CBS Poll: Dems Lead Over McCain Narrows
Obama, Clinton Hold Slim Leads In General Election Matchup; Clinton Narrows Deficit With Obama
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Dems Wait, McCain Flexes
After the primary votes are counted, the Democratic nomination may still not be secured. Nancy Cordes reports.
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Cheney, McCain Visit Iraq
Vice President Dick Cheney and Sen. John McCain are both in Iraq on separate missions, each meeting one-on-one with Prime Minister Nouri Al-Maliki. Joel Brown reports.
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Chance Of Dem Fallout?
Clinton supporter Leon Panetta addresses whether Democrats will divide if Barack Obama (who currently leads in the delegate count and public vote) does not win the nomination. Bob Schieffer reports.
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If the election were held today and Obama and McCain were the candidates, 48 percent of those surveyed say they would support Obama while 43 percent say they would support McCain. In February, Obama led McCain 50 percent to 38 percent.
If Clinton and McCain were the candidates, the New York senator receives 46 percent support to McCain's 44 percent.
In a turnaround from last month, McCain now leads both Obama and Clinton among independent voters. Obama led McCain by 10 points among this group last month, but he now trails by 8 points. Clinton trails McCain by 11 points among independents.
Obama has the highest favorable rating of the three candidates - 44 percent - followed by Clinton at 39 percent and McCain at 38 percent. Clinton, meanwhile, has the highest unfavorable rating at 41 percent, followed by McCain at 31 percent and Obama at 28 percent.
Among Democratic primary voters, Obama is only slightly preferred over Clinton, 46 percent to 43 percent. Last month Obama led Clinton by a wider margin, 54 percent to 38 percent.
Read The Complete Poll ResultsSince last month, Obama's national support among male Democratic primary voters has slipped considerably, though he still retains a 53 percent to 36 percent lead over Clinton among the group. Clinton has gained ground among female Democratic primary voters, and now leads Obama among that group 48 percent to 40 percent.
Sixty seven percent of Democratic primary voters do not think their party's nominee will be decided until the convention, and 44 percent think a protracted nomination fight will leave the eventual nominee weakened for the general election. A smaller percentage - 27 percent - say such a fight will strengthen the nominee.
Democratic primary voters are generally satisfied with their choices, however: Seventy-six would be satisfied with Obama as the party's nominee and 70 percent would be satisfied with Clinton.
The Superdelegates
If Obama wins more elected delegates but Clinton becomes the nominee because of the vote of the Democratic Party insiders known as superdelegates, 36 percent of Obama supporters say they would be angry. Fifty-six percent would be disappointed, and just 8 percent would be satisfied with the outcome.
If Clinton wins more total votes but Obama takes the nomination because of superdelegates, 22 percent of Clinton supporters would be angry and 51 percent would be disappointed.
Forty-six percent of Democratic primary voters say the superdelegates should support whichever candidate wins the most votes in primaries and caucuses. Thirty percent say they should support the candidate with the best chance to win in November, while 21 percent say the superdelegates should back whomever they like.
The divisions may have as much to do with candidate preference as principle: A majority of Obama supporters want superdelegates to side with the candidate who wins the most primaries and caucuses. More Clinton backers think superdelegates should back the candidate they think can best win in November.
Can The Candidates Deliver?
Registered voters are skeptical as to whether any of the presidential candidates can deliver on some of their stated promises if they succeed in capturing the White House.
More than half do not think Clinton will be able to deliver on her promise to provide health care to all Americans. More than half do not think Obama will unite Democrats and Republicans if he is elected president. And more than half do not think McCain will deliver on his promise to cut government waste and spending.
Voters give all three candidates similar marks on their ability to make the right decisions about Iraq, with majorities saying they are at least somewhat confident in all the candidates to make the right decisions on Iraq.
Media Treatment Of The Candidates
Voters say the media have been harder on Clinton than on the other presidential candidates. Thirty-one percent of registered voters say the media have been harder on Clinton than the others, while 15 percent feel the media have been hardest on Obama and 14 percent say the same of McCain.
Twenty-eight percent say the media have been easiest on Obama, while just 13 percent say the same of Clinton. Women especially think Clinton has been treated harsher than the other candidates, with 39 percent taking that position.
And thirty-nine percent of African Americans think the media has been hardest on Clinton. Just 24 percent of African Americans say this about Obama.
As for McCain, Republicans are more likely than Democrats to say the media has been harder on him - but still just 19 percent say that.
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This poll was conducted among a random sample of 1,067 adults nationwide, interviewed by telephone March 15-18, 2008. The error due to sampling for results based on the entire sample could be plus or minus three percentage points. The error for subgroups is higher. An oversample of African Americans was also conducted for this poll, for a total of 122 interviews among this group and 106 African American registered voters. The results were then weighted in proportion to the racial composition of the adult population in the U.S. Census. The margin of error for African Americans (overall and registered voters) is plus or minus nine percentage points.
©MMVIII, CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
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See all 644 CommentsPosted by Smirk5
You have it all figured out and better info than he does so you richard? You know who is going to win the game this weekend too dont you, and who will get to the moon first right.
Evidently, I do. McCain said it 3 times in 2 days. Finally, Lieberman mentioned to him that he was mistaken. Then, McCain admits his error. He either did it on purpose which is really sad because he believes his followers are dumb enough to buy it. Or, he really didn''t know. That''s really sad.
Poor little Obama now Black playing the po Obama roll again out with his liberal buddies stoking that liberal guilt asking for the pity party because that mean rich white women and man are reminding him a black man just cant get elected..............
.....................oh come on puke CNN talk show. This man will day use exploit or do anything for personal power.
McCain can clean this guys clock more tapes are out also, how dumb can Dems Leadership get....
CBS everyone in the country knows that you''re a liberal political/news outlet.
Americans have seen a lot of "cooked" polls this election season and like most Americans we don''t trust CBS polls especially the ones that you do with the ultra corrupt NYTimes.
America''s liberal MSM wolfpack press.........what a really sad story.
Really sad indeed.
Posted by perception5
Who owns CNN? or MSNBC? ABC?
So ya think we have a "free press" eh? Check out who owns who, and who owns what you think.......
GENERAL ELECTRIC (donated 1.1 million to GW Bush for his 2000 election campaign)
Television Holdings:
* NBC: includes 13 stations, 28% of US households.
* NBC Network News: The Today Show, Nightly News with Tom Brokaw, Meet the Press, Dateline NBC, NBC News at Sunrise.
* CNBC business television; MSNBC 24-hour cable and Internet news service (co-owned by NBC and Microsoft); Court TV (co-owned with Time Warner), Bravo (50%), A&E (25%), History Channel (25%).
The "MS" in MSNBC means Microsoft - The same Microsoft that donated 2.4 million to get GW bush elected.
Other Holdings:
* GE Consumer Electronics.
* GE Power Systems: produces turbines for nuclear reactors and power plants.
* GE Plastics: produces military hardware and nuclear power equipment.
* GE Transportation Systems: runs diesel and electric trains.
Westinghouse Electric Company, part of the Nuclear Utilities Business Group of British Nuclear Fuels (BNFL)
whos #1 on the Board of Directors? None other than: Frank Carlucci (of the Carlyle Group)
Television Holdings:
* CBS: includes 14 stations and over 200 affiliates in the US.
* CBS Network News: 60 minutes, 48 hours, CBS Evening News with Dan Rather, CBS Morning News, Up to the Minute.
* Country Music Television, The Nashville Network, 2 regional sports networks.
* Group W Satellite Communications.
Other Holdings:
* Westinghouse Electric Company: provides services to the nuclear power industry.
* Westinghouse Government Environmental Services Company: disposes of nuclear and hazardous wastes. Also operates 4 government-owned nuclear power plants in the US.
* Energy Systems: provides nuclear power plant design and maintenance.
Television Holdings:
* Paramount Television, Spelling Television, MTV, VH-1, Showtime, The Movie Channel, UPN (joint owner), Nickelodeon, Comedy Central, Sundance Channel (joint owner), Flix.
* 20 major market US stations.
Media Holdings:
* Paramount Pictures, Paramount Home Video, Blockbuster Video, Famous Players Theatres, Paramount Parks.
* Simon & Schuster Publishing.
==================================================
DISNEY / ABC / CAP (donated 640 thousand to GW''s 2000 campaign)
Television Holdings:
* ABC: includes 10 stations, 24% of US households.
* ABC Network News: Prime Time Live, Nightline, 20/20, Good Morning America.
* ESPN, Lifetime Television (50%), as well as minority holdings in A&E, History Channel and E!
* Disney Channel/Disney Television, Touchtone Television.
Media Holdings:
* Miramax, Touchtone Pictures.
* Magazines: Jane, Los Angeles Magazine, W, Discover.
* 3 music labels, 11 major local newspapers.
* Hyperion book publishers.
* Infoseek Internet search engine (43%).
Other Holdings:
* Sid R. Bass (major shares) crude oil and gas.
* All Disney Theme Parks, Walt Disney Cruise Lines.
America Online (AOL) acquired Time Warner-the largest merger in corporate history.
Television Holdings:
* CNN, HBO, Cinemax, TBS Superstation, Turner Network Television, Turner Classic Movies, Warner Brothers Television, Cartoon Network, Sega Channel, TNT, Comedy Central (50%), E! (49%), Court TV (50%).
* Largest owner of cable systems in the US with an estimated 13 million subscribers.
Media Holdings:
* HBO Independent Productions, Warner Home Video, New Line Cinema, Castle Rock, Looney Tunes, Hanna-Barbera.
* Music: Atlantic, Elektra, Rhino, Sire, Warner Bros. Records, EMI, WEA, Sub Pop (distribution) = the world''s largest music company.
* 33 magazines including Time, Sports Illustrated, People, In Style, Fortune, Book of the Month Club, Entertainment Weekly, Life, DC Comics (50%), and MAD Magazine.
Other Holdings:
* Sports: The Atlanta Braves, The Atlanta Hawks, World Championship Wrestling.
Television Holdings:
* Fox Television: includes 22 stations, 50% of US households.
* Fox International: extensive worldwide cable and satellite networks include British Sky Broadcasting (40%); VOX, Germany (49.9%); Canal Fox, Latin America; FOXTEL, Australia (50%); STAR TV, Asia; IskyB, India; Bahasa Programming Ltd., Indonesia (50%); and News Broadcasting, Japan (80%).
* The Golf Channel (33%).
Media Holdings:
* Twentieth Century Fox, Fox Searchlight.
* 132 newspapers (113 in Australia alone) including the New York Post, the London Times and The Australian.
* 25 magazines including TV Guide and The Weekly Standard.
* HarperCollins books.
Other Holdings:
* Sports: LA Dodgers, LA Kings, LA Lakers, National Rugby League.
* Ansett Australia airlines, Ansett New Zealand airlines.
* Rupert Murdoch: Board of Directors, Philip Morris (USA).
*(Phillip Morris donated 2.9 million to George W Bush in 2000)*
I do take exception to the guy who says that Obama has told us his plans. He has not, only that he has some plans. That is how John Kerry lost, by claiming he had all those secret plans that he wouldn''t tell us about until he was elected.
Obama = no pandering to special interests
McCain = influence, corruption & division
Obama = dialogue, inclusion & change
McCain = popular votes received in primaries in OH [636,256], TX [709,477] & WI [224,226]
Obama = popular votes received in primaries in OH [979,025], TX [1,358,785] & WI [646,007]
McCain = no plan for health care
Obama = affordable coverage for all
McCain = no plan for the economy
Obama = middle class tax cuts, war-spending cuts and targeted domestic investment
McCain = 100 years in Iraq
Obama = immediate, enlightened redeployment
McCain = tax dollars go to military, special interests and war
Obama = tax dollars go to health, education & infrastructure
McCain = continue with Bush%u2019s tax breaks for the wealthy
Obama = ensure tax cuts for the working middle class
McCain = What, NAFTA rewards slave labor? Oh well, get over it, Michigan!!
Obama = renegotiate NAFTA to include enforceable labor and environmental standards.
McCain = %u201CBomb, bomb, bomb . . . bomb, bomb Iran.%u201D
Obama = diplomacy, reason and sanity . . . not war, death and destruction [see above].
McCain = viewed internationally as an extension of Bush, Cheney and the disgraced neocons
Obama = a natural born diplomat
McCain = lame duck from the start
Obama = living history
McCain = last-ditch candidate of the terminally corrupted neocons
Obama = the future
However, to get a good understanding of them and their candidates, it''s recommended that, however vile, you read their deluded messages hate and ignorance.
Then, when you''ve had your fill of yesterday''s politics, turn the page and join the new majority.
Obama 2008
Posted by Smirk5 at 07:14 PM : Mar 19, 2008
That happens when he is taken off soft foods...
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Posted by jack99123 at 03:06 AM : Mar 20, 2008
+ report abuse
You poor Fascist are so desperate it''s funny!! Did you honestly LISTEN to the man''s speech? Well of course you didn''t or you wouldn''t be posting something THIS stupid. I know times are tough for you Nazi''s. You haven''t a wedge issue, no means to drum up the hate and division you need to win, but honestly THIS? A 6 year old could do better! SIEG HEIL BUSH! SIEG HEIL GRAND WIZARD!!
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Posted by eshaneua at 03:59 AM : Mar 20, 2008
+ report abuse
Yeah but IF all the talking heads were to admit that, what would they sell from now until November? Of course you are right but let''s let the Old Man, McSame have a little time in the sun. I just hope he doesn''t have any more memory failures like he did with his press conference the other day. A couple more of those and he can have rallies in a Phone Booth. Sieg Heil Bush
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Posted by michaelt302 at 02:58 AM : Mar 20, 2008
+ report abuse
You are showing panic here sparky! Don''t you trust your magic swastika anymore??? LOL Sieg Heil Bush
So basically, you have three candidates: one whose spiritual core is centered around a hateful bigot preacher, one who is showing signs of senility, and Hillary.
I hate to say it, but Hillary is looking mighty fine now. WAIT - I didn''t mean that the way it sounded.
And the worst part is, she is still going to lose the DNC primary and Obama is going to be the candidate. She''s only making it easier on McCain.
Posted by michaelt302 at 02:58 AM : Mar 20, 2008
You''re partially correct. Yes McCain will destroy them.
But if he becomes the president, he will destroy us all.
WHERE DOES AN ARKANSAS BRED NY SENATOR GET $5M DOLLARS BETWEEN LAST YEAR AND NOW WITHOUT STEALING FROM CAMPAIGN FUNDS?
ANY WIDE HIP HILLARY SUPPORTER CAN ANSWER THAT?
THAT IS STEALING,
THAT IS FRAUD,
THAT IS HILLARY CLINTON!!
CHINESE WEB SPAMMERS SAY $5M COMES FROM BILLS BOOK DEAL, B S!
LETS SEE THE FINANCES HILLARY!!
NOW, SHOW ME, PROVE IT%u2026 LETS SEE HILLARYS FINANCES!!!
ITS WHITEWATER ALL OVER AGAIN SETTING UP,
THE DISTRACTION LIKE BILL CLINTON, WHILE REPUBLICANS ARE RIPPING YOU OFF!
BILL AND HILLARY CLINTON ARE CLOWN CON MEN (HILLARY IS A SHE-MAN)!
HILLARY FLIP FLOPS AFTER 100% SUPPORT OF GW BUSHS IRAQ OIL WAR!
HILLARY WAS HOME ON ALLEGED DAY OF SLICK WILLIES HUM JOB!
HILLARY HAS FAILED EVERY ATTEMPT AT HEALTH CARE!
EXPERIENCE? AT WHAT, BEING A LIEING FAILURE?
WHERE DOES AN ARKANSAS BRED NY SENATOR GET $5M DOLLARS BETWEEN LAST YEAR AND NOW WITHOUT STEALING FROM CAMPAIGN FUNDS?
ANY WIDE HIP HILLARY SUPPORTER CAN ANSWER THAT?
THAT IS STEALING,
THAT IS FRAUD,
THAT IS HILLARY CLINTON!!
CHINESE WEB SPAMMERS SAY $5M COMES FROM BILLS BOOK DEAL, B S!
LETS SEE THE FINANCES HILLARY!!
NOW, SHOW ME, PROVE IT%u2026 LETS SEE HILLARYS FINANCES!!!
ITS WHITEWATER ALL OVER AGAIN SETTING UP,
THE DISTRACTION LIKE BILL CLINTON, WHILE REPUBLICANS ARE RIPPING YOU OFF!
BILL AND HILLARY CLINTON ARE CLOWN CON MEN (HILLARY IS A SHE-MAN)!
HILLARY FLIP FLOPS AFTER 100% SUPPORT OF GW BUSHS IRAQ OIL WAR!
HILLARY WAS HOME ON ALLEGED DAY OF SLICK WILLIES HUM JOB!
HILLARY HAS FAILED EVERY ATTEMPT AT HEALTH CARE!
EXPERIENCE? AT WHAT, BEING A LIEING FAILURE?
WHERE DOES AN ARKANSAS BRED NY SENATOR GET $5M DOLLARS BETWEEN LAST YEAR AND NOW WITHOUT STEALING FROM CAMPAIGN FUNDS?
ANY WIDE HIP HILLARY SUPPORTER CAN ANSWER THAT?
THAT IS STEALING,
THAT IS FRAUD,
THAT IS HILLARY CLINTON!!
CHINESE WEB SPAMMERS SAY $5M COMES FROM BILLS BOOK DEAL, B S!
LETS SEE THE FINANCES HILLARY!!
NOW, SHOW ME, PROVE IT%u2026 LETS SEE HILLARYS FINANCES!!!
ITS WHITEWATER ALL OVER AGAIN SETTING UP,
THE DISTRACTION LIKE BILL CLINTON, WHILE REPUBLICANS ARE RIPPING YOU OFF!
BILL AND HILLARY CLINTON ARE CLOWN CON MEN (HILLARY IS A SHE-MAN)!
HILLARY FLIP FLOPS AFTER 100% SUPPORT OF GW BUSHS IRAQ OIL WAR!
HILLARY WAS HOME ON ALLEGED DAY OF SLICK WILLIES HUM JOB!
HILLARY HAS FAILED EVERY ATTEMPT AT HEALTH CARE!
EXPERIENCE? AT WHAT, BEING A LIEING FAILURE?
By Froma Harrop
%u2026%u2026%u2026%u2026%u2026%u2026%u2026%u2026%u2026%u2026.
Given the calamity of slavery and Jim Crow, one must give slack to black anger. But there are limits, especially for an avowedly post-racial candidate.
We''ve had a situation where it''s politically unacceptable to attribute Obama''s success to race, but a minister may say that the government created AIDS to kill people of color and remain a candidate''s spiritual adviser. Suppose Clinton''s minister had awarded a lifetime achievement award to David Duke, as Wright had to Louis Farrakhan.
But for Obama, the most lasting damage of this affair may not be tied to race or religion but to class. Working stiffs will struggle to square Obama''s close bond to a purveyor of racial grievance with his own golden existence. With four Ivy League degrees between them, half a million in income and children in private schools, the Obamas seem to be doing more than OK.
The clashing images of resentment and privilege are a divide that is hard to bridge.
I hate to say it, but Hillary is looking mighty fine now. WAIT - I didn''''t mean that the way it sounded.
Posted by mike71067 at 08:36 AM : Mar 20, 2008
You''re making the same mistake that most christian conservatives make. You believe that because someone attends a church, they automatically have their "spiritual core" defined by that church.
What if Obama is only a "little" bit religious? What if he isn''t a devout hardcore follower? Doesn''t that drastically weaken the churches influence over his decision making?
Listening to his speeches, he sure doesn''t sound like a typical religious conservative - he sounds intelligent.
A liar.
Not fit to be an American President.
Go Hillary for President 2008
Posted by mnmaid at 08:40 AM : Mar 20, 2008
What is Hillary''s experience? Picking out china for the White House dining room? Really, what influence did she have over the decisions made during her husbands tenure as governor or president?
The only thing that she really had any input on was her health care plan which was a failure from the start.
Where was she on Kosovo? How about Rwanda? NAFTA?
She''s 60 years old, and claiming 35 years of experience. She was in college until she was 26 years old. Is she lying, or did her "experience" start while she was in college?
I''m a NY resident, and I can tell for a fact that ALL of her promises that she made while running for Senator are STILL unfulfilled. Does her experience include broken promises?
This sick dummy is Toast. The cuckolded shrill shrew who clings to serial rapist and draft dodging bomber of Serbs was toast a long time ago.
Better start saying "President McCain".
Posted by MCVet at 06:41 AM : Mar 20, 2008
Good luck McVet
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Posted by jwind11 at 07:59 AM : Mar 20, 2008
+ report abuse
Thanks jwind11..thanks for staying on me and convincing me to get help....i owe you big time....my family thanks you to. you are very wise indeed!!
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Posted by MCVet at 08:06 AM : Mar 20, 2008
just want you better...hang in there
Also does anyone think that Mc.Cain could hold candle to Barack or Hillary in a 1 : 1 debate? It''ll be Nixon vs. Kennedy all over again.
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Posted by MCVet at 08:06 AM : Mar 20, 2008
just want you better...hang in there
Posted by jwind11 at 08:58 AM : Mar 20, 2008
...........
So does that mean no more "Seig Heil Bush"???!!!
NOOOOOO!!!! SAY IT AINT SO!
(LOL!)... just kidding MCVet. I too wish you the best for your treatments. Just as long as those treatments don''t change your perspectives on these boards. Eventhough I might not always agree with them, they''re still insightful and somewhat humorous.
:-)
1. the recession caused by Bush buddies in the bank and mortage business creating a ponzi scheme that collapsed. The bankers stay rich, but the workers once again take it on the chin. Another Enron.
2. the wars that are not being won no matter how much Bush, Cheney, and McCain want to believe. As Americans go broke how will McCain explain the 12 Billion being poured into Iraq every month.
3. recalls, recalls, and more recalls - under the Repubs we cannot stop lead filled toys from being sold and tainted meat from reaching the shelfs. Self-policing corporations do not work.
4. The utter destruction of Constitutional barriers that protect our freedoms and liberties. The Repubs act more like the Gestapo or the KGB that defenders of democracy.
5. Oil profits growing in leaps and bounds and little to none of the excess going to fund alternate energy sources. Repubs still defend Big Oil tax breaks.
6. Sending the value of the dollar to that of Monopoly money. Our treasury is owned by Islamic states and Communist China.
McCain is clueless on the economy, hypocritical on finance reform, in the pockets of special interests, and will be shown to be close to senility.
The March 14-18 national survey of 1,209 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters gave Clinton, a New York senator, a 49 percent to 42 percent edge over Obama, an Illinois senator. The poll has an error margin of 3 percentage points.
Gallup said it was the first statistically significant lead for Clinton since a tracking poll conducted February 7-9, just after the Super Tuesday primaries. The two candidates had largely been locked in a statistical tie since then, with Obama last holding a lead over Clinton in a March 11-13 poll.
Posted by USBrit at 09:02 AM : Mar 20, 2008
.............
Good analogy, with the exception of Hillary though.
Hillary is no more believable than her husband at this point, therefore she would not be able to win a debate in the "sincerity" category at all. And sincerity is what convinces many independents to "cross over" to one candidate or another (for lack of a better term).
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