July 23, 2008

The Prospect Of A Nuclear Iran

Close-Up On Iran's Relationship With Its Neighbors - And What That Means For The Mideast's Future

  • Photo

     (CBS/ AP)

  • Fast Facts Iran

    Learn about the people, economy and history.

  • Timeline The U.S. And Iran

    Key events in once friendly, now contentious relationship between Washington and Tehran.

(CBS)  During his visit to Israel today, Sen. Barack Obama defended his proposal to negotiate with Iran. He told reporters he plans to use "big sticks and big carrots" to convince the Iranians not to develop nuclear weapons. Before leaving the Middle East, CBS News anchor Katie Couric took a close look at the prospect of a nuclear Iran and filed this report.



It was the shot heard throughout the Middle East - Iran flexing its military muscle with a series of missile tests signaling to its neighbors and the West that it's not backing down in its quest to become a nuclear nation, Couric reports.

Experts warn Iran may be as close as a year away from having enough enriched uranium to produce a nuclear weapon. A constant target of Iran's aggressive rhetoric and threats, Israel knows time is running out.

Ephraim Halevy was the head of MOSSAD, Israel's intelligence agency.

"Is Israel willing to strike militarily if these diplomatic efforts fail?" Couric asked Halevy.

"I think it's important that the Iranians believe this is a possibility," he said. "I think it's extremely important that the credibility of Israel's capabilities should be on the table for Iranians to feel and see. If Israel's back is to the wall... Israel is not going to sit back and just receive whatever it is the Iranians are going to attack with, concerning Israel."

For Israel, keeping weapons from its neighbors is nothing new. In 1981 Israeli forces targeted and successfully bombed Saddam Hussein's nuclear reactor Osirak. And in September of 2007, they launched a pre-emptive strike on a suspected nuclear facility in northern Syria.

But Iran has learned from its neighbors' mistakes. Experts say they've developed underground enrichment facilities that are spread out and well hidden - raising questions about the possible success of a conventional strike.

The fear of Iran's increased nuclear capabilities has prompted the United States to radically switch gears and, for the first time in 30 years, actually sit at the same table with European and Iranian representatives.

Some view this as a major concession to what many consider a rogue government; others see it as the only way forward.

"So you approve of this switch from isolating Iran to engaging the country?" Couric asked Halevy.

"I believe one has to open up a channel of dialogue with Iran for one of two reasons: Either in order to exhaust the possibility of a diplomatic solution or because I believe that this is an essential prerequisite before going to war," he said.

For the people of Israel, hostile neighbors come with the territory. It has become part of the national psyche - one that understands the need to be pre-emptive.

Two years ago northern Israel became a major target in the Lebanon War, where for one month, Hezbollah rockets rained down on the port city of Haifa.

"It was the first time in our history that this city was under attack," said Haifa mayor Yona Yahav. "A hundred rockets hit the residential area. I was ... so shocked that here, if this is going to continue this way, the whole city is going to be killed."

Mira Carasenti, a resident of Haifa, will never forget that morning.

"The rocket came through from there," Carasenti said, pointing. "From the third floor straight to our floor, to our house."

Yet the Carasentis were fortunate because their enemy only had a crude Katyusha rocket. What they fear now is an enemy that may be only months away from having the most dangerous weapon of all.

"With all the reality here - in Haifa and Israel - I think what will happen; we are here; we are very strong nation," Carasenti said.

© MMVIII, CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Video and Galleries from CBS Evening News

Add a Comment See all 39 Comments
by libsluv2spit July 23, 2008 7:13 PM PDT
would you allow people who thinks ''suicide bombers'' is a noble profession..access to a nuclear device?

one thing is for sure..they dont need a delivery system..they have millions of poison souls that would ''walk it to manhattan"
Reply to this comment
by beehive21-2009 July 23, 2008 7:21 PM PDT
President Bush ,can save his legacy , by nuking IRAN , Carter should have,but, what does a peanut farmer know ?
Reply to this comment
by noloyalisti July 23, 2008 7:25 PM PDT
Be afraid righties, be very afraid. Like your war-monger boy McSame.

What we don''t need is religious fanatics with nukular weapons running around threatening other countries. I meant the United States of Amerikkka.
Reply to this comment
by marshall65 July 23, 2008 8:10 PM PDT
Only a neanderthal advocates ''nuking'' another country. We should be more worried about Pakistan and India but we turn a blind eye.
Don''t forget Russia and China are quietly watching all of this play out and don''t be certain they wouldn''t step in on Iran''s side. Then we''d really have a fight on our hands.
Reply to this comment
by demwatcher July 23, 2008 8:34 PM PDT
"Be afraid righties, be very afraid. Like your war-monger boy McSame.

What we don''''t need is religious fanatics with nukular weapons running around threatening other countries. I meant the United States of Amerikkka.

Posted by noloyalisti at 07:25 PM : Jul 23, 2008"

Be afraid, lefties, be very afraid. The life you enjoy and America you know will be gone with the lame policies and inexperience of Obumbadumba.

We don''t need a chickenhawk that threatens to be tough AND is willing to try to buy off a rogue nuclear state. He will crumple and go the easy route. Then, we lose the money, Iran will USE that money develop their nuclear capability, and Israel will be destroyed.

Oh, and be prepared to learn SPANISH!
Reply to this comment
by cdfoxtrot1 July 23, 2008 10:33 PM PDT
"The fear of Iran''s increased nuclear capabilities has prompted the United States to radically switch gears and, for the first time in 30 years, actually sit at the same table with European and Iranian representatives.

Some view this as a major concession to what many consider a rogue government; others see it as the only way forward."

I think the Iranians are willing to sit with rogue governments, even the US. Particularly once the moron-in-chief (Mr. Axis-of-Evil, himself) is gone.


Reply to this comment
by clestes-2009 July 23, 2008 10:54 PM PDT
This is a bunch of fear mongering by the definately right wing CBSNews.

7 months ago 16 intelligence agencies said Iran had halted its nuclear weapons program and had not re-started it. You can''t put together a nuclear bomb in the kitchen sink you know.

Another article to build up the fear so Iran can be bombed. Iran is NOT making a nuclear weapon, they have undergone inspections, answered questions. More so than any other country who signed the non-poliferation pact!!

This is a bunch of horsesh*t!!
Reply to this comment
by clestes-2009 July 23, 2008 10:58 PM PDT
DemWatcher,

Get a grip. The biggest thing we have to fear is the possible bombing of a country that does NOT have a nuclear weapon. We did that once in this administration. Look at the disaster that caused.

Do ya really think we need to pay $7.00 at the pump for those non-existent WMD??
Reply to this comment
by sistatee-2009 July 23, 2008 11:00 PM PDT
It''s only a matter of time. Everybody knows it. Before Iran gets a nuke, Israel will have to take steps. Ain''t no other way. The whole thing will be over in a few minutes unless other countries start pushing buttons.
Reply to this comment
by noaanhc July 23, 2008 11:10 PM PDT
Personally I would love to see Iran be turned into a radiating smoking hole in the Earth.

As the old saying goes,get them before they get us.
Reply to this comment
by endofbones July 23, 2008 11:22 PM PDT
This article is blatant propaganda. The corporate media and the Bush Administration are using lies about iran to decieve and contort pulbic perception just like they did when getting us into Iraq.
Here are the facts:

The media and Bush Administration have lied and continued to lie about "iran wanting to destroy Israel. This is 100% false. What Ahmenajad said in real honest translation was that "Israel should not exist" (that is your snippet not that "Israel should be destroyed") Futhermore this comment was taken totally out of context, the real comment from Ahmenajad was that "israel should not exist in its current form today, where it occupies illegal territories from the 1967 war and has setup a 1.2 million person prison in the gaza strip."

The fact is he is right, Israel has been engaging in a relatively silent holocaust against the palenstinian, and lebanese peoples. Hamas is the result what happens when you have a totalitarian government subverting your people. like legendary professor Noam Chomsky says "the only way to stop terrorism is to stop sponsoring it" Israel and the US and Turkey have been sponsoring terrorism for decades in the middle east, southeast asia, and latin america.

Reply to this comment
by endofbones July 23, 2008 11:26 PM PDT
More Facts:

Iran is the only country in the middle east that was formed from a grassroots democratic revolution, yet our government has repeatedly tried to overthrow them (like when regean gave iraq biologial and chemical weapons and told saddamn to attack Iran in the 7 year war)

Secondly Iran has not attacked anyone in over 250 years.

Third they have repeatedly tried to talk to Bush but he has refused every time

The UAEA inspector has been allowed to inspect and install cameras in all of their governmental facilities and has repeatedly said that "there is no indication Iran is trying to develop a weapon"

Iran is has signed the nuclear non-proliferation treaty (israel has not)

The media and zionists are trying to once again spread propaganda in an attempt to pull the US into another illegal war!!

The only problem with the Iranian democracy is they overthrew a puppet dictator that we installed
People in our country need to stop being brainwashed, and start getting the facts otherwise these corrupt politicans on both sides of the fence will continue to exploit our country!
Reply to this comment
by hrown July 23, 2008 11:35 PM PDT
Even if Iran is months away from producing enough fule for a bomb, it will take months if not years of testing to be able to create a functional bomb. And them more months to put one together that can be placed on a missile-load.

But the second a bomb is tested (underground), the whole world will know.

At that point it will be both legitamate and safe to attack them. It will be legitimate because at that point they have actually violated something, while right now they haven''t. And it will be safe because there is no way they can go from an underground test to a missile-load in immediately.

But talking about attacking them now is just rediculas. People will die for no reason. It will be worse than Iraq.
Reply to this comment
by closethippy1 July 24, 2008 12:01 AM PDT
Israel is the only country in the Middle East to have nuclear weapons and they couldn''t care less about becoming part of the international organization that makes sure you''re not using your nuclear technology know-how to build nuclear weapons.
That''s the IAEA.
Iran is part of it. They''re a member of the IAEA, meaning they allow that agency to visit their nuclear facilities to make sure they''re not making nuclear bombs.
Israel is not part of it because they keep arguing they cannot trust anyone as if we still were living in the 1930''s.
Iran did keep its nuclear program secret and did not want to be part of the IAEA but all that happened during its 8 year war with Iraq when they were trying to bluff each other about their offensive capabilities.
Iran is therefore very upset they''re being accused by the very country that has nuclear weapons and has reacted with strong words. Israel then uses this show of anger as more evidence of Iran''s bad intentions.
Israel needs to cool it off and become a signatory to the IAEA.
Reply to this comment
by rwkincaide July 24, 2008 12:10 AM PDT
"For the people of Israel, hostile neighbors come with the territory."
___________________

Let''s rephrase that: "For the people of Israel, hostile neighbors come with the territory Israel steals and tries to ethnically cleanse."

This article is typical Israel-first, America last agit-prop.
Reply to this comment
by micma-2009 July 24, 2008 1:13 AM PDT


If Iran is developing a nuclear weapon, we''re too bogged down in Iraq to do anything about it. Tuff ****** neocons.



lol!



Reply to this comment
by randynason July 24, 2008 1:20 AM PDT
But, Condie Rice-a-rona said "no" to Iranian nukes and we gotta listen to her ''cause she''s the Secretary, she''s credible and morally sound and... ahhh... a fascist, neo-conservative war criminal with nukes of her own but that''s OK ''cause she''s got "God on her side." WHEW!
Reply to this comment
by kretos_d July 24, 2008 1:56 AM PDT
i am sick of this hypocrisy !
Reply to this comment
by kretos_d July 24, 2008 1:57 AM PDT
If the US invades Iran we should all march to the white house and congress and drag their ***** out and shoot them. This *** has to end now! This is not only about oil and the fall of the US economy, it is about world domination. I believe Hitler tried this once. The military industrial complex has taken over our country, our world, even space. I beg Europe, stay out so we learn this lesson. I served 2 *** years in Iraq for all lies!
Reply to this comment
by wurgle1 July 24, 2008 3:18 AM PDT
endofbones... actually the translation of what Ahmenajad said was more like "the Zionist regime shall fall from the pages of history".
But he didn''t use the words for Israel, Wipe, Off or Map, that''s for sure. But this lie has been repeated so often that it''s now taken on a life of it''s own.
Reply to this comment
by wurgle1 July 24, 2008 3:22 AM PDT
..and hey, CBS, really sorry to go on about this and all, but still no comments on the fact that you CUT OUT ONE ANSWER and SUBSTITUTED ANOTHER ANSWER that erased a major foreign policy error from someone running for the most powerful job in the world... on his foreign policy experience?

No comments at all? Y''all cool with that? Nobody at CBS has any problem with that?
Time to resign, Katie. I hear there''s a job going at Pravda.
Reply to this comment
by juwboy July 24, 2008 5:34 AM PDT
closethippy1 said:

"Israel is the only country in the Middle East to have nuclear weapons".

Israel has never tested nuclear weapons so how do you know they have them? How does ANYONE know they have them?

Even if Israel has built nuclear devices, the Israelis THEMSELVES cannot know if they have nuclear bombs until they`ve tested at least one of them.

Pakistan didn`t know if it had nuclear weapons without testing them and the first device they tested was a dud.
Reply to this comment
by closethippy1 July 24, 2008 7:01 AM PDT
The single issue that must be addressed is not whether Israel has nukes. It is whether or not they have ever threatened to wipe a neighboring nation from the face of the earth. In that respect, the quality of any threat can be measured through potential. Even a nuclear Iran is not nearly the problem of an Iran that has set the destruction of Israel as a prime, national objective.
Taken in this context, and presenting only a small degree of empathy to the question, Israel cannot be expected to sit by on its thumbs while Iran proceeds along those stated lines to that stated goal.
Posted by sincityq at 06:28 AM : Jul 24, 2008

But that''s exactly the point: Israel already wiped out historical Palestine out of the map and are now wanting to build another Jewish settlement in the West Bank despite past agreements to not do so.
Over 40% of the land that existing Jewish settlements are built on in the West Bank are on Palestinian private property.
This on top of the 10% of the West Bank that has been taken to increase the size of Jerusalem, and then argue that none of it should be divided.
So Palestinians and their supporters are within their rights to express their desire to do to Israel what Israel has actually done with Palestine.
That''s all there''s to it. No need to get melodramatic just because people get pissed at Israel''s atrocities and crimes and excuse Israel''s nuclear arsenal.
Reply to this comment
by kiumars55 July 24, 2008 7:20 AM PDT
Why people in the west only worry about the security of Israel? Why don''t you consider about the insecurity every country in the middle east feels because of Israel''s neuclear weapons?
Why Israel''s nuclear facilities are not open for inspection by UN? Another western hypocrasy.
And it is a lie which keeps repeated by western media that Iran''s president has said we will wipe Israel from the face of the earth which you translate as wanting to attack Israel with nuclear weapons. He meant to say sooner or later there sould be a fair referundom in the occupied land involving only the people who had roots there before the occupation to decide what type of country and government they want. If the election is fair, a country with the name of Israel will no longer be on the world map, like yugoslavia. That''s what he meant.
Reply to this comment
by hologram5 July 24, 2008 9:57 AM PDT
If the US invades Iran we should all march to the white house and congress and drag their ***** out and shoot them. This *** has to end now! This is not only about oil and the fall of the US economy, it is about world domination. I believe Hitler tried this once. The military industrial complex has taken over our country, our world, even space. I beg Europe, stay out so we learn this lesson. I served 2 *** years in Iraq for all lies!



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Posted by kretos_d at 01:57 AM : Jul 24, 2008

---------------------------------------------------
I agree with you 100%. This stupidity MUST stop. We, the people, have the power to stop this before it gets too far and we are all put into concentration camps. This is what they are planning. There are over 500 FEMA internment camps throughout the USA now. If we don''t put a stop to this now it will be too late.
Reply to this comment
by checkthepast July 24, 2008 10:46 AM PDT
only the people who had roots there before the occupation to decide what type of country and government they want.
Posted by kiumars55

Which of course would include the Jews and Zionist whose roots are from Judea and Zion before the 7th century invasion and occupation of these lands by the armies from Medina.....
Reply to this comment
by jgunther7 July 24, 2008 10:52 AM PDT
kretos_d it is nice to see that somebody who has been there and seen the horror of war, can have such a broad understanding of the world situation. We must be like the people of Germany who stood by while thier lead Hitler, marched through Poland and Russia, slaughtering people by the millions. Will be held to account for the war crimes of our leaders?
Reply to this comment
by superdem July 24, 2008 11:52 AM PDT
Let''s see - there are invading American troops to Iran''s east, there are invading American troops to Iran''s west, and there is a massive American naval presence off Iran''s coast. America backed Iraq in the Iran-Iraq war, which killed thousands of Iranians. The American President daily makes threats against Iran and tries to determine what Iran can and cannot do on the international stage. America''s client Israel makes daily threats, and has conducted practice bombing runs. Now - why would Iran want a nuclear weapon ? I can''t imagine, they''re just crazy, I guess.
Reply to this comment
by wardoglrs July 24, 2008 12:06 PM PDT
11 wars America has been in and not ever won 1.
Time for peace. Time to throw out the old and bring in the new.

Dr Paul was right on these issues and America would do will to read his writing''s before the elections before another Neo Con at the helm.
Reply to this comment
by notblue July 24, 2008 12:28 PM PDT
Superdem, "Iran is just crazy I guess" that''s the first thing you have stated that I actually agree with. And a truer statement has never been made.
Reply to this comment
by loncheneyjr July 24, 2008 4:30 PM PDT
Iran should not have nukes...i agree...but then neither should Israel...the problem with Iran is that all they have to do is look across to Iraq to see what can happen to a nation that is defenseless and on the wrong side of Zion. This is the truth...if there were a real authority that could tame both Israel and Iran and bring a true peace to the region based on universal principles then I think Iran would not have any right at all to Nukes...but as long as you hold sway over iran with the threat of violence as your only authority then I really think Iran will have a case for wanting Nukes...i am not advocating this, rather I am adamant about establishing the rule of law in the region so that no one will need nukes.
Reply to this comment
by stmtraveler July 24, 2008 4:35 PM PDT
The starting point for defusing the nuclear cycle issue with Iran is simply a pledge of security for Iran. If the world cannot protect Iran, then can we force Iran not to protect herself?

Benny Morris Israeli historian said: Killing of Millions of Iranians by Israeli Nuke is justified. Should we set example and require Israel to eliminate her nuclear bombs?

President Truman said: "Starting an atomic war is totally unthinkable for rational men." [Truman, public Papers].

Reply to this comment
by factsearcher July 24, 2008 5:52 PM PDT
In more recent news:
"Iran ends cooperation with UN nuclear arms probe" reuters

They are building nuclear arms..have no doubt on that.
The question remain: Now that Iran have flatly told UN that they will not cooperate and will continue developing....what''s the UN EU US and Israel to do?
Dont say nothing...this lunatic cannot possess the weapons..and Russia is threatening us...because they are the ones financing together with China.
RUssia is thinking of sending nukes to Cuba in retaliation.... any takers?
Reply to this comment
by rosieod4prez July 24, 2008 6:33 PM PDT
Interesting - big carrots!

So Do any of you liberal types know that we give 300 million to the Palestinians every year, and they still CELEBRATE 9/11.


I say cut all carrots from the Middle East. Let the Muslims take care of their own, unless they decide to become considerably more friendly.


But, Obama - he''ll give away the farm.





Dems would have done better nominating
Reply to this comment
by rosieod4prez July 24, 2008 7:01 PM PDT
If Iran does something stupid with a nuke, it will be the last mistake they make. Frankly, if I were Israel, I would tell Iran that any nuclear event on Israel will cost Islam Mecca as well as Tehran.
Reply to this comment
by wurgle1 July 24, 2008 10:02 PM PDT
Ahmenijad is an antisemitic freak who is about as popular in Iran as he is in the USA. However, he never, ever said "We will wipe Israel off the map", no matter how many times you may have heard it on Fox news. Not once. Never.
This also brings to mind CNN taking "Iran has a right to nuclear energy" and translating it as "Iran has a right to nuclear weapons". They were forced to apologise, but this BS is part of a larger pattern.

Of the three members of the so-called axis of evil, which one got invaded? The one that was the furthest away from ever getting nukes.

When Israel declares their 100+ nukes to the International Atomic Energy Agency (which Iran is a member of) I will take their proclamations seriously.
Reply to this comment
by thepitbull13 July 24, 2008 11:21 PM PDT
The prospect, lol, they are going to make a bamb, no prospecting about it. That like saying OJ Simpson allegedly murdered Nicole.
Reply to this comment
by rosieod4prez July 25, 2008 12:03 AM PDT
"Ahmenijad (sic)...never, ever said "We will wipe Israel off the map", no matter how many times you may have heard it on Fox news. Not once. Never." - wurgle1


Sure - because you said so.

HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA

What''s the matter ? Did the little monkey say something he regrets now, so he has his minions trying to double talk us into believing he never said it.

Then explain this, pig breath...

Washingtonpost.com/ World Leaders Condemn Iranian''s Call to Wipe Israel ''Off the Map''
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/10/27/AR2005102702221.html





Reply to this comment
by samsel3 July 26, 2008 4:02 PM PDT
Russia has multiple nuclear power plant contracts with Iran. These plants are currently under construction.

Reuters uk January 18, 2008 : " Iran has some awesome colleagues. Russia and China have become guardians of the Iranian economy. They don%u2019t put religion between business and political advantages. The US is sorely lacking in intelligent Foreign Policy. Hitler%u2019s Foreign Policy has been resurrected to serve the needs of an oil agenda and turn the US into the most disrespected and despised world power ".
POSTED: Friday, January 18, 2008

Moscow -- Armed forces will be used if necessary, including preventively and with the use of nuclear weapons, for protection of Russia and its allies, the Russian Armed Forces Chief of the General Staff Yuri Baluyevsky said on Saturday.

"We do not intend to attack anybody. But all our partners must realize that for protection of Russia and its allies if necessary armed forces will be used, including preventively, including with the use of nuclear weapons," Baluyevsky was quoted by the Itar-Tass news agency as saying.

Baluyevsky reportedly made the statement at a scientific conference of the Academy of Military Sciences January 19, 2008.
Reply to this comment
See all 39 Comments
  • MOST POPULAR
  • Viewed
  • Commented
Latest News
Featured Blogs