WASHINGTON, June 18, 2008

Many CEOs Warn Of Looming Pink Slips

Survey: 31% Of Top Execs Expect To Cut Payroll Amid Strains From Housing, Energy Woes

  •  (CBS/AP)

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(AP)  Nearly one-third of the country's top executives expect to cut payrolls in the coming months, reflecting fallout from the housing bust as well as soaring energy prices.

At the same time, a survey by the Business Roundtable, released Wednesday, showed that most executives expect sales and capital investment to remain at current levels or even improve over the next six months.

That's consistent with expectations from the Federal Reserve and other economists who say they think the fragile economy will strengthen later this year and into next year - even as the nation's unemployment rate, a lagging indicator of business health, rises. As in the past, many employers won't want to ramp up hiring until they are sure the economy is really back on a firm footing.

Businesses are "being very cautious, very cost-controlled oriented," said the group's chairman Harold McGraw III, president and chief executive officer of The McGraw-Hill Companies.

Over the past year, the economy has been bruised by the blows of a trio of crises - housing, credit and financial. Soaring prices for energy, food and other commodities also are adding to the strains. Gas prices have topped $4 a gallon and oil prices closed at $136.68 a barrel Wednesday.

"Clearly we got a more gloomy scenario," McGraw said.

The survey found that 31 percent of chief executives said they expected to reduce employment at their companies in the coming months. That's up from 22 percent who said they expected to cut payrolls in a previous survey released in April. Seventy percent of executives in the new survey said they probably would hold payrolls at current levels or boost them. That's down from 78 percent in the old survey.

Every month so far this year, cautious employers have eliminated jobs. The unemployment rate rose to 5.5 percent in May from 5 percent in April, the biggest one-month rise in two decades.

The results of the overall survey "reflect the broad crosscurrents at work in the U.S. economy," McGraw said. "Our CEOS clearly have tempered their overall expectations against a backdrop of continued housing declines and mounting energy prices. That said, CEOS remain cautiously optimistic about their sales and spending projections."

In the survey, 91 percent said they expected their sales to hold steady or increase over the next six months, the same percentage as the old survey. Nine percent said they expected sales to go down - also the same as the previous reading.

Businesses will try "as best as they possibly can" to boost customers' prices to cover some of the higher costs for fuel and other materials, McGraw predicted.

On capital investment, 85 percent said they would hold such investment steady or increase, the same as the old survey. And, 15 percent said they expected capital investment to decrease, the same as the old reading.

For this year, the executives predicted the economy's growth would be 1.3 percent, down from a previous estimate of a 1.5 percent growth. If the new estimate proves correct, the would be the weakest growth since 2001, when the economy was last in a recession.

The Business Roundtable is an association of CEOS of major corporations, representing a combined work force of more than 10 million employees and $4.5 trillion in annual revenues. The quarterly survey, conducted May 22 through June 9, was based on the responses of 110 of the group's 160 member companies.



© MMVIII The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
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by enriquecaliente June 19, 2008 7:53 PM EDT
This is a joke, and we the people deserve getting in the A$$. We allow the CEOs and all senior executives to give themselves raises and never have to really answer for their stupidity. Look at the packages they get even when they totally ruin the company. The same can be said for our reps in government. All rich all in the pockets of business. The rich elite in this country, need to get rid of the middle class. Because the middle class is a pain in their collective a$$es. They want only the poor, uneducated in this country.
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by payasyougo June 19, 2008 11:51 AM EDT
This is no different than local governments, also short of tax revenue, cutting city services.
Instead of downsizing at the top a city government expands at the top while cutting local library funds, cutting summer pool subsisdies, cutting back on sanitation or street maintenance, etc.

city manager = ceo
Reply to this comment
by j_flood June 19, 2008 9:48 AM EDT
CEOs - not CEOS

Sorry I know it''s pedantic but the editorial standards slip a bit more with each story..........or does anyone actually edit?
Reply to this comment
by Gary Kempf June 19, 2008 9:05 AM EDT
(AP) Nearly one-third of the country''s top executives expect to cut payrolls in the coming months, reflecting fallout from the housing bust as well as soaring energy prices.

And how many of these excutives are directly related to "causing" the fallout from the housing bust and soaring energy prices?
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by shanev137 June 19, 2008 4:09 AM EDT
It''s time for the rich to really screw Americans over now.

See you in the soup lines.
Reply to this comment
by l8c6 June 19, 2008 3:36 AM EDT
Seize what they claim are their homeland assets and exile them off U.S. soil to rogue nations where hungry angry masses will deal with them.
Reply to this comment
by omega39-2009 June 19, 2008 1:04 AM EDT
Nearly one-third of the country''s top executives expect to cut payrolls in the coming months, reflecting fallout from the housing bust as well as soaring energy prices.

But these job cuts are going to be in China and India, right???
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by cyberus-2009 June 19, 2008 12:48 AM EDT
Probably the same CEOs that got the pay increase last year they just reported about.
Reply to this comment
by bm6005 June 18, 2008 11:48 PM EDT
Cut the CEO''s, entirely. Getting rid of their bonehead ideas would add a lot to the profit line. I used to work cost control and I''m here to tell you that I saw 43 years of stupid cost wastes by the upper executive level in every company I ever worked for. And when layoff time comes they get rid of minimum wage types. Frickin'' stupid MBA''s!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Reply to this comment
by mcv57 June 18, 2008 10:47 PM EDT
RBS issues global stock and credit crash alert
By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, International Business Editor
Last Updated: 12:19am BST 19/06/2008


Have your say Read comments

The Royal Bank of Scotland has advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months as inflation paralyses the major central banks.

"A very nasty period is soon to be upon us - be prepared," said Bob Janjuah, the bank''s credit strategist.

A report by the bank''s research team warns that the S&P 500 index of Wall Street equities is likely to fall by more than 300 points to around 1050 by September as "all the chickens come home to roost" from the excesses of the global boom, with contagion spreading across Europe and emerging markets.

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