By

Scott Conroy /

The Politico/ June 26, 2009, 5:17 PM

Will Clinton Be Blamed If Obama Falls?

This story was written by Ben Adler.
In classic Washington finger-pointing style, the Democratic primary is only barely over but the recriminations are already being teed up.

The main thrust of them is this: Will supporters of Sen. Barack Obama blame Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton if Obama loses in November??

While the point might eventually prove moot, her decision to remain in the race well past the point in which Obama appeared to have an insurmountable delegate lead has nevertheless generated discussion about what responsibility, if any, she might bear in the event of an Obama loss.?

"If the Democrats don't win the White House back this fall there will be a hard core contingent of young Obama supporters who will be extremely disappointed," said Alexandra Acker, executive director of the Young Democrats of America. "They will be looking for someone to blame and some may look to the long primary."?

Democratic strategists, elected officials and political analysts interviewed by Politico agreed that any debate that surfaces over her culpability will be colored by how hard Clinton works to heal the rift between now and Election Day.?

"Attitudes about Sen. Clinton among Obama supporters will be shaped almost entirely by her attitude, effort, and success in bringing the party together over the next several months," said Jim Jordan, a Democratic consultant, in an email interview.?

"[The question is] does Sen. Clinton go through the motions or does she go all out?" said Peter Hart, a Democratic pollster. "That is easily seen by the voters and the party leaders."?

Hart noted that the tone of the Democratic National Convention will also determine the course of the blame game.?

"No one blames John Kerry's loss on his opponents," said Hart. "But many of the [Jimmy] Carter folks blame Ted Kennedy for the effect of the 1980 convention."?

Strategists close to the Clintons express confidence that they will work hard for Obama.?

"The Clintons are politically astute and it's in their interest to do everything they can to support Obama," said Chris Lehane, a Democratic consultant who worked in the Clinton White House and supported Hillary Clinton in the campaign.?

Yet even if Hillary Clinton goes to great lengths to ensure Obama's election, there's no guarantee she'll emerge unscathed from an Obama loss.?

"I don't think there's any doubt that fingers will be pointed," said Thomas Schaller, a political scientist at the University of Maryland-Baltimore County.

"Obama supporters will blame Hillary. … Hillary supporters will say 'I told you so,'" said Republican pollster Scott Rasmussen in an e-mail.?

Most Democrats, however, express confidence that once the general election begins in earnest, voters will become too absorbed in it to reflect back on the primary.?

"The nature of this race is going to change almost overnight," said Mike Feldman, a Democratic strategist who worked for Al Gore and was unaligned in this primary. "I don't think that people are going to be looking back at the primary."?

"I think the mindset will shift very quickly to Obama-McCain," said Rep. Artur Davis of Alabama.?

If there is an epidemic of finger-pointing in November, say some Democrats, it's likely to take root among Obama's most devoted constituencies - young voters and African-Americans.?

But Davis said that whatever resentment African-Americans may feel toward the Clintons at the moment will be quickly overshadowed by the harsher attacks Obama will face in the general election.?

"If anyone thinks the Clintons ran a divisive campaign, they haven't seen what the Republicans will do this fall," said Davis.

Obama's young fans, said Acker, wil be watching his reaction closely.?

"I think young people will take their cues from the Obama campaign," she said. "Sen. Obama will have a lot of power to encourage his young supporters to maintain their enthusiasm."
By Ben Adler
The Politico
  • Scott Conroy On Twitter »

    Scott Conroy is a National Political Reporter for RealClearPolitics and a contributor for CBS News.

98 Comments Add a Comment
linkicon reporticon emailicon
p-syrus says:
The far left just wants to blame Hillary for their own bad choices.
reply
linkicon reporticon emailicon
jack3213 says:
WILL IT BE CLINTONS'' FAULT IF OBAMA FAILS? ARE YOU KIDDING ME? AGAIN WITH THE VANITY...WHY IS IT ALWAYS CLINTON THIS- CLINTON THAT- THEY ARE THE MOST SELF CENTERED PEOPLE IN THE USA NEXT TO A CELEBRITY- IF OBAMA FAILS IT IS BECAUSE HE IS NOT QUALIFIED. AH- I GUESS HE ALREADY FAILED.
reply
linkicon reporticon emailicon
seah5 says:
Obama has to have someone to Blame.

I see he did not hesitate to start stealing Hillarys Policies and plans.

How low can you go Obam0
reply
linkicon reporticon emailicon
libh8er says:
She gave the Rep all their talking points for this up comming election with the devisive campaign she ran.
Posted by jedi080808 at 03:15 AM : Jun 10, 2008

Ubama is so full of holes, we would have been able to come up with our own. LOL But thanks Hill! :)
reply
linkicon reporticon emailicon
libh8er says:
''Will Clinton Be Blamed If Obama Falls?''

Yeah....everybody knows it''s WHITEY''s fault. Just ask the rev righteous. Whitey gives aids to blacks. Whitey gives drugs to blacks to incarcerate them. Ubama listens to this for 20+ years.

You think he''s gonna take responsibility for ANYTHING?

He''s throw your ''typical white'' grandmother under the bus if he thought it would get him elected.

reply
linkicon reporticon emailicon
renonv5 says:
Hillary will be somewhere lurking in the background waiting to plunge that knife in Obama''''s back

Posted by lorinkundert at
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

It is ignorant comments like this that will destroy Obama. You want a united party, but you talk trash on a daily basis. Make no mistake about it, he needs every one of our 18 million votes.
reply
linkicon reporticon emailicon
renonv5 says:
I can''t believe CBS would ask such a stupid question. Obama and the DNC got exactly what they wanted, now deal with it. She is out of this race and she will stay out. It is up to him, and him alone, to run his campaign and win the people over. Let''s all just see if he can do it. This is your messiah, he can do no wrong. If he loses, its his own *** fault.
reply
linkicon reporticon emailicon
ladyesq1 says:
No and it is absolutely IGNORANT to think she would be to blame. 18 Million people voted for her....NOT ALL of them will flock to Obama. Even if Hillary knocked on my door, got on her knees and begged me to vote for Obama...I wouldn''t! While we love her....she does not own our vote. It is not her fault that we won''t vote for him. We aren''t voting for Obama because he''s inexperienced, naive, passive agressive, & arrogant. We also won''t vote for him b/c he was SELECTED not ELECTED. NO ONE makes my decisions for me!! Additionally, discrimination, biasness, sexism, and disenfranchisment are not things we condone!! If we vote for him, we vote for all those things because it is THOSE THINGS that got him where he is! This has nothing to do with Hillary Rodham Clinton and anyone who says otherwise isn''t very bright.
reply
linkicon reporticon emailicon
jedi080808 says:
Hillary is of course to blame. She gave the Rep all their talking points for this up comming election with the devisive campaign she ran.

The Clintons are political garbage
reply
linkicon reporticon emailicon
jedi080808 says:
Hillary is of course to blame. She gave the Rep all their talking points for this up comming election with the devisive campaign she ran.

The Clintons are political garbage
reply
See all 98 Comments