Clinton's Fate Hangs In The Balance

Politico: If She Can Survive Tuesday, Clinton Will Face More Favorable Terrain Going Forward

(The Politico)  This story was written by Charles Mahtesian and David Mark.

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If Hillary Rodham Clinton wins in either Indiana or North Carolina Tuesday, the primary election terrain suddenly begins to look more favorable to her than at any other point since Super Tuesday Feb. 5.

For the first time since February, she will enter a month-long stretch of states where a variety of factors leave her well-positioned to win or compete in most of them.

None of the remaining six states hold caucuses, the nominating events where Barack Obama's campaign’s organizational strength and savvy shines. Four of the six are closed primaries, which neutralizes Obama’s strength among independents and Republicans. None have African-American populations above 10 percent - a key Obama constituency. And two rank among the top 10 states with populations aged 65 or older - a group Clinton runs well with.

Regardless of her performance against Barack Obama in the six remaining primaries, the delegate math remains daunting for Clinton. But if her campaign gains momentum out of Tuesday’s primaries, the next six contests in West Virginia, Kentucky, Oregon, Puerto Rico, Montana and South Dakota may afford enough opportunities for victory to sustain her campaign at least through June 3.

“After Tuesday, most of the upcoming states are really good states for her,” said Tad Devine, a strategist for 2004 Democratic nominee John F. Kerry. “She’s got some good real estate in front of her.”

For Clinton, the run of competitive states is a welcome reprieve after a post-Super Tuesday gauntlet peppered with states that played to Obama’s strengths. When Clinton finally broke Obama’s winning streak on March 4, her wins in Ohio, Texas and Rhode Island were quickly countered four days later by a landslide caucus loss in Wyoming followed by another landslide primary loss March 11 in heavily African-American Mississippi. Then came six weeks with no contests between Mississippi and Pennsylvania on April 22.

The final stretch of six states begins with the May 13 West Virginia primary, where the few available polls show her with a comfortable lead. Obama has backing from Sen. Jay Rockefeller and Rep. Nick Rahall but much of the state political establishment has yet to pick a side.

The signs are promising for the Clinton campaign: She has carried Appalachia to date and only Florida and Pennsylvania have a higher percentage of residents over the age of 65. In an ominous note, a Rasmussen Reports state poll released Sunday reported 57 percent said it was very likely or somewhat likely that Obama shares some of controversial Rev. Jeremiah Wright’s views about the United States.

Kentucky, another Appalachian state where Clinton holds a commanding lead in the polls, weighs in one week later on May 20. If, as expected, she captures Kentucky, she’ll be able to better weather a likely loss in Oregon, where she trails in the polls with little likelihood of catching the better-organized Obama.

As of May 2, Obama had put up $450,000 in ads on commercial television and cable in the Portland market compared to about $101,000, said Mark Wiener, a Portland-based Democratic consultant.

“I think it should be a pretty solid state for Obama,” said Wiener. “it’s sort of Pennsylvania in reverse-it’s not a question of whether he’s going to win, but by how much, and can she win enough of the vote to score some kind of moral victory?”

Less than two weeks later, on June 1, Puerto Rico will vote. While Clinton was at first expected to have a significant advantage-she represents the state with the largest Puerto Rican population-Obama managed to win the endorsement of Governor Anibal Acevedo Vila and several other high-profile leaders.

Byzantine local politics clouds the campaign on the island but Clinton has shown an ability to win congressional districts in New York and Florida with high concentrations of Puerto Ricans.

The final states to vote are Montana and South Dakota on June 3. Obama has carried every state that borders the two-but every single one of them held caucus events. With no major metropolitan areas and African-American populations of less than one percent in both states, the Clinton campaign will have no excuses for losing.

Either way, given Obama’s delegate lead, a strong finish still may not be enough to alter the outcome.

“If you’re fading at the tape and you win, you still win the horse race,” says Carter Eskew, a Democratic consultant.

[abmitus]

No matter what, Obama will win the nomination. That is just a fact of life. Deal With it People!!!!!

[aldon61]

The demographics that were listed that give Clinton an edge in the remaining primaries also applied in Iowa and Wisconsin; both went for Obama. Even older white people would rather trust an unknown with our economy than a known liar who has woefully mis-managed her campaign finances and is in the hole.

[obbcbs]

Charles Mahtesian and David Mark. You didnt get it right, even so far into the contests. HRC lost Texas. Correct your error,"boys". The delegate count in Texas is now at Obama 99, Clinton 94. In Texas the game winner is the one with the most points at the end of the game. She lost the caucus and you can say it. Thank you, this is not journalism 101, you are on a national website.

[craigh9]

How out of touch are these guys? Does anyone really believe the superdelegates will decide as a mass to vote for Hillary - PLEASE! Obama captures new superdelegates every day - and with the likely outcomes in the remaining primaries needs to garner less than 30% of the non-committed superdelegates to cross the 2025 delegate plateau.
Everyone knows this race is over - even Hillary, she is only hanging around slinging mud in hopes that Obama completely implodes so that she gets the nomination - she has to do that because she has complete lost any opportunity to run for president again due to her overwhelming negativity and the volume of party bosses she has turned off for dividing the party during this primary season.

[obbcbs]

This election doesnt matter. She is already working the back room to change the rules. Thou shalt not bear false witness is apparently not taught at her church. Who''s HER minister? She and her people have been spinning to count MICH and Florida for a month now, since she sees she cannot win legally. Her people vote in the DNC committee not to count any state that pushed New Hampshire aside. The small state must be first, so that "brand names" and great wealth do not drown out democracy and ideas. In NH any person can spend a few months and meet every person in town halls. If MICH and Florida, with 35 millions were first, only the Rockefellers, Kennedys and the pro wrestlers and actors would have a chance. Write to your DNC and congresspeople and insist that they publicly support the rules as they were signed.
50/50 would be fair, and allow both states to send representative to the convention. 50/50 would be close representation of the state of the matter, on the ground, too. Giving HRC the results of an election in which only her name was on the ballot because all the rest followed the request of the DNC and took their names off, would be criminal.

[abbe91]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L9qd-P2bIiY

[obbcbs]

correcting typo''s
This election today doesnt matter because Clinton is already working the back room to change the rules. "Thou shalt not bear false witness" is apparently not taught at her church. Who''s HER minister? She and her people have been spinning to count MICH and Florida for a month now, since she sees she cannot win by the results of the elections and the rules as they were agreed to. Her eleven people were among those 31 who voted in the DNC committee NOT to count any state that pushed New Hampshire aside. The small states (NH, then Iowa and then South Carolina) must be first, so that "brand names" and great wealth do not drown out democracy and ideas. In NH any person can spend a few months and meet every person in town halls and be heard. If MICH and Florida, with 35 millions were first, only the Rockefellers, Kennedys and the pro wrestlers and actors would have a chance. Write to the DNC and your congresspeople (your supers) and insist that they publicly support the rules as they were signed.
50/50 would be fair, and allow both states to send representative to the convention. 50/50 would be close representation of the state of the matter, on the ground, too. Giving HRC the results of an election in which only her name was on the ballot because all the rest followed the request of the DNC and took their names off, would be criminal.

[craigh9]

It continues to mystify me that people in Mich./Fla are upset with Obama?
1 - Where is your outrage at the state political bosses - they made the decision to move away from a lawful election even though they knew the consequences. They are all still in power to my knowledge, how about a little accountabilty on their end.
2 - Those states should assess each of the other primaries. With small exceptions (mostly due to the negativity spewed by the Clintons) Obama has increased his numbers as he campaigned in each state - the fact that Florida didn''''t vote largely for him nor Michigan (although he wasn''''t even on the ballott) can be directly attributed to the fact that he didn''''t have an opportunity to get his message out to the voting public - in fact Florida mirrors the original Clinton lead nationally that has now disappeared into a shortfall. Had campaigning occurred in Fla/Mich it is highly likely that the voting would have been quite different.
3 - Why no outrage at Hillary. She agreed to not have the primary acknowledged (albeit when she had a huge lead and it was advantageous for her to minimize opportunities for others to catch her) then makes an about face when she needs to close the huge lead by Obama. Why no concern over that?

You have bought into another Clinton Style political game - she sold you down the river when she didn''''t need you - then twists things so you feel grateful that she is "speaking up for you" - get a grip Michigan and Florida - your being played.

[dave_1958]

News FLASH

Chicago brings in military weapons in to try to control Obamas 13th ward...

Have a look at Obama''s 13th ward...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xqu3u9ISctA

[realpatriot1]

We North Carolina voters hope to be able to hang her!

[aldon61]

craigh9: Your analysis of the Fla/Mi situation is right on. Obama was just following the rules; their own state leaders broke the rules, they should be ousted.

[aldon61]

realpatriot1: Need any rope? We have a good supply in Texas. Bring her down today, will ya?

[dave_1958]

Obama lied to voters about Rezko donating $150K to his campaign until it was revealed it was A QUARTER OF A MILLION DOLLARS.
Obama lied to voters in Iowa saying he passed nuclear legislation (it never passed).
Obama lied to voters in Ohio about NAFTA (senior advisor to Canadian official).
Obama lied in a debate about withdrawing troops from Iraq in 16 months (senior adviser to BBC)
Obama lied in a debate about remarks he made about republicans "wisdom" over the past 10-15 years.
Obama lied about his ties to Tony Rezko. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oXAQ3BHTbjs
Obama lied about his stance on the war (statements made to the NYT where he said he wouldn''t know how he''d have voted if he saw the intelligence).
Obama lied about characters in his book, Dreams from my Father.
Obama lied about "change" (he plans to appoint republicans to his cabinet)
Obama lied about his drug use.
Obama lied about being a racist.
Obama lied about being a liar even.
Obama lied about his affair with a white man
Obama lied about being in his church when his "uncle" was schooling his 2 little girls in bigotry http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eLDMyfDtuYU
Obama lied about Rev Wrong to the people of North Carolina.

[jasonmcj]

Do her in NC, we know you aren''t stupid redneck racists like PA was.

[dave_1958]

Obama lied about what he did and did not hear his Rev Wrong say in the church of the holy bigot.
Obama lied about coming to America on scholarship money from the Kennedys.( They started that program a full year after he came to America,)
Obama lied about taking Pac Money from oil companies. ( He excepted 213 thousand dollars from oil companies.)
Obama lied about taking money from people writing "Big Checks" http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fb1SGOs3jfM

[dave_1958]

Google:

Obama Alice Palmer
Obama Emil Jones
Obama William Ayers
Obama Tony Rezko
Obama Nadhmi Auchi

Read about Obama''s rise in politics.....it will sicken you.

[dave_1958]

Stick a fork in him hes done...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H64yKJhB528

[jasonmcj]

Nice try Dave 1958...you conveniently forgot to list Hillary''s long loooong list if proven lies.

Yes, that''s right...
Hillarys lies are DOCUMENTED FACTS!

Obama lies are your OPINION.

[dave_1958]

Obama can''t even tell you what changes he will make because he has no Idea..He has NO plan ... So hes using Hillarys plan LOL

[dave_1958]

Obama can''t even tell you what changes he will make because he has no Idea..He has NO plan ... So hes using Hillarys plan LOL

[dave_1958]

Obamas flip floping position on Iraq
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H7XtIsI1c9w

[jasonmcj]

Dave 1958...read about Hillary....it will make you sick that people like you ignore her flaws and flaunt Obamas superficial ones.

scared old white men for Hillary?

[dave_1958]

Obama is such a big liar I just want him out of my life.

He''s an anti-American racist pig

[jasonmcj]

Dave...please stop the cut and paste spam...

All you have is spam huh? You think anyone here is paying attention to your selective memory? You think people can''t do tjheir own research and see all the Hillary videos too??

You sir, are pathetic.

[dave_1958]

Dave 1958...read about Hillary....it will make you sick that people like you ignore her flaws and flaunt Obamas superficial ones.

scared old white men for Hillary?
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Reply:

Racisim is not a superficial flaw.

Its a core flaw that no one in public office should have.

Hes been brainwashed for years by Rev Wright ant his church of the anti-American Holy bigot.

[jasonmcj]

Obama keeps getting superdelegates!!! Signs to come? I think so! hillary''s usupporters keep defecting. Obama has no defectors. Get your facts straight

[jasonmcj]

Keep posting spam sucker.

YOu can''t drown out the math. GO learn math. Or, here is a novel idea...post the same stuff about Hillary that you cnveniently claim only Obama does. I DARE YOU!

And stop talking past me.

[dave_1958]

NORTH CAROLINA AND INDIANA WILL SEND A MESSAGE TO BARAK H. OBAMA JUST LIKE PENNSYLVANIA DID:

RESIGN NOW!

WE SUPPORT HILLARY R. CLINTON!!!

[dave_1958]

You people have really have NO CLUE how the democratic Primaries work do you...

It''s not a all wrapped up in delegates or the popular vote.
These are only guidelines to help the DNC ( Democratic National Committee ) Decide who will represent them in the general election.

They will take into consideration everything before they decide who to appoint as their representative for the general election.

They know full well that the republicans are voting against Hillary in the democratic primary and that that is drastically effecting the votes giving Obama about 33% more votes then he will get in the general election. This is a very large factor that will be taken into account when the DNC chooses their candidate.

Voters DO NOT CHOOSE the DNC does.
This is the reason for the super delegates.. its a safety net so that the republican party can not choose who they run against in the general election like they are trying to do right now.

Hilary WILL win its just a mater of controlling the damage that the Republican party is doing with their voter fraud.

[jasonmcj]

You have never met the man, you know nothing and you opnion make you sound dumb. Cite facts please....oh you have none. Labeling someone by their aquaintences? Lets not go there....Hillary has TOO MANY SKELETONS.

[ksh1022]

Obamalost the last 2 big states to Hillary; TX and OH. After today, the next states are great for Hillary since there are no caucuses and only closed primaries, real Democrats will finally have a say. If the dirt on Obama had been exposed by the media 3 months ago Hillary would already have the nomination. Obama is a racist, anti-white, inexperienced, arrogant, jumior senator with nothing to show for all his talk and pretty speeches. We need solutions not talk!

[dave_1958]

Obama is a Mac Daddy said Paster Manning

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=khuu-RhOBDU

[jasonmcj]

your rhetoric is pathetic Dave. Hillary lost... deal with it you ugly racist. President is the new black.

Cite me his lies please. I''m waiting.

[dave_1958]

Hillary is our only hope for change.
Hillary is our only hope to reduce the deficit.
Hillary is our only hope for an economic future for America.
Hillary is our only hope to get out of Iraq with Honor.
Hillary is our only hope to get jobs back to America.

Hillary 08

God Bless Hillary Clinton

[dave_1958]

Hillary Clinton is our savior. A true warrior for the people.

Hillary 08

[dave_1958]

Posted by JasonMcJ at 10:36 AM : May 06, 2008

Your hopeless your only voting for him because hes black...

If you could look past that you would realize that he has NO EXPERIENCE and hes surrounded by a support group that again had NO EXPERIENCE.

Hillary is ready to sort out the GOP mess on day one and will do so immediately.

In case you haven''t noticed Obama is trying to use Hillarys plan and he doesn''t even understand it...

He''s a slick Chicago style Politician.

He bashes Hillarys gas holiday and tells everyone hos bad it is but if you look into the facts you find out that the fool voted for a gas holiday in the senate...

If it''s so wrong then why did he himself vote FOR IT??

Wake up!!!

Hillary has the experience and she has a very strong and wise support group.. There is NO COMPARISON between the two.

God Bless Hillary Clinton

[aldon61]

Dave_1958:Get your facts straight; the crossing over of Republicans voters to vote in Democrat primaries has been a boon for "Bosnia" Clinton. Operation Chaos, sponsered by Rush Limbaugh has as a core stratagy, disruption in the democratic race. This was launched at a time that Obama was running away with the nomination. Their people are voting for Clinton to keep the bloodletting within the party. The net affect is that she has clawed her way back, thanks to the Republicans. If you''re going to post Dave, better keep it factual, there are many of us who will call you on your fiction.

[aldon61]

ksh1022: Obama did not lose Texas. Down here, we had both a primary and a caucus. Hillary won the primary, Obama won the caucus; net delegates: Obama 99, Clinton 94; who won the state? It''s all about delegates baby!

[omaar-101]

1. The ''''Hussein'''' Name Game ...Old Hat, This Played Out. Scare Tactic has Failed Months Ago...Ask Hillary Clinton

2. His Deceased Muslim Father...The Man is a Christian an it does not Matter about his Religion or Beliefs, Practice ''''Seperation Of Church & State'''' thats why it was Written in...A!! Hole

3. The Rev. Wright Scare Tactic ..Another Failed Played Out Scare Tactic..Not Working.

4. Obama is also White and his Blood 8th Cousin VP (Cheney) & 11th Blood Cousin Pres. (Bush) can Vouch him..Too

His Blood Relatives are Former U.S. Pres. James Madison, Harry S. Truman, Gerald Ford, President Bushs Sr. & Jr., Lyndon B. Johnson and also Winston Churchhill & Robert E. Lee, is that White Enough for You !!


Until Clinton pulls EVEN or SURPASS Obama, You Hillarites are Blowing Sand out of Your A!!''''''''s !!

Until Clinton EVENS Obama or SURPASSES Obamas Numbers..Hillarys A!! is the LOSER !!!


Democrats | 2,025 Needed to Clinch

OBAMA (1,745)

CLINTON 1,603

EDWARDS 18


Republicans | 1,191 Needed to Clinch
MCCAIN 1,241
HUCKABEE 231
ROMNEY 149

CBS News estimates. Includes super delegates

[remco82]

Emperor Caligula gives thumbs down to Hillary.

[omaar-101]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_gBO137t79k


Hillary is our only Hope for Change...Bull-Spit !!

Bill & Hillary Clinton Arab Ties and Big Oil Corporation Ties says...Otherwise !!

1. Bill & Hillary Clintons Offshore Cayman Island Account Begs to Differe with You !!

2. Bill Clintons (United Arab Emirates)Dubai Ports Deal, Begs to Differ with You !!

Note: The United Arab Emirate Citizens Piloted the (911 Planes) and Bill & Hillary are Heavily Financed by this Arab Nation, a Nation Hillary also said she ''Umbrella of Protection''.

3. The Saudi Arabian Money in the (500 Million) Bill Clinton Library, which is Chaired by Saudi Arabians ...and the Millions the Clintons get from Qatar, Kuwait and other Arab Nations...Begs to Differ about ...YOUR CLINTON CHANGE....

I MEAN CLINTON BUSINESS AS USUAL

[omaar-101]

Emperor Caligula (Bill Clinton)

Bill Clinton was Caligula in the Most Ill-Mannered, in Your Face Manner, to the American People and around the World, with his Queen Harlet on his Arm...and she had no Shame.

Bill Clinton is the Greatest *** Monger of All American Presidents...Period.

Accept that Fact and Stop Trying to Smear Obama with that Caligula ...Bull Spit !!

Bill Clinton is the Master & Undisputed ''*** Monger'' an thats Before the White, During The White House & After The White House !!


Bill (Caligula) Clinton & Hillary (Mans-Woman) Clinton, Still want Barack Obama as her Vice President...Another Fact

Thogh its Clinton, whose in the Losing Position

!!Democrats | 2,025 Needed to Clinch

OBAMA (1,745)

CLINTON 1,603

EDWARDS 18


Republicans | 1,191 Needed to Clinch
MCCAIN 1,241
HUCKABEE 231
ROMNEY 149

CBS News estimates. Includes super delegates

[omaar-101]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_gBO137t7
9k


Hillary is our only Hope for Change...Bull-Spit !!

Bill & Hillary Clinton Arab Ties and Big Oil Corporation Ties says...Otherwise !!

1. Bill & Hillary Clintons Offshore Cayman Island Account Begs to Differe with You !!

2. Bill Clintons (United Arab Emirates)Dubai Ports Deal, Begs to Differ with You !!

Note: The United Arab Emirate Citizens Piloted the (911 Planes) and Bill & Hillary are Heavily Financed by this Arab Nation, a Nation Hillary also said she ''Umbrella of Protection''.

3. The Saudi Arabian Money in the (500 Million) Bill Clinton Library, which is Chaired by Saudi Arabians ...and the Millions the Clintons get from Qatar, Kuwait and other Arab Nations...Begs to Differ about ...YOUR CLINTON CHANGE....

I MEAN CLINTON BUSINESS AS USUAL

Note: Saudi Arabians Piloted the (911 Planes), yet Hillary Clinton says the Umbrella of Protection, will extended to saudi Arabia as well, not just...Israel !!


A Lying Clinton...A Lying Clinton !!!

[liar-clinton]

Is Hillary really for the common man and woman?

1) Hillary voted AGAINST the Vitter amendment which PREVENTS the government from confiscating guns from law abiding citizens during emergencies or martial law. Interestingly Obama voted for it and for the rights of gun owners.

2) The Clintons recently revealed on their tax returns that they had amassed fortunes of 109 million dollars.

3) Hillary was instrumental in pushing FOR and getting NAFTA passed which has been a disaster for American workers. According to documents released by the National Archives, Hillary in 1993 attended at least 5 meetings that were used to win approval of NAFTA by Congress and these documents detailed her role in promoting NAFTA while she was with billy boy.

4) Hillary along with the Republicans voted for the Iraq War which have taken billions of our tax paying dollars out of our pockets and put them into the pockets of oil companies and defense contractors.

[rowdytexan2]

If Obama gets the nomination, the democrats won''t see the White House. It''s that simple.

No one is stating the fact that before Obama ran in the primary they were all for Hillary, but now it''s obvious that a very large percentage are voting for Obama just because he is black. I don''t care what Rev Wright preaches in his church, but if Oprah had the sense to walk away after only a few years, why did Obama walk away only after 20 years and a personal attack when Rev Wright called him a politician. My objection to Obama is his lack of judgment and his inexperience. The Super delegates are backing Obama because they are afraid of riots. They also have profited by backing him. He has donated over $600,000 to Super delegates. Obama supporters will not change their minds about Obama nor will I change my mind about Clinton. If the DNC is worried about the riots if Obama doesn%u2019t win, they should stop and think what will happen if Hillary looses. Without Florida and Michigan having their votes counted this will be a bigger mess than the hanging chads. Obama doesn%u2019t want a revote in those states, and he is petrified to debate Hillary one on one.. If you truly believed in Obama, I would think you would want to see how he would handle himself in a real debate and you would want every vote in every state to count. Obama doesn%u2019t want a revote because he is ahead, but everyone knows that he would have lost both states and would be down in the popular vote and possibly the delegates..

[primilioneah]

It is a fact some of the Clinton''s votes are crossovers

[blackshaft-2009]

I found this online and thought I would share this with you all!

Who will be the next president who will take the Declaration of Independence and tear it to shreds? Who will destroy any icon picture or symbol in the White house? Who will paint the White house black? So it can be known as the Black House throughout the world! Who will sign the GLOBAL POVERTY ACT costing American tax payers 845 Billion dollars, Billion, over the next six years? Which will help support a terrorist child today so he can grow up and love us to death tomorrow? Who cares nothing for the poor in America who are homeless! Who cares nothing for the uninsured in America! Who cares nothing for the starving in America by eventually signing the GLOBAL POVERTY ACT!

Vote Obama and Farahkhan
For President and Vice President Today!

[ksh1022]

If Obama gets the nomination he will end up just like Mondale, Dukakis and Kerry. Is this what we want Dems?

[taddles-2009]

"If Obama gets the nomination he will end up just like Mondale, Dukakis and Kerry. Is this what we want Dems?

Posted by ksh1022 at 12:02 PM : May 06, 2008"


LOL, your assumption there is that Hillary will get some kind of reprieve from the Republican attack machine. You think the right wing is less sexist than racist?