DAVOS, Switzerland, Jan. 24, 2007
Report Cites Global Warming Cause, Effects
Draft Obtained By CBS News Blames Humans, Predicts Global Changes
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Play CBS Video Video Climate Change: Cause & Effect Mark Phillips has an exclusive on the long-awaited report on climate change to be released next week. The report blames humanity for higher temperatures and lists some likely effects.
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German Chancellor Angela Merkel, center, and on large screen, gives the opening address at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, on Jan. 24, 2007. (AP Photo)
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A section of the ice sheet which covers much of Greenland is seen in 2005. Scientists say the ice is thinning and blame global warming. (AP)
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Interactive Global Warming The greenhouse effect, a look at the Kyoto Protocol and a history of the Earth's climate.
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Interactive Mideast Conflict Events, key players and a history of the world's most unstable region.
The long-awaited report to be published next week puts hard scientific fact behind the cliché images of global warming. A final draft, obtained by CBS News, contains the strongest language yet on how fast the world is heating up and who to blame.
The answer? Us.
The study traces global temperatures and so-called greenhouse gases going back thousands of years. It shows a gradual variation until the Industrial Revolution begins, when fossil fuel use skyrockets, as do temperatures, CBS News correspondent Mark Phillips reports.
"As we add to those gasses, we are just doing the same thing as putting another blanket on our bed at night," said Sir David King, British chief government scientific adviser. "The consequences are that you get warmer, and that is as simple as it is."
The panel now feels the science is there to make confident predictions that are likely or almost certain. They include:
All of these are driven by "discernable human influences," the report says, Phillips reports.
While this report presents the grim realities of climate change in stark terms, it is not a doomsday scenario. There are responses - scientific, economic, political — that can help limit the damage and help the world react. Government advisers like King say solutions are already available. Among them: limiting emissions, hybrid cars, energy-efficient homes, alternative power sources and less travel.
Meanwhile, world political and economic leaders focused on the threat of global warming as well as the perennial problem of tensions in the Middle East as they gathered for a five-day brainstorming session in Davos.
The session began with several participants pondering remarks the night before by President Bush, who said he would seek $1.6 billion in funding over the next decade for research into alternative energy.
Ex-U.S. Sen. Timothy E. Wirth, a Colorado Democrat who was a former U.S. chief negotiator on the Kyoto Protocol, noted that the remarks were short on specifics, but that Mr. Bush was "understanding finally that this is a serious issue that the U.S. has to address."
Wirth added that the U.S. needed to provide leadership, but acknowledged it would be hard for Mr. Bush to do that.
"We will wait for John McCain or Hillary Clinton ... or somebody who will be in a very different position in 2009," he said, referring to the two senators who are considered the front-runners for the Republican and Democratic parties in the 2008 election.
About 2,400 business and political leaders, journalists, bloggers and celebrities — including musicians and social activists Bono and Peter Gabriel — are at the five-day annual gathering to talk politics, economics and social issues in an atmosphere aimed at finding long-term solutions instead of quick fixes.
Some 24 heads of state are due to attend to the meeting, including German Chancellor Angela Merkel, who gave the keynote address, and British Prime Minister Tony Blair, who was warmly greeted in 2005 when he and Treasury chief Gordon Brown proposed massive debt relief for Third World countries.
But this year's meeting promises a return to forums of old, with a heavy emphasis on the issues that the WEF's members, most of them businesses, are facing.
"Darfur is currently one of our two or three major concerns at the moment," U.N. refugee chief Antonio Guterres told The Associated Press at a media luncheon. "I believe the WEF is more absorbed this year with economics than these dramatic events" in Darfur.
Previous meetings have been criticized for becoming too entertainment-oriented, with hordes of media staking out Angelina Jolie and Brad Pitt, among others.
© MMVII, CBS Interactive, Inc. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. The Associated Press contributed to this report.
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See all 21 CommentsIgnorance is not pretty da_bulldawg.
Everything matters! Letting yourself pollute and waste, multiplied by a billion more of you is an immense impact.
Yeah, and it's nice to eat candy all the time too. Too bad it'll kill you.
(aside from any ethical issues about not caring about everyone getting hit with hurricanes, and crops destroyed by a lack of rain, and just an innumerable number of silly things wrong with this concept).
# More heat waves;
# Increasingly intense tropical storms and hurricanes;
# Higher sea levels.
Let's look at those issues, more warmer days, fewer cold ones- sounds GREAT to me! less use of the furnace- that saves burning gas and it's pullution.
More heat waves, so what? take a dip, dress light, stay indoors, use a fan.
Tropical storms and hurricanes,so what, I'm in the midwest- doesn't affect me.
Higher sea levels, so what? doesn't affect me, the sea levels rise you build up the beach or move inland to higher ground.
More Carbon dioxide in the air, good, did you know that all plants, grasses, flowers, weeds and trees USE Carbon dioxide the way we use oxygen? the more CD in the air the better they do and the more oxygen THEY put out as their "waste" product- it's self regulating, warmer climate means they will grow more, faster and longer.
Formerly snow capped mountains are now bare or almost bare, long standing ancient glaciers photographed a few decades ago compared to today show obvious proof they are melting away- rapidly.
The ONLY question that needs answers and proof which remains is; the CAUSE
The CAUSE is far less important than the knowlege that it *IS* here, because nothing we DO or don't do is going to make the slightest bit of difference NOW, the change is so widepspread and
rapid that your walking to work one day a week, turning out the light in that spare bedroom, or recycling that plastic grocery bag etc isn't going to do diddly squat.
The fact is having that SECOND or third kid is the problem- producing too many people for a limited sealed environment. Had we not had the 47 million abortions since 1973 we would have about 70 million MORE people today on top of the 300 million already- and about 70 million more CARS, homes, toilets, air conditioners etc
We had 100 million people in 1950 in the USA, the FACT that it has more than tripled in just 55 years is THE problem, not whether you switch your 75 watt bulb with a 42 watt florescent to "save" 33 lousy watts while Walmart and your local malls and Xmas displays burn up millions of watts on signs and tree lights.
So tell us how so many of the worlds scientists have been hoodwinked by this liberal conspiracy?
Can we make cleaner cars? Yes, we can but that would eat into autsale profits!
Can we develope fusion or other alternative energies? Yes, in time but that would eat into the coal/energy company profits.
Can we force equipment on factories and other industries that would dramtically reduce pollutants? Yes, we can but that would cut into the profit margins of these industries.
Can we kill this planet in the name of profit? Yes, sit back and watch cause it's already happening!!!
People the science has been in and it's overwhelming. Global warming is real, it's cause is human, it threatens the survival of every species including ours. We can either sit on our thumbs or we can lead the world in developing alternatives to fossil fuels.
that care about co2 emmitions stoped using fossel fuels today, all the third world or developing countries that do not care would more than make up for for the emmitions that we wouldn't be using. "
Yeah, and if we don't cut back - we'll be that much higher! How can we ask third world countries to cut back on their emissions (used to feed starving people and provide some few dollars per week to a very poor people!), when we won't even dare suggest maybe a Hummer isn't a good passenger car, or ask for any fuel economy improvments in new passenger vehicles (including the 'light trucks' that we let pollute and waste gas like crazy).
that care about co2 emmitions stoped using fossel fuels today, all the third world or developing countries that do not care would more than make up for for the emmitions that we wouldn't be using.
Draft Obtained By CBS News
Do you know what a draft is?
Fictional until proven
This is not normal, it is unprecedented. It is not explained by the sun's variation nor anything else. And it is something that will be so huge that the fact that we're taking no action because we don't want to believe we could affect it is insane!
Facts, science, reality goes on whether you are 'concerned' or not. And everyone who studies this, who devotes their life to understanding our planet, everyone who learns even a little (rather than reading biased or corporate or conservative sponsored web sites) knows what is reality.
Reality is that we can and have already caused a great deal of damage, and if this is not reversed, we will pay a terrible price.
Reality is this is no weak theory, it is a strong theory. And we are talking about the scientific meaning of theory, meaning something solid, the best explanation for all the facts - just like the theory of gravitation, the theory of conservation of energy, and all the other theories that make up the science that has created our modern world and the computer you type on.
This is real - just because it is frightening, just because it is big, just because it means you may have to change things you don't want to change, and deal with annoyances, doesn't mean it isn't real.
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