Mar 13, 2008

Support For Iraq War Highest Since 2006

Politico: Americans' Feelings On War In Iraq Likely To Shape Presidential Race

  • Play CBS Video Video Deadly Bus Bombing In Iraq

    Eight U.S. soldiers were killed in separate attacks in Iraq, the worst one-day death toll for coalition troops in months. Charlie D'Agata reports from London.

  • Awakening council member looks at the damage after a truck bomb exploded at a nearby Awakening Council checkpoint in Duluiyah, 45 miles north of Baghdad, Iraq, Wednesday, March 12, 2008.

    Awakening council member looks at the damage after a truck bomb exploded at a nearby Awakening Council checkpoint in Duluiyah, 45 miles north of Baghdad, Iraq, Wednesday, March 12, 2008.  (AP Photo/Hameed Rasheed)

  • Photo Essay Week In Iraq Photos

    A daily diary with scenes of the latest attacks and snapshots from the effort to rebuild a nation.

(The Politico)  This story was written by David Paul Kuhn.

American public support for the military effort in Iraq has reached a high point unseen since the summer of 2006, a development that promises to reshape the political landscape.

According to late February polling conducted by the Pew Research Center for the People and the Press, 53 percent of Americans - a slim majority - now believe “the U.S. will ultimately succeed in achieving its goals” in Iraq. That figure is up from 42 percent in September 2007.

The percentage of those who believe the war in Iraq is going “very well” or “fairly well” is also up, from 30 percent in February 2007 to 48 percent today.

The situation in Iraq remains fluid, of course. A surge in violence or in troop deaths could lead to rapid fluctuations in public opinion. But as the war nears its fifth year, the steady upturn in the public mood stands to alter the dynamics of races up and down the ballot.

The repercussions will be most acutely felt in the presidential contest. Democrats Barack Obama and Hillary Rodham Clinton remain committed to a staggered pullout, while Republican John McCain holds steadfast in his support for the Bush administration’s military surge.

In recent years, election results have tracked perceptions about the progress of the war in Iraq. The Democratic wave in the 2006 congressional elections correlated to a low point in the public’s view of the war. The resurgence of McCain’s candidacy also tracks the decrease in U.S. fatalities in Iraq. Monthly troop deaths have dropped by about two-thirds since the summer of 2007, according to Department of Defense records.

Democrats’ resolute support for the withdrawal of U.S. combat forces may soon position them at odds with independent voters, in particular, a constituency they need to retake the White House.

Half of self-identified independents polled now believe the United States should “keep troops in Iraq until the situation has stabilized,” according to polling data assembled by Pew at Politico’s request.

Senior foreign policy aides to Clinton and Obama said in interviews that their candidates have no intention of reconsidering their pledges to withdraw troops from Iraq, despite the waning of public opposition.

As recently as Tuesday in Harrisburg, Pa., Clinton reiterated her pledge to “end the war in Iraq and bring our troops home.” She added, as she has for months, that she would “carefully and responsibly” start the withdrawal of those troops within 60 days of taking office.

“There is no military solution,” Clinton is prone to say, a sentiment echoed by Obama. Obama has also proposed an end date for “removing all combat brigades” from Iraq.

The uptick in public support is a promising sign for Republican candidates who have been bludgeoned over the Bush administration’s war policies. But no candidate stands to gain more than McCain.

“How could Democrats possibly hand McCain a better issue than to let him run on his record of advocating a robust U.S. presence in Iraq with all the positive battlefield news that is filtering out of that country?” asked Michael O’Hanlon, a national security adviser at the Brookings Institution who has been at the center of the Iraq debate since the war’s outset.

“Thinking about where we were at the time of the congressional elections, it’s ironic that the Iraq issue could actually be the one that most favors the Republican and most other issues - including most foreign policy issues - could most favor the Democrats,” O’Hanlon added. “Yet Democrats keep wanting to fight the Iraq debate.”

The positions taken by Obama and Clinton reflect the majority sentiment in their party: Seven in 10 Democrats continue to believe the war in Iraq is going poorly. Only about a quarter of Democrats support maintaining troop levels until “the situation has stabilized,” according to Pew polling data.

Views of the war in Iraq have long varied depending upon party affiliation, unlike during the Vietnam War. Although even Democratic discontent has ebbed for the first time in more than a year - 29 percent now support keeping troops in, an increase of 8 percentage points since last summer - foreign policy advisers to both candidates dispute the idea that Democrats are in the unenviable position of disagreeing with the majority of Americans over whether the war in Iraq can succeed.

Continued



By David Paul Kuhn
Copyright 2008 POLITICO



We cover politics with enterprise, style, and impact.

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Add a Comment See all 402 Comments
by homespunlady March 16, 2008 2:28 PM EDT
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHA ROTFLMAO HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHA I can''t stand it. It''s Just TOO FUNNY. Who''d they survey? Mental wards?

Now on a Lighter Note in the "GOOD NEWZ PROPAGANDA DEPT"

(Washingtonpost.com) This story was written by Paul Kane.
The former treasurer for the National Republican Congressional Committee diverted hundreds of thousands of dollars -- and possibly as much as $1 million -- of the organization''s funds into his personal accounts, GOP officials said yesterday, describing an alleged scheme that could become one of the largest political frauds in recent history.

For at least four years, Christopher J. Ward, who is under investigation by the FBI, allegedly used wire transfers to funnel money out of NRCC coffers and into other political committee accounts he controlled as treasurer, NRCC leaders and lawyers said in their first public statement since they turned the matter over to the FBI six weeks ago.

"The evidence we have today indicated we have been deceived and betrayed for a number of years by a highly respected and trusted individual," said Rep. Tom Cole (R-Okla.), the NRCC chairman
Reply to this comment
by March 15, 2008 3:47 PM EDT
Can we leave now?
Reply to this comment
by samthetvcat March 14, 2008 7:42 PM EDT
Only 30% support McCain''s ''surge'' without a timeline or benchmarks . . . that''s about the same percentage of people who think Bush is doing a good job. Coincidence, I think not!
Reply to this comment
by sigotratando March 14, 2008 7:37 PM EDT
That is the problem with you liberals. After four years of war you still cant even figure out what we are fighting for... What is at stake in Iraq could not be more clear. We either succeed in which case the USA will be much more safe and Al Queda will be defeated and on the run.
Posted by bobmarisol at 01:54 PM

Interesting that you say it is a "problem with [the] liberals", presuming that non-liberals (conservatives?) do not have a problem with it. You see, the difficulty in what you say could not be "more clear" is that the reasons for going into Iraq have changed several times, and it is only "clear" to those with a tendency toward cognitive dissonance. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_dissonance)
Reply to this comment
by abbe91 March 14, 2008 6:15 PM EDT
With the news that we are winning (... more BS...)
Posted by trapbreak at 01:00 PM : Mar 14, 2008

Look at the picture ...
Deadly Bus Bombing In Iraq

Eight U.S. soldiers were killed in separate attacks in Iraq, the worst one-day death toll for coalition troops in months.
Reply to this comment
by abbe91 March 14, 2008 6:13 PM EDT
"The more apt question wld be: is there any difference between strategic pull-out & choosing not to fight. The answer wld entail a mature sense of responsibility.

Posted by sigotratando at 12:41 PM : Mar 14, 2008"

If Bush Sr had pulled out before the job was done ... sigh ...
Reply to this comment
by Latrocinor March 14, 2008 5:56 PM EDT
served 20 years

Posted by nokoolaid
-----------------
Prove it. I think you are lying.
Posted by bhoogren

See, here''''s the rub boohoo - nobody gives a flip what you think. How do I "prove it" ... scan my retirement papers and mail them to you? Here''''s one, prove to me you have more than a grade school eduaction - prove to me that you aren''''t a pinhead''''s love child - prove to me that your loss of brain cells isn''''t a result of sniffing too much glue. You''''re the first one on here to lob insults, but never, not once, back up your asinine diatribes with facts. Not once.

Posted by nokoolaid
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

The fact is you came after me and in your FIRST post to me called me a liar along with a diatribe that reflected unprofessional and emotional prejudice.

In toying with you a bit it was interesting to observe the level of egocentric immaturity and lack of introspection you demonstrated.

Most entertaining to see your insulting, aggressive and presumptive responses as you chided me for merely sending back a toned down version of what you sent me in the first place.

"Enlisted men are stupid, but extremely cunning and sly, and bear considerable watching." - Army Officer''s Guide 1894
Reply to this comment
by mbcsmith March 14, 2008 5:00 PM EDT

4th ATAF - M/Sgt


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Posted by nokoolaid at 01:59 PM : Mar 14, 2008


thank you. Any military men out there got a comment?
Reply to this comment
by mbcsmith March 14, 2008 4:57 PM EDT
Posted by nokoolaid at 01:55 PM : Mar 14, 2008

How about unit and rank.
Reply to this comment
by bobmarisol March 14, 2008 4:54 PM EDT
I find this story hard to believe. Everybody I know is against the war in Iraq and would like our troops to come home now. Who the pollsters asked would be interesting to know, all far-right Repubs perhaps?
This cultural/religious war really started going badly when the U.S. invaded Iraq will have no winners.
If we win, what do we win, and if we lose, what do we lose? Makes no sense to me. Many deaths on both sides and a cost of $2.4+ billion a week.
If we were to win the war in Iraq would that make al Qaeda go away? No. Make sense to you?

Posted by tibu987 at 01:41 PM
-----------------------------

That is the problem with you liberals. After four years of war you still cant even figure out what we are fighting for. Liberals dont understand that losing in Iraq means Al Queda has a safe haven from which to plan more 9/11 style attacks. Liberals dont understand that winning in Iraq means we establish a bellweather of freedom and prosperity in the Middle East that will inspire millions of Arabs to pursue their own freedom rather than to turn to violence and hopelessness.

Liberals ask what we are fighting for. I ask how can they not know? What is at stake in Iraq could not be more clear. We either succeed in which case the USA will be much more safe and Al Queda will be defeated and on the run, or else we surrender in which case the USA will be in grave danger and Al Queda will be free to plan evil attacks against us that will take countless innocent American lives.
Reply to this comment
by tibu987 March 14, 2008 4:41 PM EDT
I find this story that most Americans support the "war" in Iraq, hard to believe. Everybody I know is against the "war" in Iraq and would like our troops to come home now. Who the pollsters asked would be interesting to know, all far-right Republicans perhaps?
I take these polls with a bit of incredulity.
This civil/cultural/religious war that really started going badly when the U.S. invaded Iraq will have no winners.
Ask yourself, if we win, what do we win, and if we lose, what do we lose?
Makes no sense to me.
Many deaths on both sides and a cost of $2.4+ billion dollars a week.
If we were to "win" the "war" in Iraq would that make al Qaeda go away? No.
Make sense to you?
Reply to this comment
by mbcsmith March 14, 2008 4:39 PM EDT
LIBS JUST DON''T GET IT!
Reply to this comment
by yankeerebel7 March 14, 2008 4:33 PM EDT
We''ll win in the end. Hope and optimism over pessimism and naysaying any day.
Reply to this comment
by mortok99 March 14, 2008 4:23 PM EDT
That "ideology of surrender" was a domestic policy. Instead of a corporate bagman policy.
Reply to this comment
by bobmarisol March 14, 2008 4:19 PM EDT
Violence in Iraq has dropped at least 60% in the last 12 months. Tribal leaders that once fought alongside Al Queda are now fighting alongside the USA against Al Queda. Political progress has been made, including the passage of a major oil revenue sharing law that will unite the three major factions in Iraq. Schools have been built, infrastructure has been updated and improved, and millions of Iraqis now have electricity and running water.

With all this good news, is it any wonder that the American people are coming back around and are now supporting the war? Too bad the Democrats still want to secure defeat. The Democrats know that success in Iraq will be the downfall of their party and their ideology of surrender.
Reply to this comment
by mortok99 March 14, 2008 4:17 PM EDT
Pull out? Any way ya want to. Doesn''t matter.
Reply to this comment
by mortok99 March 14, 2008 4:14 PM EDT
America will lose this war.
Reply to this comment
by adarkstorm March 14, 2008 4:09 PM EDT
With the news that we are winning and the government of Iraq is slowly taking over the country and the Al Quada are losing in Iraq,Posted by trapbreak --------

That is pathetically amusing. Winning,what a concept. Oh sorry, pipe dream. I guess that concept is what has led to the following path;
http://www.usnews.com/blogs/news-desk/20
08/3/11/6-signs-the-us-may-be-headed-for
-war-in-iran.html
Is the United States moving toward military action with Iran? The resignation of the top U.S. military commander for the Middle East is setting off alarms that the Bush administration is intent on using military force to stop Iran''''s moves toward gaining nuclear weapons... Here are six developments that may have Iran as a common thread.
1. [Admiral] Fallon''''s resignation
2. Vice President Cheney''''s peace trip
3. Israeli airstrike on Syria
4. Warships off Lebanon
5. Israeli comments
6.Israel''''s war with Hezbollah
How much more war can this country support. This question is not amoral, but a financial one. Next, who better to take control and properly handle the situation of finances, current war and impending war.
Reply to this comment
by mortok99 March 14, 2008 4:01 PM EDT
So.. no thank you, Mr. Macho. I appreciate your concern, but I''ll have to turn down your offer.
Reply to this comment
by mortok99 March 14, 2008 4:00 PM EDT
I don''t need any protection. I got my poodle to protect me..
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