Charleston, S.C., Jan 18, 2008

McCain No Longer A Maverick In S.C.

Politico: Once The Outsider, McCain Now The Insider In South Carolina

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  • Republican Presidential hopeful, Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., holds up a newspaper with a front page headline saying that the situation in Iraq is improving, Friday, Jan. 18, 2008, during his campaign speech at the Pepper Geddings Recreation Center in Myrtle Beach, S.C.

    Republican Presidential hopeful, Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., holds up a newspaper with a front page headline saying that the situation in Iraq is improving, Friday, Jan. 18, 2008, during his campaign speech at the Pepper Geddings Recreation Center in Myrtle Beach, S.C.  (AP Photo/Charles Dharapak)

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(The Politico)  This story was written by David Paul Kuhn.

Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham, one of the few prominent South Carolina pols to back John McCain in 2000, was struck by how many of those attending a McCain fundraiser last Friday night stood with George W. Bush eight years ago.

Bush's state finance chairman, Bob Royall, was the host of the event.

Two other key Bush financial advisers, Eddie Floyd and John Rainey, were sponsors.

The same money that once rallied against McCain, it seemed, was now gathering on his behalf.

“It’s a heckuva a lot better being with you than against,” Graham told the 100 influential South Carolina Republicans attending.

Once the outsider, McCain is now the insider in South Carolina.

After months of campaigning as the insurgent - a role he relishes and one that aided his comeback in New Hampshire - McCain now finds himself as the closest thing to the state’s establishment candidate.

In South Carolina, McCain today holds a consistent but fragile lead over his nearest competitor, Mike Huckabee.

But a third of likely GOP voters remain undecided only days before voting, according to a Clemson University poll released Wednesday.

Amid this uncertainty, the McCain campaign is operating from an unfamiliar position - that of the party favorite's.

Some in the state are convinced that the local GOP establishment has diminished in recent years. They contend that ideological blocs are more valuable than institutional backing.

Still, McCain has constructed a firewall of endorsements from South Carolina politicians to avoid the sort of institutional resistance that contributed to his defeat here in 2000.

For more than a year, the Arizona senator has quietly and patiently accumulated one local endorsement after another.

Today, McCain’s base of local officeholders is at least three times larger than it was in 2000 against Bush. He has at least twice the endorsements of any other Republican candidate.

McCain now has more than 25 South Carolina mayoral endorsements and roughly twice that amount of state legislators.

Many of these political players, like state House Speaker Bobby Harrell, worked for Bush in 2000 and are actively campaigning for McCain across the state.

At the outset of the race, Mitt Romney, Huckabee, and Rudy Giuliani all courted Harrell.

But when Harrell and his wife, Cathy, met with McCain last winter in a side room of a hotel in Columbia, S.C., Harrell said that the one-time opponent made an effort to put the 2000 election behind him.

“That meeting told me a lot about the man,” Harrell recalled. “Because he spoke to me about national security, the threat of Islamic extremist terrorism.

"He turned to my wife and he spoke to her about Internet pornography and MySpace,” Harrell continued.

“He understood what issues he needed to talk to me about, and he understood what issues he had to talk to Cathy about.”

The Harrells decided to endorse McCain on the drive home.

Perhaps more critically, the elected commander of the state’s National Guard forces, Stan Spears, is also backing McCain.

In 2000, Spears was a key reason Bush won some veterans from McCain, a Vietnam war hero. Now Spears’ son is running McCain’s veterans outreach, a strategic voting bloc McCain is relying upon.

McCain received yet another endorsement Wednesday from renowned social conservative Oklahoma Sen. Tom Coburn, who announced his support in Greenville, the heart of South Carolina’s Bible Belt.

Coburn did not back McCain in 2000 - nor did the South Carolina’s largest newspaper, The State, which recently endorsed him.

Still, there is some question as to how much the establishment imprimatur actually matters this time around.

There is no one with the stature of former Gov. Carroll Campbell, the architect of the modern South Carolina Republican party, who delivred for Bush in 2000. Campbell passed away in 2005.

And the state’s best-known pols are themselves divided.

While Graham is aligned with McCain, South Carolina’s other Republican senator, Jim DeMint, has endorsed Romney.

Gov. Mark Sanford, an early and strong supporter of McCain in 2000, has declined to back him, or any other candidate, this year.

While McCain has amassed more party support than his competitors have, the various ideological factions within the state party have not coalesced behind a single candidate.

A chief McCain rival here, Huckabee, has great appeal to evangelical voters.

But there are indications that Fred Thompson, who is making his last stand in South Carolina, is siphoning some of Huckabee's support from the so-called “values voters.”

Giuliani lags far behind in the polls here - behind even Ron Paul in the Clemson poll.

Then there is Romney, who has attempted to downplay expectations here, but is fueled by momentum from his Michigan primary victory.

The McCain campaign believes that Huckabee's foreign affairs inexperience accentuates McCain's national security credentials in a state where that is no small concern, while McCain adviser Mark McKinnon argues that Romney's shifts on key issues underscore McCain's character appeal.

"The best setup is to have an opponent who reflects exactly your opposites," said McKinnon, who worked with Bush in 2000 and 2004. McKinnon added that Romney was "the Republican John Kerry.”

One skeptic of the effect of McCain’s endorsements is David Woodard, a pollster at Clemson.

“It’s put more people on the stage when McCain has an event,” he said. “There may be 450,000 voting, and that means that McCain has 48 more to start off with than Huckabee. They may be able to get their wives to vote for them.”

Yet for South Carolina Attorney General Henry McMaster, who remained neutral in 2000 as the state party chairman, Bush’s push-back against McCain was effective precisely because it was based in statewide party support.

“That’s why then-Gov. Bush won in 2000,” McMaster said, who now stands with McCain. “[Bush] had the establishment. He had a bigger team and a better-organized team."

One thing is certain: South Carolina is again pivotal to McCain’s fortunes. As he seeks to regain his footing after a disappointing second-place finish in Michigan, a win here would propel him into immediate front-runner status in Florida, where, for the first time this year, multiple polls now place McCain atop the field.

Copyright 2008 POLITICO



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Add a Comment See all 89 Comments
by sgtrds January 20, 2008 1:59 AM EST
Ain''t no god. Never was, never will be.
Reply to this comment
by pilgrimsway-2009 January 19, 2008 8:54 PM EST
Remember the Jesus vision is not the political vision!
Reply to this comment
by tylenol6 January 19, 2008 8:41 PM EST
Juan McCain sucks........................
Reply to this comment
by pilgrimsway-2009 January 19, 2008 8:27 PM EST
j-whitman
There are shysters in this world. But through Christ we can come to know the love of God in our lives in a real way. So to the average person we do not need to get upset to someone who may or may not be a so called Christian. But cry out for the grace that God can supply in a legitimate way. Or to go it further are you legit? On judgement day many will profess to know Christ but the Lord will answer them depart I knew you not.
There was a woman in Huntington Ny. Named nancy. Nancy was Homeless. and one day my wife approached me and asked if we could get her a sandwiched? At first I said no! But God through my wife impressed on my heart the need for her. I said yes! My heart allowed God to appeal to me on behalf of Nancy. This is what most so called Christians do not understand!
Reply to this comment
by j-whitman January 19, 2008 8:10 PM EST
pilgrimsway,,, Nice blog. I mean it nice blog, you put some time into it. ---- I just have learned over the years that reality in the here & now has more influence in the hear after, it''s what we do what counts ---- Not so much reliance on the spirit world...
... Too many are fooled by the con men that use religion for political gain like Bush, electing another one with another Jesus Vision that wants to change our Constitution into the laws of a "Living God" just isn''t good for this country or anyone else''s.
Reply to this comment
by pilgrimsway-2009 January 19, 2008 8:02 PM EST
j-whitman
Check out my blog, that I am Learning.
http://pilgrimswaylighted.blogspot.com/

Please give me a reply whether right wrong or in deferent!
Reply to this comment
by pilgrimsway-2009 January 19, 2008 8:00 PM EST
j-whitman
Check out my blog, that I am Learning.
http://pilgrimswaylighted.blogspot.com/

Please give me a reply whether right wrong or in deferent!
Reply to this comment
by j-whitman January 19, 2008 7:59 PM EST
pilgrimsway,,,, Jesus died on a cross over 2,000 years ago --- You should respect him as a good man that he was.
Reply to this comment
by pilgrimsway-2009 January 19, 2008 7:56 PM EST
We cannot , as you know, overcome sin by ourselves. Jesus can help you overcome sin in His strength through His Spirit. All That is left to you is to follow the roll call I continually have been speaking of. Jesus wants to be the author and finisher of your faith.
Reply to this comment
by elsylee28 January 19, 2008 7:51 PM EST
Great analysis of the topic on www.SAVAGEPOLITICS.com
Reply to this comment
by j-whitman January 19, 2008 7:40 PM EST
pilgrimsway,,,, I take responsibility myself, I try not to sin in the 1st place
---- I think worshiping a man as Jesus was, & worshiping a cross as a golden idol isn''t what God was talking about with his Big 10 Commandments.
Reply to this comment
by pilgrimsway-2009 January 19, 2008 7:27 PM EST
Will you take your responsibility to lay down your sins at the cross, repentance, to have Jesus as your Lord and Savior from your sins you committed. That if thou shalt confess with thy mouth the Lord Jesus, and shalt believe in thine heart that God hath raised him from the dead, thou shalt be saved. This is the decision.
Reply to this comment
by j-whitman January 19, 2008 7:20 PM EST
pilgrimsway,,,,, What descision ??
Reply to this comment
by j-whitman January 19, 2008 7:18 PM EST
Decision ?
Reply to this comment
by pilgrimsway-2009 January 19, 2008 7:16 PM EST
What will your decision for Christ be?
Reply to this comment
by j-whitman January 19, 2008 7:13 PM EST
pilgrimsway,,, Fine, save it for a ''show & tell'' please, not everyone shares your views.
Reply to this comment
by pilgrimsway-2009 January 19, 2008 7:10 PM EST
My goal reality is just sharing personal truth that anyone can practically apply between themselves and God.
Reply to this comment
by j-whitman January 19, 2008 7:00 PM EST
pilgrimsway,,,, stonebog1 is an example you can use to show how ugly & harmfull the far right end of Christianity is to our nation.
Reply to this comment
by j-whitman January 19, 2008 6:56 PM EST
stonebog1,,,, Still Swift Boating Kerry ??? Now you & Bush are Swift Boating McCain calling him "The Hanoi Songbird" ------ Haven''t you & your cronies had enough of hurting veterans ?????
Reply to this comment
by j-whitman January 19, 2008 6:53 PM EST
pilgrimsway,,,, I was raised Christian, I''m from a linage of several hundred years of German Protestants. Take your own responsibility for your sins, & don''t keep doing them.
.. God''s been pretty busy trying to stop the killing if you haven''t noticed.
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