April 30, 2008

CBS Poll: Obama Leads, But...

CBS/NY Times Poll: Obama Bests Clinton By Eight Points Among Democrats, But Clinton Fares Better In Head-To-Head With McCain

    •  (CBS/AP)

    • Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., listens to a question from the media during a news conference held after a town hall-style meeting in Winston-Salem N.C., Tuesday, April 29, 2008.

      Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., listens to a question from the media during a news conference held after a town hall-style meeting in Winston-Salem N.C., Tuesday, April 29, 2008.  (AP)

    • Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., waves to supporters at a rally in Princeton, Ind., Tuesday, April 29, 2008.

      Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., waves to supporters at a rally in Princeton, Ind., Tuesday, April 29, 2008.  (AP)

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    With Obama reeling in the Rev. Wright scandal, Hillary Clinton is attempting to retain a lead in Indiana with a focus on the state's blue-collar voters. Dean Reynolds reports.

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    Sen. Barack Obama is holding his own among Democrats, but trails Sen. John McCain in national polls as he continues to deal with fallout from the Rev. Wright controversy. Dean Reynolds reports.

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(CBS)  Barack Obama leads Hillary Clinton by eight points among Democratic primary voters nationwide, according to a new CBS News/New York Times poll. But fewer expect Obama to be the Democratic nominee than did one month ago, and fewer see him as the Democrat with the best chance of beating presumptive GOP nominee John McCain in November.

Obama leads Clinton 46 percent to 38 percent among Democrats who have either already voted in a primary contest or still plan to, with 14 percent saying they are undecided or don't know whom they support. The eight-point margin marks an increase from April 3rd, when Obama led Clinton by three points.

But a smaller percentage of Democratic primary voters now see Obama, who has been on the defensive following revelations of his controversial former pastor's statements and his leaked comments that some voters had become "bitter," as their party's likely nominee. Fifty-one percent now say they expect Obama to win the nomination, down from 69 percent on April 3rd, while thirty-four percent now expect Clinton to be the nominee, up from 21 percent a month ago.

And while Obama continues to have an advantage over Clinton when it comes to which candidate is seen as more electable, the gap has narrowed there as well. Today, 48 percent of Democratic primary voters think Obama has the best chance of defeating McCain in November, down 8 points from a month ago. Thirty-seven percent say Clinton is more likely to beat McCain.

Complete CBS News Polls:
The General Election
The Democratic Race
General Election Battle:

In a head-to-head match-up with McCain, Clinton fared better than her rival: The New York senator led McCain 48 percent to 43 percent among all registered voters, while Obama and McCain were tied at 45 percent.

Four weeks ago, Obama held a five point lead over McCain. Since then, Obama has lost support among women, particularly white women, while Clinton has maintained her five-point edge.

McCain leads Obama 47 percent to 44 percent among all female registered voters. That marks a 16 point swing from a month ago, when Obama led McCain 51 percent to 38 percent among the group. Among white women, McCain has extended his edge over Obama from four points to seventeen. He leads Obama 55 percent to 38 percent among the group.

Poll Database
Search recent CBS News campaign polls.
Women favor Clinton over McCain 53 percent to 40 percent.

Obama's unfavorable rating has risen over the past month. On April 3rd, he was viewed favorably by 43 percent of registered voters and unfavorably by 24 percent. Now he is viewed favorably by 39 percent and unfavorably by 34 percent - a ten point increase in unfavorable rating.

Continued



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by rufisgufis May 3, 2008 10:18 PM EDT
http://www.ireport.com/docs/DOC-10793

IF A PASTOR IS KNOWN BY THE COMPANY THEY KEEP! When the Rev. William Procanick put his hand on the Bible during his sexual-abuse trial in Oneida County Court earlier this year, he swore to tell the whole truth and nothing but the truth. But as the former Clinton pastor was sentenced Friday to three years in prison for inappropriately touching a 7-year-old girl at his home last March, Judge Michael L. Dwyer said , Procanick sacrificed his honesty the day he testified. Okay, so now that Bill and Hillary Clinton''s pastor has been convicted of child molestation, will we see the same furor directed at Hillary that Obama has had to endure these last few weeks? IF A CANDIDATE IS KNOWN BY THE PASTOR THEY KEEP ...... Then you need to email this article to everyone you know. Here the CLINTON''S Pastor is convicted of child molestation. So, if Obama bears the guilt for his pastor''s comments, then Hillary has to be equally tainted by this guy''s crimes.
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by rufisgufis May 3, 2008 5:25 PM EDT
ONCE YOU GO BARACK YOU CAN''T GO BACK!!!
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by rufisgufis May 3, 2008 5:22 PM EDT
ONCE YOU GO BARACK YOU CAN''T GO BACK!!!!
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by blackyowe May 3, 2008 5:18 PM EDT
The overwhelming fact is Obama is not experienced enough to be president and although he is pretty he has nothing to stand on....
Reply to this comment
by karela33 May 3, 2008 9:29 AM EDT
This article is less about facts then about innuendo. The overwhelming fact is that Obama is way ahead. Ahead in the quoted polls. Ahead in delegates won, (you know, the stated way the democratic party choses it''s nominee). Ahead in states won by about two to one. Ahead in popular vote---which isn''t a valid marker anyway because it doesn''t give credit to the states that chose their candidate by caucus. He''s just ahead. He''s already won this nomination and all the rest is just Clinton spin. She has a right to try all the twists and turns I suppose, but we have a right to be clear eyed in our response to her.
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by jhn107 May 3, 2008 8:25 AM EDT
Obama has created a database of democratic donors that is worth $200 million dollars. The database is considered his personal asset and election laws require other democrats to pay for access to it in the future. He is the only candidate who will walk away from this election--win or lose--$200 millions richer. For those peope keeping count, that is 2x as much as Bill & Hillary earned in 7 years. Bloomberg is reporting that the Democratic Party will be beholding to him for at least the next decade. That goes a long way toward explaining the DNC and the super delegates behavior to me.
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by eddynewhope May 3, 2008 3:54 AM EDT
Bill Clinton PARDONED a bunch of the Weathman whatever they were, and Senator Obama was 8 years old. Are you fuggin serious? Like Hillary, you''ll say anything to garner votes. Wanna see something funny? YouTube "The War Room pt 9." At about 4:48 minutes in, that''s Hillary''s campaign adviser saying "Who cares about Indiana - those people are sh*t" standing next to George Stephenopolis who moderated the last debate, and James Carvelle, another Hillary adviser. Woooopsy.
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by nanging3 May 3, 2008 2:04 AM EDT
Barack Obama is on record as orchestrating the defeat of Illinois%u2019 Born Alive Infants Protection Act. (Jill Stanek has documented this extensively.) While it is obvious that everyone in the pro-life community finds this sufficiently repulsive to vote for whoever (or whatever) is running against Obama, no self-respecting pro-choice person is going to stand with Obama on this either. Jerrold Nadler (D-NY, one of the most liberal members of Congress) said of the Federal version of this legislation, %u201CThere is no such thing as a right to a live birth abortion.%u201D
Reply to this comment
by hillary4us May 3, 2008 1:52 AM EDT
CHARGE 21 - %u201CI barely know William Ayers%u201D %u2013 A.K.A. %u2013 Abu Zayd

EVIDENCE %u2013 Senator Obama announced the start of his Senate campaign from the front steps of William Ayers%u2019 home, in the neighborhood that they share. SOURCE 1, SOURCE 2, SOURCE 3

COUNTER CLAIM %u2013 Just because Senator Obama lives in the same neighborhood with Ayers doesn%u2019t prove they knew each other well.

REBUTTAL %u2013 William Ayers (or Abu-Zayd), Louis Farrakhan, and Senator Obama all live in the same neighborhood. Ayers is the founder of the Woods Fund, of which Senator Obama was it%u2019s director from 1999 to 2002. Perhaps one might ask oneself; who chooses the director of the Wood Fund? Perhaps its founder? Secondly, if Senator Obama announced his campaign run in Illinois from Ayers%u2019s home, did he not ask Ayers%u2019 permission first? If the Senator did not know Abu-Zayd Ayers well, then how did he come to choose Ayers%u2019 front steps to announce his campaign? Random chance?

VERDICT %u2013 SENATOR OBAMA, YOU ARE A LIAR
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by hillary4us May 3, 2008 1:46 AM EDT
CHARGE 5 - %u201CPresident Kennedy rescued my father from Kenyan obscurity and airlifted him to the American Dream.%u201D

EVIDENCE %u2013 Senator Obama%u2019s father came in September 1960, while EISENHOWER was President. SOURCE 1, SOURCE 2

COUNTER CLAIM %u2013 But his father did come to the U.S. so what is the big deal?

REBUTTAL %u2013 Senator Obama misrepresents historical events. No speech by President John F. Kennedy brought Senator Obama%u2019s father to the U.S. in 1960. John F. Kennedy was not President in 1960, Dwight D. Eisenhower was President. The Senator is attempting to subtly equate himself with J.F.K., subconsciously implying he would be a similar President. Senator Obama, you are no Jack Kennedy.

VERDICT - SENATOR OBAMA, YOU ARE A LIAR
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by hillary4us May 3, 2008 1:45 AM EDT
THE TRUTH VS. BARACK OBAMA

* * *
CHARGE 1 %u2013 %u201CThe March on Selma got me born.%u201D

EVIDENCE - Senator Obama was born August 4th, 1961. The march on Selma began March 7th, 1965. SOURCE 1, SOURCE 2

COUNTER CLAIM %u2013 Senator Obama was talking about the general movement, not specifically about Selma.

REBUTTTAL %u2013 Senator Obama was in Selma, Alabama, before a mostly AA crowd at the Brown Chapel AME Church on March 4th, 2007. He clearly stated %u201Cbecause some folks were willing to march across a bridge . . . they (his parents) got together, and Barack Obama, Jr. was born. So don%u2019t tell me I don%u2019t have a claim on Selma, Alabama!%u201D Barack Hussein Obama was born on August 4, 1961. The first march on Selma, Alabama occurred on March 7, 1965.

VERDICT %u2013 SENATOR OBAMA, YOU ARE A LIAR
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by ghostdog8 May 3, 2008 1:36 AM EDT
indigogrrl

The rev wright can''t comment. He is probably swimming with the fishes with cement overshoes!
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by lindaredtail May 3, 2008 1:05 AM EDT
And if as someone tried to say a person is known by the pastor they keep then all the Republicans should not hold office for another day in some of your way of thinking. That whole group that I listed have great influence in the Republican party and John McCain will be meeting with many of them next week. We have a double standard.
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by lindaredtail May 3, 2008 12:57 AM EDT
I read all of this commentary and I just shake my head. Has anyone listened to the declassified Watergate tapes. In particular the ones of Billy Graham in conversation with Henry Kissinger. Long racist commentary. Yet he is considered one of the most prominent ministers to white people in this country. Haggee is anti-Catholic. Hurricane Katrina is a punishment he said. Bob Jones is a racist and anti-Catholic. James Dobson sent me a pamphlet one time that was so anti-Semetic I never allowed another writing from him in my home. Robertson is just crazed in general. Parsley (John McCain called him his spiritual advisor)believes that Islam (not just extremists) must be utterly defeated. We surely do have tunnel vision when it comes to this subject.
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by indigogrrl May 3, 2008 12:50 AM EDT
the latest wright thing was totally staged ... he did his thing, Obama got to denounce him just in time...and then exit stage left. If he was really trying to "bring him down" he would still be talking ...yet here we are days later and no response from the spurned Rev Wright....

what a sham ....
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by nanging3 May 2, 2008 11:39 PM EDT
It is too late Obama just take your snotty unpatriotic wife and your radical associates and go back to Chi Town ...
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by nanging3 May 2, 2008 11:38 PM EDT
Why will Obama continue to go to that racist church, that practices Black
Theology from the writing of Marxist James H Cone%u2026?

have you read this?%u2026%u2026%u2026.this is what his church teaches to his daughters on
Sundays%u2026%u2026%u2026.these are the writings of James Cones - you can look it up -

%u201CBlack theology refuses to accept a God who is not identified totally with the
goals of the black community. If God is not for us and against white people,
then he is a murderer and we had better kill him. The task of black theology is
to kill gods who do not belong to the black community. Black theology will
accept only the love of God which participates in the destruction of the white
enemy. What we need is the divine love as expressed in black power which is the
power of black people to destroy their oppressors here and now by any means at
their disposal. Unless God is participating in his holy activity, we must reject
his love.%u201D

%u2026and Obama himself%u2026

Malcolm X%u2019s autobiography seemed to offer something different,%u201D Obama wrote.
%u201CHis repeated acts of self-creation spoke to me; the blunt poetry of his words,
his unadorned insistence on respect, promised a new and uncompromising order,
martial in its discipline, forged through sheer force of will.%u201D




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by nanging3 May 2, 2008 11:34 PM EDT
One of the lesser reported revelations of Obama''s San Francisco reverie is that
he went on a college trip to Pakistan (during the period of the establishment of
the Mujahideen "training camps" (against the Soviets at that time))...does
anybody remember the The Buffalo Six?...the Lackawanna Six? It was their little
"college trip" to Pakistan that got them arrested.

But I''m sure Obama''s trip was completely innocent...that he exercised the same
stellar judgement in picking out people there to meet and greet as he has here
in picking out his role models (Jeremny Wright),political passage mentors (Bill
Ayers) and land deal advisors (Antoin "Tony" Rezko).
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by ghostdog8 May 2, 2008 10:54 PM EDT
The video that has been circulating on the internet has been proven beyond all doubt to be a FAKE. These poor dumb idiots that posted it have just helped drive another nail into Obama''s coffin.
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by philly1550 May 2, 2008 10:19 PM EDT
if the press digs into Michelle''''s writings and comments will it be his wife...

The media should look into Michele Obama''s racial writings she submitted at Princeton Univ...I think she is in agreement with her life-long pastor Rev Wright.
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