STORY CITY, IOWA, Dec. 29, 2007

Candidates Fighting To The Finish In Iowa

Hopefuls Descend To Win Over Undecided Voters And Gain Momentum As Voting Season Begins

  • Play CBS Video Video Undecided Iowa Voters

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    It's turned into a tight three-way race for the Democrats in Iowa. Russ Mitchell reports for the CBS News Campaign '08 Notebook.

    • Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y. greets residents at a campaign stop at the Denison Fire Department in Denison, Iowa, Thursday, Dec. 27, 2007.

      Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y. greets residents at a campaign stop at the Denison Fire Department in Denison, Iowa, Thursday, Dec. 27, 2007.  (AP)

    •  (AP/CBS)

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    The latest list of primary and caucus dates as states continue jockeying for position.

  • In-Depth 2008 Presidential Hopefuls

    Profiles and the latest news on the Democrats and Republicans running for the White House.

(CBS)  This story was written by CBSNews.com political reporter Brian Montopoli.

As a light snow fell outside, Hillary Clinton stood in an overflowing Iowa elementary school gymnasium on Friday and made a case for why she should be the Democratic nominee for president.

“Some people think you get change by demanding it, some people think you get change by hoping for it,” she said, in a shot at her two main rivals, Barack Obama and John Edwards. “I think you get change by working really, really hard for it every single day.”

With the January 3rd caucuses less than a week away and no clear frontrunner having emerged in either party, virtually all of the major candidates - along with a fair share of campaign workers and media - will be working really, really hard every single day between now and Thursday. Among the presidential hopefuls campaigning in Iowa are Clinton, Edwards, Obama, Joe Biden, Bill Richardson, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani, and Fred Thompson. Some are cramming up to five events per day into their schedules in an effort to woo undecided voters.

And a win isn’t necessarily what they’re looking for. The real goal in the state, according to Huckabee’s Iowa campaign manager Eric Woolson, is to exceed expectations.

“It’s not winning, it’s having the media decide you’re the winner, you’re the surprise,” says Woolson. “In March, when [Huckabee] was at less than 1 percent, I was saying to people we need to finish in the top three, and everyone laughed because we were in 9th place. Now when I say the same thing everybody laughs at me because we’re expected to win.”

Huckabee sits atop polls of likely GOP caucus-goers in the state, followed closely by Romney, who has been running ads critical of the former Arkansas governor’s positions in an effort to close the gap. The former Massachusetts governor has held more than 200 events with voters in Iowa, according to Romney regional spokesperson Sarah Pompei.

“We’ve made no secret of our strategy to do well in the early states,” she says.

Huckabee has moved much of his staff to Iowa, and he has benefited from the backing of home-schooling and pastors organizations in a state where 40 percent of likely GOP caucus-goers are evangelicals. Romney has stressed his position on illegal immigration in his Iowa advertisements and appearances, an issue that tops the list of concerns of the state’s likely GOP caucus-goers.

Ron Paul, Giuliani, Thompson and McCain are all hoping for a finish in third place or better in the state, which would give them momentum heading into the New Hampshire primary on January 8th.

“Third or better would catapult us - it would start the revolution, as we say,” says Jeff Jared, Paul’s special projects coordinator in Iowa.

Clinton’s campaign, meanwhile, is downplaying its candidate’s chances in the state, where polls show the former first lady in a virtual tie with Edwards and Obama.

“Senator Clinton has said that Iowa is going to be her toughest state,” says Mark Daley, Clinton’s Iowa communications director. “She has never participated or campaigned here before and she isn’t from a neighboring state.”

Edwards’ Iowa spokesman, Dan Leistikow, says the campaign is satisfied with where the Iowa race stands now. Some commentators have suggested that Edwards has focused on disproportionately on Iowa, but Leistikow argues otherwise.

“We’ve spent the exact same number of days here as Obama and just a few more than Clinton,” he says. “And they have put three times as much into television ads.”

Obama’s Iowa communications director, Josh Earnest, also sought to counter what he says is a misconception - that his candidate is dependent on college students returning from their winter breaks to help him to victory.

“The polls are not polling college students,” says Earnest, who argues that any boost the Obama campaign gets from college students will simply be a bonus. “There’s no secret. This is about fundamentals. If you have the organization, and the volunteers, and the message, you’re going to have a robust turnout operation.”

At the Clinton event in Story City, Iowan Mary Harris said she had come to see whom she might support if her favored candidate, Joe Biden, is not viable at her caucus. At a Democratic caucus, a candidate needs to earn 15 percent support; if he does not, his supporters must choose another candidate. Second-choice preferences can be crucial in Iowa, a state with less than 3 million people and a 2004 caucus turnout of less than 6 percent of eligible voters.

“If I have to have a second choice on caucus night, I’m still undecided,” says Harris. 40 percent of likely caucus-goers say they have yet to even settle on a first choice.

“It’s close on both sides,” says Arthur Sanders, the chair of the department of politics at Drake University in Des Moines. “There isn’t any real way of knowing whose organizations are going to be most effective, and the January 3rd date presents problems that nobody has had to deal with before.”

Among those problems are a nationally televised college football game, college students in the middle of their vacations, and the proximity to the New Year’s holiday.

“You want about 48 hours where you can mobilize your people, but that’s New Year’s Day,” says Sanders. “Everything’s compressed. At the time you should be beginning your really hard push, you’ve got to delay things. Nobody knows what kind of impact that will have.”

By Brian Montopoli
© MMVII, CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
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Add a Comment See all 38 Comments
by merlgrey December 31, 2007 3:59 PM EST
Why has Ron Paul received more donations from active-duty soldiers, sailors, airmen, and marines than any other Republican presidential candidate?

http://www.ronpaul2008.com/veterans/
Reply to this comment
by billyjoe1776 December 31, 2007 4:57 AM EST
Who''s the small geovernment conservative in this race?
is anyone other than Dr. Paul trying to reduce the size and power of government? How can we cut taxes without cutting spending?

Before you listen to Rudy McHuckaThom tell you how they are going to use government to solve all your problems, think about how government contributed to your problems in the first place.
Reply to this comment
by aminor3x December 30, 2007 7:05 PM EST
I think that Mr. Magic Underwear Romney and Mr. Adultery and Abortion Giuliani had might as well stay home from Iowa. Maybe the folks in New Hampshire like that kind of ***, but we don''t tolerate it here. We call it "foolishness".
Reply to this comment
by homespunlady December 30, 2007 4:07 PM EST
ZZZZZZZZ... snort, huh

Whatever happened to Bush''s "pocket VETO" of the Defense Bill.

Swept UNDER the carpet I guess.

Oh well, back to the Crockpot of homemade soup and a nap.

NO news here.
Reply to this comment
by jack3213 December 30, 2007 3:12 PM EST
Clinton is a disgrace to all other women, (as my wife & other women have said), for allowing herself to accept the level of lies her husband has put forth onto the USA when he was in office. He parades now and supports her and we all know he wants to redeem himself. This isn''t about qualifications or what is in the best interest of the country but what is best for the Clintons. They are the most manipulative people on earth, that deserves nothing more than to be ignored. Those who don''t see through their facade are as blind as bats. Sorry, it''s true and the rest of us know it. She has contridicted herself and made grand promises that will never amount to anything, some of which should not. She has downgraded others and have not once explained what exactly she has done to prove she is experianced. Just saying you are is not enough. Clinton/Bush era is over. Time of real change. Isn''t that what we all want?!
Reply to this comment
by radiob-2009 December 30, 2007 1:47 PM EST
Posted by realpatriot1

There are no known Larry Craigs in the new adminstration and I have a do not ask policy.


Hmmm a New Groundhog day??? Maybe a national holiday when all three show their "shadow".
Reply to this comment
by perception5 December 30, 2007 12:29 PM EST
FYI, two new polls out of Iowa have Mitt Romney re-taking the lead in Iowa.

ARG poll has Mitt at 32% to Slick Huck''s 23%
Mason Dixon Poll has Mitt at 27% and Slick Huck at 23%

........GO MITT! the most qualified candidate running from either party in 2008, no question about it.

Reply to this comment
by realpatriot1 December 30, 2007 12:24 PM EST
radiob,

OK,Sec. of the Treasury does pay better than my current state accounting job, I''ll take it! Just one caveat, I don''t serve at the pleasure of the President so don''t go Larry Craig on me.

I''m sure Searing Truth will bring them in dead or alive before Osama comes out to see his shadow.
Reply to this comment
by radiob-2009 December 30, 2007 12:14 PM EST
By the way, I''''m available for Chairperson of OMB.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Posted by realpatriot1

How about Secretary of the Treasury? Homeland director formersarge and Attorney General Searing Truth are working on having Bush/Cheney tried as we speak.
Reply to this comment
by realpatriot1 December 30, 2007 11:58 AM EST
SgtRDS,

Good choice of ticket but since Wes is not the best on the stump I prefer him as Sec. of Defense.

Radiob,

As your first act in office will you place Bush & Cheney before a military tribunal or extradite them to the Hague?

As long as we''re fantasising we might as well really enjoy it!

By the way, I''m available for Chairperson of OMB.
Reply to this comment
by radiob-2009 December 30, 2007 10:56 AM EST
Candidates Fighting To The Finish


Why are they wasting all of their energy, your money and time for when Tweb has already declared me president as of 12/22/07 and I reluctantly accepted.
And for any naysayers there were no hanging Chads, I do not even know a Chad to hang.
Reply to this comment
by cfin5 December 30, 2007 10:54 AM EST
Matt Drudge, Internet Journalist; Founder, The Drudge Report; Talk Radio Host

%u201CIf you go up and down the issues literally, as far as no more government no matter what. Just please no more government and all of these issues on closed government, on IDs, on cameras - all the things that are true to my heart, Ron Paul comes out the winner.%u201D
Reply to this comment
by iceman_1960 December 30, 2007 9:55 AM EST
"Liberalism is a philosophy of consolation for Western Civilization as it commits suicide." - Dr. Jerry Pournelle
- Posted by cfin5 at 12:40 AM : Dec 30, 2007

See also:

"Liberalism is extremely harmful in a revolutionary collective. It is a corrosive which eats away unity, undermines cohesion, causes apathy and creates dissension. It robs the revolutionary ranks of compact organization and strict discipline, prevents policies from being carried through and alienates the Party organizations from the masses which the Party leads. It is an extremely bad tendency."
- Mao Zedong

(No wonder Richard Nixon loved the guy)
Reply to this comment
by sgtrds December 30, 2007 5:38 AM EST
Edwards/Clark ''08.
Reply to this comment
by brianbwb-2009 December 30, 2007 4:46 AM EST
"Liberalism is a philosophy of consolation for Western Civilization as it commits suicide." - Dr. Jerry Pournelle
Posted by cfin5

Jerry Pournelle? The sci-fi hack that also offers idiotic commentary about computers? the guy who calls his office Chaos Manor? riiiight.

Next time, try L. Ron Hubbard. These guys write fiction for a living, dude.
Reply to this comment
by mcv57 December 30, 2007 3:56 AM EST
I sure wish they put Bozo the Clown on the U.S. Presidential ballot. At least he would give the American Citizens a laugh in attending to get this country out of the deaster that awaits. I would love to die laughing.

I am so sick and disgusted of the greedy government officials and their election system that only offer deception.
Reply to this comment
by cfin5 December 30, 2007 3:40 AM EST
"Liberalism is a philosophy of consolation for Western Civilization as it commits suicide." - Dr. Jerry Pournelle
Reply to this comment
by iceman_1960 December 30, 2007 3:23 AM EST
"The consequences of war are dire, the sacrifices immeasurable. We may have occasion in our lifetime to once again rise up in defense of our freedom, and pay the wages of war. But we ought not -- we will not -- travel down that hellish path blindly. Nor should we allow those who would march off and pay the ultimate sacrifice, who would prove the full measure of devotion with their blood, to make such an awful sacrifice in vain."

- Barack Obama, October 2, 2002

Barack is the man.

Reply to this comment
by iceman_1960 December 30, 2007 3:20 AM EST
"BARACK OBAMA WAS RIGHT ON IRAQ."
- Posted by jkojs at 06:20 PM : Dec 29, 2007

Was he ever!

Not just right, but speaking in words whose eloquence rivals those of Lincoln and Churchill.

There is no doubt that Barack Obama, an honors graduate of Harvard Law School, is the most intellectually gifted candidate in the presidential field.

Here is his Iraq speech, given on October 2, 2002:

http://www.barackobama.com/2002/10/02/remarks_of_illinois_state_sen.php
Reply to this comment
by iceman_1960 December 30, 2007 3:12 AM EST
"Candidates Fighting To The Finish..."

...because they eat their spinach...
Reply to this comment
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