Poll: Race For DeLay's Seat Even

GOP Write-In Candidate Tied With Democratic Nominee, According To New Poll

(AP)  In the race for the congressional seat once held by former Rep. Tom DeLay, the same number of likely voters said they would vote for a write-in candidate as for the Democratic nominee, according to a new poll.

Thirty-five percent of respondents said they would vote for a write-in candidate, a statistical tie with the 36 percent support for Democrat Nick Lampson, according to the poll of likely voters in the Houston area's 22nd Congressional District.

Of the respondents who said they'd choose a write-in candidate, 79 percent said they planned to name Shelley Sekula-Gibbs, a Houston city councilwoman backed by the Republican Party.

Twenty-five percent of surveyed voters said they were still undecided.

"Both candidates seem to be swimming upstream here," said pollster John Zogby, president of Zogby International, which conducted the poll. "What's clear on one hand, is Nick Lampson seems to have had the opportunity and has not closed the deal just yet. On the same token, Shelley Sekula-Gibbs has a great opportunity in a Republican district."

The poll was conducted for the Houston Chronicle and KHOU-TV and appeared on their Web sites Sunday night.

The poll also shows that 62 percent of respondents were aware that there's a write-in candidate. Sixty-one percent said they know how to cast a write-in vote.

Two lesser-known candidates are running as write-ins along with Sekula-Gibbs.

Four percent of respondents said they would vote for Libertarian Bob Smither, the only person besides Lampson on the general election ballot.

Fifty-two percent of poll respondents identified themselves as Republicans, 32 percent as Democrats and 16 percent as independent.

"Punditry was coloring the district blue. It's still a Republican district. Even harder than selling a write-in, is selling a Democrat in this district," Zogby said.

DeLay, the former House majority leader, resigned from Congress in June amid legal and ethical problems. He had already won the GOP nomination for his district. But the courts refused to allow Republicans to replace him on the ballot, forcing them to turn to a write-in candidate.

Sekula-Gibbs said the poll results show that Lampson is a weak candidate.

"I think we are at the top of the hill. We are ready to plant the flag," she said.

Lampson, who served in the U.S. House from 1997 to 2004, said it's hard to predict how many people will vote for a write-in candidate.

"I felt this was doable from the beginning and I still feel that way now," Lampson said. "I knew I had to reach out to a community used to voting one way politically. And I've had to ask those people to have confidence in me."

Zogby International conducted the telephone survey of 504 likely voters between Oct. 23 and Oct. 25. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

[huskerarmy]

I lived in the 22nd district for thirteen years. Unfortunately, a lot of these folks have no reason to pay attention to issues, other than taxes, because the GOP is an extention of their genertic heritage. They get their daily indoctrination from Fox news, when they even bother to watch the news, cheer for the right like they're cheering for their football team and would probably vote to re-elect Delay even if he had to serve them from a prison cell.

[bluestardad]

We Americans should start writing the sponsors of Fox news demanding they pull their support for FOX and any other of these "Right Wing Waco" broadcasters that are supporting sending our children to war under these lying mismanaged conditions.

[clestes-2009]

huskerarmy, that is a sad commentary on the intellgence of 22nd district. Makes me glad I come from the most dangerous city in the country rather than that blip of non-thinkers

[jsilver2th]

Why do you say the race is "even" in the headline when in fact the Democrat has 36% and 35% say they will write-in but of those only 79% say they will vote for the ordained Republican? That means the competition is really at about 28%? You see so many people squaking about the liberal bias of CBS- they are out in dreamland if you ask me- Looks like a Democrat win to me from those numbers but you'd think there was some kind of GOP momentum from the headline...

[pjw4crcc]

Not to worry ... this requires riting wurds on a balit. Long wurds, two ...