Aug. 18, 2008

Clinton Is VP Favorite Among Delegates

CBS Poll: 28 Percent Of Delegates To Democratic Convention Want N.Y. Senator In Number Two Slot

  • Sens. Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton campaign in Unity, New Hampshire, on June 27, 2008.

    Sens. Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton campaign in Unity, New Hampshire, on June 27, 2008.  (CBS)

(CBS)  Senator Hillary Clinton is by far the favorite choice for the number two spot on the Democratic ticket, according to a CBS News/New York Times poll of delegates to the Democratic convention. When asked who they would like Barack Obama to select, 28 percent volunteer her as their top choice for Vice Presidential nominee.

Six percent volunteer Delaware Senator Joe Biden, and four percent mention two other unsuccessful Democratic candidates: New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson and former North Carolina Senator John Edwards. [Most of the interviews for this poll were conducted before Edwards admitted to having an extramarital affair.] Another 4 percent volunteer Indiana Senator Evan Bayh.

Read The Complete CBS News/New York Times Poll Of Democratic Delegates
Other people mentioned by at least 2 percent of delegates as possible Obama running mates include retired General Wesley Clark, Virginia Governor Tim Kaine, Virginia Senator Jim Webb, and Kansas Governor Kathleen Sebelius.

Support for Clinton as the first choice for the vice-presidential nomination is not universal. It is mostly found among delegates who were pledged to her when selected. Sixty-one percent of delegates pledged to Clinton name her as their choice for vice presidential candidate.

Obama’s pledged delegates are less enthusiastic about the choice of Clinton as the vice presidential nominee. Eight percent of them choose Richardson, seven percent choose Biden, and another six percent choose John Edwards. Just percent name Clinton, and as just as many suggested Sebelius, Webb or Clark.

CBS News and The New York Times interviewed a random sample of 972 delegates to the convention, including both pledged delegates (who were committed to support a candidate when they were selected to attend the convention), and superdelegates, the party leaders and elected officials who can support any candidate they choose at any time.

Most delegates (61 percent) think Clinton’s selection would help Obama’s chances of winning the general election in November. Nearly all of those originally pledged to Clinton say this. Far fewer of Obama’s pledged delegates see the benefit from naming her. Thirty-five percent of Obama’s pledged delegates think having Clinton’s name on the ticket would help Obama win in November, 23 percent of them say choosing her would hurt.

Nearly half the superdelegates interviewed did not offer a VP pick. Clinton led among those who did - 20 percent named her. But 10 percent selected Biden, four percent named Edwards, five percent chose Bayh and three percent volunteered Richardson.

By more than five to one, superdelegates think putting Clinton on the ticket would help Obama win the election: 56 percent say she would help, 11 percent say she would hurt Obama’s chances. The rest are undecided or don’t think her candidacy would affect his chances of victory in November.

There is little difference between men and women delegates when it comes to a vice presidential choice: 27 percent of men and 30 percent of women volunteer Clinton’s name. There is also little difference by age.

In addition, about six in 10 women and a similar percentage of men say that Clinton’s name on the ticket would help Obama in the fall.

The CBS News/New York Times Delegate Poll was conducted July 16-August 17, 2008 with a random sample of 972 Democratic delegates. The error due to sampling could be plus or minus three percentage points for results based on the entire sample. Interviews were conducted via phone; if a delegate preferred, he or she could complete the survey online. Online interviewing was conducted by CfMC, a San Francisco-based research software company.


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by dudeky August 21, 2008 4:21 PM EDT
WATCH OUT GIRL YOU ARE SECOND TO NONE
ESPECIALLY OBAMA STAY OUT OF THERE
YOU ARE HEADED FOR GREATNESS SO LET
HIM BE YOU ARE NUMBER ONE DO NOT
SETTLE FOR 2ND
Reply to this comment
by blkpresident August 20, 2008 3:40 PM EDT
patsy-owens,

Please be careful not to suggest that lil'' woman could have been a serious contender for the presidency if not for her husband. I don''t care if she was married to someone honest like Walter Cronkite, because if wouldn''t matter anyway, because terrorist don''t lob softballs or play powder-puff football, so lil'' missy is out anyway. It''s really that simple. Got apron?
Reply to this comment
by blkpresident August 20, 2008 2:46 PM EDT
lil'' missy Clinton couldn''t carry Mr. Obama''s briefcase, much less handle the rigors of the presidency.
Reply to this comment
by bec67 August 20, 2008 11:47 AM EDT
Plain and simple, without Hillary Obama can not win. Like millions of Hillary supporters, I will just move over to McCain.
Reply to this comment
by GHookway August 20, 2008 11:44 AM EDT
The main reason that Obama is where he is, is because the DNC decided so back in ''04. With no Hillary, I''m voting McCain "08 !!!
Reply to this comment
by omega39-2009 August 20, 2008 11:11 AM EDT
Nice try, but SS was hardly in Jeopardy in 1983, lol

Posted by WellHell3

Uhm, yes it was. The same old whine about running out of money. That was when they raised the retirement age among other things.
Reply to this comment
by juwboy August 20, 2008 8:28 AM EDT
Don`t forget that the DELEGATES at the Democratic convention are going to choose Barack Obama`s running mate in the same way that they are going to choose Barack Obama as the candidate for President i.e. by a roll-call vote or by acclamation.

Yes, the Presidential candidate`s choice for running mate is usually confirmed automatically by the convention delegates, but this isn`t always the case.

On the Republican side, there was considerable angry opposition to, and acrimonious debate over, Richard Nixon`s choice of Spiro Agnew and George H. W. Bush`s choice of Dan Quayle before the majority of delegates were persuaded to toe the party line.

So, even if Barack Obama doesn`t choose Hillary Clinton as his VP, another delegate could nominate her instead.

If a majority of the delegates then vote for Hillary Clinton, she will be Barack Obama`s running mate, regardless of whether he wants it or not.
Reply to this comment
by floras-2009 August 20, 2008 6:40 AM EDT
I hope she doesn''t accept!

According to the WP/ABC poll for July, among the general public, putting Hillary''s name as VP would repel as many people as it would attract (23/22%).

She should stay in the Senate as she wants to, in her very successful career there -- instead of giving up her Senate seat to spend 4 or 8 years propping up and doing WORM for the man who abused and injured her. That''s not a good role model.
Reply to this comment
by realtime09 August 20, 2008 2:39 AM EDT
From this article:
"(CBS) Senator Hillary Clinton is by far the favorite choice for the number two spot on the Democratic ticket, according to a CBS News/New York Times poll of delegates to the Democratic convention. "
Reply to this comment
by realtime09 August 20, 2008 2:38 AM EDT
No Hillary--and Obama will probably lose.
Reply to this comment
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