Do Democrats Fear Winning?
CBS's Dick Meyer Examines The Party's Latest Brand Of Self-Defeating Tactics
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The Democratic Party is choking.
Facing nothing but open field ahead, the team can’t get the ball in the end zone. The incumbent Republican president’s unpopularity is historically high. The country is opposed to the Iraq war and worried about the recession. Gas prices are heading toward $4 a gallon. John McCain, the Republican nominee, is the oldest presidential nominee in history.
But the Democrats can’t score. They’re not even on the field yet. They’re still stuck in the locker room of the primaries, bickering.
The veteran offensive line, the Clintonistas, won’t block for the young players at the skill positions, the Obamists. They have the ball and are perfectly poised to fumble.
In sports, there are always “gimme the ball” players, the super-confident stars who want the ball with three seconds left in the game. Clinton and Obama want the ball, alright, but the rest of the team doesn’t really want to win or know how to win. They’re choking.
This is pretty much the natural order of modern politics.
When I first started covering national politics for CBS News 23 years ago, the Democrats were coming off an especially inept performance in the 1984 campaign. The “Atari Democrat,” Gary Hart, was the man of new ideas and a disposition inclined against the party’s interest group establishment. Walter Mondale was the establishment. They bled each other through a long primary season and establishment managed to keep Hart down. The voters kept Mondale way down in November.
Since then, the party has continued to create rules (proportional representation) that encourage long, bloody primaries.
What’s very different about 2008 is that the Democrats in 1984 really never had a prayer against Ronald Reagan. In 2008, conditions are perfect for a Democratic victory. Only the hapless Democrats could blow this lead.
The primary campaign is now guaranteed to run for a few more months. Considering that the campaign basically began full-time in late November 2004, this has been by far the longest nominee selection marathon in history. It is a race that will likely sap the strength and enthusiasm of a once excited and bloodthirsty electorate of Democrats and independents. Despite the fact that there is not an especially wide policy gulf between the two candidates, the party could be divided when the primaries are over. Certainly the winner will be bloody against a healthy John McCain.
One obvious, but politically incorrect and cynical point is that it was always a very high-risk proposition for the party to nominate a woman or a black. As historically significant and uplifting as it is to shatter an old and embarrassing barrier, it is a risky way for a political party to seize power. No one has a clue what will happen with a white woman or a black man at the top of the ticket. But sending an unknown brand of warrior into battle against a uniquely weak enemy doesn’t make sense if you’ve been losing a long war.
Nor does carrying on with a flawed, Byzantine nomination process that encourages divineness, manipulation and tediousness.
The Democrats seem to have either a political death-wish or a dire fear of success. Don’t give us the ball, please. We’re happy to be the opposition party.
This begs a question: is there something about contemporary Democratism that is simply unsuited to governance? Is the party semi-dysfunctional because it lacks a philosophic core that is simple, sensible and attractive? Or is it just something about the personality of Democrats?
The country obviously wants an alternative to Bushism. It might well settle for McCainism.
This will be my last "Against the Grain" column. After 23 years at CBS News, I am moving my computer to National Public Radio. I hope to resume a column at NPR.org after I settle in and it may even reappear here eventually. If you would like to receive an e-mail when I start back up, send a note to Against the Grain. It has been a great privilege to write in this space for so many years, thank you.
By Dick Meyer
© MMVIII, CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
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See all 86 Commentsobama had a shot - but his people were intent on maximizing votes by keeping him undefined. he was supposedly against the war, but he has voted with clinton on every war bill since then. he is angry about nafta, but is not protectionist. he wants public campaign financing, but now he has to negotiate it. There is a pattern: he is either so close to clinton that it''s indistinguishable or he is undefined or a flip-flopper. So it is unclear what people get with him.
Clinton had a chance. In fact, she was the clear front-runner for a long time. She ran on "experience" but didnt really detail it enough. She also didnt counter the hope message adequately. And she became horrified when the media and Obama''s handlers would twist everything she said into some racist attack. I would have had my handlers go back and slam them for this. Of course that''s part of the problem - the Dems and the white boyz in the media colluded and maligned Clinton in ways I have never seen in a presidential campaign. STRIKE THAT: Howard Dean got similar treatment. So basically, they took a very strong candidate and stabbed her endlessly. AS A RESULT, we now have two weakened candidates and a very divided party.
GO DEMOCRATS WIL LOSE AGAINST AN HISTORICALLY WEAKENED REP. PARTY. WHAT A JOKE.
I agree wholeheartedly with this assessment. From the outset, idealistic though it is, I said that pitting 2 unknowns (a woman or minority) against each other for the highest job in the land, when we are in 2 wars and have devastating inflation, high gas prices and a recession--is foolhardy. This was not the time for something new. This was the time for something stable, reliable and definitely NOT Republican.
But here we are. Now the stakes are radical change and socialism under Hilary or modified socialism lite under Obama or the stable, yet predictably slow disaster of McCain. A lose, lose, lose all the way around. Voters has to decide who is the most controllable, the more trustworthy, and the more likely to every once and while--throw us a bone. Here''s a clue-Hillary--by dint of her personality and track record--is already out of this running. That leaves Obama and McCain. If Hilary gets the office--Democrats will rue the day. She is the left''s equivalent of Bush.
The first time I mentioned this on one of the blogs, I was accused of being racist. Now, I can say I told you so.
But then again they did the same thing with MaCarthy and the Democrats had to clean it up. Maybe it is a good thing because when the blood bath takes place in November the next President will take more care to not act against the American people.
Had they gone forward with an impeachment trial and got testimony from all those administration officials that Bush has blocked from testifying, there is a good chance that even the Republicans in the Senate would have voted to convict to cover their own backside.
The bottom line is that %u201Ctaking impeachment off the table" was a foolish move that has led to the Democratic Congress looking ineffective.
And an additional 3 months of infighting with the candidates may end up making them both look unsuitable.
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Posted by tomtomasters at 09:13 AM : Mar 06, 2008
Are LIBS afraid of winning? Nope, with freaks like this, they just don''t get the support of the people.
Posted by cbsblogger at 09:12 AM : Mar 06, 2008
Bush has bitc*slapped the LIBS all over town because they don''t stand for anything. Impeachment? LOL, you people just have HATRED and obstructionism on your side. Nothing else.
-- We didn''t attack the Nation that has provided terrorists to attack our citizen at home and abroad.....Saudi Arabia.
-- We let the family of Osama Bin Laden leave America after 9/11. Why weren''t they sent to Guantanamo Bay, tortured, and held as bargining chips.
-- Lastly, we attacked Iraq, and preplanned that attack way before 9/11. The only logical reason way for their oil.
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2004/01/09/60minutes/main592330.shtml
And regardless of how great President Ford''s presidency was, he was always loyal to the Republican Party, never criticized anyone publically, but on the man''s death bed he states for the record George Bush was the worst President in the history of the United States. That''s all I need to know about the situation of whoever is the poor schmuck who wins this Presidency.
It will be a fight and will take some time.
America is tired of the Bush Clinton crime syndicate working under Rockafeller. We will no longer accept stolen elections and an organized crime syndicate in the white house.
In order for Clinton to win, she would still need nearly 100% of all delegates. Obama would need about 72%.
HILLARY IS OVER. Thank God.
But as the underdog.....you can scratch, claw, lie, do ANYTHING to tear down the one on top. This is what Democrats do exceedingly well. Find a scape-goat with title or power, and tear them down.
But what happens when THEY are in power or in front? They don''t have anyone left to tear down or blame! (Take a look at them now that they''re in control of Congress. Without anyone to tear down or blame, they can''t get ANYTHING done!)
The Democrats are arm-chair quarterbacks suddenly thrown into the game. Suddenly things looked alot easier from the sideline.
The Repugs are clearly the more bigoted group, so Romney never really had a chance. Most Repugs (other than the Endtimers) didn''t want a tent revival preacher either; bad for business. So they are left, early in the game, with the one-eyed man in the land of the blind.
The Dems are having a real election, with real candidates and real positions. It''s not a king-maker party like where the Republibots fall into line. The primary season isn''t even close to being over and Dik Meyer is whining about how "disordered" the process is. That''s because the days of the Richard Daley type king-makers is gone for ever from the Democratic party. It''s actually a political party that is dynamic and going somewhere.
And Old Man McBushit will look pretty sad with his crowd of country club Repugs gathered around him, compared to either Obama or Clinton.
Coke, and Pepsi...American Idol, and Big Brother...McDonald''s, and Burger King.
Huge portions of Americans divide to support one, or the other...Just as in the last election, nearly half of the country going for one Presidential candidate, while the other half goes the opposite route.
Having two strong choices for the Democratic nominee is a blessing, not a curse...HELLOOOO, ***..have you seen the voter turnout for Democrats vs. Republicans?
And I''m sorry ***, but you''re a tad on the un-American side, because the last I looked, America is a Democracy, and having 10 states left to vote, alot of Americans have yet to have their votes cast, and you''re castigating Dems because they''re going the distance?
Nearly 80% of people in exit polling from Texas and Ohio say if Hillary won Texas and Ohio she should continue...THAT is DEMOCRACY.
Having a choice is what Democracy is all about.
Shame on your republican-inspired Headline.
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Posted by jackie0428 at 10:34 AM : Mar 06, 2008
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So Jackie, you''re basically admitting that republicans are lemmings, with a collective mind?
You''re an Authoritarian alright...here, go read for yourself:
http://home.cc.umanitoba.ca/~altemey/
Jackie, who''s getting the highest voter turnout since...forever?
The Bush administration spent all the money and is leaving a bloated $9 Trillion debt, submitting $400 Million Dollar Budgets Deficits and running the nation on Credit, barely making interest payments. Maybe the Democrats should be scared to win since they won''t have any money to do anything thanks to the fiscally responsible GOP.
As for polls showing Dems ahead against Mccain, the last one I saw had 520 registered democrats and about 320 registered republicans....HARDLY an ACCURATE POLL!
Hillary represents all that is wrong with politics in this country. Even more than McCain, Hillary represents the status quo, big government, corrupt dealings with Wall Street, lots of pork type of government. She will be a disaster for this country.
This is why many independents are open to Obama, but Hillary will lose big to McCain when all is said and done, regardless of what the polls say now.
McCain isn''t telling you the truth on the War on Terror, national security, or our economy.
Posted by zorlacskates at 12:32 AM : Mar 06, 2008
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Well said.
And,I might add, that Mr. Meyer sounds like he is ready/suited to join Rush Limbaugh, et al, on the radio airwaves.
The voters see two good candidates. They''re having a hard time choosing.
What is so horrendous about this process? Have we all succumbed to the "Me, now" attitude that demands to know immediately who our nominee will be?
The lengthy primary campaign has one huge advantage for Democrats. Whoever the nominee turns out to be, he or she will have been tested by the process to a degree far greater than John McCain.
Mr. Meyer, you seem to feel that Democrats would be better off with another WASP male. I find that sad.
Aldon, it is not true that Republicans rarely say or do anything in the primaries which could reflect on the final candidate. George Bush has maligned and spread rumors in the past...ugly rumors against McCain. And this is just a sample.
We need a whole new attitude, period. And out of the 3 leading candidates, who offers all of us that? Why, Barack Obama, of course.
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