Oil Prices Hit New High Over $141 A Barrel
Dollar's Relentless Freefall Sends Investors Flocking To Oil As A Hedge, Upping Its Value
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An activists shouts slogans at the main office of Petron oil company at the financial district of Makati, south of Manila, Philippines on Friday June 27, 2008. The demonstrators are demanding the government to take action in the continued increase in prices of oil. (AP Photo/Aaron Favila)
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Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange Thursday June 26, 2008. Stocks tumbled Thursday as Wall Street contended with a barrage of bad news: another surge in oil prices and warnings of trouble in the key financial, automotive and high-tech industries. (AP PHOTO)
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Prices were also lifted Thursday after OPEC's president said crude prices could rise well above $150 a barrel this year and Libya said it may cut oil production.
Light, sweet crude for August delivery rose as high as $141.71 a barrel before pulling back to $141.10, up $1.46 in Asian electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange, midafternoon in Singapore. The contract Thursday rose $5.09 to settle at a record $139.64.
The previous trading record for a front-month contract was $139.89, set on June 16.
A new energy report predicts $200-a-barrel oil in as short a time as two years. If that happens, reports CBS News correspondent Priya David, one economist says gas would likely go up to $7 a gallon - and that would have an enormous impact on the way Americans live.
On Thursday, the dollar slipped against key currencies as U.S. data showed sluggish economic growth and pointed to a struggling labor market. Oil is priced in dollars, and some investors buy oil contracts to protect the value of their assets against accelerating inflation when the dollar falls.
"The dollar movements caused the surge in oil pricing and the bullish trend remains intact," said Victor Shum, an energy analyst with Purvin & Gertz in Singapore. "The oil market is subject to further spikes in the coming weeks."
On Friday, the dollar slipped to 106.42 yen from 106.91 yen Thursday; the euro was trading at $1.5738, down from $1.5751.
Crude futures were also driven higher after Chakib Khelil, president of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, said he believes oil prices could rise to between $150 and $170 a barrel this summer. Khelil also said prices will decline later in the year, and aren't likely to reach $200 a barrel.
Khelil joined a long list of forecasters who have made bold oil price predictions this year. Each new forecast - such as Goldman Sachs' recent prediction that prices could rise as high as $200 - causes a jump in prices as speculative buyers are drawn into the market.
The tight market has empowered speculators to invest in oil and the oil market is subject to further spikes.
Victor Shum, Energy analystAddison Armstrong, director of market research at Tradition Energy in Stamford, Connecticut, said in a research note that Shokri Ghanem, the nation's top oil official, has declined to say when a decision would be made on whether to lower production, or give any indication of the size of the cut under consideration.
But analysts expressed skepticism over the comments out of Libya, saying the current level of oil prices provides an incentive for producers not to cut output.
"I doubt that any real effort in cutting output would be forthcoming, considering that pricing continues to hit new records," Shum said. "There's no economic reason to cut output at this time so it's just talk."
Oil prices have more than doubled over the past year on concerns about rising demand in fast-growing economies such as China and India, and supply disruptions in the Middle East and Nigeria.
Analysts have also attributed oil's rapid climb to speculative buying, with traders jumping into the market purely on the expectation that futures will continue to rise.
"Even though we have continued to see weakening demand in the U.S., other markets in the developing world still show growth," Shum said. "The tight market has empowered speculators to invest in oil and the oil market is subject to further spikes in the coming weeks."
In other Nymex trading, heating oil futures rose 0.71 cent to $3.8905 a gallon while gasoline prices lost 0.68 cent to $3.5045 a gallon. Natural gas futures declined 1.7 cents to $13.231 per 1,000 cubic feet.
Brent crude futures rose 17 cents to $140 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange in London.
© MMVIII, CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. The Associated Press contributed to this report.



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See all 224 CommentsThere will come a point where the Chinese, holding almost 2 trillion in dollar denominated debt, will cut their losses and dump it on the market, further driving it down.
Then will come the point where OPEC no longer wants to accept a currency that declines in value, so they will switch the transaction medium to Euros. At that point, with nothing to sustain the dollars value, it will collapse.
Under an Obama presidency, this could happen before his term is out, unless he takes the drastic steps necessary to stop it.
Of course, if McSame gets in, and escalates the current conflict to include Iran, the above scenario will happen in a very short time, perhaps one month after the first bombs fall on Iran.
the Dollar has lost almost 5% Against the peso,
since last night its gone down just a little bit more,
dollar goes down = oil goes up
dollar goes up = well I''ll tell you when that happens.
SHRUB, Chenney go on trial for war crimes, oil goes up.
All they''re doing is what people would do if gas weren''t so volatile - haven''t there been stories of people trying to stock up on gas and store it in their homes like it was sale-priced toilet paper, and then it spontaneously combusted and burnt down their homes?
I agree more with what everybody else has said - that there''s no shortcuts here . . . that the best way to regain control of prices is to just buckle down and stick to basics when it comes to our national spending by paying off debts and focusing on trying to find ways to grow our economy.
PS I get the sense that Jeff Corzine was in the running for VP until he came up with that hokey gimmick of blaming the ''dark market speculators''. That didn''t get any more support than Hillary''s ''gas tax holiday'' . . . I think he blew it.
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Gee that would be a terrible thing to happen if they were behind on the payments. Here they are trying to save money to make their morgage payment.
Posted by faith_in_w
It sounds like you''re being sarcastic, but if you don''t have insurance, you still have to pay off your mortgage even though your house has been destroyed. That''s what happened to all those people after hurricane Katrina hit.
And even if you did have insurance, would it even cover such a circumstance?
I guess this DOUSCHBAG has everybody pushing up the price so it will hit 150 by the 4th.
Its all George W Bushie''s fault and his Douschbag Administrations Fault and its Cheneys and Condies Fault and Iraq''s fault.
Its GODS FAULT THATS WHO TO BLAME. faith_in_w !
At least one surge is working, stay the course we can win it.
The problem is what are we going to win.
neo cons are dumber than dirt.
2 thumba up, youre doing a fiiiiine job Dumbyah.
Well POOP LETS JUST MOVE IT UP A YEAR AND HAVE 200$ A BARREL OIL FOR CHRISTMAS 2009. I think thats a fantastic frackin IDEA. Then these people who are pushing the price of oil up and up will choke on how much money they have made and all these NAZI Future Traders will Die.
DlCK CHENEY and his Secret Energy Taskforce are high-fiving each other...
Mission Accomplished!
THIS IS ALL CLINTONS FAULT!
According to your posts that you have made in the past on CBS.com You have said that God Controls everything so these Gas Prices are Gods fault and he is responsible for the price increase. I am just going by the statements you have made in the past. Oh and by the way Clinton had nothing to do with it!
Democrats voting against lowering gas prices:
Chair: Norman D. ***** (WA)
James P. Moran (VA)
Maurice D. Hinchey (NY)
John W. Olver (MA)
Alan B. Mollohan (WV)
Tom Udall (NM)
Ben Chandler (KY)
Ed Pastor (AZ)
Dave Obey (WI), Ex Officio
Republicans voting for lowering gas prices:
Ranking Member:
Todd Tiahrt (KS)
John E. Peterson (PA)
Jo Ann Emerson (MO)
Virgil H. Goode, Jr. (VA)
Ken Calvert (CA)
Jerry Lewis (CA), Ex Officio
Just Look at Brazil! 100%energy independent. Offshore drilling with ethanol production and Brazil imports ZERO muslim oil!!!!
We can%u2019t let that happen here. Vote Obama 2008 and do your part to keep us dependant on foreign oil!!
Obama Akbar!!
2001 to 2006 - Republicans Controlled Congress; Oil $40 to $60 per barrell
2007 to present - Democrats Controll Congress; Oil $70 to $140 per barrell
This is good news!
Man torches BMW to protest gas prices
http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/europe/06/27/germany.gas.ap/index.html
This is good news!
Man torches BMW to protest gas prices
http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/europe/06/27/germany.gas.ap/index.html
This is good news!
Man torches BMW to protest gas prices
http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/europe/06/27/germany.gas.ap/index.html
This is good news!
Man torches BMW to protest gas prices
http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/europe/06/27/germany.gas.ap/index.html
1992 to 2006 - Republicans Controlled Congress; Oil $25 to $60 per barrell
2007 to present - Democrats Controll Congress; Oil $70 to $140 per barrell
1992 to 2006 - Republicans Controlled Congress; Oil $25 to $60 per barrell
2007 to present - Democrats Controll Congress; Oil $70 to $140 per barrel]
[Posted by von_marko at 11:23 AM : Jun 27, 2008]
simple correlations for simple minds.
i think there''s a correlation to the production and consumption of potato chips during this period as well ... might this have something to do w/ the price of oil?
Seriously, what does it mean? Finding more oil isn''''t going to increase the supply of oil?]
[Posted by ddhinnyc at 11:17 AM : Jun 27, 2008]
what level of increase in supply is going to reduce the price? do you know what this is ... does anyone?
how long will it take for any new drilling to have any impact on the current situation?
is supply (or the lack of it) the only factor contributing to the increase in prices?
Posted by getoffmine at 11:26 AM : Jun 27, 2008
They want to strike up favorable deals while (neocon) public opinion is full knee-jerk anti-logical synchronization with big oil business interests.
The Big Money Grab...
I''ve read some dumb comments on this site, but that one is among the tops!
Excellent information. Had the Democrates not killed any of the prior attempts to drill, ANYWHERE, we wouldn''t be in this bind.
I''m not buying the argument it takes years to get it going. We''ve known about this problem since the 1970''s.
Once again, the Democratic Party is destroying this country.
"I''ve read some dumb comments on this site, but that one is among the tops! - Posted by briannorwood
Look.... We already know everyone is entitled to your opinion, but why don''t you try to follow it up with something stimulating, like a fact or two.
WHY is it so "dumb", other than you can''t think of a good reason for congress to be at fault and you are embarrassed your Democrates have stonewalled every attempt to NOT get us energy dependent ?
Is rush telling you what to think about why they''re only drilling in 20% of the offshore acreage they''re already allowed to drill in?
Saddam was stealling Gold, Rapes, killing etc..do you remember this Kuwaities
Posted by getoffmine at 11:26 AM : Jun 27, 2008
The oil companies are ignoring the vast majority of sites they already have permission to drill in.
Why?
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