Why Huckabee Won
Evangelicals Boost Former Ark. Governor To Victory In Iowa GOP Caucuses
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Mike Huckabee (AP)
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Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee won the Republican caucuses in Iowa on the strength of religion and values, according to a CBS News poll of attendees entering caucus sites on Tuesday night.
Evangelicals put in a strong showing at the caucuses - they made up an overwhelming 6 in 10 of attendees - and Huckabee was their darling, garnering 46 percent of their support in the crowded Republican field.
Participants in the Republican caucuses wanted a candidate who shared their moral values and religious beliefs, and Huckabee was their choice on both counts.
Forty-five percent of caucus-goers said they were looking for a candidate who "shares my values" when deciding whom to support, compared to a third who wanted a candidate who says what he believes, and 14 percent who want a candidate with experience.
Among those who wanted a candidate that shared their values, 44 percent supported Huckabee, while only 26 supported his chief competition, Mitt Romney.
Huckabee also picked up one-third of the voters who wanted a candidate who says what he believes. Romney could only manage 14 percent, while John McCain won 16 percent of these caucus-goers. Romney performed best among voters who were seeking experience: 37 percent supported him. McCain also did well in this group with 35 percent.
Having a candidate who shared their religious beliefs was important to two-thirds - 67 percent -- of voters at the Republican caucuses. Thirty-six percent said it mattered a great deal to their decision on whom to support, and 31 percent said it mattered somewhat.
Among those saying it mattered a great deal, Huckabee trounced his competitors, winning 56 percent of the vote. Only 15 percent of the GOP caucus-goers said a candidate's religious beliefs did not matter at all. Romney grabbed 40 percent of this group.
On issues and ideology, Huckabee was the conservatives' choice. Forty-five percent of caucus attendees called themselves very conservative, and 35 percent of them supported Huckabee, as did 34 percent of those considering themselves to be somewhat conservative.
Moderates - only 11percent of the pool - split between Romney and McCain, at 26 percent apiece. Only 22 percent of moderates supported Huckabee.
Despite attacks by Romney that Huckabee was weak on the issue of illegal immigration, Huckabee eked out an edge among GOP voters who chose immigration as the most important issue nationally. He also won on the issues of Iraq and the economy, garnering either a third or more support from attendees choosing these or immigration as top.
Huckabee's weakest showing was on the issue of terrorism, the most important issue to 21 percent of attendees. Caucus-goers concerned primarily with terrorism split their vote, with 26 percent for Huckabee, 24 percent for Romney and 22 percent for McCain. While McCain did well among these voters, his strongest showing was among those concerned with the war in Iraq. He won one-quarter of these caucus-goers.
Huckabee also showed strength among women - winning 41 percent of female caucus-goers, compared to only 24 percent for Romney. Among men the race was even, with Huckabee winning 26 percent and Romney 27percent.
He also did well among younger GOP voters, winning 39 percent support among caucus-goers under 45 years old. Romney enjoyed steady levels of support among all age groups, and McCain did best among the oldest attendees.
Poll results are based on a National Election Pool entrance poll conducted by Edison Media Research. Interviews were conducted with 1,600 caucus attendees as they entered caucus sites around the state. The margin of error for the poll is +2 percentage points.
Monika L. McDermott is assistant professor of political science at the University of Connecticut, where she teaches and conducts research on voting behavior and public opinion. Before joining the University of Connecticut, McDermott worked in election polling for CBS News and the Los Angeles Times. She holds a Ph.D. in political science from the University of California, Los Angeles.
© MMVIII, CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.




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See all 217 Commentswww.abuckforhuck.com
Mike Huckabee made political history today. Being outspent 20 to 1 and with every news organization in the world twisting the truth about him they couldnt fool the American people.
Mike Huckabee is a great role model for society. He has so much integrity, honesty, humbleness, charisma and good sense of humor.
Mike Huckabee is taking American to higher ground with a new American spirit. One that stops the squabbling and bickering from left to right to one that leads the country up.
This truly was the David and Goliath story. Mike Huckabee took out his sling shot with a small stone in it and knocked down the giant Romeny. Crash!!! You can hear the earth shake with the aftershocks of the giant falling.
Candidate Research - Know Who You''re voting For
http://sayanythingblog.com/readers/entry/candidate_research_know_who_youre_voting_for/
It will be a better world indeed. Go Mike!
The GOP will lose its most conservative block of voters in the West (mormons) if this keeps up.
Day after day on TV I saw people in Iowa (CNN FOX...) and asked if they would vote for Mitt, frequently the response was "I would never vote for a Mormon." Could you imagine hearing someone say "I would never vote for a Jew" or "a black"...the last two would be shouted down by the masses, and I would be there protesting the bigotry, but anti-mormon slurs are OK? It is religious bigotry, just the same.
Huckabee knew what he was doing. In the West, in states like Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Washington, Utah, Idaho, Colorado, states that the GOP must win, Mormons are actively debating whether they would just stay home rather than vote for the reincarnation of Governor Boggs. That would cost state legislatures, congressional seats and senators. My cousins that live in Iowa received a near-constant barrage of photocopies, mailers and phone calls reminding them to avoid the cult and vote for the ''true Christian''
Bigotry ruled the day.
Mike Huckabee made political history today. Being outspent 20 to 1 and with every news organization in the world twisting the truth about him they couldnt fool the American people.
Mike Huckabee is a great role model for society. He has so much integrity, honesty, humbleness, charisma and good sense of humor.
Mike Huckabee is taking American to higher ground with a new American spirit. One that stops the squabbling and bickering from left to right to one that leads the country up.
This truly was the David and Goliath story. Mike Huckabee took out his sling shot with a small stone in it and knocked down the giant Romeny. Crash!!! You can hear the earth shake with the aftershocks of the giant falling.
He ran a good campaign, with virtually no money. Mike did not win because he is an Evangelical Christian. He won by speaking to issues and concerns of the middle class. He doesn''t want to just cut taxes, he wants to change entire tax system. To call Mike a bigot, or say that this was a religious right conspiracy against the Mormon people is just stupid. Mike made history last night, not by just being a Christian, but actually acting like one! He proved that you can no longer be an empty suit, and buy the votes of the American People. You have to have vision, and the ability to connect with the needs of common everyday people. Today, is a new day in American Politics.
Change is the message.
If I had told you a month ago that Mike Huckabee would win out over the Far Right "Talk radio, Drudge, blog, pundent, National Review,and Ann Coulter" machine I would have been laughed out of the room. Last night Iowans screamed the message for all Republicans to hear.
We want change!! Mike Huckabee heard their message and won going away.
Change is actually being willing to knock heads and get something done about -
Sealing the southern border
Energy independence in 10 years
A more "Fair Tax" system
Winning the war in Irag
A stronger milatary force that if needed will go in with overwhelming odds and quickly secure victory
Steadfastly stand by the santity of life from conception at birth
Is for the 2nd. Ammendment and can shoot a shotgun and bag game to prove it
Only one man is for all the items listed above and for C-H-A-N-G-E. And every item listed above is a conservative value.
If the Right side pundents after last night''s victory by Mike finally see this we still have a chance to win. If they don''t Barrock Obama''s near perfect "I Have A Dream Speech" will propel him all the way to the White House.
Mike Huckabee is our only chance!!
What shall we call them?
NeoMyGodCanWhupYourGods?
Posted by ghettobill2 at 07:57 AM : Jan 04, 2008
That argument has been proven to be so lame it is boring. Listening to it has pushed the income inequality curve
"http://www.demos.org/inequality/numbers.cfm"
far, far out of whack while destroying the U.S. jobs market over the last 28 years.
Why? Because the wealthy are too stinking greedy to actually permit anything to "trickle down" - other than as endowments to elitest universities where they can get a building named after them, or some flaky opera where they and their wealthy friends can go mingle, and so on.
The wealthy get more and more of America''s income, but do they in fact create the same amount of consumer demand that the middle class and poor would, were they not losing that share to the wealthy?
Hell, no.
Ask yourself just how many toasters, washing machines, cars, bags of groceries, diapers, etc. etc. etc. the wealthy are buying.
And the corporations - are they allowing their tax savings to "trickle down"?
Hell, no.
Look around - are the corporations building new factories in America, or are they building new factories in nations with cheap labor and lax environmental laws so they can push the increased profits off to their C-level execs and their wealthy stockholders - and keep the income circle closed?
Again, my question remains, how will a Democrat create jobs?? They can''t. I realize many companies are greedy and may not reinvest thier profits into higher wages or back into thier companies, but i know MANY that DO. Give me an alternative. Government can only offer services like better road, bridges, parks, goodies, entitlements--all at the expense of the taxpayer. The ONLY way the government can help the enconomy is either to stay out of it, or reduce taxes. I, myself, own nursing homes and when I have good years, I pass it on to my employees with bonuses and pay raises. When the government raises my taxes it only takes away from my ability to bless my middle class workers. It is the same with most of the business owners I know. You''ve been duped by the John Edwards of this world who want to blame the greedy corporations. This is only populism that doesn''t work in the real world.
Decades ago a FBI agent told me that Utah was popular with confidence men because the people were mainly Mormons and very trusting souls...easy to take advantage of...
Hucksterbee, a ''hoke''um and soak ''um'' acolyte of the tele-evangelist community, was schooled in the art of religious salesmanship...you can see it in every move he makes...I hope people who erred in supporting this creature will think about what he says...
He is for war. He is for open borders. He is for a tax system that will allow America to be part and parcel of a global plantation with incomes taken from America untaxed and Americans paying onerous taxes oon every transaction they make.
YOU SUPPORT THIS MAN AT YOUR PERIL!
Posted by ghettobill2 at 08:49 AM : Jan 04, 2008
Couple of things. I gather you have not looked at the nation''s infrastructure of late?
It is falling apart.
Secondly, "I, myself, own nursing homes" and "my middle class workers"?
That is contradictory - unless you pay wages that are unheard of in the average nursing home.
Third, "to bless my middle class workers"?
"Bless"? What, they don''t earn their money - you are in fact a saint, archangel, or some other form of "nearer to God than thee" life form who ordinarily merely deigns to pay his workers and occasionally "blesses" them?
Methinks it would be fun to audit your nursing homes.
The people behind Merck and Big Pharma...behind Halliburton...behind Big Oil...behind the Federal Reserve and the Big International Banks...behind FOX and Big Media...are the scum of the earth--the mainstream candidates are in their service, not yours...just as the big mining and mill companies would seed their communities with preachers who sold the company line with the imprimatur of God, Hucksterbee is selling the same line using the pulpit of the modern corporate backed ''church.''
Posted by ghettobill2 at 08:49 AM : Jan 04, 2008
OMG!!!! How did I let that slip by me? I must be getting senile.
How in the dickens do you reconcile your "entitlements--all at the expense of the taxpayer." and "I, myself, own nursing homes" statements?
You, who are getting wealthy from Social Security and Medicare/Medicaid payments, don''t want to have to pay taxes?
roflmao...You are the epitome of the neocon rapist of the public''s treasury.
Posted by ghettobill2 at 09:20 AM : Jan 04, 2008
How can government create jobs?
Creating new and maintaining/improving existing infrastructure.
Financing research into needed things - like alternative energy, the cure for cancer, AIDS, etc. etc.
Financing R&D programs designed to ensure that America doesn''t lose any more of its technological lead.
Improving education to improve the overall quality of our work force.
Improving education to so that more people have the skills to both invent and become entrepreneurs.
Subsidizing the adoption of alternative energy so we don''t have to go play war anywhere there is oil.
On, and on, and on...but I know - if it isn''t putting money directly into YOUR pockets, then it is one of those stinking "entitlement" programs in your eyes, right?
Hucksterbee is for open borders. He is for war. He is for the police state. His tax policies will leave the incomes derived from the American economy and sent abroad untaxed while the inocmes of the doltish middle class who support him will be taxed--they will bear the full burden of the massive debts layed up by the Oligarchy for the war on terror that THEY started and profited from through their criminal enterprises like Halliburton (now HQ''s offshore) and international corporations who consider themselves "global"--NOT AMERICAN! Tax them! Tax them all to ''ell!
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Posted by ghettobill2
What a stupid comment. Bill Clinton shrank the government and created 22 MILLION new jobs, while Bush has doubled the size of government and job growth has not kept up with the the emerging new job seekers.
public works. etc...
Posted by ghettobill2 at 09:40 AM : Jan 04, 2008
Save medicare? Your ownership of nursing homes is showing. But that is OK; if more of the greedy just were smart enough to grasp that government programs that help the many also help them, we''d all be better off.
It is called "enlightened self-interest".
As to your question: The Republicans, in fact, are the world (and I do mean "world") record holders for indebting a nation, or have you forgotten?
Posted by ghettobill2 at 09:42 AM : Jan 04, 2008
Ahhh, the crux of your problem...I suppose that as the owner of nursing homes any program that might take some of the slop out of what you can get away with charging absolutely terrifies your wallet...
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