June 4, 2008
Five Reasons Obama Won
CBSNews.com's Vaughn Ververs: How The Illinois Senator Stole The "Inevitable" Label From Hillary Clinton
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Obama Celebrates Big Victory
"CBS News Raw:" Sen. Barack Obama thanked his supporters during a victory speech in St. Paul, Minnesota after he secured enough delegates to be declared the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee.
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Clinton: No Decision Tonight
"CBS News RAW:" Refusing to concede defeat despite the certainty of Obama's nomination, Hillary Clinton told supporters she will not be making any immediate decisions regarding her candidacy.
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Democratic presidential candidate, Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., and his wife Michelle wave to supporters at a primary night rally Tuesday, June 3, 2008, in St. Paul, Minn. (AP)
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Photo Essay
Barack Obama
A look at the life and meteoric rise of the president-elect.
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Timeline
Democratic Campaign Trail
Notable events in the race for the 2008 Democratic presidential nomination.
“Inevitable” was a word commonly associated with Hillary Clinton when she launched her presidential candidacy in January of 2007. That title now belongs to Barack Obama. On Tuesday night, the first-term Illinois Senator laid claim to the title of “presumptive nominee” after a historic, hard-fought Democratic primary campaign that went down to the very last day.
Perhaps no candidate in recent memory has entered a presidential primary with the kinds of advantages Clinton held. The former First Lady who has spent six years carving out a political identity of her own had the kind of universal name recognition, institutional support, resources and fond memories of better times for her party that appeared insurmountable.
The reasons for victory in any campaign can be fundamental or marginal and in a race as close as this one, a whole host of elements, moments or changes in the weather could be pinpointed as deciding factors in Obama’s victory. But a trip down memory lane and talks with some Democratic observers offer a look at five major reasons Clinton lost her inevitability to Obama.
The War In Iraq: When Hillary Clinton joined other Senate Democrats in voting to authorize the Bush administration to take military action in Iraq in 2002, it appeared like a political winner - particularly for anyone with presidential aspirations. In fact, of all the Democratic presidential candidates in 2008 who were in a position to cast a vote, only Rep. Dennis Kucinich voted against the authorization.
But as 2007 dawned and the campaign began, Iraq had become a major problem for Clinton. John Edwards, who had voted with Clinton on the war when he was still in the senate, made a public apology for doing so. Pressured to follow suit, Clinton parsed her way through a position that had become extremely unpopular among the base of voters who would energize the primary process. But she refused to flat-out apologize.
Enter Obama, who had already created a tremendous amount of buzz with his entry into the race. Alone among the contenders to challenge Clinton, Obama had been against the war from the beginning and he made sure that was a centerpiece of his campaign. It gave him two advantages over Edwards and others vying to be the anti-Clinton candidate - purity on the war (and thus the sentimental edge on the growing block of anti-war voters) and an entrée into his driving campaign theme of “change.”
Change v. Experience: “People were looking for dramatic change, not just incremental change, and he tapped into that early,” said Democratic strategist Steve Jarding. And in Obama they found it, in ways both big and small. Race was an obvious difference between the Illinois senator and all the candidates who had come before. His very newness combined with Kennedy-esque appeals to put real meat on the rhetoric.
Clinton took a very different approach, presenting herself as the experienced candidate. With eight years as First Lady and just entering her second term in the Senate, some wondered what experience she was claiming. “The irony of all that is that she's been in elected office less time than Barack Obama,” said Democratic strategist Garry South. “There was a way of turning the change thing around on him, and they not only neglected to do it, they didn't understand how to do it.”
Above that, Clinton was slow at responding even once it became clear that Obama’s message was selling. One of the major turning points in the race came at the Iowa Democratic Party’s annual Jefferson-Jackson fundraising dinner. Obama’s speech went below the radar screen of most voters but electrified party activists in the state, signaling a challenge to Clinton that she never pivoted to meet.
Iowa And The Process: In the spring of 2007, a memo was circulated by Clinton’s deputy campaign manager making the argument to skip the Iowa caucuses altogether and concentrate resources instead on states further down the calendar. The actual reasoning of the memo may have been flawed, but the primary recommendation was certainly solid in retrospect.
In the Democratic race, Iowa became ground zero early on. Every single candidate made that the primary focus of their strategy - Clinton, to score a knockout blow on the rest of the field early on, the rest to find a foothold to continue forward. That dynamic raised the stakes immeasurably and when Clinton finished third there to Obama and Edwards, it changed the dynamics of the entire campaign. “When she lost Iowa, everything got put on hold,” said Jarding.
Not only was it a setback for Clinton, it was proof that Obama’s candidacy was not just catching on, it was winning. Despite a comeback victory in New Hampshire, Clinton would go on to lose South Carolina and entered Super Tuesday - with more than 20 contests - in a weakened position. “Hillary Clinton did not take Barack Obama or anyone else seriously as a potential contender for the nomination,” said South. “She made a whole series of serious strategic errors - including thinking it would all be over on February 5th. She had no game plan in place in case it didn't work out that way.”
A failure to seriously contest small caucus states like Alaska and even Colorado left her vulnerable to second guessing and campaign shakeups heading into a crucial stretch that saw Obama reel off a series of wins from Maine to Wisconsin while accumulating a campaign war chest unrivaled in political history.
Cold, Hard, Cash: When all is said and accounted for, Hillary Clinton will have probably raised about $250 million for her presidential campaign, an eye-popping amount by any standard. But Obama has already neared the $300 million mark and appears to have almost unlimited potential should he decide to bypass federal funding for the general election.
As more evidence of Obama’s appeal, the source of his seemingly bottomless wallet was not the big-money networks relied on by Clinton, but small donors harvested at almost no cost over the Internet. And it manifested itself in very tangible ways in the primary campaign. He established a truly national organization which will serve him well this fall, and he was able to spend $75 million on television advertising - more than all the Republican presidential candidates combined.
And it was spent at critical points. According to a study by TNS Media Intelligence/CMAG and the Wisconsin Advertising Project, Obama outspent Clinton by a three-to-one margin in that critical period in February when he was running up his delegate count. In the end, Obama’s money advantage wasn’t a deciding factor, but one that came into play at key points during the campaign and helped Obama build a delegate lead Clinton could not overcome.
Superdelegates: At one point in the campaign, Obama supporters feared the prospect of a Clinton victory gained through the endorsement of the party leaders, or superdelegates, despite his lead in the delegate count. As a practical matter, it became her final strategy once it became clear that she had no hopes of erasing Obama’s delegate lead, despite huge wins in states like West Virginia and Kentucky. (The actual Democratic delegate allocation system is one more reason Obama was able to win, but that’s a whole story unto itself.)
Clinton’s argument, as anyone who’s heard her speak over the past month knows, was two-fold: she was the better qualified and more electable candidate for the party, and she brought a constituency that Obama could not attract: white, lower-income and blue-collar workers in key swing states like Ohio and Pennsylvania.
That argument fell flat for a variety of reasons. One primary reason was simple - Obama’s lead in the pledged delegate count. Without some driving reason to disqualify Obama late in the game, how could Democrats (many up for re-election themselves), risk alienating black voters (one of the most loyal constituencies of the party), and more importantly, the legions of young voters Obama has brought into the process.
For every argument, there is a counterargument. “The superdelegates weren't fooled by it,” South said of Clinton’s approach. “The notion that she was the only one of the two that could be the only viable nominee in the fall simply is not a sellable argument.”
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See all 309 CommentsBack to : The Republican NAZI Party - Where They Originally Came from ! !
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Nazi (Delusional-Crying) Hillary and X-cess Baggage Nazi (racist) Bill
Will Now Need a PRESIDENTIAL PARDON for : Their own CRIMINAL ACTIVITY
Including and All of Their CRIMINAL Friends in : The Bush NAZI Regime
and Their CRIMINAL Cohort Friends in Criminal Corporate NAZI America
Any Corporation or POLITICAL INFLUENCE
That has Supported and Assisted in The Achievement of :
PURPOSELY and INTENTIONALLY __ DESTROYING
The INFRASTRUCTURE of The United States is an : Act of TREASON
TREASON is __ A CRIMINAL ACT !
Nazi (Delusional-Crying) Hillary and X-cess Baggage Nazi (racist) Bill
and - Criminal Corporate NAZI America
DEMOCRATIC PARTY TRAITORS
DEMOCRATIC PARTY DESTROYERS
JOB DESTROYER
WAGE PACKAGE DESTROYER
HEALTH CARE BENEFIT DESTROYER
WORKING MIDDLE CLASS AMERICA DESTROYER
FAMILY UNIT DESTROYER
HOME OWNERSHIP DESTROYER
CREDIT DESTROYER
AMERICAN ECONOMY DESTROYER
DEMOCRACY DESTROYER
The PATRIOTIC Gift of :
NAZI (Delusional-Crying) Hillary - X-cess Baggage NAZI (racist) Bill
and Criminal Corporate (NAZI) America
To The People of the World
SLAVE LABOR and CHILD FORCED SLAVE LABOR
To The AMERICAN PEOPLE
ONE WORLD NAZI FASCIST (Criminal Corporate) RULE
TREASON is __ A CRIMINAL ACT
Barack Obama appeals to a Very Wide Demographic, that''s why he''s wining. He won handily in Wisconsin, Illinois, Minnesota and Iowa all Very White States.
As much as some would like to make this a Black vs White thing, it really is not.
The fact that the majority of Obama supporters are White bears that out.
Total black turnout has been 21.4% according to
www.fivethirtyeight.com
Since the black census population in the US is around 13.5 Million that means about 3 million Blacks went to the primary polls. of those, 90% voted for Barack.
That means of his nearly 18 million votes, 15.3 million were Non-Black or about 85%. Feel free to check my math.
7/europe/EU-GEN-Russia-China-Maneuvers.php
Russia & China hold Joint Military Exercise
August 17, 2007
Go and Vote for John McCain, We will be 1 More Arab Country Invasion Away, from (World War 3)
CHEBARKUL TESTING RANGE, Russia: President Vladimir Putin said Friday he had ordered strategic bombers to resume regular Long-Range patrols as Russian and Chinese forces held their first joint military Exercise on Russian Soil %u2014
A show of Armed Muscle Aimed at Sending a Pointed Message to the United States.
The resumption of bombing patrols, which analysts say signaled a significant change for Russian military policy, comes amid a Growing Chill in U.S.-Russian Relations, strained over Washingtons criticism of Russias democracy record, Moscows objections to U.S. Missile Defense Plans and Differences over Global Crises.
Both Moscow and Beijing share a Heightening (Distrust) of what they see as the United States oversized role and Influence in Global Politics, and the Two former Cold War Rivals have forged a "Strategic Partnership" aimed at Counter Balancing Washingtons Policies.
The Russian-Chinese War Games, which took place near the Urals Mountain city of Chelyabinsk, coincided with Russian air force maneuvers involving 20 strategic bombers which ranged far over the Atlantic, Pacific and Arctic oceans.
My god, You don''t really believe that do you...that the media pushed Hillary out? Cripe. That is delusional.
Hillary began her downfar with her Iraq War vote and then continued it last fall. I remember her campaigned at a town hall meeting where when asked about her Iraq vote she said, "I am not going to answer that. And if you don''t like my vote, there are others to vote for." Hillary thought she had this thing wrapped up and even said to Curic that the nomination was hers. Too bad Hillary. You lost fair and square.
That you now continue you campaign shows you have not character. And asking you supporters (those who can least afford it) to send money to your campaign borders on criminal. It is very sad. They''d have just as much luck getting Hillary nominated if they went down to the local casino and gambled what they had left away.
What a slap in the face that is to women. That Hillary has you believing that she is the poor downtrodden [US Senator with 90 million in the bank] is really quick sick.
Posted by Truth_Police
In fact the VAST MAJORITY of americans were IN FAVOR of the war. They all couldn''t wait to go kick Hussein''s @ss. Public opinion was OPPOSED to the critical voices speaking up against the war at the start.
It has ONLY been relatively recently that americans have been willing to accept the possibility that the Iraq Adventure was in fact a mistake. Bush won re-election campaigning on "stay the course".
More likely than your hyperbolic analysis is the likelihood that the american people don''t care to be reminded how willing they are to be mislead nor to engage the use of deadly force against a non-threatening people.
Not Barack Obama losing the popular vote but winning the democratic nomination (not a hard task when you outspend your opponent 3-1 in many states AND rely on screwed up Caucuse wins)... no no no...
The upset is how the Republicans ONCE AGAIN won an election because the idiots in the Democratic party chose an elitist / idealist as their nominee.
Once John McCain seals up Florida (with Republican Crist as governor and NOW...a disenfranchised group of democratic voters who were kept from re-voting because of cool Obama)...AND he seals up Ohio & Pennsylvania (you know...all those even COOLER blue collar workers that will never vote for Barack the elitis)...the game will be over and done with.
Let us not even get started in Barack''s:
...lack of experience, vile American hating racist reverands, or his ties with people like past terrorists.
This game is over...unless something drastic happens... the American patriot John McCain will utterly destroy Barack Hussein Obama.
Game over...another four years of stupid Republican rule!
Barack Obama is a flawed candidate. Lacks experience, running a campaign on pure rhetoric with no history of bringing about change, and gathering associates that every American should fear (Rezkco, Wright, Ayers, Farrakhan, etc).
The guy is flawed. He will lose the blue collar white vote. He will lose the white female vote. He will lose the Hispanic vote. Leaving the black vote (the most RACIST group in these primaries), the latte drinking crowd, and college kids.
This means....white Christian American males will be the deciding factor. Well...guess what...when you associate and befriend people who bombed American soil (Ayers), said America deserved 9/11 while Damning America, and then have no problem with meeting with terrorist leaders.... those Christian American males tend not to vote for you.
Again...the Democratic party really F%Y$#ed it up again.
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Posted by Vet_SK
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Your full of it. It doesn''t even compare to ol Ted "whiskey breath" Kennedy who took the fight all the way to the convention a thousand delegates down and never offered a kind word to Carter. I don''t think much of any of Obama''s mentors but Ted Kennedy is the worst. Speaking of character, did you ever hear how Obama won his first state senate seat? No character there.
The TalkLeft analysis noted that Clinton won 11 more delegates than Obama in the New Jersey primary, which she won by 112,128 votes, while Obama won 12 more delegates than Clinton in the Idaho caucuses which he won by 13,225 votes. Similarly, Clinton netted 12 delegates by winning the Pennsylvania primary by 214,115 votes, while Obama came out ahead by 14 delegates by winning the Kansas caucuses by 17,710 votes.
TOO BAD FOR BARACK that the Presidential Election will not have caucuses to save him. I see a McCain landslide coming.
---- Posted by slayrre007
Well your vision dose not tie with most of the serious analyses I have been looking at, which suggests a healthy win for Obama depending on his choice of vp. Perhaps you need glases?
---- Posted by slayrre007"
And you think this is good?
Graduated bottom of his high school class.
Graduated 5th from bottom of his Naval class.
Still accepted to flight school (although supposed to be best and brightest of Naval class)...hmm, could it be because of having an admiral father?
Had five major crashes before going to Vietnam...one leading to the deaths of 134 people.
When people say McSame, they mean it in more ways than one.
The only one shooting themselves is the people who buy into the propaganda instead of paying attention to the issues. You are being slowly controlled by stupidity. Keep being controlled by fear.
Simple: Unlike some people (to remain nameless... McShame and Bush... or not so nameless) Mr. Obama did not want to shaft the soldiers that were in Iraq. Do you honestly think that if the bill did not pass Bush would have pulled out? Heck no! Not voting to fund the war would have shafted the active AMERICAN SOLDIERS in Iraq. You may not have noticed, since it appears you have not read up on Obama, but he believes in supporting the troops, both during duty and after.
Now we have McShame. He says we can pull a victory in another 4 years in Iraq. Of course he neglects to mention that at the average rate of soldiers killed there we will lose another 3200 American soldiers during that time, not to mention other Americans (contractors and the like) and the far more numerous dead inhabitants of Iraq. This assumes his 4 year estimate is correct. Hope you don''t have anyone serving over there. They''ll be going back repeatedly and each tour is another chance to be one of those 3200.
Thralen
A NEW LOOK AT THE MIDDLE EAST POLICY IS COMING AND THOSE OF YOU MIDDLE EAST BEGGARS AND THIEVES WHO HAVE BEEN LIVING OFF AMERICAN MONEY FOR THE PAST 65 YEARS ARE GOING TO HAVE TO MAKE IT WITHOUT AMERICAN FUNDING OR INVOLVEMENT OF OUR MILITARY!
THERE IS NOTHING IN THE MIDDLE EAST IN AMERICAN NATIONAL SECURITY INTEREST!
THEY HAVE NOTHING WE NEED!
AMERICA STAND UP OR SHUT UP!
Also, read the book What''s the Matter with Kansas.
I''m surprised that people who clap their hands when they hear Bill Cosby saying the correct thing about some aspects of black America (not all, but some) are so quick to scream foul when someone says correct things about some aspects of something they perceive pertaining to them (not all, but some). Not so easy to take your own medicine.
The true test of hating political correctness is not when you want to say something about somebody else, but when somebody wants to say something about you.
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Posted by BlackYowe
I think you should stay at home PERIOD. Jeez you are so brainwashed I fear for all life forms around you, intelligent or otherwise.
You have made your bed America and you are about to have severe Baclk Pain for the next four wasted years.
The Un-Democratic sheperds and their dogs have led the sheep to the slaughterhouse.
Illinois Senator Surpasses Delegate Milestone; Clinton Delays Decision On Campaign''''s Future
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/06/03/politics/main4148295.shtml
hahaha
what BS propoganda,,, he clinches nothing,,,
he was selected by the super delegates,,, and they can change their mind by convention time,,, LOL
hahaha
hussein could not win the nomination with the voting demonic-rats,,, could not beat a woman,,, LOL
hahaha
-CNN
Suffice it to say this article just underscores the bias of the media, which has ignored the reality that the DP nominating process is flawed, that there is no significant difference between Clinton and Obama in popular vote and delegates (do the math), and that the superdelegates have decided the outcome -- a decidedly undemocratic denouement for a supposedly Democratic Party. Had the DNC played fair, Clinton would be the nominee, not Obama. That is clear.
Clinton has more reason to go to the convention than Ted Kennedy did in 1980, and she should do so. This process has been a travesty, compounded by the arrogance of Obama supporters and the partisanship of journalists.
Posted by tapsettle at 04:21 AM : Jun 04, 2008
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That comment was totally unwaranted and rude. This kind of attitude is why your man Obama will go down to defeat.
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Posted by maxify55 at 07:11 AM : Jun 04, 2008
Thank the chimp.He''s the one that turned "republican" into a four letter word.
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Posted by maxify55 at 07:11 AM : Jun 04, 2008
When did you start hating American''s who wouldn''t agree with you? When did this fear of American''s who weren''t in the "Party" start with you? When you look at our history one thing is so obvious... People like you have NEVER been right... NOT ONCE! Now stand and show EVERYONE you hate us all unless we are in the "Party". Ready? SIEG HEIL BUSH!! Good little Bootlicker.
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Posted by jjoseph1945 at 06:56 AM : Jun 04, 2008
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LOL Well here we have another Ditto Head still HOPING for division and termoil so they can keep control of the Government!! The can''t govern but hey that doesn''t matter... America doesn''t matter... nothing but the "Party" matters. Clinton KNEW the rules and was simply beaten...
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Posted by p4m0 at 07:28 AM : Jun 04, 2008
Tell them thanks.Their vote for McCain will finish Clinton for good.
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Posted by maxify55 at 07:11 AM : Jun 04, 2008
+ report abuse
Now ALL of you be VERY scared.. this Nazi has called Obama a "liberal" so all of you rush right out and vote to keep things as they are... Oooooohhhhh! Be scared! Now solutions do they offer... only FEAR... so be very afraid!! God how did you freaks get THIS stupid?? It''s truly embarrassing!! Sieg Heil Bush
Hey, look at McCain, his middle name is Sidney...whats it all mean? The meaning of the name Sidney is Contraction Of St. Denys. The origin of the name Sidney is French.
French. Did you hear that? Those cowardly *** who continually avoid conflict,and run away like little girls....how can this be, McCain is a war hero yet his middle name points to him being a coward ! Oh the humanity !
This is type of tomfoolery most of us leave behind with the arrival of Puberty, it shocks me that so many so-called grown ups would try to make this an issue.
Our middle names are often chosen as a sign of respect for a family member. Its not something we have a choice of, and it does not shape who we are. Anyone who thinks that is grasping at straws and would just as easily dismiss a candidate because of their hair colour, the colour of their tie, or whether they wear a 1" metal flag on their lapel.
Watch this: http://www.theonion.com/content/video/poll_bullshit_is_most_important
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Posted by p4m0 at 07:28 AM : Jun 04, 2008
+ report abuse
You know this how??? ROFLMAO Oh let me guess! YOU have a magic Swastika and it told you that Democrats and people all across this nation are going to go out and vote for more of the same because??? I guess you''ll do what you fascist have been doing for decades and just fill in the fear blank according to whom you want to scare. Disgusting little people aren''t you?? Sieg Heil Bush
Obama is a brilliant man with the greatest capacity for greatness we''ve seen in a politician from either party for many decades; he is also an inspired speaker who can think on his feet.
Compare to the Repugs poster boys--Bushit and Darth.
Bushit--a smirking chimp who hasn''t had an original thought since he realized you could snort coke through a rolled up $10 instead of a $20.
Darth Cheney--a menacing, sneering sociopathic recluse.
Go Obama!
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Posted by maxify55 at 07:40 AM : Jun 04, 2008
+ report abuse
YOU are a LIAR! DO you hear me?? YOU ARE A LIAR! Anyone who want''s to pull up your post on here can see for themselves that YOU are a LIAR. You do nothing but spew hatred and fear for anyone who dares oppose the "Party" and your views. THAT is reality and NO ONE can change it. You have NEVER attempted to get people to vote for the person YOU favor by stressing how THEY will help.. NO! You only attack people who bring out failures of the "party" and Bush by accussing them of being UnAmerican or a "Liberal". Honestly my Pop, a member of the Greatest Generation, was a LIBERAL and you haven''t a clue what the word means! Now ready. Sing it out!! SIEG HEIL MEIN FUHRER!!
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