WASHINGTON, Dec. 13, 2007

New Warning On Arctic Ice Cap Melting

Satellite Images Show Volume Of Sea Ice At Summer's End Was Half That Of 2003

  • An iceberg floats in a bay off Ammassalik Island, Greenland July 17, 2007. Arctic sea ice melted to its lowest level ever this year, shattering a record set in 2005. Photo

    An iceberg floats in a bay off Ammassalik Island, Greenland July 17, 2007. Arctic sea ice melted to its lowest level ever this year, shattering a record set in 2005.  (AP/John McConnico)

  • Interactive Global Warming

    The greenhouse effect, a look at the Kyoto Protocol and a history of the Earth's climate.

(CBS/AP)  An already relentless melting of the Arctic greatly accelerated this summer, a warning sign that some scientists worry could mean global warming has passed an ominous tipping point. One speculates that summer sea ice might be gone in just five years.

Greenland's ice sheet melted nearly 19 billion tons more than the previous high mark, and the volume of Arctic sea ice at summer's end was half what it was just four years earlier, according to new NASA satellite data obtained by The Associated Press.

"The Arctic is screaming," said Mark Serreze, senior scientist at the government's snow and ice data center in Boulder, Colo.

Just last year, two top scientists surprised their colleagues by projecting that the Arctic sea ice was melting so rapidly that it could disappear entirely by the summer of 2040.

This week, after reviewing his own new data, NASA climate scientist Jay Zwally said: "At this rate, the Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice-free at the end of summer by 2012, much faster than previous predictions."

So scientists in recent days have been asking themselves these questions: Was the record melt seen all over the Arctic in 2007 a blip amid relentless and steady warming? Or has everything sped up to a new climate cycle that goes beyond the worst case scenarios presented by computer models?

"The Arctic is often cited as the canary in the coal mine for climate warming," said Zwally, who as a teenager hauled coal. "Now as a sign of climate warming, the canary has died. It is time to start getting out of the coal mines."

Quote

We have not passed a point of no return. We can still roll things back in time - but it is going to require a quick turn in direction.

James Hansen, NASA researcher, who says earth has passed a tipping point on global warming
It is the burning of coal, oil and other fossil fuels that produces carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases, responsible for man-made global warming. For the past several days, government diplomats have been debating in Bali, Indonesia, the outlines of a new climate treaty calling for tougher limits on these gases.

What happens in the Arctic has implications for the rest of the world. Faster melting there means eventual sea level rise and more immediate changes in winter weather because of less sea ice.

In the United States, a weakened Arctic blast moving south to collide with moist air from the Gulf of Mexico can mean less rain and snow in some areas, including the drought-stricken Southeast, said Michael MacCracken, a former federal climate scientist who now heads the nonprofit Climate Institute. Some regions, like Colorado, would likely get extra rain or snow.

More than 18 scientists told the AP that they were surprised by the level of ice melt this year.

"I don't pay much attention to one year ... but this year the change is so big, particularly in the Arctic sea ice, that you've got to stop and say, 'What is going on here?' You can't look away from what's happening here," said Waleed Abdalati, NASA's chief of cyrospheric sciences. "This is going to be a watershed year."

Continued



© MMVII, CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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Add a Comment See all 422 Comments
by docgalen December 13, 2007 5:53 AM PST
I don''t get it... With all the ice melting, shouldn''t the sea level be rising?
Reply to this comment
by keithle1 December 13, 2007 7:03 AM PST
World''s population increases at the rate of 80 million people per year. Look at India, China & Africa. The huge population increase is not coming from the USA, Scandinavia & Europe.

We need a disease that spreads rapidly & quickly that makes women sterile. If you''re so desperate to have a baby then adopt one of the many unwanted ones.

These poor, ignorant women cranking out babies like their life depends on it. They don''t need to be having all these babies.
Reply to this comment
by squidly8 December 13, 2007 7:04 AM PST
Blah, blah, blah. Just more of the type of doom and gloom perpetuated by our most recent undeserving nobel laureate. You can''t trust the news and you can''t trust some ''expert''. The truth is in the middle - essentially things are about the same. Ice ebbs and flows, temps go up and down - by definition weather and climate are dynamic - they CHANGE!

Someone just trying to whisper doom and gloom to you so you don''t feel bad about them stripping the cash out of your wallet.
Reply to this comment
by samsel3 December 13, 2007 7:05 AM PST
The Bush administration has rejected reduction of fossile fuel burning citing severe economic impacts.The Cheney energy policy expands US interests in The Caspian Sea region where one third of the world''s oil remains untapped. Big Oil does not want alternative energy because they are profit motivated. Big Oil & Corporate America dictate US policy not the people. We are just pawns in their game.
Reply to this comment
by rushlimpdrug December 13, 2007 7:24 AM PST
Smart aleck republicans make great scientist and economist.
Like babbling idiots they love to hear themselves talk.
Their future is as far as their nose takes them and as deep as their wallets.
Who cares about the consequences of losing so much ice as long as the repub president can get a cold one.
Good luck to us all.


NASA should hire them.

Reply to this comment
by rushlimpdrug December 13, 2007 7:26 AM PST
Posted by docgalen at 05:53 AM : Dec 13, 2007

hahaha
does you glass of icewater overflow when the ice melts
nopethere has been climate change forever and there will always be climate change
adapt or die like the dinosaurs
move to higher ground
Posted by terrorislam7 at 06:07 AM

Two idiots that listen to other idiots as to the logic of ice melting.
A simple experiment would prove these two as being STUPID.
Reply to this comment
by cfin5 December 13, 2007 7:30 AM PST
Global Warming is occurring,........simultaneously with the increase in temperature rate of Mars. You doofuses figure it out. Besides, all libs know how to do is tax something as a remedy, which NEVER gets fixed.
Reply to this comment
by rushlimpdrug December 13, 2007 7:32 AM PST
Besides, all libs know how to do is tax something as a remedy, which NEVER gets fixed.
Posted by cfin5

Wow, you''re soooo smart to tie taxes, libs and global warming together in one package.
Does your mommy pack your lunch and dress you also?
Reply to this comment
by mikebeat1 December 13, 2007 7:34 AM PST
Blah, blah, blah. Just more of the type of doom and gloom perpetuated by our most recent undeserving nobel laureate. You can''''t trust the news and you can''''t trust some ''''expert''''. The truth is in the middle - essentially things are about the same. Ice ebbs and flows, temps go up and down - by definition weather and climate are dynamic - they CHANGE!

Someone just trying to whisper doom and gloom to you so you don''''t feel bad about them stripping the cash out of your wallet.


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Posted by squidly8 at 07:04 AM : Dec 13, 2007
So, what you are saying, is to believe you instead. Is it your gut feeling? Or do you just choose to believe politicians over scientists? You think Cheney knows more than so called experts? And just who are you to decide? You have oil stock? Really, I want to know. Whats your motivation?
Reply to this comment
by cfin5 December 13, 2007 7:35 AM PST
rushlimpdrug,........Is that all you got? LOL!!!
Reply to this comment
by formrusmcsgt December 13, 2007 7:35 AM PST
BALI, Indonesia (AP) -- European nations will boycott U.S.-led climate talks next month unless Washington accepts a range of numbers for negotiating deep reductions of global-warming emissions, Germany''s environment minister said Thursday.
The U.S. invited 16 other "major economies" to discuss a possible program of nationally determined, voluntary cutbacks in greenhouse gas emissions, as opposed to the binding targets favored by the EU and others now meeting in Bali.

http://www.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/asiapcf/12/13/climate.conference.ap/index.html
-------

You can''t blame Europe for telling the Bush administration that voluntary, unenforceable "targets" are not worth their time.


Reply to this comment
by skyk-2009 December 13, 2007 7:37 AM PST
Blah, blah, blah. Just more of the type of doom and gloom perpetuated by our most recent undeserving nobel laureate. You can''''t trust the news and you can''''t trust some ''''expert''''. The truth is in the middle - essentially things are about the same. Ice ebbs and flows, temps go up and down - by definition weather and climate are dynamic - they CHANGE!

Someone just trying to whisper doom and gloom to you so you don''''t feel bad about them stripping the cash out of your wallet.

Posted by squidly8 at 07:04 AM : Dec 13, 2007
+ report abuse

Yo don''t do much in the area of research do you?? You can''t just let OTHERS, especially those who PROFIT from the continued burning of Oil, to do that research for you. I have! At no time in recorded history has the Ice Cap melted... NO TIME. According to this study done by NASA there will be NO SEA Ice in 5 years. So how accruate have they been up to this point? Pretty close... and those who now say we''re not to blame only a couple of years ago told us it was all a hoaks? If the Scientist are right we are in deep trouble. If you are right nothing will be different. Sparky I''ve been on this planet for 60 years now and ONLY a fool believes what you posted... ONLY A FOOL!!
Reply to this comment
by formrusmcsgt December 13, 2007 7:40 AM PST
"We are so serious about this that we are pushing to conclude the negotiations within two years, by end of 2009," said Jim Connaughton, the chairman of the White House Council on Environmental Quality.

"We also are serious enough that we are putting a major investment into technologies that we need tomorrow -- how to produce power from coal with low emissions, how to power vehicles with low emissions. These are enormous undertakings and we have to be more aggressive with them," he said.

Reaponse:

They accused the Bush administration of hypocrisy for promoting cleaner energy options while at the same time threatening to veto an energy bill passed by the House of Representatives that includes requirements that electric utilities produce 15 percent of their power from solar, wind and other renewable energy sources.

Reply to this comment
by cfin5 December 13, 2007 7:42 AM PST
Australia''s newly elected "socialist" president just backed out of the treaty,......said it would hurt their economy. Why don''t you libs go and bytch at him.
Reply to this comment
by formrusmcsgt December 13, 2007 7:47 AM PST
Australia''''s newly elected "socialist" president just backed out of the treaty,......said it would hurt their economy. Why don''''t you libs go and bytch at him.

Posted by cfin5 at 07:42 AM : Dec 13, 2007

There is no such thing as the president of Australia.
Reply to this comment
by rushlimpdrug December 13, 2007 7:49 AM PST
Posted by cfin5 at 07:35 AM

You obviously can only handle what "compassionate conservs" spoon feed you.
You''ll wake up in a few years, it''ll be late but you will, and then you and yours will remember your stupid postings.
Reply to this comment
by olebd December 13, 2007 7:49 AM PST
Where are the happy stories when you need them? Like the 5 year old boy who killed the 400 pound bear. Can''t find that one anywhere on this web site!
Reply to this comment
by mikebeat1 December 13, 2007 7:51 AM PST
rushlimpdrug,........Is that all you got? LOL!!!
by cfin5


Okay, I''ll give you more. Clinton gave us a surplus, Bush gave us deficts, record ones. Bush is not a fiscal conservative. Look at the dollar. Or is that the dems doing too? Clinton lied about an affair, Bush lied us into war. Perspective please. I''m all for lower taxes. In fact, I''m for getting rid of the income tax. Neither party wants that. Just the mavericks like Paul and Huckabee. Unfortunately, they have some other wacky ideas that don''t play so well. Let''s face it, the dems and reps are basically the same. They''re looking after their own interests first and foremost. Then I see people on these message boards spouting party lines like it really means something. Anyone qualified to be the next president is too smart to run. That''s why we get what we get. We made our bed.
Reply to this comment
by oleander8 December 13, 2007 7:56 AM PST
"Besides, all libs know how to do is tax something as a remedy, which NEVER gets fixed." Posted by cfin5

I''ll take a tax-and-spend politician over a borrow-and-spend politician any day of the week.
Reply to this comment
by formrusmcsgt December 13, 2007 8:00 AM PST
Let''''s face it, the dems and reps are basically the same. They''''re looking after their own interests first and foremost. Then I see people on these message boards spouting party lines like it really means something. Anyone qualified to be the next president is too smart to run. That''''s why we get what we get. We made our bed.

Posted by mikebeat1 at 07:51 AM : Dec 13, 2007

Agreed, on two points.

I am an Independent and have been for 35 years. Why? Because both parties place their respective agenda above the good of the country as a whole.

Our system makes it impossible for anything but a corporate w h o r e to become elected president.

As Colin Powell mused in his autobiography "My American Journey", "how does an honest man come up with $50 million dollars to run for president? (Update that to $200 million)
Reply to this comment
by formrusmcsgt December 13, 2007 8:04 AM PST
Where are the happy stories when you need them? Like the 5 year old boy who killed the 400 pound bear. Can''''''''t find that one anywhere on this web site!

Posted by rharrin1 at 07:59 AM : Dec 13, 2007

Want "warm fuzzies"? Go to http://abcnews.go.com/gma.

This is a news site.
Reply to this comment
by December 13, 2007 8:04 AM PST
This reminds me of the HAUS helmet used by Nascar drivers. When it becomes a problem like the death of legendary Dale Earnardt they made it mandatory. Let the sea levels rise 5 feet then the problem will be address, when it is too late.
Reply to this comment
by DaveGress December 13, 2007 8:06 AM PST
oleander8 - I couldn''t agree more. Borrow and spend Republicans are bankrupting the nation. Debt accumulates, why don''t they see that? Like other issues, they simply ignore them and start wars to cover their tracks.
Reply to this comment
by vet_sk December 13, 2007 8:09 AM PST
rharrin1 says lookout for yourself first - with unbelievably elementary rhetoric of you have to first have a roof over your head. What a piece of work.
Probably still supports Bush too and his wars and wishes we would invade Iran because that would make him feel good.

How about taking less trip, riding your bike to the store, turning off more lights, driving a smaller car and car pool or even take the bus. What does that have to do with a roof. You know there is other news besides Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity.

It is a huge problem but you hate science, likely because you couldn''t do it in 9th grade.

Yeah, just take care of yourself: Scrw 90% of the world''s population that will be devistated. Oh...but you will Pray. Rediculous superstition!
Reply to this comment
by DaveGress December 13, 2007 8:09 AM PST
mikebeat1 - Great post. Your contrast of good (Clinton) vs evil (Bush) is astounding.
Reply to this comment
by formrusmcsgt December 13, 2007 8:11 AM PST
oleander8 - I couldn''''t agree more. Borrow and spend Republicans are bankrupting the nation. Debt accumulates, why don''''t they see that?

Posted by degress12 at 08:06 AM : Dec 13, 2007

Because they count on most Americans being too intellectually lazy and distracted with their own diversions to notice what''s really going on.

And, unfortunately for all of us, it works for many....
Reply to this comment
by mikebeat1 December 13, 2007 8:12 AM PST
formrusmcsgt.....

Well said. As some comedian said (might have been Carlin): I consider myself a radical centrist. Clinton (with all his faults) was a moderate. Nixon (with all his faults) was a moderate. Reagan was very conservative but, at least he surrounded himself with intelligent people that he actually listened to. I''m not as concerned with ideology as I am with common sense.
Reply to this comment
by formrusmcsgt December 13, 2007 8:15 AM PST
Posted by mikebeat1 at 08:12 AM : Dec 13, 2007

Thanks. I appreciate your posts as well.

Presently, we Independents make up 35% of the electorate.

If we ever become an electorate where both the Dems and the Repubs were to find themselves in a minority position, we would have an end to this sad status quo.

To date, we Independents have been divided by both parties..effectively keeping the status quo alive and healthy.
Reply to this comment
by fstop100 December 13, 2007 8:21 AM PST
If we just stopped the wasted mail, catalogs and credit card offers it would be a start.
Reply to this comment
by samsel3 December 13, 2007 8:27 AM PST
The Bush administration has rejected reduction of fossile fuel burning citing severe economic impacts.The Cheney energy policy expands US interests in The Caspian Sea region where one third of the world''s oil remains untapped. Big Oil does not want alternative energy because they are profit motivated. Big Oil & Corporate America dictate US policy not the people. We are just pawns in their game.
Reply to this comment
by formrusmcsgt December 13, 2007 8:28 AM PST
If we just stopped the wasted mail, catalogs and credit card offers it would be a start.

Posted by fstop100 at 08:21 AM : Dec 13, 2007

Having a president who''s alliegence was to the country rather than the fossil fuels interests would be an even better start.
Reply to this comment
by mennowoman December 13, 2007 8:32 AM PST
Every month I save my junk mail, the unsolicited mail like sales flyers, offers for credit and letters seeking donations, so I can recycle it. Last month, I had over 61 pounds (24 kilos) of junk paper! If unsolicited junk mail were cut back even by half in this country, we could save more than the proposed lower limits on CO2. Down with junk mail!
Reply to this comment
by samsel3 December 13, 2007 8:34 AM PST
Having a president who''''s alliegence was to the country rather than the fossil fuels interests would be an even better start.



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Posted by formrusmcsgt at 08:28 AM : Dec 13, 2007
You are on target. Well said
Reply to this comment
by antoniof123 December 13, 2007 8:35 AM PST
This is how the Republicans brain works.

1) The bible is always right even though they have never read it but I listen to some one else tell me what is in it.
2) Believe the party line no matter what reality teaches us that includes the part about the bible.
3) Try to destroy anyone who disagrees with you.
4) Blame a liberal for the problems that the GOP created like war, out of control government spending even though the GOP did it (see number 2).
5) When that fails blame Bill Clinton. Even though he is one of the most popular Presidents in US history.
6) If no one is still listening and some bush bots are starting to stray announce your hatred for Hillary Clinton.
7) When all else fails then rant, rave, holler, cry, whine until you get your way or are completely destroyed as a party.

Seems like this group is working on reaching number 7.
Reply to this comment
by samsel3 December 13, 2007 8:41 AM PST
Having a president who''''s alliegence was to the country rather than the fossil fuels interests would be an even better start.



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Posted by formrusmcsgt at 08:28 AM : Dec 13, 2007
You are well informed. Just think of the reduction in fossil fuels if the power transmission lines across the country were also fitted with thousands of wind turbines. A significant amount of energy would be generated reducing oil & coal dependancy.
Reply to this comment
by johngoodnews December 13, 2007 8:43 AM PST
The only solution is to get fusion power online. Neither fossil fuels nor fission powered energy are environmentally viable in the long-term, say 50 to 100 years. This is obvious to the very smart folks whose job it is to research these things. But there is no government in power today willing to take actions based on 50-100 year horizons. As sci-fi as this sounds, it may well be that our grandchildren will be wandering wastelands, wearing oxygen masks, armed to the teeth, fighting over waterholes.
Reply to this comment
by mikebeat1 December 13, 2007 8:44 AM PST
Surely, someone must understand that a viable alternative energy source would be a windfall profit-making cash cow. That should be enough motivation, shouldn''t it? Btw, chimneyfish, I agree with you as well.
Reply to this comment
by formrusmcsgt December 13, 2007 8:47 AM PST
Posted by samsel3 at 08:41 AM : Dec 13, 2007

Thank you.

This administration''s efforst are focused on keeping America as dependent on petroleum as possible for as long as possible.

Nuclear has been completely ignored.

Geothermal has been completely ignored.

Solar has been completely ignored.

Wind has been completely ignored.

What they have done is work on a "cleaner" coal which is still filthy as hell compared to the above mentioned and spent our treasury and warriors securing foreign supplies of, you guessed it, more crude.
Reply to this comment
by samsel3 December 13, 2007 8:50 AM PST
A balance at the very least is required, but today in America, apparently, saying this makes you a subversive lefty.


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Posted by ttinsly at 08:34 AM : Dec 13, 2007
Thank you your points are well taken.
Reply to this comment
by johnstossel December 13, 2007 8:50 AM PST
I think that everyone should just put their head between their legs and kiss their a$$ good-bye. I live in Georgia and the last three days have been in the 70''s. This is December???
Reply to this comment
by nothappyatall December 13, 2007 8:52 AM PST
"Every month I save my junk mail.. so I can recycle it.
mennowoman"

I hate to burst your bubble but the global changes are NOT going to be reversed with silly PC fixits like recycling your old newspapers- just transporting and reprocessing that garbage will itself produce pollution and use fossil fuel
Turning unused lights off or not driving 1 day a week is also not going to do a dam thing. Cars today get 300% more MPG than those in the 70''s did, yet we import MORE oil than ever because the US pop went from 150 mil in 1950 to over 300 Mil in 2005- THAT is the problem. Your decision to have NO children or 1 instead of 3 will do 100 times more than all the recycling and cutbacks you can possibly do- it will totally eliminate 1 to 3 cars off the road, 1-3 new homes being built, 1-3 more utility hookups for those homes, 1-3 units of acres and acres of farmland not being used to feed those mouths, and so on.
200 years of industrial polution and huge increases in population are not going to be even dented by the piddling bit of recycling or conservation people do- its too LATE for that and any clueless fool can see that.
Reply to this comment
by nothappyatall December 13, 2007 8:52 AM PST
Greenhouse gases and ozone depleting gases if stopped totally today- what is there now will still be rising in the atmosphere for many many years. Its not a case of stop now and everything reverses and youre talking about cutting back big time while at the same time still expanding human population exponentially unchecked- something will give as it cant continue indefinitely
Reply to this comment
by formrusmcsgt December 13, 2007 8:54 AM PST
Since we have waited so long to try different options out, and are still not moving enough on either renewable energy technology research and application, we are setting ourselves up for waiting for an emergency to happen (which could be devastating) before taking effective action.


Posted by ttinsly at 08:50 AM : Dec 13, 2007

This is a hallmark of the Bush doctrine which states" do whatever you wish, or nothing at all if you wish, and if it turns out to be a disaster, leave it for someone else to clean up".
Reply to this comment
by formrusmcsgt December 13, 2007 8:56 AM PST
Posted by newster1 at 08:52 AM : Dec 13, 2007

Obviously, not ANY cluless fool. Most still think we can procreate ad infinitim without consequence....
Reply to this comment
by samsel3 December 13, 2007 8:57 AM PST
What they have done is work on a "cleaner" coal which is still filthy as hell compared to the above mentioned and spent our treasury and warriors securing foreign supplies of, you guessed it, more crude.


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Posted by formrusmcsgt at 08:47 AM : Dec 13, 2007 Your comments are very true. Back in the 70''s I spent many hours on top of power plants sampling emmissions for new R&D equipment to produce cleaner emmissions.
Reply to this comment
by displeased December 13, 2007 8:57 AM PST
Hey Hawksprings, where are you and your global warming bashing buddies? I guess all this snow you''ve been getting recently with your local weather doesn''t really affect the global perspective, does it?
Reply to this comment
by waterandsand December 13, 2007 8:58 AM PST
i give us another 15 more good years before the ***** hits the fan. They wonder why the dinosaurs went extinct so quickly over millions of years but i think we''ll be gone within a thousand. F this im goin buy land in canada.
Reply to this comment
by formrusmcsgt December 13, 2007 8:59 AM PST
Posted by samsel3 at 08:57 AM : Dec 13, 2007

You were probably asked to sample on days of maximum wind conditions as well, weren''t you?
Reply to this comment
by formrusmcsgt December 13, 2007 9:01 AM PST
Posted by waterandsand at 08:58 AM : Dec 13, 2007

Actually, you might be better served going south as the impacts on the equatorial zone will be far less than in the higher latitudes......
Reply to this comment
by mennowoman December 13, 2007 9:01 AM PST
Maybe we should start by having a Nobel laureate that actually has SOLUTIONS to the problem, not just someone who creates a HUGE CO2 footprint making a movie that isn''t even good science. I just think the Nobel committee jumped the gun by honoring someone who only contributed, in a minor way, to pointing out the problem, instead of honoring ANY of the scientists who are working on commercially viable alternative energy sources.
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