Oil Hits 8-Month Low Under $90 A Barrel
Speculators Fear Growing Financial Crisis Will Slow Economies, Sap Demand
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An oil pump seen in motion, Oct. 3, 2008, in the desert area of Sakhir, Bahrain, in the Persian Gulf. (AP Photo/Hasan Jamali)
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Light, sweet crude for November delivery was down $4.69 to $89.19 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange by late afternoon in Singapore.
Oil prices have tumbled nearly 40 percent since peaking in July. The Nymex front-month contract last traded this low in early February.
The drop came as world stock markets plunged amid growing investor anxiety that the U.S. bad debt crisis is enveloping Europe. Germany announced Sunday a bailout package totaling 50 billion euros ($69 billion) for Hypo Real Estate, the country's second-biggest commercial property lender, part of a scramble by European governments to save failing banks.
"What happened over the weekend was further evidence of the spread of this financial crisis to Europe," said Victor Shum, an energy analyst with Purvin & Gertz in Singapore. "This deepens the sentiment that we're going to see a more widespread economic slowdown or even recession, and that's no good for oil demand."
Investors shrugged off Friday's approval by the U.S. House of Representatives of a $700 billion bailout package to buy bad mortgage debt, aimed at stabilizing the U.S. financial system.
Oil demand in the world's richest countries had already begun to slow since May, before the worst of the financial turmoil hit the United States last month, Shum said.
The demand data is not encouraging. In the developed countries it's falling, and that's why we're seeing downward pressure on prices.
Victor Shum, Energy analyst, Purvin & GertzInvestors will be watching if the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries moves to cut output should prices fall further.
Iranian Oil Minister Gholam Hossien Nozari said Saturday that it would be "unsuitable" for both producers and consumers for oil to dip below $100 a barrel. He called on fellow OPEC members not to pump too much oil and avoid a drop in prices.
"OPEC has signaled it may defend $80," Shum said. "There's uncertainty over what OPEC may do."
Traders were also watching currency movements as investors tend to buy commodities like oil to defend against dollar weakness and a hedge against inflation, but sell crude as the U.S. currency strengthens.
The 15-nation euro fell to $1.3590 in trading Monday from 1.3774 late Friday while the dollar dropped to 103.35 yen from 105.30 on Friday.
In other Nymex trading, heating oil futures fell 12.28 cents to $2.5392 a gallon, while gasoline prices dropped 9.83 cents to $2.13 a gallon. Natural gas for November delivery fell 17.2 cents to $7.186 per 1,000 cubic feet.
In London, November Brent crude fell $3.80 to $86.40 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange.
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Gasoline is generally $1 per gallon for every $33 of oil pricing on the commodity market.
Breathing oil markets are good for oil companies to take advantage of the "downtime" for maintenance and capital projects that upgrade infrastructure and require them to go offline.
One of the most difficult controls on oil regulation up to the 1980''s was forseeing market shifts as new industrialized nations entered the picture and affected consumption of suppies at unpredictable rates. Trade and tarrifs also affected purchasing power of foreign consumers as governments of debtor nations devalued their currency to offset imports.
Posted by onemoretim at 07:12 AM : Oct 06, 2008
That evil Bush & oil price dial!!!LOL!! I love it how some people think Bush controls everything.
Posted by keypinitreel at 09:12 AM : Oct 06, 2008
Substitute "stupid" for blind......BTW if this hysterical conspiracy were true, why did oil prices shoot up right before the 2004 election?
Hmm.. good question, eh.
Posted by Ronsonit at 09:46 AM : Oct 06, 2008
Excellent point. The fewer players there are, the easier it is to control pricing--in any market.
Posted by heathme2003 at 10:50 AM : Oct 06, 2008
I was shocked to see $3.17 here in Ohio.
They call that downward sticky.
Posted by apple2pie at 12:25 PM : Oct 06, 2008
Another foil-hatter!!!
I wonder if gas prices at the pump are actually going to come down. I doubt it. Gas prices are kinda like taxes. Once they''re raised, that''s it, we''ll never see "cheap gas" again.
we deserve what we get!!
Posted by apple2pie at 12:25 PM : Oct 06, 2008
Just like magic, isn''t it. Happens every four years, right on schedule. I call it "Ol'' Faithful". When the shrub took office the first time, gas was $.96 cents a gallon nation wide avg.
we deserve what we get!!
Posted by libluv2cnsor at 03:06 PM : Oct 06, 2008
I ride my motorcycle year ''round'' (40 - 60 mpg). If I have to carry stuff I do it with my 4 cyl Mazda pickup. (28 mpg)
Posted by ToolMangler at 03:14 PM : Oct 06, 200
Not to let facts ruin your rant, but gas spiked before the 2004 election.
But please, keep ranting about how Bush controls everything--it''s very entertaining!
Gasoline is still 3.69/gal & heating oil 3.59/ gallon. Kerosene 4.85/gal. To get a better idea these prices should all be a dollar less at 90/barrel.
These Big Oil & Financial CEO''s have been sleeping with Barney Franks & other Liberals Cronies to prevent a return to normal. Just who do these bandits think there fooling around with.
We need to stay focused on Al Gore''s and T. Boone Pickens''s energy plans. Think about clean electricity from windfarms on the Plains from Texas to Canada. Think about clean electricity from solar thermal plants and photovoltaics in the South and desert Southwestern US. Think about smart electrical grids connecting to the consumer on the two coasts. Natural gas for trucks and cellulosic ethanol for flex fuel cars needs to be the law of the land. Electric plug-in cars also need to be built. Oil is just going to spike up again and gas will be $7 to $8 per gallon next time. Americans need to get smarter about conserving energy, driving fuel efficient cars that get 50 MPG, and supporting candidates like Obama-Biden who care about ridding us from foreign oil by developing wind, solar, and geothermal sources of energy.
Anyone seen CHENEY ???
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by swingset4u
October 8, 2008 12:45 AM EDT
- The price of crude is not driven by the speculation of financial markets. DEMAND is key. Only use what you need to use to get back and forth to work. Send a clear message to big oil that enough is enough! Don''t put your money in the tank put it in the bank!
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