February 11, 2009 5:39 PM
- Text
Panel: Iraq 'Grave And Deteriorating'
(CBS/AP)
President Bush's policy in Iraq "is not working," a high-level commission said bluntly on Wednesday, prodding the administration to embrace diplomacy to stabilize the country and allow withdrawal of most combat troops by early 2008.
However, "There is no magic formula to solve the problems of Iraq," said the Iraq Study Group's co-chairman, James A. Baker III.
The United States faces a "grave and deteriorating" situation after nearly four years of war in Iraq, the high-level commission warned bluntly, prodding Mr. Bush to launch a diplomatic offensive to stabilize the country and allow withdrawal of most combat troops by early 2008.
After four years of war and the deaths of more than 2,900 U.S. troops and thousands of Iraqis, the situation is "grave and deteriorating," and the United States' ability "to influence events within Iraq is diminishing," the commission warned.
Baker said staying the course is "no longer viable," but added that a quick U.S. withdrawal would invite a wider regional war.
After presenting the report to Mr. Bush, Baker and co-chair, former Rep. Lee Hamilton, D-Ind., spoke at a news conference at which Hamilton said combat forces have to be moved out "responsibly." By early 2008, the panel thinks some U.S. combat brigades could be gone.
But American troops would still be there, and Hamilton said a key mission should be targeting al Qaeda in Iraq.
The group is also urging a diplomatic effort, including Syria and Iran, something Mr. Bush has opposed. Hamilton said that while all options aren't exhausted, there are no guarantees in stopping "a slide toward chaos."
The report does not suggest a timetable for troop withdrawals as some in Congress have done, but it does say the United States must not commit to keep large numbers of troops in Iraq, CBS News senior White House correspondent Bill Plante reports.
Mr. Bush received the report in an early morning meeting at the White House with commission members. He pledged to treat each proposal seriously and act in a "timely fashion."
He was flanked by Baker and Hamilton in a remarkable scene — a president praising the work of a group that had just concluded his policy had led to chaos.
The report painted a grim picture of Iraq nearly four years after U.S. forces toppled Saddam Hussein.
It warned that if the situation continues to deteriorate, there is a risk of a "slide toward chaos (that) could trigger the collapse of Iraq's government and a humanitarian catastrophe."
"Neighboring countries could intervene. ... The global standing of the United States could be diminished. Americans could become more polarized," commissioners said.
With diplomacy under way, the report said, the U.S. should increase the number of combat and other troops that are embedded with and supporting Iraqi Army units.
"As these actions proceed, U.S. combat forces could begin to move out of Iraq. ... By the first quarter of 2008, subject to unexpected developments in the security situation on the ground, all combat brigades not necessary for force protection could be out of Iraq."
Baker, Hamilton and the other members of the commission traveled to the Capitol from the White House to present their findings to senior lawmakers. The report makes 79 separate recommendations on Iraq policy, said one official familiar with the work.
However, "There is no magic formula to solve the problems of Iraq," said the Iraq Study Group's co-chairman, James A. Baker III.
The United States faces a "grave and deteriorating" situation after nearly four years of war in Iraq, the high-level commission warned bluntly, prodding Mr. Bush to launch a diplomatic offensive to stabilize the country and allow withdrawal of most combat troops by early 2008.
After four years of war and the deaths of more than 2,900 U.S. troops and thousands of Iraqis, the situation is "grave and deteriorating," and the United States' ability "to influence events within Iraq is diminishing," the commission warned.
Baker said staying the course is "no longer viable," but added that a quick U.S. withdrawal would invite a wider regional war.
After presenting the report to Mr. Bush, Baker and co-chair, former Rep. Lee Hamilton, D-Ind., spoke at a news conference at which Hamilton said combat forces have to be moved out "responsibly." By early 2008, the panel thinks some U.S. combat brigades could be gone.
But American troops would still be there, and Hamilton said a key mission should be targeting al Qaeda in Iraq.
The group is also urging a diplomatic effort, including Syria and Iran, something Mr. Bush has opposed. Hamilton said that while all options aren't exhausted, there are no guarantees in stopping "a slide toward chaos."
The report does not suggest a timetable for troop withdrawals as some in Congress have done, but it does say the United States must not commit to keep large numbers of troops in Iraq, CBS News senior White House correspondent Bill Plante reports.
The commission recommended the United States reduce "political, military or economic support" for Iraq if the government in Baghdad cannot make substantial progress toward providing for its own security.
Read the Iraq Study Group's report (1.72 MB).
Mr. Bush received the report in an early morning meeting at the White House with commission members. He pledged to treat each proposal seriously and act in a "timely fashion."
He was flanked by Baker and Hamilton in a remarkable scene — a president praising the work of a group that had just concluded his policy had led to chaos.
The report painted a grim picture of Iraq nearly four years after U.S. forces toppled Saddam Hussein.
It warned that if the situation continues to deteriorate, there is a risk of a "slide toward chaos (that) could trigger the collapse of Iraq's government and a humanitarian catastrophe."
"Neighboring countries could intervene. ... The global standing of the United States could be diminished. Americans could become more polarized," commissioners said.
With diplomacy under way, the report said, the U.S. should increase the number of combat and other troops that are embedded with and supporting Iraqi Army units.
"As these actions proceed, U.S. combat forces could begin to move out of Iraq. ... By the first quarter of 2008, subject to unexpected developments in the security situation on the ground, all combat brigades not necessary for force protection could be out of Iraq."
Baker, Hamilton and the other members of the commission traveled to the Capitol from the White House to present their findings to senior lawmakers. The report makes 79 separate recommendations on Iraq policy, said one official familiar with the work.
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Scott Conroy Scott Conroy is a National Political Reporter for RealClearPolitics and a contributor for CBS News.
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