April 10, 2008
AP Poll: McCain Tied With Dems
McCain Erases 10-Point Deficit With Obama, Statistically Tied With Clinton
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The survey showed the extended Democratic primary campaign creating divisions among supporters of Obama and rival Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton and suggests a tight race for the presidency in November no matter which Democrat becomes the nominee. (
McCain is benefiting from a bounce since he clinched the GOP nomination a month ago. The four-term Arizona senator has moved up in matchups with each of the Democratic candidates, particularly Obama.
An AP-Ipsos poll taken in late February had Obama leading McCain 51-41 percent. The current survey, conducted April 7-9, had them at 45 percent each. McCain leads Obama among men, whites, Southerners, married women and independents.
Clinton led McCain, 48-43 percent, in February. The latest survey showed the New York senator with 48 percent support to McCain's 45 percent. Factoring in the poll's margin of error of 3.1 percentage points, Clinton and McCain are statistically tied.
The last month has been challenging for Obama. The Illinois senator suffered high-profile losses in Texas and Ohio that encouraged Clinton, who pushed on even harder against him. Obama's campaign also suffered a blow with scrutiny of incendiary sermons delivered by his longtime pastor. The candidate responded by delivering perhaps the biggest speech of his campaign to call for racial understanding.
Obama is also facing almost daily critiques from Clinton and McCain, questioning whether the freshman lawmaker has the experience to be a wartime leader.
Despite all the conflict surrounding Obama, the Democratic contest is unchanged from February with Obama at 46 percent and Clinton at 43 percent. But the heated primary is creating divisions among the electorate - many Clinton and Obama supporters say they would rather vote for McCain if their chosen Democrat doesn't win the nomination.
About a quarter of Obama supporters say they'll vote for McCain if Clinton is the Democratic nominee. About a third of Clinton supporters say they would vote for McCain if it's Obama.
Against McCain, Obama lost ground among women - from 57 percent in February to 47 percent in April. Obama dropped 12 points among women under 45, 14 points among suburban women and 15 points among married women.
He also lost nine points or more among voters under 35, high-income households, whites, Catholics, independents, Southerners, people living in the Northeast and those with a high school education or less.
Although the race between Clinton and Obama remained unchanged, there were a few shifts in whom voters are choosing:
The poll questioned 1,005 adults nationally. Included were interviews with 489 Democratic voters and people leaning Democratic, with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.4 points; and 369 Republicans or GOP-leaning voters, with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 5.1 points.
© MMVIII The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
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- A vote for McCain would move the courts even further to the far right, do nothing for social security, allow the US to continue its wasteful occupation in Iraq for years, and generally wreak more failed Republican policies on the US for another 4 years. If McCain gets elected, the US doesn''t deserve any better,that''s for sure. We might as well face the prospect of being a rundown, once great country forever mired in debt and losing jobs.
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- I do not believe, cannot believe, that Americans would be so stupid as to really vote for McCain. His ideas about Iraq and Iran are terrifying. He doesn''t even seem to understand what''s going on. I''m afraid he''ll do something terribly rash if he gets into office. (Also, he knows nothing about the economy, which most of us voters are very worried about.) Thsi is just a freak poll, or nobody''s really thinking much about what McCain would really do if president because they''re too busy watching the Dems now.
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- I do not believe, cannot believe, that Americans would be so stupid as to really vote for McCain. His ideas about Iraq and Iran are terrifying. He doesn''t even seem to understand what''s going on. I''m afraid he''ll do something terribly rash if he gets into office. (Also, he knows nothing about the economy, which most of us voters are very worried about.) Thsi is just a freak poll, or nobody''s really thinking much about what McCain would really do if president because they''re too busy watching the Dems now.
- Reply to this comment
- I do not believe, cannot believe, that Americans would be so stupid as to really vote for McCain. His ideas about Iraq and Iran are terrifying. He doesn''t even seem to understand what''s going on. I''m afraid he''ll do something terribly rash if he gets into office. (Also, he knows nothing about the economy, which most of us voters are very worried about.) Thsi is just a freak poll, or nobody''s really thinking much about what McCain would really do if president because they''re too busy watching the Dems now.
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- NOT ONE POST! SOOOOOOO typical of the posters at leftwing central! LOL!
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- many Clinton and Obama supporters say they would rather vote for McCain if their chosen Democrat doesn''t win the nomination.
That''s just a lot of baloney. The Dimwitocrats are a dumb bunch but not that dumb. - Reply to this comment
Best-selling author Mitch Albom on his first nonfiction work since "Tuesdays with Morrie."
