Savings At Lowest Rate Since Depression
Americans Spent Everything They Made Last Year And Then Some
-
Play CBS Video
Video
Spending More Than We Earn
The personal savings rate dipped into negative figures for the second straight year, and experts warn the economy will suffer if Americans keep spending more than they earn. Anthony Mason has more.
-
Photo
(CBS/AP/iStockphoto)
-
Interactive
Eye On The Economy
In-depth features on U.S. markets, taxes, employment and the Federal Reserve.
-
Interactive
On The Job
Explore America's labor economy, track recent major layoffs and meet key economic players.
-
Interactive
Inside The Fed
A history of the Federal Reserve, glossary of terms and a look at changing interest rates.
The Commerce Department reported Thursday that the savings rate for all of 2006 was a negative 1 percent, meaning that not only did people spend all the money they earned but they also dipped into savings or increased borrowing to finance purchases. The 2006 figure was lower than a negative 0.4 percent in 2005 and was the poorest showing since a negative 1.5 percent savings rate in 1933 during the Great Depression.
"It's a problem we ought to worry about, but it's not necessarily a calamity," Newsweek and Washington Post columnist Robert Samuelson told CBS Radio News.
For December, consumer spending rose a solid 0.7 percent, the best showing in five months, while incomes rose by 0.5 percent, both figures matching Wall Street expectations.
"This negative savings rate is a recent shift. Only 10 years ago the savings rate was 4.5 percent. And 25 years ago, savings rates were in double digits," Peter Russo of Vanderbilt University tells CBS News.
People are spending because the economy has been so good, says Samuelson.
"Sooner or later, we think, the increases in value of the stock market and homes will not be great enough to reassure most Americans that they have enough savings, but right now, it hasn't stopped," he said. "It explains the continued strength of the economy."
The McGee family in St. Paul, Minn., may be a typical example. Theyre middle class Brian McGee is a salesman of hair care products and Andrea McGee takes care of their two boys, reports CBS News correspondent Anthony Mason.
"We're not the Rockefellers, but we're doing just fine," says Andrea. "I'm surprised by how much money we're making. And I'm constantly asking myself 'Hey wait a minute, how come we're running out of money at the end of the month?"
Like most Americans, the McGees are finding it harder and harder to save. In fact, Andrea has found herself dipping into savings to pay their bills.
"We've been saying for years that we need to sit down and make a budget," says Andrea, "but we haven't done it."
In other news, the Labor Department reported that the number of newly laid-off workers filing claims for unemployment benefits dropped by 20,000 last week to 307,000. That improvement pushed the four-week average for claims to the lowest level in a year, indicating that the labor market remains healthy.
The savings rate has been negative for an entire year only four times in history in 2005 and 2006 and in 1933 and 1932. However, the reasons for the decline in the savings rate were vastly different during the two periods.
During the Great Depression when one-fourth of the labor force was without a job, people dipped into savings in an effort to meet the basic necessities of shelter and clothing.
Economists have put forward various reasons to explain the current lack of savings. These range from a feeling on the part of some people that they do not need to save because of the run-up in their investments such as homes and stock portfolios to an effort by many middle-class wage earners to maintain their current lifestyles even though their wage gains have been depressed by the effects of global competition.
Consumers are likely to save less and spend more as long as the economy is strong, says Samuelson.
"I think the main worry here is whether or not it will be an adverse effect on the economy if there is a shift towards more savings on the part of households and families," he said that is, spending less.
The 0.7 percent rise in personal spending was the best showing since a similar gain in July. It followed increases of 0.5 percent in November and 0.3 percent in October and reflected solid spending by consumers during the Christmas shopping season.
Consumer spending posted a solid rebound in the final three months of the year, helping to lift overall economic growth to a rate of 3.5 percent during that period, up significantly after lackluster growth rates in the spring and fall.
Whatever the reason for the low savings, economists warn that the phenomenon exists at a particularly bad time, with 78 million baby boomers approaching retirement age. Instead of building up savings to use during retirement, baby boomers are continuing to spend all their earnings.
The savings rate is computed by taking the amount of personal income left after taxes are paid, an amount known as disposable income and subtracting the amount of spending. Since the figure has dipped into negative territory, it means consumers are spending all of disposable income and then some.
For December, the savings rate edged down to a negative 1.2 percent, compared to a negative 1 percent in November. The savings rate has been in negative territory for 21 consecutive months.
Incomes were up 0.5 percent in December, the best showing since a similar increase in September.
On the inflation front, a gauge tied to consumer spending that is preferred by the Federal Reserve edged up by 0.1 percent in December. This gauge, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, was up 2.2 percent over the past 12 months ending in December, still above the Fed's comfort zone of 1 percent to 2 percent.
© MMVII, CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. The Associated Press contributed to this report.



Higher gas prices
Higher grocery prices
Higher real estate assessments = more taxes paid
Higher utilities
Higher tax rate
How are you supposed to save with everyday necessities rising faster than ever while pay raises only average about 2-3%?
If the smart people in the Commerce Dept. really wanted us little people to save our money, they'd work with our political leaders to give us a tax break. How about the first 5K in interest is not taxed, the remainder is taxed at normal rates?
No, this would be a rational thought process that does not happen in D.C.
The rich have all the tax breaks and shelters etc., for the middle class it's nothing but crumbs and articles like this about how we don't save.
Hey, D.C., it's the economy and taxes and gas prices and joblessness and low-paying jobs and outsourcing and corporate greed and increased health care costs and pension plans that have gone away and billions spent in stupid wars.
Spend it all now. That is the new American way of life.
The list goes on and on. From one that learned the hard way.
Bob
Mr. Samuelson would be of more help if he can SOLVE these problems rather than sitting on his analytical duff writing junk like this and rubbing our noses in it!
ROFLMMFAO - AGAIN
Americans - Asleep at the wheel.
Internet service. Mine for cable broadband is $46 per month.
Computer - $1,600+ when all the bells and whistles are added.
Cell phone - $80-$100 per month
Cable or satellitte TV - $50-$100 per month
The list goes on and on and doesn't include all the activities that are available for the kids these days such as a sport, martial arts, video game systems.
Our parents had none of these add on expenses.
Sure, you can pick and choose some of these luxuries but the line becomes blurred between luxury and necessity after a while.
Your list of "necessities" that are completely unnecessary to life as our parents knew it is revealing. So we spend money on gadgets and complain that we are being down trodden by Mr. Big.
People do look to their leaders for guidance and emulate what they see. After all, consumer spending is what keeps the economy going.
I'll be budgeting for now on, but I will say that if wages met the cost of living, more people wouldn't need credit cards. They could buy everything upfront and still save. (it's interesting the ratio between executives and workers went from 40x to over 600x between the late-70s and now. Credit helped people get what they want and keep the economy stimulated. Much like offshoring, living on credit can only go on for so long.)
And if the cost of living was to go down to match wages offered, there would be no "lack of qualified employee" excuse. That's why "developing" countries have it so good. Their wages (that no American could begin to live on) vastly outweigh their cost of living.
So when an employer keeps saying "no" to your requests, interest, and aptitude in something (despite their request of you to show an interest!), it may be time to move on. The employer doesn't give a hoot about structure or promoting hard or good work (there's another catchphrase that's meaningless these days! Meritocracy...), and so should the rest of us, it seems.
Maybe we should all become corporations with lawyers. :D
The unemployee rate does not show the doller for a job rate and how much we have given up to the foren trade.
Exxon/Mobile's 50 BILLION dollar profit.
The little guy in Fascist America is SCREWED.
It's OVER.
But the CORPORATE GOVERNMENT PROPOGADA we call "News" sure won't tell YOU that.
If we had real money it would be the smart thing to do, but having a fraud based money system you will never save enough money to buy a house. The price will go up faster than you can save. Unless you figure out a way to transfer your earnings into something tangible, you are merely working for food. If we had what once was called lawful specie based money the situation would be different. When banks can make money out of thin air and we are forced to work for paper, prices are based upon a lien on future wealth instead of representing past accumulated wealth. There is no shortage of loans that can be made when a bank just needs to say you owe me "X" amount of money and no shortage of fools that will borrow this debt based money. What we have is a fools economy where prices are based on the highest price a fool will mortgage his future instead of the highest price someone that has labored and accumulated will pay for the same thing. Back to the original subject. Why would anyone want to save something that is not useful unless you spend it and loses value until you do?
Hey CBS, can you say ..."401","IRA","Investment Portfolio"????
With more and more people earning minimum wage they have nothing left to save.
-
by xaztec
February 2, 2007 5:34 PM PST
- Maybe people are spending all their earnings because they have to. Gasoline prices are soaring. Natural gas and home heating oil prices are soaring. Taxes (except on the wealthy) are soaring. Prices of everything else increased because oil prices are so high. Interest rates are going up. Health care is outrageous. What do people have left after all that? Obviously nothing or they'd be saving more. George W Bush was worried about how he will be perceived in history. I think he'll be perceived as a war-mongering moron who lead this country into it's second economic depression.
-
Reply to this comment
-
See all 35 Comments