GOP's Problems Much Bigger Than Bush
The Skinny: Republican Pollster Says Party May Have Grown Too Old And Too Conservative
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Young voters, Hispanics and independents are drifting away from the Republican party, and not even the end of Bush's bumpy tenure will likely help bring them back, the Wall Street Journal reports.
Recent voter surveys, including private polling done by a leading Republican strategist, suggest "Republicans face structural problems that stem from generational, demographic and societal changes and aren't easily overcome without changing fundamental party positions," according to the Journal.
The main reasons for drift include the "Iraq war, conservatives' emphasis on social issues such as gay marriage, abortion and stem-cell research, and a party-led backlash against illegal immigrants that has left many Hispanics and Asian Americans citizens feeling unwelcome," the Journal reports.
Longtime Republican pollster Tony Fabrizio conducted a major survey of his party's voters this year, and compared it to a similar one in 1997. He found his party had gotten much older and more conservative in the last decade.
In the current survey, 17 percent of Republicans are 18 to 34 years old, down from 25 percent in 1997. Republicans 55 and older constitute 41 percent of the party - up from 28 percent a decade ago. By 53 percent to 42 percent, Republicans say the party "has spent too much time focusing on moral issues" rather than economic ones.
Such trends, Fabrizio told the Journal, means the GOP is increasingly at risk of being seen "as very old-fashioned, very old and not in touch with the realities of today's society."
Falling Out Of Love With Republicans
Out-of-touch with the realities of a rapidly changing society was how Goldwater Girl Hillary Clinton came to see the Republican Party during her years at Wellesley College, according to a profile in today's New York Times.
The article focuses on the politically turbulent year of 1968, which spanned Clinton's junior and seniors years, as the cauldron of her transformation from Barry Goldwater-boosting Republican to anti-war Democrat.
But, like most Clinton profiles, along the way it picks up telling details to reinforce the public's current opinion of the candidate. For example, the bold graduation speech "whose public rebuke of a Republican senator won her notice in Life magazine as the voice of her generation" was handwritten, with crossed-out sentences and scrawled insertions. "Yet Ms. Rodham's words are neatly contained between tight margins," the Times notes, sounding the article's underlying theme.
Hillary was brilliant and ambitions, the kind of student "who wrote thank-you notes to the professors who helped her." While outspoken and blunt, she was "hardly a bombthrower." She also seems to be something of a goofball. She bought a dreadful pair of clunky, mud-colored shoes because she "felt sorry for them," she told a friend. A photo shows her in a knee-kissing pleated skirt may also help explain her preference for pantsuits.
Even as early as 1966, Clinton wrote a minister back home that her "opinions on most human conditions were being liberalized," and "the combination of bleeding heart liberal and mental conservative is the inevitable conclusion one arrives at after following and pondering political events."
The assassination of Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. "devastated" her, while witnessing the mayhem of the Democratic Convention in Chicago left her "shocked" by the brutality of protesters throwing rocks and police beating protesters.
Together, they left her politically committed, but as square as the toes on those dreadful shoes. In "Living History" she describes how she and her friend discussed the Chicago riots in the ensuring months how, if there ever was a revolution, "We would never participate."
"I was rooted in the political approach that understood that you can't just take to the streets and make change in America," she told the Times in an interview. "You can't just give a speech and expect people to fall down and agree with you."
Black Magic And Red Politics
Grave-robbing is on the rise in Venezuela, but not for the usual plunder of gold jewelry and dental fillings, the Los Angeles Times reports. These days, robbers want human bones to sell for big bucks to paleros, practitioners of a black magic cult related to Santeria whose rising popularity is spurred by a mix of faith and politics.
Although most Santeria followers steer clear of the use of human remains and Satanism, the paleros embrace them, using the bones in rituals to cast evil spells on enemies, according to the resident priest of a recently plundered cemetery.
Some anthropoligsts are blaming the weakening Catholic church for the spooky rituals, but others see causes that are more worldly. They say the government of leftist President Hugo Chavez is encouraging the rise of Santeria to counter the authority of the Catholic Church, which Chavez has viewed as his enemy.
Many church leaders are blaming the rise of Santeria on Cuba, which they way are exporting babablos - or Santeria shamans -- along with doctors, teachers and sports trainers to Venezuela as part of closer economic relations with Chavez.
In a television talk show, Chavez has denied that he was a believer in black magic, but he is known "to be a mystic of sorts," reports the Times. Some say he believes he is the reincarnation of 19th-century Venezuelan leader, Ezequiel Zamora.
It does make you wonder, though. When Chavez famously announced at the U.N. a year ago that President Bush was "the devil," was he speaking of the underworld through more intimate personal experience than anyone guessed at the time?
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See all 79 CommentsBut, this is life and things are always brought into balance. The republicans are on the wrong side of this correction and pay the consequences.
Unfortunately for them, the light at the end of the tunnel is nowhere to be seen.
The Republican party abandoned key principles in favor of a slick empty message that the American people have begun to see through. In the end, they don''t stand for anything but big corporations and special interests.
If I might add, the Democrats are exactly the same, they are just a little better at concealing their true nature.
Basically they are both sides made up of rich, "white" males, the vast majority of which never actually worked for a living, and their followers, who wish to believe the snake oil they both sell.
Good cop (Dems), bad cop (GOP), but both corrupt cops...
Good article. Fair and balanced as usual.
Well, it is a good topic anyway. The truth is that the G.O.P.s problems go much deeper than Bush, but getting rid of Bush will be a giants step on the way back.
What will also undoubtedly serve to bring the Republicans back, as it has in the past, is Democratic arrogance and overconfidence.
I expect that 2008 will be a bloodbath for the G.O.P. but the Democrats had better be ready with leadership of its own to handle the mess that Bush is going to leave behind and a committment to clean up its own house. Otherwise, the G.O.P. may come back sooner than people think possible.
Posted by micma at 10:33 AM : Sep 05, 2007
Don''t forget the Evangelicals!
If you''re an ordinary person living life and minding your own business and suddenly find yourself a target of an organized hate group, the GOP, which hispanics, ***, unmarried couples, pregnant women, asians, and blacks all find themselves to be, which party would you choose? The Democratic party is the party of the people, not the party of "everybody"--those who hold themselves above the rest of us, like the evangelicals, southerners, capitalists, and neocons, still have the freedom not to belong thanks to the Democratic Party''s commitment to the Constitution, the freedom they want to deny the rest of us.
In time people will view repuplicans and conservatives as just one more party that failed to evolve with the times.
The new American voters of today are NOT the voters of 20 years ago or even 10.
Things have changed!! The new American voter is much more interested in global warming, in new types of energy besides fossil fuels, in working together as a world community to fight terrorism.
The kids that have come of age during Bush''s presidency have seen what troubles come from war, what global warming is doing to their planet, and they are NOT going to follow that same road!!!
The rep dynasty of Rove was never based on reality!!! The times of Reagan/Bush/Bush are over and dead.
Posted by nexgen99 at 11:09 AM : Sep 05, 2007
THIS is FASCISM 101 folks. Regardless of what history has to teach us, regardless of ALL the failure we see, regardless of truth and fact, YOU must hate those who do not agree with the small minds that is the present day Republican Party. I like to think we can and will be like the GREATEST Generation, spreading our wings, pushing the envelope, doing what so many before us did. We CAN change the World and we CAN make life better for Working American''s who have seen their Standard of Living Drop to the Bottom of the "Rich" Nations. You can buy this hate and division, this attempt to put EVERYONE and EVERY Idea that doesn''t fit their view in a box... you can do that but you are a Fascist if you do!! That''s what FASCISM is all about!! Sieg Heil Bush!!
Just like the "Obama bin Laden" story and every "Go Hillary" cheer they make from this website on a daily basis...
... Yes, we''re keeping count!
Posted by glossypan at 11:12 AM : Sep 05, 2007
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The simple fact is that the Democrats want to create a hole new class of socially dependent individuals that they can feed offer for years to come. They want to get back to the welfare days where large blocks of the population were dependent on welfare and social programs. This way they will continue to vote democratic so they can continue to live off the sweat of everyone else. The Democrats do not work for the people, they word against the people.
Posted by airmanc5 at 10:58 AM : Sep 05, 2007
Why shouldn''t they? The Democrat Party didn''t run elections on Hate and Division. He paid his price to society and he has as many rights as you Nazi''s do. The Democrat Party is a party where EVERYONE''s Voice will be heard and EVERYONE''s Idea''s will get a hearing. To turn people away because the OTHER PARTY hates them??? Just think were we''d be if this nation had done this in the past? I''m not saying I''d vote for Craig, I''m not in his state but welcome him to the party... you bet!
NOW REACT
Just like the "Obama bin Laden" story and every "Go Hillary" cheer they make from this website on a daily basis...
... Yes, we''''re keeping count!
Posted by johnny343sc at 11:30 AM : Sep 05, 2007
LOL And your point is? Look who''s interested in the Republican Canidates, they just want more of the Same. The Democrats have Idea''s and positions to look at, so why shouldn''t America do just that. After all it was YOU nazi''s who insisted on trashing the "Fairness Provisions" at the Fed level. When your party HAS the sitting President the position of YOUR party get''s plenty of Air Sparky! Or don''t you count the Nazi in Charge? So who should determine what we see and hear? The citizens who BUY the programs or you clowns who haven''t been very successful lately? I''ll stick with the Free Press and the word FREE means just that FREE!! Sieg Heil Bush!!
Rudy is a joke. He won''t get past the primaries and in any other time he would never be considered as a candidate. A fcking mayor as president?? No way.
The rep are lost. The country has changed and is changing faster than they realize. They are using old rules and old thoguhts that have no residence with America of today. Old rep foggies with money might still believe in the old party line, but not anyone under 55.
Posted by nexgen99 at 11:30 AM : Sep 05, 2007
Now I''ve listened to lot of speeches and read a lot about the Democrat Canidates and this is simply a LIE! How can we possibably fix the bridges that are falling down or the roads that are coming apart IF we do not have a budget that reflects those priorities. All you care about is yourself... well this is a NATION.. It''s called the UNITED STATES... live with it!! Sieg Heil Bush!!
Posted by MCVet at 11:31 AM : Sep 05, 2007
OH REALLY? EVERYONES VOICE??? Then please explain to me why my Democratic Senators completely ignored the majority of voices in regard to immigration reform. I don''t think either party, Dem or Rep is listening to the people.
Posted by nexgen99 at 11:35 AM : Sep 05, 2007
Those UNION Worker''s, which I am NOT one of (Disabled Vet) ONCE paid to fix our bridges and our roads. Those Union Workers won a WAR for us and kept us all free. Those Union Workers was the golden goose and we KILLED it. You fascist did make ONE mistake Sparky... you didn''t completely kill them, they are still alive and kicking... Better find a rock to slime off under Sparky, they are coming to get you!! ROFLMAO Look it''s easy to look these things up. The US ranks LOWER than all the other G-7 nations in the Standard of Living! PERIOD! Sieg Heil Bush!!
Well, what can I say had the GOP spent as much time trying to keep the promises of Contract with America as they did on the Bill Clinton witch hunt they won''t have this problem.
Of course the GOP (Greed over Principle) was really selling the Contract on America.
Posted by nottellin1 at 11:41 AM : Sep 05, 2007
So you are saying the Democrat Party didn''t listen you YOUR IDEAS? Wrong and you''d know that IF you read something OTHER than the Reich Propaganda... they just didn''t act on it. They have many different ideas about how to deal with our neighbors just NONE of them want to build a wall around us or go out of our way to make the citizens of that nation hate us. That''s where you Fascist have failed the most. You are pretty much hated by the planet because of your hatred and bigotry... Kinda hard for the party of the Civil Rights Act to do the things you folks wanted...doesn''t mean they didn''t listen though! Sieg Heil Bush
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You mean those unions workers who have destroyed productivity at our Automotive plants and have caused companies like GM and FORD to loose market share. You mean those union workers who have failed our school children. Your mean those union workers who think they are entitled to life time health care and full pay if they get laid off. I guess that''s why all the American workers at Toyota, Honda, and the other American based foreign manufacturers have chosen not to unionize Your nuts.
In short, the Big 3 have not adjusted to the changing world market and instead have chosen to continue to market low fuel economy rides to the US market. Now, with more US drivers each day paying closer attention to fuel economy, their share of the US market has begun to shrink too.
Did you ever consider that maybe the problem for Detroit was selling gas guzzlers while the Japanese and other global suppliers were developing fuel efficient vehicle? That was a management decision, but I''m sure the union is somehow responsible.
By the way, republicans tried to build the country with individualism in the 20s & the 80s and the Dems had to save the country from their selfish stupidity both times. Now we''re going to have to do it again by practicing the fiscal discipline that the G.O.P. can only talk about. Bush failed our shcool children when he left the no child left behind funding behind.
You are one twisted dude. They''re coming out of the woodwork today.
However, their Diebold payoffs should guarantee election victories into the next century.
Posted by mascarponi
Hey cheese poop, are the libos going to close the borders or are they just gonna let everybody in?
The President was a drunk until middle age, has a DUI conviction, peers can not recall him even showing up in for his Guard duty during Vietnam yet the Chickenhawk sends our soldier to die in Iraq a war of his parties choosing
The Vice President shot a friend in the face after consuming alcohol, and collects blood money from Stock Options worth millions for record profits no bid federal contractor Halliburton
One of the Presidents assistants and VP chief of staff was convicted of 5 felonies while perfoming offical business
The former Whip the hammer, a man of dubious character, is under felony indictment
9 Members home have been raided by the FBI
And on and on, 20 bucks for a blower in a little league park, preying on underage Pages entrusted to Congress
Good thing they have the Religious types on their side, because most of us on the left would not ever forgive let alone vote for any of these slimes
And all this guy wanted was *** in a public toilet and now they have moral outrage
Posted by nexgen99
There...there in lyes your problem my friend...your intolerably jaded attitude towards your fellow Americans. When a CEO is making 65 times the avergae salary of a company employee and we complain, sure...we must just be a bunch of lazy Aholes incapable of making a buck of our own. OR...perhaps we are just angry with the frightening rate in which the gap has grown between the rich and poor these past few years and feel that wealth would be better serving in the hands of the many rather than the few. When a few figurehead leaders are making gross profits off of the hard work of their underpaid subordinates...I call that disgraceful.
I also caught wind in an earlier comment about how the DEMS are trying to create a breed of socially dependent people to provide them a steady voting block to adhere to. This is actually a great concern...I concur. But is it the case? It would be impossible to generate that type of monopoly on the population without creeping in on communism, and that my friend will never happen in this country. I am looking for a good leader. A conciensious, hard working, open minded, in touch, fair LEADER is what this counrty needs. I see a few, but all these petty differences make the DEMS and REPS look like the same piece of SxHxIxT cut in half.
"G-ay O-ld P-eople"...Party...lol,,,according to soon to be FORMER Sen. Craig....lol
''jus kiddin'' juuuuuussss'' kiddin''....sort of.
Its not just a lack of faith in Republicans, though it shows up the most with them. But government in general. They''re all just a buncha ******** showboats.
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