April 10, 2008
AP Poll: McCain Tied With Dems
McCain Erases 10-Point Deficit With Obama, Statistically Tied With Clinton
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The survey showed the extended Democratic primary campaign creating divisions among supporters of Obama and rival Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton and suggests a tight race for the presidency in November no matter which Democrat becomes the nominee. (
McCain is benefiting from a bounce since he clinched the GOP nomination a month ago. The four-term Arizona senator has moved up in matchups with each of the Democratic candidates, particularly Obama.
An AP-Ipsos poll taken in late February had Obama leading McCain 51-41 percent. The current survey, conducted April 7-9, had them at 45 percent each. McCain leads Obama among men, whites, Southerners, married women and independents.
Clinton led McCain, 48-43 percent, in February. The latest survey showed the New York senator with 48 percent support to McCain's 45 percent. Factoring in the poll's margin of error of 3.1 percentage points, Clinton and McCain are statistically tied.
The last month has been challenging for Obama. The Illinois senator suffered high-profile losses in Texas and Ohio that encouraged Clinton, who pushed on even harder against him. Obama's campaign also suffered a blow with scrutiny of incendiary sermons delivered by his longtime pastor. The candidate responded by delivering perhaps the biggest speech of his campaign to call for racial understanding.
Obama is also facing almost daily critiques from Clinton and McCain, questioning whether the freshman lawmaker has the experience to be a wartime leader.
Despite all the conflict surrounding Obama, the Democratic contest is unchanged from February with Obama at 46 percent and Clinton at 43 percent. But the heated primary is creating divisions among the electorate - many Clinton and Obama supporters say they would rather vote for McCain if their chosen Democrat doesn't win the nomination.
About a quarter of Obama supporters say they'll vote for McCain if Clinton is the Democratic nominee. About a third of Clinton supporters say they would vote for McCain if it's Obama.
Against McCain, Obama lost ground among women - from 57 percent in February to 47 percent in April. Obama dropped 12 points among women under 45, 14 points among suburban women and 15 points among married women.
He also lost nine points or more among voters under 35, high-income households, whites, Catholics, independents, Southerners, people living in the Northeast and those with a high school education or less.
Although the race between Clinton and Obama remained unchanged, there were a few shifts in whom voters are choosing:
The poll questioned 1,005 adults nationally. Included were interviews with 489 Democratic voters and people leaning Democratic, with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.4 points; and 369 Republicans or GOP-leaning voters, with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 5.1 points.
© MMVIII The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
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See all 235 CommentsWORDS MATER. BUT, ONLY IF THEY HAVE TRUTH AND MEANING.
GOD "BLESS" AMERICA. NOT "G D" AMERICA.
This from those two huge Clinton fans *** Morris & Eileen McGann on Fox News. No worries yet.
Posted by LibH8er
One reason for comparison between 76 and now. Nixon and Bush - the two most despised presidents of all time. The democrats could have won with Daffy Duck and Porky the Pig then - it should be even easier this time.
McCain''s been around so long that there are really no surprises left. Same with Hillary. Obama stands to lose the most from all of this, because he is not as well known, and surprises are popping up all over the place.
Posted by guyfrompa45
I don''t know where pa45 is but if you believe that it mustt be way out of this Solar System.
Posted by guyfrompa45
We''ll ALL swallow our pride on Election day. Mc.Cain is currently out of sight and out of mind. The longer he stays there, the better the polls will look to him. As soon as he has to face either Hillary or Barack in a debate it''ll be syonara John.
Posted by Trapbreak
I believe you will find that in ''76 Carter beat Ford, mainly because the country was pissed off with Nixon''s shenanigans. This equates to this year, where I am supremely doubtful Bush is going to win re-election. He''s done such a foul job whoever the Repugs put up won''t stand a chance.
Posted by USBrit at 04:24 PM : Apr 10, 2008
It might be.....but with Ubama and Clinton??? Either would be as abysmal as the Carter....which gave us 8 years of Reagan/Thatcher, and 4 of Bush....12 years total. Bush, Sr. gave us 8 years of Clinton so it''s not out of the question for Bush, Jr. to hand us another Clinton.
Posted by USBrit at 04:35 PM : Apr 10, 2008
It would appear the current AP poll does not support your thesis.
Posted by trapbreak
I lived in GA when Zell Miller sold out to the Repugs. Please don''t use his name unless it''s as a bad example of loyalty.
Posted by LibH8er
Reagan/Thatcher now does that bring back memories (and some rather unfortunate images). I kinda lost your thread there. I wasn''t in the States when Carter was elected (I arrived in 1979), so I don''t remember how he got picked. But I agree he seems to have made more of himself since leaving office than during.
Posted by badaxmofo
Check out my first post and/or Fox News you''ll find your fellow travellers D1ck Morris and Eileen McGann think just the same. I''m happy to say that''s the first time I''ve agreed with either of them since Bill fired them both.
The war will continue, draining this country''s resources at 8 billion a month. But then we taxpayers are bottomless money bags, aren''t we? And our military...endless lives to bleed out in some foreign country, while our economy bottoms out. Iraq reconstruction has gotten twice the funds of Katrina reconstruction, but are they reconstructed yet? No? Ever?
How much is YOUR milk, pet food, and other staples costing you lately, without even discussing gas. What is your dollar buying these days, because Canada''s dollar is now buying just as much.
So yes, vote McCain, let the US stay on its current path, and go back to watching cable and eating Doritos.
Once again, the stupid, cowardly Whimpo-crats have demonstarted that they cannot get their act together when it comes to running a solid campaign, being content to shot themselves in the foot as they bicker back and forth. The general public, fed up with this constant arguing which Howard Dean seems to think is making the party "stronger"(???), is switching its attitude toward "Bagdad John" who, while he may have frequent senior moments, is the only one people see as "steady"(???).
Of course, the neocon Fascist Nazi GOP is elated by all this in that it will mean another 4 years of the "Bush Doctrine", which includes 4 more years of war (this time with more people than just Afghanistan and Iran), more free trade deals, ALL jobs sent overseas, the continued devaluation of the dollar, the total destruction of the middle class, and continued tax breaks for the rich and corporate America meaning continued high profits through high prices and the selling of lousy and dangerous products to those who can afford them!
The neocon Fascist Nazi GOP is very happy that the people of the USSA are so STUPID!!!!!!
SIG HEIL, BUSH!!!!
sig heil, (more of the same) McCain!!!
Sweetheart, you''ve been wrong about so much, we don''t even care any more.
Those folks in America voting Republican really want to make turn this country upside down, was it really that bad under Bill Clinton and the Democrats? I recall prosperity. It''s simple, McCain is a Republican and that affiliation alone should make even the fools know that Republican have bankrupted this country. Now for those voting Republican fools, understand that your boy McCain won%u2019t be the one who save the US from the c*p its in.
Why is it Republicans, create the mess, the Democrats then resort to fixing the mess and in the process are chastised for it? What sly people Republicans are
Do you think that the rising cost of things might have something to do with the raise in the minimum wage? Who pressed that through Congress?
Do you think it might have something to do with land that used to produce other crops being plowed under so that farmers can make corn for Ethanol? Yes, ethanol, that alternative fuel that actually uses MORE oil to produce than it replaces in the economy. Oh and who gave us ethanol subsidies resulting in less land use for food thus driving up the price of food?? YOUR Democratic Congress!
Posted by USBrit at 04:38 PM : Apr 10, 2008
I live in GA and can tell you all about Zell Miller. When Zell was appointed by the dem gov to fill the seat of the republican congressman who passed away, Zell did what he should have done....not what the dem governor tried to get him to do.
He voted like the constituants elected their man for. That was quite an honborable thing to do. He didn''t "sell out." He voted his conscience.....unlike the lockstep dems who can''t think for themselves.
That might have been honorable, but appearing on the same stage as GWB and criticizing the democratic nominee at the Republican Convention was certainly NOT.
Gotta go - see y''all tomorrow!!!
He is becoming a Democrat at home and a Neocon overseas.
Funny these polls are chaotic at best with this poll of McCain/Republicans tied with Democrats. If compared to other polls, should really read 30% for Republicans and 60% Democrats, this business of 50/50, someone is really trying hard to scare folks
If you cannot attend in person, let your voice be heard by joining the email campaign all day long. We are tired of journalistic integrity taking a back seat to Obama adulation. We expect the media to INFORM us, not LEAD us. We want the votes in Florida and Michigan to count. We are tired of continued demands for Hillary Clinton to drop out of the race prematurely.
Email your thoughts to:
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%u2026and any other media outlet that you feel has been unfair during this primary campaign.
Let your voices be heard! Hillary Clinton forum... Yahoo Groups.
May I have permission to march in front FOXNEWS?
You got my vote big John, lets roll to victory in the USA and in Iraq ! No surrender John, as GW has done, you will do.
The country is not ready for a woman or a minority for President yet. Makes nice for the media, but not realistic, of course this is my view and many others I have talked to about the election.
Remember what happened to Ceau%u015Fescu.
Interesting are the polls for Ohio, Penn and Fla where McCain leads Obama in all three.
The Democrats can not win without two of those three states.
Wish the Republican voters would foot the bill and start paying for the war in Iraq and other Republican cr*p. If you vote Republican, you ought to pay for Republican disasters.
KInd of like how we have been footing the bill for all the Dem disasters, such as Medicare, Medicade,Welfare, the New (Raw) Deal. Public Education,and all the other social(ist) programs foisted upon us by the Dems. We have been paying the bills for a long,long time
McObama
McHillary.
What''s the difference?
No matter what happens this year, we end up with a liberal Democrat for president.
The next 4 years are going to be bleak, bleak, bleak.
You''re going to hate it.
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