Will Prejudice Trump Economy For Voters?
New AP-Yahoo Poll Suggests Obama May Lose Votes Of Dems, Independents Harboring Negative Views Of Blacks
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Can Racists Stop Obama?
Barack Obama has been cautious to poise himself as an African American candidate. As Dean Reynolds reports, racial stigmas of both conservatives and liberals could detriment his campaign.
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Poll: Race A Factor For Obama
A new poll shows race will factor in for a number of voters this year. Ed Gordon, host of "Our World With Black Enterprise," explains to Maggie Rodriguez what the "Black Tax" will mean for Obama.
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But a new AP-Yahoo News poll shows that race could also play a big role in how some voters make their choice - and this may not bode well for Barack Obama.
According to the poll released Saturday, a little over one-third of white Democrats and independents agreed with at least one negative adjective about blacks, and they are less likely to vote for Obama than those who don't hold such views.
"There are a lot fewer bigots than there were 50 years ago, but that doesn't mean there's only a few bigots," said Stanford University political scientist Paul Sniderman, who helped analyze the exhaustive survey.
The pollsters set out to determine why Obama is locked in such a close race with Republican presidential candidate John McCain even as the political landscape seems to favor Democrats; President George W. Bush's unpopularity, the Iraq war, and a national sense of economic hard times cut against Republican candidates, as does the fact that Democratic voters outnumber Republicans.
Lots of Republicans harbor prejudices, too, but the survey found they weren't voting against Obama because of his race. Most Republicans wouldn't vote for any Democrat for president - white, black or brown.
The survey also focused on the racial attitudes of independent voters because they are likely to decide the election.
The poll does show that many whites who see blacks in a negative light are still willing (or even eager) to vote for Obama. But statistical models derived from the poll suggest that Obama's support would be as much as 6 percentage points higher if there were no white racial prejudice.
However, a CBS/New York Times poll released earlier this week showed that Obama holds a two point edge over McCain among all white women, making a 21-percentage point swing in Obama's favor from the previous week.
On the other side of the racial question, the poll shows the Illinois Democrat is drawing almost unanimous support from blacks.
But a sign that the economy may trump prejudice comes in the telling result from the question, "Would you say things in this country are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track?" Among ALL voters, 72 percent said the country was on the wrong track; only 27 percent said the U.S. was headed in the right direction.
Other findings in the polls, among ALL voters: 54 percent had "very favorable" or "somewhat favorable" impressions of Obama, compared to 50 percent for McCain. The "very favorable" response for Obama (30) was more than twice that of his rival (13).
Favorable impressions for the Democratic Party were also generally higher than for the Republicans.
And how do voters characterize the candidates? When offered a list of adjectives describing each candidate, those most frequently chosen for Obama were "Intelligent" (61%), "Popular" (58%), "Will bring about change" (51%), "Inexperienced" (47%), and "Honest" (36%).
For McCain the most frequently picked adjectives were "Experienced" (58%), "Strong military leader" (49%), "Intelligent" (47%), "Courageous" (44%), and "Past his prime" (36%).
Methodology
The poll used a methodology developed by Knowledge Networks, a Menlo Park, Calif., firm that interviews people online after randomly selecting and screening them over the telephone. (Numerous studies have shown that people are more likely to report embarrassing behavior and unpopular opinions when answering questions on a computer rather than talking to a stranger.)
Other techniques used in the poll included recording people's responses to black or white faces flashed on a computer screen; asking participants to rate how well certain adjectives apply to blacks; measuring whether people believe blacks' troubles are their own fault; and simply asking people how much they like or dislike blacks.
The poll sought to measure latent prejudices among whites by asking about factors contributing to the state of black America. One finding: More than a quarter of white Democrats agreed that "if blacks would only try harder, they could be just as well off as whites."
Those who agreed with that statement were much less likely to back Obama than those who didn't.
Among white independents, racial stereotyping is not uncommon. For example, while about 20 percent of independent voters called blacks "intelligent" or "smart," more than one third latched on the adjective "complaining," and 24 percent said blacks were "violent."
Nearly four in 10 white independents agreed that blacks would be better off if they "try harder."
Researchers used mathematical modeling to sort out the relative impact of a huge swath of variables that might have an impact on people's votes - including race, ideology, party identification, the hunger for change, and the sentiments of Sen. Hillary Clinton's backers.
Just 59 percent of her white Democratic supporters said they wanted Obama to be president. Nearly 17 percent of Clinton's white backers said plan to vote for McCain.
The survey of 2,227 adults was conducted Aug. 27 to Sept. 5. It has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.1 percentage points.
Pollster Frank Luntz said that race can affect what voters tell polltakers, as was evident in exit polling during the primaries.
"In the states that were north of the Mason-Dixon line and east of the Mississippi River, states like Ohio and Pennsylvania, they got the exit polling numbers wrong because people said 'I voted for Barack Obama,' but, in fact, they voted for Hillary Clinton,' Luntz told Early Show anchor Erica Hill.
Luntz said, in fact, voters in the South were more likely to be honest with poll takers about whom they voted for when race was part of the mix.
Luntz did say, however, that pocketbook issues may trump prejudice, saying he believes Obama will take Pennsylvania, a state he lost to Clinton, despite heavy spending there by the Republicans.
"Barack Obama has proven he does well in the suburban vote, and the suburbs of Philadelphia and the suburbs of Pittsburgh, I think, will put Obama over the top," Luntz said.
And perhaps most telling that prejudice - or even long-held party loyalty - may not trump the economy for voters: In Indiana, which has been a safe state for Republicans for years (George W. Bush beat John Kerry 60 percent to 39 percent), McCain leads Obama by only six points, according to a CNN/Time poll.
© MMVIII, CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. The Associated Press contributed to this report.



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See all 949 CommentsThat may be why the cabals that run our country chose him.
I am not ready for "President Palin" and McSame has serious health problems, is Bush III, would keep us in Iraq forever, lies constantly just like Bush.
Obama 08!
That''s very offensive to those blacks from the Caribbean.
Folks who would decide their vote strictly on race are idiots, pure and simple...
Nice try MSM. Go fly a kite.
This article/headline is seriously race-baiting. would it matter it the media called him "half white?'' it is a good thing that the scary skinhead racists out there are usually too busy listening to Rush and Sean to get registered to vote!!
Blacks and white liberals are demonstrating that they''d put an unqualified, unprincipled, inexperienced twit in the White House just to create a rallying symbol. This is not a candidate or a party: it''s a cult of personality.
That''''s very offensive to those blacks from the Caribbean.
Posted by HawkSprings
Hawkster: the Caribbean blacks were also imported from Africa, to work for British, Dutch and French ''owners''. No black persons lived in the Caribbean until the Europeans brought them in to work.
I think that the MSM in America is trying to destroy itself! Journalism in America has sunk to new lows this year and it''s is going to start to show as a growing number of us are beginning to boycott print publications and your sponsors!
My favorite issue is the Constitution. The white union guys all claim to be such patriots. I dont see how a patriot could ignore the systematic destruction of the Constitution by McCain and Bush. Palin doesnt even use state run email, so she can (unlawfully) hide her work from the state auditors. She is already ready to replace Cheney as the master of evil.
And she is so plucky and cheerful, when she talks about going to war against Russia. She doesnt mention the draft or the nuclear fallout.
Your failure to do so makes one question your motives (how could it not?).
At least a non-white candidate (but he is 50% white isn''t he?) is assured of almost 100% support from his non-white race.
On the other hand a female candidate does not get nearly that kind of support .. and yet they must face many of the same prejudices!
How else can we explain the media''s obsession with finding fault with her (by only interviewing the 20% that opposed her in Alaska)while ignoring Biden''s background and flaws.
I''ll anxiously await the results of your polls regarding sexist attitudes.
I''m hoping for Palin vs Clinton in 2012 so we can get past your sexism!
Meanwhile, all the news organizations, including Fox News, are letting Obama get away with saying that he will only raise taxes on the rich as well as corporations while giving a tax cut to some 85 or 90% of Americans. Let''s not even talk about this idea being the quintessential definition of the word "socialist". Instead, let''s talk about the fact that corporations never really pay taxes. All they do is pass on their tax burden to ALL of the rest of us in the prices we pay for EVERYTHING! Therefore, Obama is, in reality, proposing a "back door" tax on ALL of us. We will ALL pay for higher taxes on corporations at the cash register! Does anyone really think this would be a good idea in an economy already on the brink of meltdown? If you do, I have a bridge in Alaska I''d like to sell you!
If you are happy with the way things are in America right now, vote for the people who made it that way.
If you think we are on a disastrous path and want things to improve, vote for the people who will honestly try to bring about those improvements.
It''s really very simple, but as we have proven in the past, so are we...
All the rest is noise.
time. There are more whites in the U.S. than
blacks. Do the numbers and you''ll get McCain, Palin.
The key demographic will be Hispanics. While Obama loses OH, and maybe FL because of some predujice whites, Obama will WIN CO and NM because McCain will not get the Hispanic support Bush got in 2000 and 2004. Kerry states + IA/NM/CO = Obama POTUS.
Obama 273 McCain 265
Yes, it''s outright racism!
Yes, racism will be a huge player in this election, but I don''t believe that racism from only one side is what will swing the final results.
For those who refer to Whites voting against Obama because of Racism, well, why don''t you ask one of Barry Hussein''s closest buddies about that?
His name is Robert C. Byrd. He is the Senior Senator of West Virginia, and like Obama a Democrat. Unlike Obama, he was, for many years, the Grand Kleagle of the WV Ku Klux Klan, and a staunch opponent of Civil Rights. Yet who did Boy Obama go grovelling to instead of demanding his resignation? Why, his good old friend Massa Byrdie.
Don''t believe it, or care to scream Neo-Fascists of the Left? It''s clearly written in "Audacity of Hope".
Many of us who are voting against Byrd, including Black Americans, do so because of his history of associating with bigots of all stripes. Including his friend, Senator Byrd.
Obviously Obama never heard of the New York Draft Riots of 1863, of Fort Pillow, of Poison Springs, or even of Slavery, otherwise not only would he NOT be a Democrat, he''d be contemptuous, instead of respectful towards Byrd. But what do expect from a stepin fetchit without fetchit''s honesty and talent?
Colin Powell would be someone I could possibly vote for. Not this victicratic little coward and reverse racist.
People are way more worried about their pocketbook than they are about the color of the next president. The only ones that do care are old and rich, and the rednecks both of which are a minority of the voting population.
Perhaps some people don''t want an endless war. Perhaps some people want to their retain their rights to privacy to choose.
Perhaps some people do not believe that the fundamentals of the economy are strong.
Perhaps some people know the definition of fundamental.
Perhaps some people have waited long enough for trickle down economics, but have yet to receive a droplet.
Perhaps when all those things are taken into consideration . . . even if they don''t like blacks for whatever reason . . . they can look beyond the skin and see their needs have a greater chance of being fulfilled under THIS black man.
Just as I will not vote for any Republican for President. Especially after the past 8 years.
Funny that Sarah was talking about "noo-kyoo-lur" weapons recently. Evidence that Republicanism is a genetic disorder...?
THEN THE NEXT DAY:
"Well... I... err... ummm, what I meant was the fundamentals of the economy are the working men and women, and anyone who disagrees with me is against the American worker."
The question is:
ARE YOU STUPID ENOUGH TO VOTE FOR McCAIN/PALIN???
G.W. Bush''''s real TAX CUTS removed the bottom 45% of American income earners from the Federal Income Tax rolls completely. John McCHANGE promises to continue G.W. Bush''''s real TAX CUTS, Sen. NObama promises to let these TAX CUTS expire and raise taxes on many of the bottom 45% of American income earners.
NOW this is a real fact JACK!!!
Posted by NObama_SUX
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Do you have any links that mention those cuts?
What are their concerns? The issues for USA are poor economy, broken infrastructure, exported professional jobs, lack of medical insurance for many Americans, homelessness, and over burdened borrowing from other nations. Who best understands these issues? Obama.
This is just part of the total answer. The major part is whether many older blue-colored workers, older under-educated women, and fundamentalists Christians can accept a highly qualified part black American as their president.
Since 1950, we Americans have come a long way, but we still have a long way to go to free ourselves from the yoke of our prejudices. If Senator McCain wins this election, it would be greatly the result of our prejudice. If then, we should stop calling ourselves the leader of the free world, when we still have subjugated a major part of our society?
The very fact that Wall Street''s political contributors have financially supported Obama''s campaign two-to-one over McCain reflects the heart of our economic crisis.
Why should we trust the judgment of those whose "innovative thinking" got us into this mess, with their insistence that ours is a new economic world in which old cautions don''t apply?
I have no confidence in the judgment of those whose chicanery, rapacity, and lack of common sense created our crisis. Those they favor will get no vote of mine.
Before the primaries when Hillary was the hands down favorite to become President, The Obama people figured that if the could destroy her as a candidate and win the nomination, he would then be a shoe-in to win the election. What they didn''t take into consideration was that in the process he gained the reputation of being an elitist. With statements like "The uneducated white people" and that they "cling to their guns and religion" he made a bad first impression that is still engraved in peoples minds.
They also didn''t figure on McCain being the formidable opponent that he is.
If that is not an utterly transparent way to say "Subtract/Take the vote away from African-Americans", then CBS and I are both wrong and there IS no prejudice in America.
Because that wouldn''t be true. However, if McCain wins, my opinion is that it''ll be in no small measure because a substantial fraction of the white (and asian and latino) population won''t vote for a black man.... period.
Do you think Hillary herself is voting for McCain? And, if you trusted her integrity in these matters, why diss her now??
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