PARIS, Sept. 15, 2007

Global Warming May Open Northwest Passage

As Arctic Ice Retreats To Record Low, Elusive Shipping Route Could Open Sooner Than Thought

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(AP)  Arctic ice has shrunk to the lowest level on record, new satellite images show, raising the possibility that the Northwest Passage that eluded famous explorers will become an open shipping lane.

The European Space Agency said nearly 200 satellite photos this month taken together showed an ice-free passage along northern Canada, Alaska and Greenland, and ice retreating to its lowest level since such images were first taken in 1978.

The waters are exposing unexplored resources, and vessels could trim thousands of miles from Europe to Asia by bypassing the Panama Canal. The seasonal ebb and flow of ice levels has already opened up a slim summer window for ships.

Leif Toudal Pedersen, of the Danish National Space Center, said that Arctic ice has shrunk to some 1 million square miles. The previous low was 1.5 million square miles, in 2005.

“The strong reduction in just one year certainly raises flags that the ice (in summer) may disappear much sooner than expected,” Pedersen said in an ESA statement posted on its Web site Friday.

Pedersen said the extreme retreat this year suggested the passage could fully open sooner than expected - but ESA did not say when that might be. Efforts to contact ESA officials in Paris and Noordwik, the Netherlands, were unsuccessful Saturday.

A U.N. panel on climate change has predicted that polar regions could be virtually free of ice by the summer of 2070 because of rising temperatures and sea ice decline, ESA noted.

Russia, Norway, Denmark, Canada and the United States are among countries in a race to secure rights to the Arctic that heated up last month when Russia sent two small submarines to plant its national flag under the North Pole. A U.S. study has suggested as much as 25 percent of the world's undiscovered oil and gas could be hidden in the area.

Environmentalists fear increased maritime traffic and efforts to tap natural resources in the area could one day lead to oil spills and harm regional wildlife.

Until now, the passage has been expected to remain closed even during reduced ice cover by multiyear ice pack - sea ice that remains through one or more summers, ESA said.

Researcher Claes Ragner of Norway's Fridtjof Nansen Institute, which works on Arctic environmental and political issues, said for now, the new opening has only symbolic meaning for the future of sea transport.

“Routes between Scandinavia and Japan could be almost halved, and a stable and reliable route would mean a lot to certain regions,” he said by phone. But even if the passage is opening up and polar ice continues to melt, it will take years for such routes to be regular, he said.

“It won't be ice-free all year around and it won't be a stable route all year,” Ragner said. “The greatest wish for sea transportation is streamlined and stable routes.”

“Shorter transport routes means less pollution if you can ship products from A to B on the shortest route,” he said, “but the fact that the polar ice is melting away is not good for the world in that we're losing the Arctic and the animal life there.”

The opening observed this week was not the most direct waterway, ESA said. That would be through northern Canada along the coast of Siberia, which remains partially blocked.

© MMVII The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
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Add a Comment See all 36 Comments
by my2centss September 17, 2007 11:17 PM EDT
Know what happened when there was not enough CO2? Global cooling(Ice Age). Just think, your mother was full of it, when she said you cannot heat the whole outdoors.
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by octavianfdlr September 17, 2007 7:29 PM EDT
raven1451 pointed out the (natural) political aspect of warming climates, whether anthropogenic or not. This aspect has been seen before. Remember how the Vikings exploded into Europe about a thousand years ago? That was during the Medieval Optimum, a warm period that the Intergovernmental Panel likes to deny.

The Medieval Optimum made it easier to live up North. (Wonder why a former Senator from Tennessee dislikes global warming?) The population in Scandinavia exploded. Then, when the Little Ice Age began, the Vikings became politically less important. The Viking settlements in Greenland died off.

PS: The Medieval Optimum was not caused by sport-utility vehicles in North America.
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by hawksprings September 17, 2007 7:21 PM EDT

Think of the greenhouse emissions that will be saved by using this new Northwest Passage versus going all the way down through the Panama Canal!

You liberals are always so negative!

...
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by ianlou September 17, 2007 2:45 PM EDT
When the NeoCons figure out that they will make more money fighting Global Warming than the are making contributing to it, They will admit that it does exist and they will start criticizing the Democrats for how little they have accomplished so far in fighting it.

Rush will explain away his previous position by saying "Global warming came into existence the same year Haliburton discovered a way to make cars run on C02 gases."


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by raven1451 September 17, 2007 11:50 AM EDT
This ice opening is terrible news. Not only for environmental, but political as well. The last thing we need is the worlds leading countries to start fighting over the north pole. This is article was awful as well. It presents global warming as a good thing. If you re read it , it supports the idea that this new evidence is a good thing. Easier way of exporting and importing freight, lower amount of fuel used, less money blah blah blah, when in reality you now have a huge problem. No polar bears = large amounts of seals = no fish, and if we cant hunt and eat the seals, what are we going to eat ? oil..
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by roach9703 September 17, 2007 1:03 AM EDT
The fact that we have a growing pollution problem is clear from brown fogs in Eastern Asia to the awful car pollution problem in Northern Virginia. So, we need to develop alternative fuels and find better ways to use the fuels we have. However, the complexity of weather and climate is enormous. The argument over global warming may be a waste of time The Percent gas of the total atmosphere for carbon monoxide is quite small.
Let us zero on the items we see, growing acid levels in soils of the world, growing rates of asthma among chidren, visible signs of growing accumulations of soot on buildings etc, These are the most important needs for changing what fuels we use how we convert these to energy and how we conserve energy.
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by rushlimpdrug September 17, 2007 12:17 AM EDT
Posted by CharlesDJohn
dumbazz, your own post proves errors abound.
No global warming? The proof is?
Yes global warming? The proof is?
Obviously, the damm research was in ERROR.
To bad those smart idiots were to stupid to ERROR on the safe side.
Same is true with global warming.
To bad people are to selfish to error on the safe side.
meanwhile, enjoy the ski slopes.
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by middleman8 September 16, 2007 9:17 PM EDT
The Northwest passage will be something else for countries to fight over, oil and minerals, here we go again.
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by goldesprit September 16, 2007 8:53 PM EDT
Once we get used to the idea that, because of the melt, increased ship travel and shipping in these areas is cool (excuse the pun)-- we will get busy as ants breaking up more ice and doing other things to promote short term commerce.
%u201CIt won''t be ice-free all year around and it won''t be a stable route all year,%u201D
--but apparently we can wish it would or could be...
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by actornaught September 16, 2007 7:32 PM EDT
Even w acknowledges global warming is happening, only an inbred ''**** can disagree now...
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by erasmus6 September 16, 2007 6:56 PM EDT
safe THAT sorry should read: safe THAN sorry.
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by erasmus6 September 16, 2007 6:54 PM EDT
Okay, on one side we have people that believe in global warming and on the other side we have the people that don''t believe in global warming. Now doesn''t COMMON SENSE tell you that rather than take the chance of doing nothing at all and then find out, OOPS, they were right and now it is too late, it would be better to do what we can to clean up the earth anyways? I mean you can''t say our air and water isn''t contaminated, can you? So what is the harm in cleaning up our earth? To do nothing at all whether you believe in global warming or not, would be completely irresponsible.

Let''s put it this way, if someone told you that they heard that there was a certain kid that was going to be at your kids school tomorrow and they were going to kill your kid and you knew who this kid was and in your mind you could not EVER believe that kid would do something like that, would you send your kid to school? Or would you keep your kid home and rather be safe that sorry.
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by nothappyatall September 16, 2007 3:50 PM EDT
Global warming is a fact not theory, photos of 100 years ago of glaciers and snow capped mountains compared to today prove it, this open passage that didnt exist before also proves it.
The fact that it''s happening so rapidly and during the industrial age- last 60 years- is no coincidence.

Since there is no way to reverse this, we''d better figure out how to ADAPT and do it fast.


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by madisongirl-2009 September 16, 2007 1:13 PM EDT
STOP GLOBAL WHINING
STOP GLOBAL WHINING

HEY, HEY, HO, HO, GLOBAL WHINING HAS GOTTA GO
HEY, HEY, HO, HO, GLOBAL WHINING HAS GOTTA GO

...
Reply to this comment
by charlesdjohn September 16, 2007 12:07 PM EDT
Allow me to start by saying that Global Warming and the rising sea levels associated with it are undeniably real! In fact, there is a mountain of observable evidence to support the Global Warming Theory!

What the alarmist don''t want you to know is that Global Warming has been going on since the last Ice Age about 10,000 years ago! Which explains the lack of ICE!

Bush did not create Global Warming nor did modern civilization! Global Warming alarmist are trying to use a very small span of elapsed time to prove that Global Warming is caused by man.

There was another great study done by man in the early part of the 20th century. Man took great pains to measure the flow of the Colorado river to insure that when the Hoover *** was built Mexico would still receive it''s share of the water. Today the Colorado river ends in a mud hole in Mexico and they no longer get their share of the water. Why, because the men who did the study did not realize that the small time span during which they did their study was done during a period of peak water flow that cycles every 100 years........
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by messenger9 September 16, 2007 12:00 PM EDT
I have a theory that Global Warming is caused from SAG. A. So when it''s magnetic pole passes us in the year 2014 we will slowly go back to normal. Seeing how scientists say that the energy ejecting from a GRB is more than the energy estimated to create the whole universe I''d say being so close to SAG. A. and aligning with her magnetic pole would cause a noticeable warm up even at this distance. Sort of like the Y2K bug that everyone was worried about. It came and passed without much damage. Yeah Its true a "black holes" gravity does not stop all the energy from escaping as seen with jets coming from their magnetic poles. What scientists call a GRB. Yeah and Einstein%u2019s theory of gravitational lensing should be called magnetic field bending. I was told they are one in the same.
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by mcvet September 16, 2007 11:18 AM EDT
Myldoncbs:

Tell me three peices of evidence that global warming is going.

When it doesn''''t happen it is going to be so embarrising.

Sparky IF you can''t figure out that Global Warning is real you simply don''t want to admit it. Let''s look at it this way, IF we listen to you losers, which we have to this point and you are wrong, which you always have been, we have a really really bad situation on our hands, a lot of inocent people are going to die and suffer. Now if we listen to those who say it''s happening, they include a vast majority of Scientist and Experts, and we act to clean up our air and enviroment, we have air we can breath and we''ve created MILLIONS of jobs that American''s can do. Doesn''t seem to be much in the way of a choice does it? Sieg Heil Bush!!
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by pro-america September 16, 2007 9:34 AM EDT
Myldoncbs:

Tell me three peices of evidence that global warming is going.

When it doesn''t happen it is going to be so embarrising.
Reply to this comment
by pro-america September 16, 2007 9:31 AM EDT
Not if the rapture or meteor coming at us hits us first.
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by pro-america September 16, 2007 9:28 AM EDT
Hawksprings.

you are 100% right.
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