July 8, 2007
U.S. Heading For Financial Trouble?
Comptroller Says Medicare Program Endangers Financial Stability
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Play CBS Video Video U.S. Headed For Fiscal Crisis? In Full: David Walker, comptroller general of the U.S., totaled up our government's income, liabilities and future obligations. He concluded the numbers don't add up. Steve Kroft reports.
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Video Kroft's Reporter's Notebook Only On The Web: Steve Kroft talks about his "60 Minutes" report on America's financial future. He talked to Comptroller General David Walker, who says we may be heading for a financial crisis.
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U.S. Comptroller General David Walker (CBS)
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"The first baby boomer will reach 62 and be eligible for early retirement of Social Security January 1, 2008. They'll be eligible for Medicare just three years later. And when those boomers start retiring in mass, then that will be a tsunami of spending that could swamp our ship of state if we don't get serious," Walker explains.
To illustrate their impact, he uses a power point presentation to show what would happen in 30 years if the U.S. maintains its current course and fulfills all of the promises politicians have made to the public on things like Social Security and Medicare.
What would happen in 2040 if nothing changes?
"If nothing changes, the federal government's not gonna be able to do much more than pay interest on the mounting debt and some entitlement benefits. It won't have money left for anything else - national defense, homeland security, education, you name it," Walker warns.
Walker says you could eliminate all waste and fraud and the entire Pentagon budget and the long-range financial problem still wouldn't go away, in what's shaping up as an actuarial nightmare.
Part of the problem, Walker acknowledges, is that there won't be enough wage earners to support the benefits of the baby boomers. "But the real problem, Steve, is health care costs. Our health care problem is much more significant than Social Security," he says.
Asked what he means by that, Walker tells Kroft, "By that I mean that the Medicare problem is five times greater than the Social Security problem."
The problem with Medicare, Walker says, is people keep living longer, and medical costs keep rising at twice the rate of inflation. But instead of dealing with the problem, he says, the president and the Congress made things much worse in Dec. 2003, when they expanded the Medicare program to include prescription drug coverage.
"The prescription drug bill was probably the most fiscally irresponsible piece of legislation since the 1960s," Walker argues.
Asked why, Walker says, "Well, because we promise way more than we can afford to keep. Eight trillion dollars added to what was already a 15 to $20 trillion under-funding. We're not being realistic. We can't afford the promises we've already made, much less to be able, piling on top of 'em."
With one stroke of the pen, Walker says, the federal government increased existing Medicare obligations nearly 40 percent over the next 75 years.
"We’d have to have eight trillion dollars today, invested in treasury rates, to deliver on that promise," Walker explains.
Asked how much we actually have, Walker says, "Zip."
So where's that money going to come from?
"Well it's gonna come from additional taxes, or it's gonna come from restructuring these promises, or it's gonna come from cutting other spending," Walker says.
He is not suggesting that the nation do away with Medicare or prescription drug benefits. He does believe the current health care system is way too expensive, and overrated.
"On cost we're number one in the world. We spend 50 percent more of our economy on health care than any nation on earth," he says.
"We have the largest uninsured population of any major industrialized nation. We have above average infant mortality, below average life expectancy, and much higher than average medical error rates for an industrialized nation," Walker points out.
Produced by Andy Court
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See all 466 CommentsHowever, perhaps he should consider the 1.5 Billion dollars a day that the U.S. is currently spending on the War in Iraq as another source for the "crisis", and ask how funds that keep this war ongoing should be diverted to allay the cost for healthcare in the United States today.
For the last couple of years, there has been an improvement in the ability of older people to get jobs in IT for which they have experience, because of the number of people retiring.
But business wants Congress to remove all limits on the number of foreign visas. Then they will be able to go back to rampant age discrimination. Anybody who thinks the laws against this make a difference, is not living in the real world. As human resource people will tell you, you can always find a reason not to hire someone.
If they can't "afford" to live within our means, what makes them think that a future generation will be able to do so, AND pay back what they have borrowed?
This should be the lead story on the news shows every day, until the Congress comes up with a plan that guarantees that they won't spend more than they take in. For example, if they spend more in one year than they take in, just add that amount as an expense for the following year.
For more info on this, check out http://www.federalbudget.com/
VERY sobering!!!
China has the only answer that corrupt government officials will listen to...
We need to go to a similar system.
Now thats what I call anti corruption! Wanna really solve our fiscal problems, this is how to do it right!
The larger and more powerful,& rich, a civilization is,the more likely the citizens are going to lose control of it,and it will become a dictatorship of a few.Read ancient history if you do not believe me.America is not the first to have this happen.In reality,being a big,rich,powerful nation is a curse.
Wise up,60 Minutes,how stupid do you think we are?Obviously a lot smarter than YOU are.You're listening to politicians,and govt. officials,and believing what they say.We all thought you were a lot smarter than to fall for that old"oh,moan,groan,the dog stole all that money,and ate it!Not your poor,innocent federal govt.!"
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