Poll: 63% Say Clinton "Likely" To Win

CBS/NYT Poll: Majorities Of Both Men And Women Think New York Democrat Will Be Next President

(CBS)  A new CBS News/New York Times poll out Thursday shows 63 percent of voters believe it's likely that Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton will be elected the first woman president in U.S. history if she wins her party's nomination.

While opinions about the New York senator are strongly divided by gender, majorities of both men (59 percent) and women (65 percent) surveyed think it's very or somewhat likely Clinton will win the presidency.

Even most Republicans (53 percent) think Clinton will win — as do 77 percent of Democrats.


LIKELY CLINTON WILL WIN IN NOVEMBER 2008? (Among registered voters)

All
Very/somewhat likely
63%
Not very/not at all likely
35%

Women
Very/somewhat likely
65%
Not very/not at all likely
32%

Men
Very/somewhat likely
59%
Not very/not at all likely
40%

The poll shows Clinton continuing to hold a solid lead over the rest of the Democratic field. Among likely Democratic primary voters, she has a 43-24 percent edge over her closest rival, Sen. Barack Obama. Former Sen. John Edwards is third at 16 percent.

On the Republican side, former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani remains the front-runner at 33 percent, but still-undeclared candidate Fred Thompson, the actor and former senator, is gaining ground, up to 25 percent. Sen. John McCain has slipped to 15 percent, followed by former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney at 8 percent.

More voters (75 percent) say Clinton is a strong leader, than say this about Giuliani (71 percent) and Obama (68 percent). Obama has a slight lead over Clinton when voters were asked whether a candidate shares their moral values, while Giuliani trails.

Clinton falls behind, however, on the question of believability. More voters think she's likely to say what people want to hear than say that about either Obama or Giuliani.

IF THESE WERE THE CANDIDATES, WHO WOULD YOU WANT AS THE DEMOCRATIC NOMINEE? (Among Democratic Primary Voters)

Clinton
43%
Obama
24%
Edwards
16%

IF THESE WERE THE CANDIDATES, WHO WOULD YOU WANT AS THE REPUBLICAN NOMINEE? (Among Republican Primary Voters)

Giuliani
33%
Thompson
25%
McCain
15%
Romney
8%

On specific issues, a majority of voters thinks Clinton would make good decisions on health care (74 percent) and foreign policy (68 percent), while 58 percent think she'd be effective as commander in chief. But many (52 percent) are "uneasy" about her ability to handle an international crisis.

Forty-one percent of voters think Clinton's vote authorizing the Iraq war was a mistake, while 53 percent think it was not. But even those who see it as a mistake don't feel overwhelmingly that she needs to apologize.

There is a significant gender gap on nearly every question asked about Clinton, with women having a more positive opinion of her than men.

The poll suggests that Sen. Clinton's husband, former President Bill Clinton, will not have a major impact on the election. Half of voters think her marriage to him will not influence her support one way or the other; while voters who think the marriage will have an impact are evenly split between those who think it will help her and those who think it will hurt her.

The poll also asked about President Bush and the U.S. Congress, and both receive the same low overall job approval ratings: 29 percent. Majorities say they're disappointed with both the Democrats and the Republicans in Congress.

Pessimism about the overall direction of the country remains high, too, with more than seven in 10 Americans saying the U.S. is on the wrong track.

This poll was conducted among a random sample of 1,554 adults nationwide, interviewed by telephone July 9-17, 2007. The error due to sampling for results based on the entire sample could be plus or minus three percentage points. The error for subgroups is higher. An oversample of women was also conducted for this poll, for a total of 1,068 interviews among this group, by selecting them with higher probability than men in households with both men and women. The weights of men and women in mixed-gender households were adjusted to compensate for their different probabilities of selection. The final weighted distribution of men and women in the sample is in proportion to the composition of the adult population in the U.S. Census.

[random_radar]

"More voters think she's likely to say what people want to hear"

Then she will win. Tell people what they want to hear and they will vote for you. She is about to make history.

[vastr-wcon]

Evidently, after 6.5 years of DickNBush, voters have lost all hope for enlightened, ethical, intelligent leadership and expect that hypocrisy, secrecy and mediocrity will continue. Both sad and disturbing.

[one_american]

And what do the 63% base their opinions on?

The NY Times / CBS Polls.



If polls meant anything in the real world, then Kerry would have been president.

[sjc_1]

I think it would be important who she would pick as a running mate. I know this is WAY too early to talk about that. but if she were to pick someone like a Lieberman, then people would think twice. Ever since Gore became an effective VP, people have been considering who the second in command is.

[tejasdemo]

Go Baby go !!!!!!

[one_american]

I "like" the picture of Hillary, tho.

Reminds me of the old Batman program of the 60's when the crooks were always shown angled 45 degrees in the camera...

[dnamj]

I just hope that she joins the international court and sends Bush, Cheney, Rice, Rumsfeld, Wolfowitz, and Gonzales up for war crimes.

[randalds]

This surprises anyone? She leading as the democratic candidate and no matter who the republicans nominate they don't stand a snowballs chance in hell of winning against ANY democrat. Bush has pis*sed in the political waters so much and made so many enemies among the people that all any democrat has to do in our lifetime is to hold up a picture of the chimp and say "Do you really want to go back to THAT?" and the votes will flow in for the democrats. It'll be like running against the Nazi's for the next generation or so. Thanks Georgie!!!

[randalds]

I just hope that she joins the international court and sends Bush, Cheney, Rice, Rumsfeld, Wolfowitz, and Gonzales up for war crimes.

Posted by dnamj at 06:47 PM : Jul 19, 2007

Amen, even the chimp can't issue pardons for international war crimes, though I'm sure the little sawed off punk SOB will try. And let's hope they get the same punishment ordered for Goering and his friends. I'll glady help build the gallows.

[prinzowhales]

We still don't know whose blond hair it was that was found in the murdered Vince Foster's shorts...I bet it belongs to "Cattle Futures" Clinton.

[perception5]

The New York Times........can we get any more Corrpt then the NYTimes?? You know they have a new slogan "Every liberal lie that's fit to print". Yeah....... a judge told them they had to tell the truth......

The New York Times represents one of America's Corrupt Liberal MSM Wolfpack members.... possibly the "alpha" member.

Earth to NYTimes Zero credibiity

[condumism]

Dems and Cons are not paying attention. We all agree that "want our country back," but we clearly have our differences as to how to get there. BAN ALL CORPORATE and FOREIGN LOBBYISTS from the HALLS of the US CONGRESS! BARACK OBAMA IS THE ONLY CANDIDATE with the BALLS to declare that this would be one of his first things that he would do if elected President. Our Corporate media is not covering this fact AT ALL!

[feelfree1]

CBS has apparently already decided who we will be allowed to vote for.

The chances that I would ever vote for a war-mongering Corporate/AIPAC-owned digrace to the American people, like Hillary, is zero.

The only candidates worthy of consideration, in my opinion, are Gravel, Kucinich, and Paul. The others are not qualified for 'dog catcher', and should apoligize and step aside to make way for the legitimate candidates.

[randalds]

The only candidates worthy of consideration, in my opinion, are Gravel, Kucinich, and Paul. The others are not qualified for 'dog catcher', and should apoligize and step aside to make way for the legitimate candidates.


Posted by FeelFree1 at 06:57 PM : Jul 19, 2007

And a vote for any of those three is a wated vote. None of them has a chance in hell of getting nominated, let alone winning. They're a waste of time. Anyone want to vote for them? Go ahead, but don't hold your breath.

[perception5]

The New York Times........can we get any more Corrupt then the NYTimes??
Posted by perception5 at 06:56 PM : Jul 19, 2007

.Ok I'll answer my own question......yes CBS which stands for:

1. Corrupt Broadcasting Station
2. Crush Bush Station
3. Cheney Bashing Station
4. Clinton Broadcasting Station

.......did I forget anyone?

[gkc99]

"The only candidates worthy of consideration, in my opinion, are Gravel, Kucinich, and Paul. The others are not qualified for 'dog catcher', and should apoligize and step aside to make way for the legitimate candidates." Posted by FeelFree1


YOU'RE THE KIND OF GUY WHO PUT BUSHIT IN THE WHITE HOUSE WITH THE PATHETIC NADER CANDIDACY.

It's nice to fantasize, and Paul and Kucinich are appealing as honest guys (Gravel seems like a nutcase), but no way they can win. Any splinter candidacy will put the White House right back in the hands of the Neocon Fascist Party.

[randalds]

Earth to NYTimes Zero credibiity

Posted by perception5 at 06:56 PM : Jul 19, 2007

And so says a FOX Noise lover. LOL!!!

We still don't know whose blond hair it was that was found in the murdered Vince Foster's shorts...I bet it belongs to "Cattle Futures" Clinton.
Posted by Prinzowhales at 06:56 PM : Jul 19, 2007

Naw, it was Ted Haggard's. He thought Foster was just a really sleepy male hooker!

[olebd]

I really wish we could find a GOOD woman president. SHE is not what we need.

[randalds]

.......did I forget anyone?
Posted by perception5 at 07:02 PM : Jul 19, 2007

Washington Times, Fox Noise, any Murdoch station or outlet....anything stated by Fat As*s Limbaugh...or Bill Orally...anything stated by you...mudrose...didntinhale...one_american..etc....etc....etc.....

[perception5]

This story commisioned by two of America's most corrupt liberal news outlets and a classic example of how propaganda is used.

CBS and the NYTimes provides a puff piece with a great smiling picture of Hillary Rotten-Clinton and they combine that with poll numbers "they" put together.

This story is an attempt by these two liberal news outlets to promote their candidate......... it's really unbelievable......beacause their corrupt liberal feather are really showing.... Yet millions of Americans won't even know they are being "contaminated"

[feelfree1]

gkc99,

Re: "YOU'RE THE KIND OF GUY WHO PUT BUSHIT IN THE WHITE HOUSE WITH THE PATHETIC NADER CANDIDACY."

It sounds like you believe that Bush was legitimately elected, when the evidence points to the contrary. You must be quite gullible. It's no wonder that you are so easily fooled/frightened into voting against your own interests.

If you are a supporter of Hillary, just keep in mind that you are supporting the illegal war of aggression against Iraq, and the coming one against Iran. Your candidate sure has/is. Consider yourself complicit, and stop criticizing the policies of your President Bush, when your representation offers no substantial alternative.

[randalds]

Washington Times, Fox Noise, any Murdoch station or outlet....anything stated by Fat As*s Limbaugh...or Bill Orally...anything stated by you...mudrose...didntinhale...one_americ
an..etc....etc....etc.....


Oooppppps! I forgot to add badaxmofo to the list of people with zero or less credibility! I'm sorry I missed you!!

[randalds]

Yet millions of Americans won't even know they are being "contaminated"

Posted by perception5 at 07:11 PM : Jul 19, 2007

Don't worry, any American reading this site already knows one who is....you. And will gladly testify to it at your sanity hearing or lawsuit. Just ask! Our pleasure! Really!

[name_verify]

Poll 18 months out has no reality. Not for Billary. Not for anybody. Media is bored again and manufacturing a story when there isn't one. I heard a rumor that Katie Couric slapped a staff at CBS because he said the word "sputum" over and over again.

[randalds]

Gotta run for a bit and walk the dogs. They're both full of Bush and in serious need of taking a dump. I'll gladly send a sample to any RNC member posting here pretending to be an American. Just ask nice and thank you.

[luigi999-2009]

This is proof women never should have been given the vote. Totally irresponsible.

[emtak1]

I'm not sure what "somewhat likely" means...Is that like being a little bit pregnant?

[liberalvet]

This story is an attempt by these two liberal news outlets to promote their candidate......... it's really unbelievable......beacause their corrupt liberal feather are really showing.... Yet millions of Americans won't even know they are being "contaminated"
Posted by perception5 at 07:11 PM : Jul 19, 2007


Sounds to me like you and all the other NEOCON idiots are scared.... ROTFLMAO........

[condumism]

Posted by badaxdildo:

Same polls predicted a Kerry whitehouse...LMFAO

Since 2004, Cons have been exposed as the party of neocon phoneys, hypocrits, greed filled America hater's, liars, pedophiles, and in the pocket of Corporate America. I even understand that affiliation with the Republicon Party is again less then 39%, whereas in 2004 it was at an all time high of 44%.

You completely fit my definition of a ConDumAss!

[feelfree1]

RandalDS,

Re: "And a vote for any of those three is a (wasted) vote."

I disagree.

Re: "None of them has a chance in hell of getting nominated, let alone winning."

Until, and if the votes are counted, they have the same chances as anyone else. Surrendering control of our government to another AIPAC/Corporate tool, does not seem like a wise move to me.

If these candidates are able to force the AIPAC/Corporate candidates to address issues that they would prefer not to, this is a major victory in itself, in my opinion.

Re: "Anyone want to vote for them? Go ahead"

Thank you. I would like to, but I am not affiliated with either "failure" Party, so I doubt that I will have the opportunity. Maybe Ron Paul?

###

Have you seen this film yet?

www.zeitgeistmovie.com

[misssuzq]

It will be no different than having Bill back, except she may not use cigars!

[liberalvet]

This is proof women never should have been given the vote. Totally irresponsible.
Posted by Luigi999 at 07:21 PM : Jul 19, 2007


Yet another redneck NEOCON idiot.... No wonder this country is in such bad shape....idiots like you are free to roam around and influence other idiots....

[radiob-2009]

Ladies and gentlemen the auction is about to begin.
First item up for auction is the presidency
Starting bids will be at 20 billion
DoIhave20Ihave20CanIhave25Ihave25CanIhave30Ihave30CanIhave35Ihave35CanIhave40Ihave40 Etc.


Sold to the lady in red for 40 billion.

[sioux4life1]

As a female I would not support her in the slightest. She and her people represent more racism and lies to the WORKING CLASS, Working poor women of the US, Blacks and Latio's than Dubya and the others. As when she was here in NH this past Friday 13th, I was told by her people that she never attended the NAACP convention at Coba Hall in Detroit that she was in Colorado on the 11 and then on the Senate floor on the twelth. The National Orgainzation for Woman who supports her had their Convention in Dearborn which only stands to reason why she might be there also. The Detroit Free Press reported her there with the other Democrat Canidates only One republican attended. WHY whould her so called people LIE about being there and then harrass this reporter at the NASHUA event? EVEN after the news reported her speaking to EDWARDS there at the NAACP? Sexsim, racism and represson of the TRADE UNIONS is alive and well and LIVING in Hillary! IN NEW HAMPSHIRE And all the fools who follow her!GO OBAMA!

[us18988]

God Help the Country if we are so stupid to elect a cuckolded shrill shrew who didn't have the guts or the brains to walk away from a sham marriage; who doesn't stand up for anything, least of all America, except for her own twisted self.

A power-hungry cowardly 'ho who probably wouldn't mind Ahmedinejedad giving us a nuclear 9/11 as she didn't mind Lewinsky.

One good thing, though. If she is elected, chances are she won't last more than a few months. The military will never respect a thing like what she is.

Can anyone say "coup 'd etat in America"?

[name_verify]

81% of poll respondents checked the box next to word "sputum" when they heard the name Katie Couric.

[feelfree1]

To Obama supporters:

He certainly is more appealing than the other Corporate candidates, but it appears that he has already pledged his allegiance to AIPAC/Israeli extremists, and I would never vote for him for this reason.

"Barack Obama's campaign confirmed receipt. His website had this speech to AIPAC on March 2."

Obama: "...We must stand up for Israel's legitimate right to defend itself. Last summer, Hezbollah attacked Israel. By using Lebanon ...for terrorism, ...Hezbollah has engulfed that entire nation in violence... and threatened the fledgling movement for democracy there."

www.coastalpost.com/07/07/10.html

This is a gross misrepresentation of what happened, it shows that he has a very poor understanding of the situation, and seems to demonstrate that Obama has fallen under the spell of his AIPAC masters.

He has also indicated willingness to launch an illegal war of aggression against Iran, of which Israel extremists would be the main benefactors.

[donnie900]

Jesus Christ God Almighty help us!

[slokipoki]

If Fox News reported this story would all the cons believe it???

[one_american]

Just like Katie-

Hillary's botoxed, powdered, air-brush and ready to sell out America!

[us18988]

C'mon Hillary supporters - tell me, what does this power-hungry 'ho who didn't mind Lewinsky, who flip-flops even more than Hanoi John Kerry did on Iraq, tell me - what does she stand for?

Wherever happened to character and principle in the Presidency? If it still exists, we will vote in either a Guiliani or a Thompson.

If it doesn't - you'll get what you richly deserve, a political 'ho with no scruples or a hypocrite boy. And then - if our military choose to save us, the first military coup in our nation's history. If they don't - the Islamonazis will take care of us.

Of course Feeljihadi and RandyBozo will love that. They'd collaborate in an instant.

[name_verify]

Hillary's real motivation for running is to show to herself that Bill can't invalidate her feelings. Kinda boring.

[reel-crazy]

Does Wal-Mart sell Hillary dolls, too?

[pepperp1]

Yep, she does appear to be out in front, handles her self very well in those debates, and I believe that most of America wants a competent pragmatic leader as President, that last choice selecting a guy to have a beer with who was a former substance abuser himself was a disaster, and look if she is elected it will also drive the righties and neo cons completely out of power and probably bonkers they still have PTSD from the husbands aglow ajob even though it is in the way in the past and God forgave him. She also appears to me to be a genuinely good person certainly had a successful career in her own right and can ensure the DOJ is cleaned out of those cronies of the Shrubs.

[sickovit]

If and when you vote for her/him, make sure to raise your little sheep tail and say baa. Our empire is crumbling.

[randalds]

Of course Feeljihadi and RandyBozo will love that. They'd collaborate in an instant.

Posted by US18988 at 07:40 PM : Jul 19, 2007

Well look who finally crawled out of his pre-teen daughter's bed. She tell you you're lousy in bed like her mamma did too? LOL

[mygramma]

This is good news and I hope it sticks through the elections. Not even the Cretans Rush Limbaugh, Shawn Hannity, and the neo-morons at Fox News can bash Hillary severely enough to stack public opinion against her.

Americans have had enough of the most un-American presidency in our history. We want our constitution back, our civil liberties, our international reputation for fair and just treatment, and a chance to bring some degree of moderation back to the Supreme Court over time.

Hillary can do these things.

[feelfree1]

sickovit,

Re: "If and when you vote for her/him, make sure to raise your little sheep tail and say baa. Our empire is crumbling."

Excellent observation.

[sharncedar]

Of the 63% who said she will likely will win probably 31% like me absolutely hate her, and the other 32% like her. But instead of the real poll results, which is not flattering to Hill 'o beans, they come up with this phony poll. it is the only poll she can get over 50% apparently. The Clintons and the Bush's are similar in that they are masters of election propaganda and little else. We are governed not by people but by unending politival campaigns.

The best way to get government back is to cut off the money - cut off the spending, then these fools will find another scam.

[pepperp1]

Well she will have to have someone watch Bill with those interns if she wins, hey DC types who do we think the running matea would be, Dodd?