Push For Primary Calendar Changes Goes On
CBSNews.com Reports: High Turnout In Dozens Of States Doesn't Make Up For System's Flaws, Critics Say
-
(CBS)
-
News Tools Campaign Calendar The latest list of primary and caucus dates as states continue jockeying for position.
-
Video Library On The Campaign Trail An up-close look at life on the road with the major presidential candidates.
In an election known for its "firsts," there is one that has largely gone unnoticed: For the first time in a long time, most of the country will have ended up having a say in who their choices are in the November general election.
Instead of a series of small states effectively deciding the nominations of both parties -- standard practice for the past few cycles -- 2008 has seen both Democrats and Republicans emerge from those early battles without a clear front-runner. And Super Tuesday, bigger and earlier than ever this year, was not the mere coronation it has been in the past. Only after it was over was John McCain able to claim the mantle of Republican front-runner. In the Democratic race, it took another week's worth of contests for Barack Obama to establish himself as his party's leading candidate.
Overall, small states have had a big role in the process, from the initial contests in Iowa and New Hampshire to post-Super Tuesday caucuses in Nebraska and Maine. Yet the big states can't say they were left out this time: California was the center of attention heading into Feb. 5, Florida gave McCain a crucial momentum boost, and Texas and Ohio could effectively decide the Democratic nomination on March 4 -- if Hillary Clinton wins both, Pennsylvania might get to play a role, too.
At the time that California and other states were moving up their primaries, numerous critics said the system being created was unfair to voters, unfair to candidates, and, sometimes, flat out un-American because it would put too much emphasis on money and force too many people to decide too quickly.
But the way in which the presidential race has played out -- with high voter interest and turnout -- would seem to vindicate those who pushed for a campaign calendar that started earlier than ever with the Iowa caucuses on Jan. 3 and came to a climax when 24 states voted on Super Tuesday, practically a national primary.
"I am encouraged not just by the voter turnout but by the excitement," said California state Sen. Ron Calderon, who sponsored the legislation to move his state's primary to Feb. 5, passage of which inspired many other states to do the same. "The early primary has ignited something in the younger voter. I think the message got out rather clearly to the disenfranchised voters. They usually felt they didn't have any say in who the presidential nominee is going to be."
Calderon, a Democrat, said he would like to take Super Tuesday a step further in the future and establish a true national primary day. But he might be in the minority -- even those who admit that Super Tuesday and the rest of the calendar worked out pretty well this year say that's partially due to unique circumstances.
Going into 2008, it was already known that the country was facing its first election in decades without an incumbent president or vice president running. But then both parties remained without a front-runner for awhile, thanks to a muddled, fractured GOP field and the presence of two Democrats, Clinton and Obama, who both had the organization and resources for the long haul.
Those who are still pushing for major revisions to the nominating calendar are arguing, basically, that in 2008 the system worked in spite of itself.
"If it's a contested race you see voter turnout go up. If it's a lopsided kind of race you see turnout go down," said Todd Rokita, president of the National Association of Secretaries of State, which is promoting a rotating, regional primary system. "The campaigns and personalities have something to do with it."
Drastic changes are still needed to prevent the chaos and leap-frogging among states that resulted in this year's system, Rokita said.
"We still have a gold rush mentality to this process. What we need to do is bring civility and order to it," said Rokita, a Republican who oversees elections in Indiana. "Effectively, half the voters in the country are disenfranchised by this."
He and other state officials are still pushing for a rotating, regional primary in which, after Iowa and New Hampshire, whole regions of the country hold primaries simultaneously, with one region voting every few weeks.
"It's the regional aspect that has a lot of benefit because you get to see the candidates more and they're not zig-zagging across the country on planes like mad hatters," Rokita said.
The rotating regional primary is one of five plans a Republican National Committee panel will consider when it meets in early April. Among them are the "Delaware plan," which places an emphasis on smaller states, the "Michigan plan" in which states' primary dates are determined by lottery, and the "Texas plan," which attempts to create a rotation among groups of demographically diverse states of varying size.
The chairman of the RNC's Standing Committee on Rules, David Norcross, while claiming to have no strong preference for any plan, said the panel’s priorities are clear.
"There were a couple people at the last meeting who took the position that there was a lot of competition and a lot of people got to vote and it was a close race in the beginning and maybe it isn't broken," he said. "But whatever you say, it started too early, in my view and probably was over in six weeks. That's pretty quick. I think the committee will likely adopt a change."
Norcross said it's possible the committee could also increase penalties on states that violate rules by scheduling primaries too early. Even though the RNC stripped Florida of 50 percent of its delegates, the contest was still highly contested and influential. He said that penalty could be increased to 100 percent of delegates -- a punishment identical to the one Democrats inflicted on Michigan and Florida, which has spawned a controversy on how to deal with those states at the Democratic National Convention.
While both parties have already started sparring as the general election nears, they have held informal talks aimed at coming together behind a single plan for nominating contests in 2012. The problem is that while the GOP will adopt its 2012 plan at its convention this year, Democrats won't figure out their plan until after the election.
"If we went ahead and did X and they wanted to adopt X that'd be fine," Norcross said. "If there's something wrong with X, then they'd say 'It'd be nice to be together but we're not going to do that.'"
The Democratic National Committee, so far, isn't letting on much about what strategy it favors, if any. Spokeswoman Stacie Paxton said the party's main concern for now is the general election, though she hinted that changes made to the 2008 calendar are here to stay.
"After a lengthy process, we added South Carolina and Nevada to the pre-window period to ensure more regional and ethnic diversity in the early nominating process," Paxton said. "That was a good first step."
Concerns remain that all these efforts may not pay off. For example, the system Rokita and other state election officials have been promoting has been around for 10 years. And with only one party likely to face a nomination fight in 2012, the desire to adopt a bipartisan solution may dissipate.
Rokita said he hopes otherwise.
"We're optimistic," he said. "A reform like this, to be successful, truly needs the engagement of both parties. Both parties need to be engaged in this and I hope both parties come to the table. I think it would be a wonderful show of unity."
By David Miller
© MMVIII, CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
- "n a primary, you should vote for a candidate in the party where you are registered. It is an election to select candidates for the general election and not to let voters from another party select the candidate in your party for you.
Posted by sjc_1 at 01:07 PM : Feb 23, 2008"
I agree, primaries should be rotating regional and you must be registered either Dem, Rep or Ind. with Ind being able to vote in either primary. - Reply to this comment
- "Let''''s have all of the primaries on one day.
Posted by JohnSixtySix at 05:25 PM : Feb 23, 2008"
I''m not sure that''s really feasible. I like the idea floated about with 4 regional primaries. - Reply to this comment
- I Marlon Brando think Hillary would be tuff on the waterfront against terrorism!
- Reply to this comment
- Clinton says " Shame on you Obama" OH, boy, isn''t she one to talk!! LOL. To save face, period, both Dems should concede.
- Reply to this comment
- Hello I''''''''m Anna Nicole Smith I think all of you have heard me. I would vote for Hillary if I had a chance. She at least can handle the job of president because of Her experience. Please Email me with the news that you will do this!
Your friend Anna - Reply to this comment
- Let''s have all of the primaries on one day. This way, they''ll HAVE to use television and the internet to discuss and debate.
Also, as long as we''re using just television and the internet, let''s include the smaller parties, like the Greens and the Libertarians. Let''s take the corporate media out of the debate process as well. Let''s use PBS or NPR instead. I know there are corporate elements even amongst those entities, especially with PBS, but I think it would be better than having MSNBC decide that Kucinich shouldn''t debate, for instance.
Let''s make it so that people rely less and less on soundbites and more and more on their own research. - Reply to this comment
- Let''s have all of the primaries on one day. This way, they''ll HAVE to use television and the internet to discuss and debate.
Also, as long as we''re using just television and the internet, let''s include the smaller parties, like the Greens and the Libertarians. Let''s take the corporate media out of the debate process as well. Let''s use PBS or NPR instead. I know there are corporate elements even amongst those entities, especially with PBS, but I think it would be better than having MSNBC decide that Kucinich shouldn''t debate, for instance.
Let''s make it so that people rely less and less on soundbites and more and more on their own research. - Reply to this comment
- People can vote for who ever they want in the general election. But if a person is allowed to cross over parties and vote for any candidate, they can alter the outcome.
Let''s say a Republican knows McCain will win the nomination. They decide to cross over and vote for Obama, because they would rather have McCain face Obama than Clinton. This is not right.
In a primary, you should vote for a candidate in the party where you are registered. It is an election to select candidates for the general election and not to let voters from another party select the candidate in your party for you. - Reply to this comment
- Senator Clinton was the presumptive front runner up until the primary season actually began. The media was sure of it, her supporter were sure of it, and so was Senator Clinton.
And then the voting actually began. She quickly lost her frontrunner status. This is not a Republican conspiracy - they had their own competitive primaries until Super Tuesday. Nor is this a Karl Rove smear campaign. It has been entirely too clean to have his smell on it.
The fact is, Senators Clinton and Obama are very similar in their ideas and plans. So it comes down to personality. Face it Clinton supporters, Independents and a fair number of Democrats don''t like her. And the Republicans hate her. She never would have been president. How do you win when 60% of the country won''t vote for you?
Please stop trying to create conspiracies where there are none. - Reply to this comment
- I really like the idea of a rotating regional primary. That way, the candidates still have the opportunity to visit the states, but without focusing only on four early states. Of course, Iowa and New Hampshire won''t like it, but there are more people in my state that those two combined. Surely they can see the need for some sort of change, especially with MI and FL being not counted at all for the Dems and only half of the delegates counting for the Republicans in MI, FL and SC.
- Reply to this comment

Author Thomas Friedman on Obama's Afghanistan plan and the war on terror.




