February 11, 2009 3:54 PM
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Condi's Crisis In-Box Is Full
CBS News State Department reporter Charles Wolfson recently traveled with Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice in Turkey and the Middle East.
How many crises can Condoleezza Rice juggle at one time? Now may be the time we find out.
There is Turkey's threat to mount a cross-border invasion into Northern Iraq to go after the PKK, a move both the Bush administration and the Iraqi government strongly oppose. There is President Pervez Musharraf's suspension of the democratic process in Pakistan on the eve of a scheduled election. There are the Israelis and Palestinians who are having a difficult time drawing up a declaration of what each side wants to see as publicly stated objectives for an international peace conference, which Rice will host in a few weeks in Annapolis, Md.
All this at a time when Rice is hearing howls of protest from her own foreign service officers about the prospect of being told they must serve in Iraq or face termination, because there may not be enough volunteers to staff America's largest embassy.
Talk about having your front-burner issues and relegating North Korea and Iran to the back burner, at least for the moment.
Crisis management has always been part of the job description for any secretary of state, and for Rice it's no exception. She's dealt with the nuclear ambitions of Iran and North Korea and that has been made more difficult because both are charter members of President Bush's "Axis of Evil."
But these have been ongoing concerns which seem to rise and fall on a pretty steady basis in their demand for the secretary's time and attention. Although both are of extreme importance, both also have their own negotiating tracks which seem to smooth out the points of crisis in each case.
Iraq of course is ever-present and almost always at the top of Rice's to-do list. New problems like Georgia's declaring a state of emergency and suspending democratic rule pop up and, though troubling, do not rise to the level of importance that Pakistan and Turkey demand.
What makes the current moment different is that the temperature has increased so rapidly on so many issues at one time.
Turkey has been fighting its own war on terror against the PKK (which both Washington and Ankara consider a terrorist organization) for a long time. It has conducted some cross border operations before but there has been a level of tolerance for what's taken place - till now. The current concern puts Rice and Mr. Bush in the most unpleasant position of being caught between two allies - Turkey, a NATO partner, and Iraq, the country the Bush administration has "adopted" as its own prime example of how to create a democracy in the Middle East.
In testimony this week on Capital Hill, Deputy Secretary of State John Negroponte said, "We strongly counseled against emergency rule, but Pakistan's leadership did not follow our advice." More significantly, he added that "President Musharraf has been indispensable in the global 'War on Terror.'"
The bottom line is that the "Crisis" in-basket at the White House and the State Department is now overflowing. And it is not a favorable development that Rice must spend a great deal of time on Turkey and Pakistan at the same time she is trying to cap off a renewed effort to work the equivalent of a foreign policy magic act: broker a peace accord between Israelis and Palestinians.
Copyright 2009 CBS. All rights reserved. How many crises can Condoleezza Rice juggle at one time? Now may be the time we find out.
There is Turkey's threat to mount a cross-border invasion into Northern Iraq to go after the PKK, a move both the Bush administration and the Iraqi government strongly oppose. There is President Pervez Musharraf's suspension of the democratic process in Pakistan on the eve of a scheduled election. There are the Israelis and Palestinians who are having a difficult time drawing up a declaration of what each side wants to see as publicly stated objectives for an international peace conference, which Rice will host in a few weeks in Annapolis, Md.
All this at a time when Rice is hearing howls of protest from her own foreign service officers about the prospect of being told they must serve in Iraq or face termination, because there may not be enough volunteers to staff America's largest embassy.
Talk about having your front-burner issues and relegating North Korea and Iran to the back burner, at least for the moment.
Crisis management has always been part of the job description for any secretary of state, and for Rice it's no exception. She's dealt with the nuclear ambitions of Iran and North Korea and that has been made more difficult because both are charter members of President Bush's "Axis of Evil."
But these have been ongoing concerns which seem to rise and fall on a pretty steady basis in their demand for the secretary's time and attention. Although both are of extreme importance, both also have their own negotiating tracks which seem to smooth out the points of crisis in each case.
Iraq of course is ever-present and almost always at the top of Rice's to-do list. New problems like Georgia's declaring a state of emergency and suspending democratic rule pop up and, though troubling, do not rise to the level of importance that Pakistan and Turkey demand.
What makes the current moment different is that the temperature has increased so rapidly on so many issues at one time.
Turkey has been fighting its own war on terror against the PKK (which both Washington and Ankara consider a terrorist organization) for a long time. It has conducted some cross border operations before but there has been a level of tolerance for what's taken place - till now. The current concern puts Rice and Mr. Bush in the most unpleasant position of being caught between two allies - Turkey, a NATO partner, and Iraq, the country the Bush administration has "adopted" as its own prime example of how to create a democracy in the Middle East.
The prospect of Pakistan coming unglued, however, is a bigger problem. President Pervez Musharraf has been a valued partner in the global war on terror even if he hasn't always pursued all of the bad guys Washington thinks may be hiding in Pakistan's tribal areas. The fact that he has suspended democratic procedures and declared a state of emergency is bad enough; if Musharraf can stay in power only by tossing aside democracy, then the Bush administration's support for him will be revealed as support for a dictator. If, on the other hand, the Pakistani leader can cut a political deal to stay in power by holding elections and resigning from his post as leader of the army, then Washington will breath a sigh of relief and know the more than $10 billion in aid it has showered on Musharraf since 9/11 will not have been in vain.
In testimony this week on Capital Hill, Deputy Secretary of State John Negroponte said, "We strongly counseled against emergency rule, but Pakistan's leadership did not follow our advice." More significantly, he added that "President Musharraf has been indispensable in the global 'War on Terror.'"
The bottom line is that the "Crisis" in-basket at the White House and the State Department is now overflowing. And it is not a favorable development that Rice must spend a great deal of time on Turkey and Pakistan at the same time she is trying to cap off a renewed effort to work the equivalent of a foreign policy magic act: broker a peace accord between Israelis and Palestinians.
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