June 10, 2009 10:26 AM

Changing The Primary Calendar? Forget It

By
Jennifer Hoar
By The Politico's Roger Simon
Iowa, then Nevada, then New Hampshire. That's how the Democratic Party thinks the 2008 presidential campaign will begin and what the Democratic National Committee has commanded.

Message to the Democrats: Forget about it. Not gonna happen. The DNC's effort to rearrange the 2008 nominating calendar is effectively dead. Nevada will never go ahead of New Hampshire — not if New Hampshire has anything to say about it. And it does.

"It is not acceptable for Nevada to go before New Hampshire," Gov. John Lynch told me in a phone interview on Tuesday.

He added that "it is possible that we will see additional movement" by other states trying to muscle ahead of New Hampshire. But that won't be allowed either.

One person and one person alone has the authority to set the date of the New Hampshire primary: William M. Gardner, New Hampshire's secretary of state — or, as he is called in political circles, God.

Gardner will not allow Nevada to go first, no matter whether Nevada calls its contest a caucus, a primary or a ring-toss.

That is where the DNC miscalculated. I talked to a DNC source, who asked not to be identified, who said the DNC assumed that because Nevada was going to be a caucus, and since New Hampshire has always allowed the Iowa caucus to go first, New Hampshire would extend the same courtesy to Nevada.

It won't. New Hampshire law says its primary "shall be seven or more days ahead of any other state that has a similar election."

Yes, New Hampshire does allow Iowa to go eight days before it with a caucus, but that's because Iowa began its caucus before the New Hampshire law was written and New Hampshire "grandfathered" Iowa into the scheme of things.

But New Hampshire will not let Nevada or any other caucus or primary enjoy the same privilege.

In the DNC's alternate universe, the 2008 Democratic calendar (the Republicans are still deciding what to do) would begin with Iowa on Jan. 14, followed by Nevada on Jan. 19, New Hampshire on Jan. 22 and South Carolina on Jan. 27.

But Gardner will move up the date of the New Hampshire primary to make sure it precedes Nevada's contest.

And some in New Hampshire don't care who Gardner hurts while doing it.



The Politico
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