July 30, 2008
McCain Camp Sees Energy As Winning Issue
CBSNews.com Reports: Under Fire For Being Too Reactive In Battle With Obama, McCain Goes On Offensive On Gas Prices
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Republican presidential candidate Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., accompanied by his wife Cindy, speaks to reporters during a tour of the Red Ribbon Ranch Oil Lease, San Joaquin Facilities Management Inc., Monday, July 28, 2008 in Bakersfield, Calif. (AP)
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If you're looking for someone to blame for high gas prices, John McCain's campaign is happy to help.
In a television ad released by the campaign last week, "Pump," an announcer criticizes Barack Obama for "saying no" to offshore drilling and "independence from foreign oil."
"Who can you thank for rising prices at the pump?," she asks - after which a photo of Obama appears onscreen.
The spot has been derided by USA Today as "baloney" for laying the blame for high gas prices solely at Obama's feet, and Obama responded with an ad of his own in which an exasperated-sounding announcer suggests McCain blaming Obama for gas prices represents "the same old politics."
The McCain campaign has increasingly focused on gas prices and energy in recent days: In addition to two ads discussing the topic (here's the second one, released Wednesday), there have been conference calls to stress the short-term impact of McCain's proposals and a Monday photo op at a Bakersfield, California oil rig. There McCain sang the praises of expanded offshore drilling, which Obama opposes, and once again knocked Obama as "the Dr. No of America's energy future."
Republicans believe that the McCain campaign, which has been criticized for being overly reactive in its battle with Obama, has finally found an issue on which it can successfully go on the offensive.
"This is the first time the Republicans have felt upbeat and optimistic about a major issue in a long time," said Republican strategist Scott Reed. "McCain has framed the issue well, with solutions and a sharp contrast to Obama, and in Congress, Republicans seem to be rallying around this issue. They feel Democrats have boxed themselves in a corner."
"I think it's one of the best issues they have," said GOP strategist Ed Rollins, who ran Mike Huckabee's campaign. "So much in the McCain campaign has been small and sort of nitpicky, and this is a substantive issue that shows that he has strength and some vision, which I think is very, very important."
In a move seemingly designed to help put the issue in the spotlight, President George W. Bush recently lifted the presidential moratorium on offshore drilling - a largely symbolic move since Congress has its own ban. At a press conference Wednesday morning, Mr. Bush pressed the legislative body to allow for drilling to help ease high gas prices.
The American people appear to be moving in McCain's direction on the issue: A Pew survey released at the beginning of this month found that support for energy exploration is at its highest point of the decade. The survey also found that while just 22 percent of liberals said expanded exploration was their top energy priority (ahead of conservation) in February, that figure had jumped to 45 percent by June.
Earlier this month, Democratic strategist James Carville and pollster Stan Greenberg released findings that six-in-ten voters favor McCain's offshore drilling proposal. They suggested Obama and the Democrats "have not yet advanced a compelling narrative" on energy and gas prices.
In addition, support for building new nuclear power plants, another proposal supported by McCain, is at its highest point in more than 30 years - 57 percent of respondents in a recent CBS News/New York Times poll (PDF) indicated they supported building new plants.
Obama's energy plan "would force the oil companies to drill in the areas they’ve already leased, provide every American family with an immediate energy rebate and a middle-class tax cut worth $1,000, and invest $150 billion in renewable sources of energy that will create 5 million jobs and replace the oil we import from the Middle East by 2025," according to Obama campaign spokesman Hari Sevugan. Obama's new ad speaks of the candidate's plan to "crack down on oil speculators, raise mileage standards and fast track alternative fuels."
In a broad sense, according to Bruce Bullock, the director of the Maguire Energy Institute at Southern Methodist University, "the mechanisms that Obama offers are more government oriented, whereas the mechanisms that McCain is talking about tend to be more incentive based towards the market."
The rival campaigns have been squabbling about which candidate offers short-term relief for Americans struggling with high gas prices. Though the McCain campaign acknowledges that offshore drilling won't result in an increase in the oil supply for a number of years, McCain economic advisor Martin Feldstein argued this week that "policies that affect long term-supply, like the McCain strategies for increasing exploration and production...have an immediate impact on today's prices."
The Obama team, meanwhile, dismisses McCain plans as doing nothing "to alleviate the crisis of the moment," in the words of Democratic Senator Bill Bradley, who characterize McCain's proposals as "pandering." In an earlier ad, the Obama campaign tied McCain's energy policy to that of President Bush and suggested McCain is "part of the problem."
Economist Gary Burtless of the Brookings Institution said the McCain camp's argument that McCain's long-term proposals could have a short-term impact on prices is legitimate, though he said his "suspicion is that the impact would be very, very small."
Asked if there were any significant short-term solutions being offered by either candidate when it comes to high gas prices, Burtless said, "If you define a short-term solution as returning the U.S. to the price we were at five years ago, or even one year ago, I don't think there is anything practical on the horizon."
SMU's Bullock said that while both candidates' proposals "have some merit" - he points to Obama's emphasis on investments in alternative energy and McCain's push to increase supply - they are both offering "gimmicks" as well. (Among them, he says, are Obama's proposal for a windfall profits tax on oil companies and McCain's proposed gas tax holiday.)
"I don't think we can produce our way out of this, and I don't think we can conserve our way out of this," Bullock said.
In the latest CBS News/New York Times poll, voters indicated that they are largely on the same page as the economists, with the majority suggesting that neither candidate's policies will reduce gas prices anytime soon - though Obama had a slight edge over McCain among those who believed the candidates could do so.
Nonetheless, Republicans believe they are winning the perception battle on energy, and both President Bush and Congressional Republicans have begun spotlighting the issue. McCain senior advisor and spokesman Taylor Griffin promised that McCain will continue to press the issue, arguing that Obama "refuses to embrace real solutions."
"It's important for McCain to show his action plan for domestic issues," Reed said. "The rap on McCain is he didn't have much on the economy, but the truth is for the last two months he's pretty much owned the energy issue. He has found a political niche, and he's filled it."
By Brian Montopoli
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Michelle Obama tells how her role as the First Lady has changed her perspective.
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See all 1375 CommentsRemember, the speculative market works much faster as is EVIDENT by the fact that oil prices dropped on the market after Bush lifted the ban.
By the way, 2030 is much faster than obamas plan...unless we "increase tire pressure" as he wants us to do....what a liberal clown. While china and india are SMART and drilling for oil, the only people on the face of the planet who want to STOP drilling are those liberals, stuck in their 1950''s mentality towards technology.
After bush lifted the ban, the price on a barrell of oil dropped 11 dollars a gallon over 3 days.
imagine what happens if the democrats actually do whats good for america and lift the ban.
posted by jefflocke56 at 09:38 AM : Jul 31, 2008
******************************************************** Why do you believe that. According to a number of Republican Senators McCain isn''t the same man that he was in 2000. So I don''t think his history is a good indicator.
From what I have seen the man is prone to temper tantrums when he doesn''t get his way or when he thinks he ins''t getting enough attention.
Frankly I think his oversized ego and his mental instability would make for a very dangerous person in charge.
And the oil companys won''t build new refinaries unless they get more of the taxpayers money in the form of subsidies to do it (You see Republicans only believe in welfare, when it benefits them personally).
The Oil Companys together are making about 10,000 dollars a second, so you can''t expect them to make investments for refineries out of their own profits. Not when Republicans are willing to rape the middle class and continue robbing American for them.
We need a multifaceted plan that uses domestic oil and gas, develops state of the art nuclear technology, wind and solar generation, incentives to homeowners to invest in private systems and hopefully US automakers getting the right product to market.
Why is this so hard? The answer is the political climate, the ideological divide in Washington. I believe John McCain has the best chance of promoting compromise. He has a career history of working the middle ground. Common sense tells me a government lead by Obama and Pelosi will not be reaching out very far.
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Exxon Mobil once again reported the largest quarterly profit in U.S. history Thursday, posting net income of $11.68 billion on revenue of $138 billion in the second quarter.
%u2026
The big international oil companies have been criticized for plowing much of their profits back into stock buybacks and other programs to benefit shareholders, as opposed to exploring for more oil which could bring down the price of crude for everyone.
Critics charge the oil companies with deliberately restricting production in an attempt to keep prices high. %u2026
%u2026.Presumptive Democratic nominee Barack Obama wants to tax oil companies at a special rate every time crude goes over $80 a barrel.
Most plans would either use this newfound tax money to fund investments in renewable energy, or give it to low income Americans struggling with high energy prices.
But so far those efforts have been blocked - mainly by Republicans - %u2026
Ref: Exxon posts new profit record
World''s largest publicly traded oil firm makes $11.68 billion in the quarter, but misses forecasts. 7/31/08
http://money.cnn.com/2008/07/31/news/companies/exxon_profits/index.htm?cnn=yes
Industry Gushed Money After McCain''''s FLIP FLOP on Drilling.
Campaign contributions from oil industry executives to John McCain rose dramatically in the last half of June, after the senator from Arizona made a high-profile split with environmentalists and REVERSED his opposition to the federal ban on offshore drilling.
Oil and gas industry executives and employees donated $1.1 million to McCain last month -- three-quarters of which came after his June 16 speech calling for an end to the ban
McCain delivered the speech before heading to Texas for a series of fundraisers with energy industry executives, and the day after the speech he raised $1.3 million at a private luncheon and reception at the San Antonio Country Club, according to local news accounts.
"The timing was significant," said David Donnelly, the national campaigns director of the Public Campaign Action Fund, a nonpartisan campaign finance reform group that conducted the analysis of McCain''''s oil industry contributions.
"This is a case study of HOW A CANDIDATE CAN CHANGE A POLICY POSITION IN THE INTEREST OF RAISING MONEY.
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Thank God you''re gone. No more spam.
ExxonMobil sure does, sets new profit record!
ExxonMobil loves McCain!
ExxonMobil profit, $11.7B, sets U.S. record!!!!!
How about a Windfall Profits Tax McCain?
A Windfall Profits Tax could be used to fix and repair America`s bridges!
Try again Grandpa? I know, why don''t you propose we invade Czechoslovakia to fight Communism!
Thank you for giving America an optimistic chance. The so called American dream with genuine reach for the stars gumption is auspiciously still alive.
Our nation is great, but faces many challenges.
My candid enthusiasm to lead enabled by your heartfelt hopes and reticent prayers for better government have now joined forces to meet these challenges with a bona fide different approach.
Since you conclusively decided to support me during the recent election campaign, I am very pleased to accept your nomination for President of the United States.
Thank you for this altruistic opportunity to turn words into deeds. Repeatedly citizens have made me aware of their understandable hankering for reform.
Change is what you want; change is what I will deliver.
Country wide trepidations about detached uncaring national government have been understood, loud and clear. Time now for action.
I am eager to bring tangible momentum to Washington and make a positive contribution to our country by working with everyone for a less narcissistic government.
Our nation is yearning for more honorable politics, not yesteryear repeats or continuations of worn out taxation without representation themes.
As promised, my mantra is one of hope and change. Down to business actions deliverable on demand.
I look forward to starting in January 2009.
Again, thank you.
mainedoggie - That%u2019s because the democoms voted offshore drilling down for the last eight years, Now in Nov when they are gone the republicans can get it voted in to help our gas crunch.
Posted by banders6 at 08:27 AM : Jul 31, 2008
Reality check:
If we opened restricted areas to drilling today we would not see any significant increase in domestic production for at least 5 to 10 years. By that time demand would more than swallow it up. This will not reduce the price one red cent.
I''m sorry that you are a moron.
lol!
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Yawn. Boring. McLiverspot can''t find a single issue on which he has a clue so his 5 desperate supporters resort to childishness. Very 1950''s of you....
OBAMA has created a New Energy Policy!
1. Anyone with Under Inflated Tires will be fined 200.00
2. If your car has not had a tuneup in the last year you could face up to 2 years in prison.
3. To Save Gas, there can only be 3 occupants per car, and each occupant must weigh 200 lbs or less. Fat people will have to take the Fat Bus Express.
As you can see Obama energy policies on visionary and the change Obama has been promising. Only a Marxist could get us out of the oil crisis.
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