Al Qaeda May Be Plotting Holiday Attacks
Exclusive: Holiday Travel Season Violence In Europe Would Target Trains, Planes, Al Qaeda Suspects Say
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Play CBS Video Video Europe As A Terror Target Suggestions have been made that al Qaeda is targeting Europe. Sheila MacVicar reports that hundreds of al Qaeda-trained fighters are on the move out of Pakistan and Afghanistan.
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Video New Alleged Al Qaeda Tape A new audiotape allegedly from al Qaeda's leader in Iraq has surfaced. He claims 12,000 fighters in Iraq and calls President Bush "the most stupid president in U.S. history." Drew Levinson reports.
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Video Expert On Terror Threat John Brennan, former head of the National Counterterrorism Center, speaks with Katie Couric about possible terror threats to Europe and the United States.
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(AP / CBS)
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Special Report War On Terror Complete coverage of the military's battle against terrorism.
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Interactive Trans-Atlantic Terror Plot Scheme to blow up U.S.-bound aircraft is foiled in U.K.; aviation security ratcheted up.
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Interactive Assault On Al Qaeda The manhunt on the Afghan-Pakistan border.
"We believe that today the Arabs are much more useful to bin Laden if they are deployed in their home countries, particularly in the Middle East, to target Western assets, Western interests. Because of that we have seen a shift in al Qaeda thinking and al Qaeda strategy in encouraging members to leave Afghanistan and Pakistan," says Gunaratna.
Arab intelligence sources tell CBS News the militants have left Afghanistan by routes taking them through the former Soviet Republic, Pakistan and Dubai.
Sources confirmed that some of the militants traveled through Iran. But they also warned that it would be an exaggeration to state that Iran had become the main transit point for al Qaeda militants leaving Afghanistan on their return journey to the Arab world.
"We have picked intelligence information suggesting that Iran's Revolutionary Guards had helped some of these Arabs to travel to Iraq. But it would be wrong to say that Iran has become the main route for this," said another Arab diplomat who also spoke on the condition of anonymity.
The diplomat said he believed al Qaeda suspects were also attempting to undertake return journeys through the former Soviet central Asian republics or via Pakistan. "I doubt if al Qaeda would put all of its eggs in one basket — one country. Why would they do that? These people are not stupid. They would never undertake such an operation through just one country," he said.
Iran has acknowledged to the United States it has a number of key al Qaeda figures under "house arrest," including at least one of bin Laden's sons — the suspects have been in Iran since the fall of Tora Bora in 2001.
There is disagreement between security sources and analysts about the amount of freedom those in Iranian custody enjoy and why Iran continues to give them shelter.
Intelligence sources tell CBS News that none of those interrogated upon returning to their home country has provided any specific information about al Qaeda's future plans.
Michael Scheuer, head of the CIA's bin Laden unit until 1999 and now a CBS News consultant on terrorism, said, "it appears now that al Qaeda is sending some of those trained fighters back to increase the pace of the insurgency, some to Iraq and some to the Arabian peninsula."
"It clearly means the security services in the Gulf, on the Arabian peninsula, will be tested by much more experienced people than they're fighting at the moment."
Analysts point to statements in recent months issued by Ayman al Zawahiri, Al Qaeda's number two, calling for attacks on Middle East oil installations.
"What they want to do is to hit something that will affect the Americans very markedly, and they've determined that the oil production facilities, whether it's pipelines or refineries, are something that can really contribute to the war against the United States," Scheuer said.
"It would be a win-win situation. It's taken al Qaeda the better part of a decade to figure out how to attack oil targets without hurting Muslims to any great extent and I think they finally stumbled on to it. The attack early this year on Abqaiq (the world's largest oil production facility in Saudi Arabia) was a failure, but it immediately drove the price of oil up more than $2 a barrel," he said.
Western diplomats said the U.S. administration so far had paid little attention to the movement of Arab fighters, as its bigger interest for now remains the challenge of tackling the Taliban.
By Farhan Bokhari and Sheila MacVicar
©MMVI, CBS Broadcasting Inc. All Rights Reserved.
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See all 136 CommentsCRACK HEAD THAT NEEDS TO BE *^@@!
%u2018While opinions are arguable, convictions need shooting to be cured.%u2019
- T.E. Lawrence
Dam right Lawrence
%u201COIL%u2019!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
The supporters of this "illegal" war have to be mindless idiots, with absolutely no intellectual reason.
Most Americans are so caught up in their malignant narcissism or pseudo-superiority to be objective.
Our country has created a REAL political MESS, with which we have absolutely no recourse but to become interlocked in a painstaking battle that could take decades or even centuries to end.
This is another Vietnam, but much, much worst, and this moron of a president has locked America into what has become the bloodiest war in U.S. history.
And what%u2019s worst, the individuals who continue to support this moron are no better than those who supported Hitler and carried out his mass annihilations.
Americans argue how long do we have to stay in this war?
Well, prepare yourself for the long haul, this president has committed America to a no win situation, by which we have been locked into a limitless time frame.
I can%u2019t understand the reasoning of some individuals, and this goes across the board, especially those whom are educated.
Here are two groups, the Kurds and Shiites, who were systematically oppressed by Sunnis for years, to have that veil of oppression lifted in a most unorthodox method, what did you think would happen.
When the Belgium government pulled out of Rwanda and turned the power over to the Hutus, it wasn%u2019t unconceivable to imagine this type of mass murder would occur.
After the Belgium government had oppressed the Hutus, while the Tutsis were given political/economical access to upward mobility.
And now Iraq, the ruler for decades was a Sunni, he had oppressed the Kurds and Shiites, and then the unconceivable occurs, the U.S. with its military hegemony invades this country to create democracy.
This sovereign country that never opted for the U.S.%u2019s help in the first place, encroached and took into custody its ruler, by force, all in the name of democracy.
And what%u2019s frightening the mindset of some of the American people to buy into this %u201Cpropaganda%u201D.
After this disaster we are going to label a %u201Cjoke%u201D, a useless negotiator for peace, we will lose our credibility internationally, because so-called intellectuals were MIA%u2019S when pivotal decisions were being made.
Do I have a solution for the current mess in Iraq? Not really. I do think, that we should begin to pull our troops out of their cities, with the exception of some advisors and trainers to continue forming an Iraqi military and police force. The rest of our troops should protect the infrastructure, ie. oil refineries/pipelines, power plants, airports etc. Our troops would still be in a position to intervene if the situation should take a turn for the worse.
I support our troops just as I support Vietnam Vets for what they did. I am proud of their accomplishments, I only wish, that the political leadership would support them as well.
Republicans, Democrats, who cares, ultimately they all look out for their own interest-money. Our troops die for all the Haliburtans, KBR's as well as for the oil and arms industry. Those are the only ones truly benefiting in this war, just as they did in Vietnam.
Unless we as Americans unite,say enough is enough, and effect a drastic regime change, ie. third party, things in this great nation of ours are only going to get worse for the average Citizen. Just food for thought. And "Happy" Veterans Day
With that said, here are a few points about the war and our goverment. First, Islam is a peaceful religion, very similar to Christianity. The only difference is that they failed to recognize Jesus as the Messiah and do not believe in a triune God. Secondly, their religion went astray shortly after Mohammed's death and has been ever since. Christianity experienced similar events over its life span, during the crusades, the inquesition and in most recent history,Catholic and Protestant violence in N. Ireland. Neither Christianity nor Islam are essentially bad, just because humans used their faith to justify their own selfish agendas by distorting and twisting the word of God.
As for our involvement in Iraq, I strongly believe that we should have dealt with Osama Bin Laden in Afganistan first, finished the job, and if justified dealt with Iraq afterward. I served in Iraq during Desert Shield/Storm and luckily never experienced any hostility from Iraqis. I also know, that many Arab countries have citizens sympethatic to Americans, despite of what the media would have as believe.
Selah
Selah
BIG GUN
"The Pentagon is conducting a major review of the militarys Iraq strategy to determine whats going wrong and should be changed to attain U.S. objectives in the war-torn country, the nations top general said yesterday."
1- WHAT, PRECISELY, ARE OUR OBJECTIVES IN IRAQ?
"Gen. Pace said: We should not be signaling to our enemies what were going to do next, he told MSNBC."
2- WHO ARE OUR ENEMIES IN IRAQ?
"The Pentagon is conducting a major review of the militarys Iraq strategy to determine whats going wrong and should be changed to attain U.S. objectives in the war-torn country, the nations top general said yesterday."
1- WHAT, PRECISELY, ARE OUR OBJECTIVES IN IRAQ?
"Gen. Pace said: We should not be signaling to our enemies what were going to do next, he told MSNBC."
2- WHO ARE OUR ENEMIES IN IRAQ?
To bad Bush doesn't explain things clearly. We are all left guessing, and taking the worse for his silence.
If Bush would tell the truth about Iraqi, and accept some of the mistakes made, then I think the American people would support him. But he has only alienated people.
I think America should only be concerned about keeping the oil out of their hands. Troop levels would focus on Oil Locations. Leave the cities and population areas.
Perhaps build an underground oil pipeline. Or simply close down the wells, with aerial bombings. Just pull the troops out, plug the wells and run security to make sure they stay closed. I think they should forget about the pipeline through Afghanistan. Get the oil out of the Caspian sea another way.
Get out of Afghanistan, and build up our National defenses, and educate the people more about this threat. AlQaida will be defeated.
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