U.S.: Castro Could Have Months To Live

Government Officials Say Cuban Dictator Believed To Have Terminal Cancer

(AP)  The government believes Fidel Castro's health is deteriorating and that the Cuban dictator is unlikely to live through 2007.

That dire view was reinforced last week when Cuba's foreign minister backed away from his prediction that the ailing Castro would return to power by early December. "It's a subject on which I don't want to speculate," Felipe Perez Roque told The Associated Press in Havana.

U.S. government officials say there is still some mystery about Castro's diagnosis, his treatment and how he is responding. But these officials believe that the 80-year-old has terminal cancer of the stomach, colon or pancreas.

He was seen weakened and thinner in official state photos released late last month, and it is considered unlikely that he will return to power or survive through the end of next year, said the U.S. government and defense officials. They spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak publicly about the politically sensitive topic.

With chemotherapy, Castro may live up to 18 months, said the defense official. Without it, expected survival would drop to three months to eight months.

American officials will not talk publicly about how they glean clues to Castro's health. But U.S. spy agencies include physicians who study pictures, video, public statements and other information coming out of Cuba.

The CIA's Office of Medical Services, for example, studies hair and other biological samples for hints about world leaders' health and how that could affect their official duties.

Images and video of a weakened Castro released in late October showed his now-slight frame and shaky movements. They contradicted the athletic image he sought to portray in his red, white and blue Cuban Olympic team warm-up suit, emblazoned with "F. Castro" on the chest.

A dark lesion on his neck could be seen in some images and a baggy nylon jacket could be hiding a colostomy bag. But the photos also made clear that he has not lost his hair or beard to chemotherapy.

Cuba has only known one leader in 47 years. Castro temporarily ceded power to his brother, Raul, at the end of July just before the government announced that the president was having intestinal surgery.

A planned celebration of Castro's 80th birthday next month is expected to draw international attention. The Cuban leader had planned to attend the public event, which already had been postponed once from his Aug. 13 birthday.

Perez Roque, the foreign minister, said last week that Castro was recovering steadily from his intestinal surgery. "We are optimistic," he said.

But the minister also said there was no guarantee Castro would be well enough to attend the birthday celebration.

Brian Latell, a former Latin American specialist with the CIA who has written a book examining the leadership of Fidel and Raul Castro, said he has been convinced for three months that Castro is gravely ill with inoperable cancer.

Questions abound about what comes after Castro.

[bgbanjobb]

;Viva, Fidel, para eternedad!

[bob_burd]

Die slow, you b@stard.

Selah

[neemtree]

The gleaned news regarding Fidel for years indicates one man to one group; United States citizens. The combination of the Black Hearts in South FL and mis-information have tainted the perspective of the general public of United States citizens to the reality of Fidel Castro. There is a Democratic Congress that will serve the people of the united States; not a political action group bent on continued funding from the USA to support desires they wish to but will never achieve. It is the Bay of Pigs in reverse in another century. South Florida is worthless in DC right now.
Fidel Castro may die, we all do! He will leave a legacy of good things that have been accomplished by and in his country under his leadership. The world knows what Castro did and there is some minor accountability but to me he is a superior human being who conquered all odds, stood up to the greatest power on earth, improved his country and his peoples quality of life, helped others in need and freely offered an extended hand to the United States during 911 and Katrina; and has lived to see George Bush lose. Fidel knows what to expect now! He can relax.
We will welcome Fillpe Perez Roque as the eventual replacement and nothing will skip a beat in Cuba.
Viva Fidel!

[neemtree]

The gleaned news regarding Fidel for years indicates one man to one group; United States citizens. The combination of the Black Hearts in South FL and mis-information have tainted the perspective of the general public of United States citizens to the reality of Fidel Castro. There is a Democratic Congress that will serve the people of the united States; not a political action group bent on continued funding from the USA to support desires they wish to but will never achieve. It is the Bay of Pigs in reverse in another century. South Florida is worthless in DC right now.
Fidel Castro may die, we all do! He will leave a legacy of good things that have been accomplished by and in his country under his leadership. The world knows what Castro did and there is some minor accountability but to me he is a superior human being who conquered all odds, stood up to the greatest power on earth, improved his country and his peoples quality of life, helped others in need and freely offered an extended hand to the United States during 911 and Katrina; and has lived to see George Bush lose. Fidel knows what to expect now! He can relax.
We will welcome Fillpe Perez Roque as the eventual replacement and nothing will skip a beat in Cuba.
Viva Fidel!

[ceres5]

When Castro dies, he will have to face God and the thousands of people he executed. It does not matter how hard he tries, machines guns and hit men will no be available.

[rawehage]

Worse for Cubans will be if the U.S. sees Castro's death as a signal to invade and return "capitalism" to the country.

[jumkey]

Castro has months to live? Don't we all?

It's amazing how we equate capitalism with virtue.

How about social justice?

Nah....

[thomderr]

Castro will not live for eternity, as BGbanjoBB states, but his legacy will.

And how will history judge him?

Don't ask those living in sub-standard conditions, brainwashed by Fidel. Ask those who stood up to withstand the propaganda - many of whom I personally know.

The caudillo will now meet the real jefe.

[zakk_coffee]

I wonder if he dies what will happen to all the cuban cross the line of the boarder. Between the miltary and them will they take down the fencnes?

[old300d]

The day he dies will be a very happy one in my house. I hope it is soon.