WASHINGTON, July 11, 2007

U.S. Report: Al Qaeda Has Strengthened

Intel Reveals Al Qaeda's Rise Since 9/11; Homeland Security Chief Cites "Gut Feeling" About Attack

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    Michael Chertoff, United States Secretary of Homeland Security.  (AP Graphics Bank)

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(CBS/AP)  U.S. intelligence analysts have concluded al Qaeda has rebuilt its operating capability to a level not seen since just before the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, The Associated Press has learned.

The conclusion suggests that the group that launched the most devastating terror attack on the United States has been able to rebuild despite nearly six years of bombings, war and other tactics aimed at crippling it.

Still, numerous government officials say they know of no specific, credible threat of a new attack.

A counterterrorism official familiar with a five-page summary of the new government threat assessment called it a stark appraisal that will be discussed at the White House on Thursday as part of a broader meeting on an upcoming National Intelligence Estimate.

The official and others spoke on condition of anonymity because the secret report remains classified.

Counterterrorism analysts produced the document, titled "Al Qaeda better positioned to strike the West." The document pays special heed to the terror group's safe haven in Pakistan and makes a range of observations about the threat posed to the United States and its allies, officials said.

Al Qaeda is "considerably operationally stronger than a year ago" and has "regrouped to an extent not seen since 2001," the official said, paraphrasing the report's conclusions. "They are showing greater and greater ability to plan attacks in Europe and the United States."

The group also has created "the most robust training program since 2001, with an interest in using European operatives," the official quoted the report as saying.

At the same time, this official said, the report speaks of "significant gaps in intelligence" so U.S. authorities may be ignorant of potential or planned attacks.

John Kringen, who heads the CIA's analysis directorate, echoed the concerns about al Qaeda's resurgence during testimony and conversations with reporters at a House Armed Services Committee hearing on Wednesday.

"They seem to be fairly well settled into the safe haven and the ungoverned spaces of Pakistan," Kringen testified. "We see more training. We see more money. We see more communications. We see that activity rising."

The threat assessment comes as the National Intelligence Council is preparing a National Intelligence Estimate focusing on threats to the United States. A senior intelligence official, who spoke on condition of anonymity while the high-level analysis was being finalized, said the document has been in the works for roughly two years.

Kringen and aides to National Intelligence Director Mike McConnell would not comment on the details of that analysis. "Preparation of the estimate is not a response to any specific threat," McConnell's spokesman Ross Feinstein said, adding that it would be ready for distribution this summer.

Counterterrorism officials have been increasingly concerned about al Qaeda's recent operations. This week, Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff said he had a "gut feeling" that the United States faced a heightened risk of attack this summer.

CBS News chief Washington correspondent Bob Schieffer explained that Chertoff will face a "fierce reaction" from Democrats if his warning is fueled by more than a "gut feeling."

Al Qaeda and its sympathizers have shown an interest in summertime attacks. Some examples from recent years:

  • In 2005, London faced two separate sets of transit attacks. The July 7 attacks on three trains and a bus killed 52. A second attack on July 21 was bungled when the detonators failed to light the explosives.

  • Last summer, international counterterror authorities said they foiled a plot to use liquid explosives to take down roughly 10 U.S.-bound airliners leaving Britain.

    Continued



    © MMVII, CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. The Associated Press contributed to this report.
    Add a Comment See all 545 Comments
    by j-whitman July 12, 2007 6:38 PM EDT
    didntinhale,,, This report came from our intelligence agencies not from the so-called liberal media --- How about you accounting for your words ??
    Reply to this comment
    by j-whitman July 12, 2007 6:28 PM EDT
    Lars008,,,,,, Pay attention -- There are no fascist nazi terrorislam on this planet.

    Watch the 1st hour of the movie "Schindler's List" Lars,,, you will see how close Bush has taken us into a fascist nazi terrorism state.
    Reply to this comment
    by ivandrago July 12, 2007 3:21 PM EDT
    CNN monitors there comments section so the discourse is always civil, but there are not a lot of comment though.
    Reply to this comment
    by migrrl July 12, 2007 1:45 PM EDT
    Do you people who are posting comments even read yourselves? Your embarrassing us in front of ourselves and other countries by posting such immature garbage. Not only does the hyperbole on this thread unintelligent it also sounds irate and irrational.

    You ever wonder why we can't get anything accomplished in this country? I don't. Not when I see adults acting like children - both in the government and in the public sphere, like the comments posted in reply to this article.

    Seriously, the attacks from the Right and the jabs from the Left start to get embarrassing after a while. You people can barely tolerate each other yet you actually wonder why Sunni and Shia people can't get along? I swear you people would be no different if given the opportunity to express your angst in a similar situation.

    BTW - Clinton and Bush were both terrible Presidents. How do you wing-nuts like that? Thanks to those types of Presidents we have a deeply divided country of immature idiots who would rather argue than solve a problem.

    One last point : if you people are so insightful and observant how come no one has noticed that the article has changed significantly since yesterday?
    Reply to this comment
    by lars008-2009 July 12, 2007 12:40 PM EDT
    name one fascist nazi terrorislam state that grants equal rights to non muslims???
    Reply to this comment
    by ioweign July 12, 2007 11:26 AM EDT
    I remember when Cassius Clay (Mohammed Ali) was drafted and claimed CO status because of his religion.
    Citing his Islamic faith, Ali refused to serve in the U.S. military during the war in Vietnam; his title was revoked and he was sentenced to five years in prison for draft evasion. (The U.S. Supreme Court reversed the conviction in 1971.)
    He must be Islamic Missouri Synod. No pardons back then??
    Reply to this comment
    by wolf563 July 12, 2007 11:14 AM EDT
    All countries with nuclear materials should disclose what items and how many items are truly missing . CANADA just anounced over 150 NUCLEAR items missing . Put all the pieces togther and what do you think is going to happen ? They will give them back in one lump sum .
    Reply to this comment
    by Ed0719 July 12, 2007 11:13 AM EDT
    Whats the expitation date on blaming Bush?
    Posted by didntinhale at 07:58 AM : Jul 12, 2007

    I don't know, but your kind is still blaming Clinton after 7 years, so you would know better than I about expiration dates for blame. I'm sure Al Qaida thanks you for your support.
    Reply to this comment
    by smirk5 July 12, 2007 11:00 AM EDT
    The military is nearly busted. Either tons of chickenhawks have to join up or we need a draft. Come on Cons, put up or give up.
    Reply to this comment
    by jjp735i July 12, 2007 10:58 AM EDT
    This story makes one wonder:

    A) How good is the intelligence this time around?

    B) Each time Bush's ratings are in the toilet, we receive Al Qaeda warnings with "no specific, credible threat of a new attack".

    C) Bush flat out failed in the war on terrorism if Al Qaeda is getting stronger.

    I vote C, but could be B.
    Reply to this comment
    by bluestardad July 12, 2007 10:48 AM EDT
    WHY IS THIS?

    BECAUSE WE DIVERTED OUR TROOPS TO IRAQ FOR A POLICY OF ISRAEL INSTEAD OF GOING AFTER OUR TRUE ENEMY IN AFGHANISTAN!

    ANOTHER SWING AND A MISS BY THE CHIMP!
    Reply to this comment
    by radiob-2009 July 12, 2007 10:47 AM EDT
    (AP) Report on a growing dysfunctional group of individuals who post on the internet. Studies and fellow bloggers have seen a increase of bloggers which copy and paste. They assume many alias and recycle old alias yet constitute 3% of the bloggers. They have been found to be suffering from two illness one referred to in the New England Medical Journal as oxygen deprivation and the other as Bushadulation. Bloggers are warned not to engage these individuals as they could split into multiple personalitys and becoming increasing dysfunctional resulting in large masses of diahrea posted on the internet.
    Reply to this comment
    by grazinggoat July 12, 2007 10:35 AM EDT
    IIIIIMMM BAAAACCCKKK !!!!!! =)
    Posted by didntinhale at 07:30 AM : Jul 12, 2007

    -Oahhh Nooooooooooo! ;)
    Reply to this comment
    by smirk5 July 12, 2007 10:34 AM EDT
    "WASHINGTON - Undercover federal agents were easily able to fool the Nuclear Regulatory Commission into providing them with a license to obtain radiological material that could be used to make a %u201Cdirty bomb,%u201D NBC News has learned."
    Reply to this comment
    by smirk5 July 12, 2007 10:32 AM EDT
    (CBS/AP) "U.S. intelligence analysts have concluded al Qaeda has rebuilt its operating capability to a level not seen since just before the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, The Associated Press has learned."

    (AP) "Detailed schematics of a military detainee holding facility in southern Iraq. Geographical surveys and aerial photographs of two military airfields outside Baghdad. Plans for a new fuel farm at Bagram Air Base in Afghanistan. The military calls it %u201Cneed-to-know%u201D information that would pose a direct threat to U.S. troops if it fell into the hands of terrorists. It's material so sensitive that officials refused to release the documents when asked. But it's already out there, posted carelessly to file servers by government agencies and contractors, accessible to anyone with an Internet connection."

    "Bush give what one panel member called a "Churchillian" vision of "victory" in Iraq and defend the country's prime minister, Nouri al-Maliki. "A constitutional order is emerging," he said. Later that morning, around the same conference table, CIA Director Michael V. Hayden painted a starkly different picture for members of the study group. Hayden said "the inability of the government to govern seems irreversible," adding that he could not "point to any milestone or checkpoint where we can turn this thing around," according to written records of his briefing and the recollections of six participants."

    Reply to this comment
    by sleepyric July 12, 2007 10:24 AM EDT
    WH sez: "let's try the SCARE EM' tactic again,,we haven't done it for awhile now.." If I was in government and knew that Al Qaeda had strengthened, why in the world would I publish that on the news wire unless I wanted to scare the public again? And please, don't give me that "keep the public informed" ***, you don't tell us anything else do you? Out of Iraq now! Let them concentrate on killing themselves!
    Reply to this comment
    by me2008-2009 July 12, 2007 10:17 AM EDT
    I think we should make George Bush and *** Cheney pay for this war themselves. The American People should file a civil lawsuit.

    He lied to the American people about the reasons for going...he is liable for the failure of the war by hiring morons like Rumsfeld. This is a lawsuit culture, let's use it.

    Think of all of the good this money could have been used for...what would people be saying about America had we turned around and help solve some of the worlds problems with it? Now everyone hates us, which is great for terrorism.

    Lawsuit! Ka-ching!!!!!
    Reply to this comment
    by trillion1 July 12, 2007 9:33 AM EDT
    Impeachment of cheney and bush is the first step. Then the removal of rice, chertoff, gonzo and the rest of the incompatents.
    Reply to this comment
    by tuckerndfw July 12, 2007 9:27 AM EDT
    tuckerndfw, you also have to add in that the U.S. military sucks at nation-building...and so does "w"...but he sucks in general. Good post otherwise.

    Posted by MEBoard at 05:17 AM : Jul 12, 2007

    Thanks. And, we agree.

    I don't know who came up with this incredibly stupid idea that the military was going to impose "democracy" on other people at the point of a gun, but it one of stupidest ideas that ever came down the pike.
    Reply to this comment
    by smirk5 July 12, 2007 8:39 AM EDT
    Early on the morning of Nov. 13, 2006, members of the bipartisan Iraq Study Group gathered around a dark wooden conference table in the windowless Roosevelt Room of the White House.

    For more than an hour, they listened to President Bush give what one panel member called a "Churchillian" vision of "victory" in Iraq and defend the country's prime minister, Nouri al-Maliki. "A constitutional order is emerging," he said.

    Later that morning, around the same conference table, CIA Director Michael V. Hayden painted a starkly different picture for members of the study group. Hayden said "the inability of the government to govern seems irreversible," adding that he could not "point to any milestone or checkpoint where we can turn this thing around," according to written records of his briefing and the recollections of six participants.

    http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/19719435/


    Reply to this comment
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