May 27, 2008
What's Next For Clinton?
Washington Post: If She Loses Nomination, There Is No Clear Map For Her Political Future
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Photo
Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., speaks at a Memorial Day event in San Juan, Puerto Rico, Monday, May 26, 2008. (AP)
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Photo Essay
Hillary Clinton
A look at a life and career full of firsts.
In August 1980, with no hope left of winning the nomination, Sen. Edward M. Kennedy conceded defeat to incumbent Jimmy Carter in the Democratic presidential race.
"For me, a few hours ago, this campaign came to an end," Kennedy said at the Democratic National Convention in New York. "For all those whose cares have been our concern, the work goes on, the cause endures, the hope still lives, and the dream shall never die."
And with that, at age 48, Kennedy returned to the Senate, where he committed himself to a career as a legislator, crafting landmark bills on health care, education and immigration. Many Democrats are now pointing to the Kennedy model as a path for Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton to reshape her own political career, assuming she is unable to wrest the nomination from Sen. Barack Obama.
"I loved the Senate before I ran for the president," Kennedy explained in an interview before his recent cancer diagnosis. Losing to Carter, he said, made him appreciate the opportunities in Congress all the more. "I think I became a better senator, with greater focus and attention," Kennedy said. But he added: "It all depends on the attitude, what's in the mind of the person."
Clinton, Kennedy continued, must decide where her heart lies. "She's got great capacity -- she was a good senator before, and she can be a great senator in the future," he said. The question, he said, is "what she does with this experience."
When Kennedy returned to Capitol Hill before the 1980 election, the Massachusetts Democrat was in a similar fix. Like Clinton, he was the heir to a powerful political legacy. But the climate was volatile, and voters were in the mood for change. Kennedy was rejected by many of his Senate colleagues, despite Carter's sagging popularity, and he won just 10 primary states. But like Clinton, he hung on until the bitter end.
Yet Kennedy was an 18-year Senate veteran who had already risen to chairman of the Judiciary Committee and a health subcommittee. Clinton faces few options for quick advancement should she give up her presidential bid, prompting some to speculate that she may look elsewhere for a prominent political post, possibly the governorship of New York.
The climate on Capitol Hill has changed considerably in the 18 months since Clinton began her presidential campaign. The Senate leadership path that she had once viewed as a viable alternative is now all but blocked. Senate Majority Leader Harry M. Reid (Nev.) has gained clout in his role, and he will grow even more powerful if Democrats succeed in expanding their narrow majority in November by up to half a dozen seats.
Reid's deputies, Majority Whip Richard J. Durbin (Ill.) and Democratic Caucus Vice Chairman Charles E. Schumer (N.Y.), also have enhanced their status in recent months and are quietly laying the groundwork to succeed Reid whenever he decides to step down.
"Within the caucus, there's strong support for Senator Reid, and those who speculate otherwise don't undersand the Senate," said Durbin, who was the first senator to endorse Obama. When Clinton returns to her old job, assuming she does not win the nomination, Durbin added, "she will be an important part of the future. But I can't tell you that anyone has approached me, or anyone in the caucus, with any specific suggestions about what she would do."
When Clinton announced her bid in January 2007, she was the prohibitive favorite, and most of her Senate colleagues appeared ready to rally to her side. But as her primary battle with Obama draws to an end, with the senator from Illinois almost certain to emerge the victor, Clinton has discovered that the reservoir of Senate goodwill was not so deep after all.
Clinton collected 13 endorsements from her Senate colleagues, compared with 15 for Obama, and she has not added a name to her list since early February, even though she has won significant contests since then.
"I'm sure she'll remember, for the rest of her life, who was with her and who wasn't," said Sen. Christopher J. Dodd (D-Conn.), who ran unsuccessfully this year and then endorsed Obama.
Speaking on the condition of anonymity, many Democratic senators said they expect Clinton to work doggedly for Obama this summer and fall, and they agreed that if she does, whatever hard feelings that linger from the primary race will vanish.
But a bigger question is whether, like Kennedy, she will shelve her presidential ambitions, especially if Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) wins in November. The 2012 election would coincide with the end of Clinton's second Senate term, effectively turning her into a lame duck. A run for New York governor would hasten Clinton's departure by two years.
But if Obama wins in November, her next likely opportunity for the presidency would be in 2016, when she would be 69. If Clinton makes it clear her future is in the Senate, she could find several paths open to her, aides and colleagues said.
One would be to champion a major piece of legislation, such as the health-care bill Obama has promised early in his first term.
When you're out on the campaign, you've got to make decisions every hour, every minute... Then you come back to the Senate and it's like a cocoon.
Sen. Tom Harkin, D-IowaBut another option would be to assume the chairmanship of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, a demanding but high-profile post that is an appointment by Reid. Sen. Robert Menendez (N.J.) is a potential successor to Schumer, who has led the committee for four years, but Democratic sources said Clinton could get the job if she wanted it.
Sen. Patrick J. Leahy (Vt.) pointed to the late Hubert H. Humphrey (D-Minn.) as one example of life in the Senate after a losing White House bid. A senator in the 1950s and '60s, Humphrey became vice president in 1965 and then narrowly lost to Richard M. Nixon in the 1968 presidential election. He won another Senate term in 1970 and returned as the most junior member. "He realized he could command an audience anywhere in the world. He threw himself into the issues. He had the time of his life," Leahy said.
On the other hand, Sen. Joseph R. Biden Jr. (Del.) returned to the Senate after his failed 1988 presidential bid and became a formidable voice on both the Judiciary and Foreign Relations committees.
With or without a prominent post, Clinton will possess unrivaled clout, her colleagues said. "She is the single most powerful woman in America, and that will be solidified by this race, not diminished by it," said Biden, who has not endorsed a candidate after dropping his own bid earlier this year.
As the former first lady, Clinton arrived in the Senate in January 2001 already a political celebrity, and her status was acknowledged with an appointed leadership position as head of the Steering Committee, with the task of interacting with outside liberal groups.
But colleagues said Clinton showed no interest in using her perch to work toward more powerful posts inside the Senate. Rather, she spent much of her time traveling the country to help Democrats in presidential battleground states, and raising money through her leadership political action committee, HillPAC. She also committed herself to advancing New York state interests, numerous colleagues and senior aides said.
Regardless of which route she now chooses, colleagues who have run failed campaigns said she must first readjust to life in the Senate.
"When you're out on the campaign, you've got to make decisions every hour, every minute," said Sen. Tom Harkin (D-Iowa). "Then you come back to the Senate and it's like a cocoon."
By Shailagh Murray and Paul Kane
© 2008 The Washington Post Company





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See all 610 CommentsPosted by lasurfgrl
Yep, next time I need another NAFTA signed or the H1B1 program expanded in this dismal job market I''ll call a Clinton.
At this point, Hillary could only be running to help John McSame.
Posted by CBS4me3
CBS4me3, that''s the whole issue with this campaign. "The voters" as you refer have voted and the majority have voted for Obama, in every measure.
Hillary''s campaign has been poorly run and not focused. She is a smart and capable person, but she is in second place, mostly due to her and Bill''s actions (too bad she wrote off Florida and Michigan in a heartbeat when she thought they did not matter).
Now she wants to say I ran, I did not get my way, the agreed upon rules did not favor me - so I''m going to try and change the rules that I agreed to. That is a bitter loser, no matter which way you slice it, and is damaging her chances in 2012.
If she is a smart general, she will regroup, do a lessons learned and run again in 2012. She can still be the first woman President, but to do so she must first run a successful primary campaign for the office.
This is sad because if Obama loses in the fall, most Democrats will remember how divisive she had been throughout the primaries and will surely lay the blame (and rightfully so) at her feet.
If this is part of her long-term game plan with a hope of running again in 2012, she is mistaken. As high as her negatives were in 2008, they will be astronomical in 2012.
She started out with huge advantages; ran a red-ink campaign, managed to alienate a large segment of the Dem party while alternately playing the race, gender, and victim cards, placed herself above party, and isn''t smart enough to ''get out'' when it''s over!
More times than not, she''s on the wrong side of issues in the Senate, SO---my recommendation to her IS, retire to private life where you can do the most good for us---the public---BY NOT HURTING US ANYMORE!
You can write a book about the campaign, go on the lecture circuit, and complain that you lost the election because everyone was sexist against you!
With the Clintons, it''s always the same! Blame everyone else for their mistakes! Just like George Bush! In fact, I think they took this strategy from him!
Posted by lasurfgrl
Like the brilliant way in which she conducted her campaign? Like being 30million in debt? No we don''t need that at all. If Hillary wasn''t divisive before, she really is quite so at this time. I don''t see her being a great overall candidate for any office in America. She lacks discretion and has been a disappointment. Also, you can''t change the rules in mid-stream to suit you. She has blind ambition and to be perfectly honest, I don''t see her coming back in the political scene with much power. I think the days of the Clintons are coming to an end. She is just being tolerated now for political expediency, but she is over.
We live in America and can vote for whom we please, but we also know that it doesn''t always work out in the best interests of the country. Look at President Bush, he was selected by the judiciary in his first run for POTUS, but the country elected him in the last Presidential election and look what it has gotten us. As my Grandmama used to say, everything that looks good is not good for you. Be careful who you vote for America - we all have to live with it. As far as the good junior senator from Illinois is concerned, watch out for you new found friends - most of them used to be Clinton supporters. When the novelty has worn off and real issues arise, they will drop you like a hot potato. (Nothing loyal about this group). They are fond of sticking their fingers in the wind to see which way it blows. The Clinton''s didn''t change - some of their supporters did.
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I forgot to say all three of the candidates are not worth a dime. This election will be a joke at best a disaster at worst.
Posted by lewiston14 at 10:25 AM : May 27, 2008
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I tend to agree with you on this. We could be in some serious trouble in the future.
The time has come for you to "see" what is going on and take necessary action. You are free to vote for whom ever you like in this country and we who support Mr. Obama are free to say so in no uncertain terms. Your candidate has done more harm to divide Black America than any presidential nominee in history. When she leaves this race, with few exceptions, many in the African American community will NEVER lend their support to any policy or campaign that has the name Clinton attached to it. It is disappointing that she came from the ranks of Democrat and it is painful as well. I had been a huge Clinton supporter in the 90''s, but though we see through a veil dimly at times, we are no ushered to really "see" and mine eyes have seen the glory of the coming of Obama!
God bless you!
Posted by walker1209 at 10:37 AM : May 27, 2008
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My response: Respect IS EARNED! She HASN''T earned it!
Her litany of actions during the campaign has CAUSED people to disrespect her! Her whole attitude is WRONG!
Until she corrects it, she''ll never again have the respect of the public she may have previously enjoyed!
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Posted by walker1209 at 10:37 AM : May 27, 2008
Your candidate became her own worst enemy and I, aprofessional black male supported her too but am at a lost to understand why she never apologized for her vote on Iraq, and how she financially mismanaged her campaign and those are the issues that made me change my support to Obama. As for your empty suit and voting for McSame comments, sorry you feel that way, but you obviously don''t really care about your party or your country but I hope you have plenty of body bags preserved for your kids and grandkids when they go marching into Iran over another misguided war for YOUR team!
learn to read then post facts.
Obama will win and most people can''t accept a black man in charge of the World. AKA "H N I C"
I happen to believe that no matter what she has done, how good she has been, or what her positions are, there are some in this country who would never vote for her and that is their choice. And as for not caring for my party or my country - you don''t have a clue what I care about. I don''t have to march lock step with the Democrats because I am a Democrat. They make silly/and wrong choices as well as the Republicans!! I care a lot about my country even when my country has not cared about people who look like me. I will serve in whatever way I can for the betterment of all citizens of the US not just Democrats, Blacks or Women.
all over for liars.... the end of POLITICS in POLITICS
now the real fight begins
- True experience (McCain)
vs
- True Change (obama)
can McCain win over Change??hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm may be
Posted by lewiston14 at 10:25 AM : May 27, 2008
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You hit the nail on the head.
Posted by cfin5 at 10:42 AM : May 27, 2008
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...and your source is...???
A search on "castro" AND "Obama" reveals that Castro "chides" Obama for his plan to continue the embargo, and calls Obama speech "formula for hunger."
On the other hand he prefers Clinton to McCain.
- Pelosi
- Kansas gov
at least these tow ladies seems trustworthy.
and good news is Kennedy is firm on his stand that no chance to Hilalry Clinton... Obama has to respect his stand as Ted Kennedy''s endrosement gave the major boost to Obama..
OBAMA-Sebelius is a winning ticket
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