Warns Of Prolonged Economic Pain
Bernanke's Gloomy Forecast May Open Door Wider To Interest Rate Cut
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Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is seen on a television screen on the New York Stock Exchange trading floor, Tuesday Oct. 7, 2008, during his luncheon address to the National Association for Business Economics. (AP Photo/Richard Drew)
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The Fed chief's more gloomy assessment appeared to open the door wider to an interest rate cut on or before Oct. 28-29, the central bank's next meeting, to brace the wobbly economy.
Bernanke said the Fed will "need to consider" whether its current stance of holding rates steady "remains appropriate" given the fallout from the worst financial crisis in decades.
If the Fed does lower its key rate from 2 percent it would mark an about-face. The Fed in June had halted an aggressive rate-cutting campaign to revive the economy out of fear those low rates would aggravate inflation. Since then, financial and economic conditions have deteriorated, while inflation pressures have calmed, giving the Fed more leeway to again cut rates.
"The outlook for economic growth has worsened," Bernanke said in prepared remarks to the annual meeting here of the National Association for Business Economics.
All told, economic activity is likely to be "subdued" during the remainder of this year and into next year, Bernanke said. "The heightened financial turmoil that we have experienced of late may well lengthen the period of weak economic performance and further increase the risks to growth," he warned.
Many believe the country is on the brink of, or already in, its first recession since 2001.
White House Press Secretary Dana Perino said Tuesday "I don't think that we know" if we are in a recession but that the nation is in a "very difficult situation," reports CBS News White House correspondent Mark Knoller.
Later, Perino repeated that the classical definition of "recession" is two successive quarters of negative economic growth - and that she said is not the case now. But she said that "clearly, we're in a very distressing situation," and the 3rd quarter numbers for the economy will be "nothing to write home about," Knoller reports.
Consumers - major shapers of economic activity - have buckled under the weight of rising joblessness, shrinking paychecks, hard-to-get credit, declining net wealth and tanking home and stock values. All the strains are "now showing through more clearly to consumer spending," Bernanke said.
Meanwhile, worsening sales prospects and a heightened sense of uncertainty have begun to weigh more heavily on businesses, making them more cautious to hire and to invest in their companies, he said.
Employers cut jobs in September at the fastest pace in more than five years, the government reported last week. Payrolls were slashed by 159,000 last month alone. It was the ninth straight month of job losses. A staggering 760,000 jobs have disappeared so far this year.
The financial and credit crises, which took a turn for the worst in September and continue to stubbornly persist, are likely to "increase the restraint on economic activity in the period ahead," Bernanke said.
Even households with good credit histories are now facing difficulties obtaining mortgages or home equity lines of credit, he noted. Banks are also reducing credit card limits and denial rates on auto loan applications are rising, he said.
Banks, too, are feeling the strain of a lockup in lending, particularly in the market for commercial paper.
To that end, the Fed on Tuesday announced a radical plan to buy massive amounts of this short-term debt in an effort to break through a credit clog that is imperiling the economy.
"The expansion of Federal Reserve lending is helping financial firms cope with reduced access to their usual sources of funding," Bernanke explained.
Invoking Depression-era emergency powers, the Fed will begin buying commercial paper - short-term funding that many companies rely on to pay their workers and buy supplies.
Bernanke believed the Fed's bold actions - along with the $700 billion financial bailout signed into law by President Bush on Friday - will help restore confidence in financial markets and help them function more normally.
He also defended the timing of the actions by the Fed and the Bush administration. "We have learned from historical experience with severe financial crises that if government intervention comes only at a point at which many or most financial institutions are insolvent or nearly so, the costs of restoring the system are greatly increased. This is not the situation we face today," he said.
Meanwhile, government data show consumer borrowing fell in August for the first time in more than a decade as households, battered by rising job layoffs and the worsening economy, cut back sharply on their use of credit. The Fed said Tuesday that consumer borrowing fell at an annual rate of 3.7 percent in August. It marked the first time that total borrowing had fallen since a 4.3 percent rate of decline in January 1998.
© MMVIII, CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. The Associated Press contributed to this report.



This country is doomed when we allow these criminals to continue to steal our money. We know whose side the government is on, the fascist corporate side.
Bernanke''s Gloomy Forecast May Open Door Wider To Interest Rate Cut
My God this man is brillant give him a cookie.
That is, for all you LITTLE people out there.
The banksters will do just fine, thanks to the $700bn they just shook us down for.
Now and for the rest of his life he''ll be wondering how the people (Wall St and other assorted rich b*stards) he idolized and revered as the cream of human evolution could have done this to him. They weren''t supposed to do this on his watch. The fact is that the boy never before realized whom (or really what) he was playing ball with. These reptiles (that Fuld piece-of-work looks like something out of a B-grade horror movie) care nothing about anyone who served as their guide through the jungles of government in order to avoid legal consequences of their past lawlessness in rank profiteering. And now Chumpie is finally (unless he''s still lying to himself about it) faced with this fact that big-money reptilian republicans will do anything (and anyone) for a buck. Couldn''t happen to a more deserving clown.
During his second campaign for re-election he even announced to a crowd of this scum that "you are my [his] base"! Looks like the "base" got up and moved completely to another location without telling him just before he crash-landed!
Congress needs to hear from the public.
Posted by alphaa010 at 02:58 PM : Oct 07, 2008"
Well said alpaa010. I wrote to my senators and congress men already. Conservative right wing people here said it is Welfare and pork barrel for 18 billions and 5 billions for SCHIP. I really wonder what is this called. Just throwing all this on the next president, just so unfair. Bill Clinton gave the Prez. stable economy, middle east, 140 billions budget surplus, 5.7 trillions internal debt. This Prez. made that a 11.4 trillion internal debt, 400 billions budget deficit, started unjust unfair war in Iraq, did not fund veterans. Man no end in sight to any problem. Greatest president of USA.
The guys at the top make all the money and let very little trickle down. Look at the numbers, if you don''t believe it. CEO''s and their senior management get all the bucks and the people doing the heavy lifting get a 2 - 3% increase.
http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2006/04/08/business/pay.graphic.jpg
Wells Fargo Bank. - REFUSED - to give Loans for homes that were : Overpriced
Wells Fargo Bank REFUSED to give loans for : New construction Homes
That were Overpriced
The Actions and the Behavior of Wells Fargo Bank.
Gives clear evidence that : The Entire Banking Industry and
The FBI had a clear knowledge that Massive Bank Fraud and
Massive Bank Embezzlement Was Taking Place.
Out of an Act of Political Nepotism to :
The Bush NAZI Fascist Crime Regime
For eight (8) Long years. The Political Criminal FBI Refused to
ACKNOWLEDGE or to ACCEPT any Complaints ! !
(FBI Director Robert Mueller)
(Republican NAZI Fascist Bush Appointee)
People were Complaining - But ......
Don''t just blame the : Banking Industry for this Mess
Blame also the Organization : The Political Criminal FBI.
Who''s Job it is- and - Is Paid a Wage Package to :
Protect Banking Consumers
But ... Purposely and Intentionally
REFUSED ! ! __ To do just that ! !
The Political-Criminal FBI, SEC, Federal Reserve are Now
Claiming They were : Too Dumb and Stupid to Recognize that
Massive Bank Fraud and Massive Bank Embezzlement
Was Taking Place ! !
The American public also deserves lots of blame for $13 trillion in private consumer debt. We have been living beyond our means for at least the last three decades. $300K to $500K houses, SUV''s, and huge amounts of credit card debt can only be blamed by the American public looking at themselves in the mirror. There is going to be lots of pain for quite a long time to come before things bottom out.
Yeah, right!
It is only a prolonged economic pain for the middle-class and the lower class.
The rich remain rich and their wealth will sustain them.
The issue is also enforcement of regulations. Elliot Spitzer (to take one example) was ''famous'' for prosecuting Wall Street bankers for their shenanigans. He fell from power when the IRS got a tip that he was possibly making politically-motivated bribes (it turns out, they were payments to a prostitute: accomplished the same thing- getting Spitzer off the banks backs by destroying his reputation).
Who made the tip that the Bush justice department prosecuted by invading Spitzers privacy (to the point of tapping his phone calls)?
Why, his bank, of course...
to Wall Street, China will be taken over soon. God
forbid the people elect a Hussein for Pres. we will
really be in a mess!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Endorsed by each John McCain Supporter
The Bush NAZI Fascist Regine
Fabricated Reports - Intentionally Delivered to
the American people to Falsely and Fraudulently
Advocate a War !
Ordered Criminal Wiretaps - Criminal Surveillance Techniques
FDA = Lead Painted Toys - Defective Merchandise
Tainted and Poisoned Food - Destined for The American Family
Granting Immunity to Blackwater
(Murder of Women and Children-Smuggling Arms and Weapons
Halliburton - (No Bid Defense Contracts)
Kellogg, Brown & Root -
(Kidnapping - S*e*x*ual Assault and R*a*pe) Again
Selling of and Instructions how to use
Nuclear Weapon Technology
Allowing Millions of People into Home Foreclosure
because of Intentional Fraud
Financial BAIL OUT for Criminal Bankers and Criminal Lenders
The FBI - A Criminal Organization
Outsourcing good paying American Jobs for
SLAVE LABOR and CHILD FORCED SLAVE LABOR
An INSTITUTION of SLAVERY
Ordering and Approving of : Rape, Child Sodomy,
Torture and Murder of people within US Detention Centers
(Guantanamo Bay)
POLITICIZED The Federal Civil Service with Appointments
The Republican NAZI Fascist Party Created :
ECONOMIC STRIFE .. That is Being used as a Weapon to :
ELIMINATE a DEMOCRACY and REPLACE IT - With
The TOTALITARIAN DICTATORSHIP of : A NAZI FASCIST RULE
Against the American People
The DELUSIONAL of GRANDEUR DISORDER of each :
John McCain Supporter ! !
Posted by random_radar at 07:11 PM : Oct 07, 2008
Yes. With tighter lending, a shrinking money supply may cause DEFLATION.
Your paycheck goes down. But your mortgage payment doesn''t.
The foreclosure rate hasn''t even STARTED to go up yet. You haven''t seen anything yet.
Lord have mercy on me for what I''m thinking right now.
All the local places are sold out. Seems there''s been a run on pitchforks the past few days. Nobody knows why.
LEARN TO GROW YOUR OWN FOOD,
LEARN TO CAN YOUR OWN FOOD,
BUY UP ALL THE PRE-1964 SILVER COINS YOU CAN FIND. ..
---------BECAUSE---------
WHILE YOU WERE WORRIED ABOUT YOUR;
401K''''S AND KISSING BUTT TO GET A PROMOTION,
I WAS LEARNING TO DO THE ABOVE MENTIONED THINGS.
GET READY TO END YOUR KIDS ENGLISH HORSE RIDDING LESSONS, AND IF YOU DON''''T KNOW HOW TO GROW YOUR OWN VEGGY GARDEN,...PREPARE TO PAY PEOPLE LIKE ME $40 FOR A CAN OF MY CANNED STEW,...OR,...YOU''''LL HAVE TO FIGHT OVER THE LAST CAN OF TUNA DOWN AT YOUR LOCAL GROCERY STORE LIKE DURING THE NEW ORLEANS HURRICANE EVENT.
NO, I DON''''T LIVE IN THE WOODS,
YES I DO HAVE A COLLEGE DEGREE.
BUT MY FAMILY SAW THIS COMING YEARS AGO WHEN TV COMMERCIALS BOASTED THAT "YOU CAN BUY FURNITURE TODAY AND NOT PAY A DIME FOR TWO YEARS."
HA,...AMERICANS NEED TO LEARN TO DELAY SELF-GRATIFICATION.
NOW WE''''LL ALL PAY.
Posted by lastdance127 at 06:48 PM : Oct 07, 2008
osted by alphaa010 at 07:02 PM : Oct 07, 2008
Nobody, and I mean NOBODY takes your repetitive, hysterical, retarded cut/paste posts seriously.
You just clog the boards up.
I forgot you.....
Posted by Demongirl60
We did!!!
Posted by lastdance127 at 06:48 PM : Oct 07, 2008
osted by alphaa010 at 07:02 PM : Oct 07, 2008
Nobody, and I mean NOBODY takes your repetitive, hysterical, retarded cut/paste posts seriously.
Posted by easeup at 08:41 PM : Oct 07, 2008
I do. And I agree.
YOU''RE the one clogging up the boards.
Posted by bm6005 at 10:36 PM : Oct 07, 2008
I''ve got the rope.
Which mansion do you want to go "Christmas caroling" at first?
Now we witness the demise of the British East India Company Paper Empire.
Time to let this house of cards fall once and for all so that nations can rid itself of ''globization'' and practice ''national soveriegnty'' and start trading goods for goods not ''goods for paper money''.
PAPER MONEY IS GOOOOONEEEEEE FOR GOOOOOOODDDDDDD!!!
There is this address in Crawford, Texas...
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by stn_sage
October 8, 2008 12:13 PM EDT
- I have yet to hear this boob---Bernanke---formally admit that even knows that we ARE in a recession!
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Reply to this comment
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See all 40 CommentsAnd, we''re suppose to believe anything he has to say?!
Not likely, mate!!
I vote ''no confidence'' in HIM or this GOVERNMENT!
LMAO!