GOP Mayors Reign Over Liberal NYC

By CBSNews.com's Christine Lagorio

As New York City ticks down two weeks until its first mayoral election since the one the traumatized city held two months after 9/11, former President Bill Clinton threw his political weight behind the Democratic candidate, whose campaign, by almost all account, is doomed.

Mr. Clinton took to the streets of the Bronx on Thursday, walking in stride with Fernando Ferrer, Mayor Michael Bloomberg's Democratic challenger, who is a former borough president and has been a fixture in New York politics for decades. Despite the fact Democrats outnumber Republicans five to one in New York City, Ferrer is trailing GOP incumbent Bloomberg by nearly 30 percentage points, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released last week.

If Bloomberg wins on Nov. 8, as he is poised to — and sees the term through — Republicans will have held the mayor's office for 16 straight years. That's the longest stretch of GOP leadership in New York City in the party's history. Even in the 1930s and '40s, the run of celebrated Mayor Fiorello LaGuardia lasted only 12 years.

How has the city the rest of America sees as a sanctuary of liberalism become a bastion of Republican metropolitan power?

Fingers point to Rudy.

"Giuliani changed things. Before him, there was a sense that New York was done," political author and Cooper Union professor Fred Siegel told CBSNews.com.

Giuliani "challenged the conventional wisdom on crime and welfare," Baruch College political science professor Douglas Muzzio said. "He succeeded dramatically" and won re-election easily.

But political observers such as Muzzio are quick to point out that Giuliani only took office after losing a close mayoral race to Democrat David Dinkins and then winning very narrowly in a second run in 1993.

Eight years later, when the airliners crashed into the twin towers on Sept. 11, 2001, spiraling the country into a war and making New York City America's Ground Zero, New Yorkers were hitting the polls for the primary of what looked like an election that would hand the mayor's office back to the Democrats.

Representatives from every part of the political spectrum recognize the event's political reverberations.

"After 9/11, right away, it seemed we didn't have time for politics," said Republican consultant Susan Del Percio. Before 9/11 in the '01 race, Democrat Mark Green had a lead in the polls against Bloomberg, but "Rudy said of Bloomberg, 'this is my guy,' and the impact of that was huge."

"Nine-eleven was the perfect storm" for Republicans, Muzzio said. The political change not only made billionaire Bloomberg's resume as a businessman look more impressive, but "the emerging sainthood of Rudy Giuliani" became a factor in the third GOP mayoral race win in a decade.

So is the current Republican run, after a century in New York with only three GOP mayors, an anomaly?

"New York City is a blue city in a blue state. That's not changing," Muzzio said.