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November 11, 2008 8:40 AM

CBS News Poll: Americans Optimistic About Next Four Years

Whether they voted for him or not, Americans are optimistic about the next four years with Barack Obama as president, according to a new CBS News poll. Seventy-one percent of all Americans say they are optimistic about the next four years, including nearly half (48 percent) of all those who voted for John McCain. Just 17 percent of all Americans are pessimistic, including 40 percent of McCain voters.

Eighty-three percent of African-Americans are optimistic and 88 percent of Americans under the age of 30 are as well. While 88 percent of Democrats say they are optimistic, so do 51 percent of Republicans.

During the campaign, Americans expressed record levels of dismay about the state of the country and the economy, and dissatisfaction with the current Administration. However, the level of optimism Americans now express about the future matches the level they expressed before many other recent presidents took office.

About seven in 10 were also optimistic about Presidents Jimmy Carter, Ronald Reagan, George H. W. Bush, and Bill Clinton -- before their first terms began. Six in 10 were optimistic in December 2000 about George W. Bush, even after that election’s 35-day post-election struggle.

More from the poll will be released tonight at 6:30pm ET on the CBS Evening News and in full on CBSNews.com.

This poll was conducted among a nationwide random sample of 1,220 adults interviewed by telephone November 7-10, 2008. Respondents had been first interviewed October 30-November 3, 2008. Phone numbers were dialed from RDD samples of both standard land-lines and cell phones. The error due to sampling for results based on the total sample could be plus or minus three percentage points. The error for subgroups is higher.
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CBS News Poll ,
Obama ,
optimistic
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Polls
November 2, 2008 7:00 PM

CBS Poll: Obama Maintains 13 Point Lead

With two days left until the presidential election, Barack Obama continues to lead John McCain by 13 points among likely voters, 54 percent to 41 percent, a new CBS News poll finds. The margin in the new poll, released Sunday, is identical to that in a CBS News poll released Saturday.

As the number of undecided voters has dwindled, so has the number that says their minds can still change. More than nine in 10 of each candidate’s voters now say they have made up their minds about who to vote for and are not likely to change. Just seven percent of Obama voters and 8 percent of McCain voters say they still might change their minds.

With two days to go, only 8 percent of likely voters are uncommitted – either they have not yet chosen a candidate, or their minds could still change. Nearly all of these uncommitted voters say they plan to vote.

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poll ,
cbs news poll
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Polls
October 15, 2008 10:27 PM

CBS Poll: Uncommitted Voters Say Obama Won Final Debate

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Debate ,
cbs news ,
poll ,
insta-poll ,
barack obama ,
john mccain
Topics:
Debates
October 15, 2008 10:27 PM

CBS Poll: Uncommitted Voters Say Obama Won Final Debate

UPDATED WITH FINAL RESULTS As in the previous debates, CBS News and Knowledge Networks have conducted a nationally representative poll of uncommitted voters to get their immediate reaction to tonight's presidential debate.

In the first presidential debate, second presidential debate and vice presidential debate, more uncommitted voters said the Democratic candidate was the victor.

And tonight's results have, by a wide margin, made it a clean sweep. Here are the final results of the survey of 638 uncommitted voters:

Fifty-three percent of the uncommitted voters surveyed identified Democratic nominee Barack Obama as the winner of tonight's debate. Twenty-two percent said Republican rival John McCain won. Twenty-five percent saw the debate as a draw.

Read more from the poll here.

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Debate ,
cbs news ,
poll ,
insta-poll ,
barack obama ,
john mccain
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Debates
October 14, 2008 3:00 PM

Wrong Track Indicator Hits Another All-Time High

A new CBS News/New York Times poll finds that 89 percent of Americans believe that country is on the wrong track, a new all-time high surpassing the 83 percent who said the same earlier this year. Just seven percent of Americans in the poll said they felt the country was headed in the right direction, down from 14 percent in September. Solid majorities of Republicans, Democrats and Independents agreed that the nation is on the wrong track.

The right direction/wrong track number is a key indicator of the mood of the country and just three weeks from Election Day is further evidence of the economic crisis that has rattled the presidential race. The poll was conducted Friday through Monday, mostly following last week’s historic drop in the stock market. Previous polls have shown voters are more confident in Barack Obama’s ability to improve the economy and both candidates have recently unveiled new proposals aimed at easing concerns.

The full CBS News/New York Times poll will be released at 6:30 ET tonight. Tune into the CBS Evening news and check back here at CBSNews.com for full results.
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CBS News poll ,
wrong track
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Polls
July 23, 2008 2:16 PM

Intense Scrutiny On Candidate Words

Following Tuesday night's "CBS Evening News" exclusive and separate interviews with Sens. Obama and McCain, responses to questions on foreign affairs that each candidate gave to Katie Couric are being parsed on both sides of the political spectrum.
(Click here for the full transcript of the Obama interview and here for the full McCain interview)

On Wednesday morning, the Republican National Committee sent around this video clip, which shows Obama at a primary debate in February explaining that a Senate committee he chaired had not held oversight hearings on Afghanistan because he had been devoting the bulk of his time to campaigning. The clip then cuts to a segment of last night's CBS News interview, in which Obama seemed to change his explanation for why he hadn't held hearings on Afghanistan.

"Actually the subcommittee that I chair is the European subcommittee, and any issues related to Afghanistan were always dealt with in the full committee, precisely because it's so important," Obama told Couric. "That's not a matter that you would deal with in a subcommittee setting."

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obama ,
mccain ,
iraq ,
afghanistan ,
cbs news
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In The News
July 15, 2008 1:00 PM

CBS News Poll: Americans More Upbeat On Iraq But Most Still Say U.S. Should Have Stayed Out

A new CBS News/New York Times will be out at 6:30 this evening but we have an early look at some of the numbers.

The poll shows that while Americans have been pessimistic about the direction of the country in general and the state of the economy in particular, they are increasingly positive about the way things are going in Iraq.

Just seven percent say the war in Iraq is going very well but 45 percent now say it is going at least somewhat well. This marks the most positive assessment of the war since January, 2006, and a 10 point upswing since just last month. But 51 percent say the war is going at least somewhat badly. In June, just 35 percent said the war was going somewhat well while 62 percent said it was going badly.

Still, 59 percent of Americans say that the U.S. should have stayed out of Iraq altogether, a number slightly up from April when 57 percent said so. Thirty six percent say that the U.S. did the right thing by going to war with Iraq.

Barack Obama’s campaign has been trying to paint a possible John McCain presidency as a third Bush term and that message may be resonating with some voters, particularly on Iraq. Most (78 percent) think McCain will continue President Bush’s policies in Iraq. Just 17 percent say McCain will not continue those policies.

For more on the CBS News/New York Times poll, tune in to the CBS Evening News tonight and see the full results at CBSNews.com at 6:30.
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CBS News ,
poll ,
Obama ,
McCain ,
Iraq
Topics:
Polls
May 1, 2008 9:42 AM

Starting Gate: Worth Fighting For

(AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)
Everyone knows the mantra by now when it comes to the shape of the Democratic race and even the most devoted supporters of Hillary Clinton would surely acknowledge that her chances of wresting the nomination away from Barack Obama are slim at best. And Slim may be leaving the building should Obama win Indiana on Tuesday.

Barring a complete meltdown, Clinton will almost certainly finish the primaries behind in pledged delegates won and most likely trailing in the popular vote. And, if you believe the buzz that has been emanating from the Obama camp recently, those all-important superdelegates are poised to put him over the top – or at least get him very, very close.

So why is Clinton fighting so hard still? Because, while every nomination is worth having, this one is worth doing almost anything to get and it might even be worth the risk of blowing up the party.

The latest CBS News/New York Times poll tells the tale. Despite the seeming strength of presumptive GOP nominee John McCain in current head-to-head matchups, the party’s brand could not get much lower. Just 33 percent of registered voters said they have a favorable opinion of the Republican Party. Voters say they are likely to vote Democratic in congressional races by a 50 percent to 32 percent margin. The Democratic Party has wide advantages when it comes to dealing with issues like the economy, health care, the war in Iraq, immigration and even higher marks on sharing moral values.

In the perception game, voters expect a Democrat to win the White House by a 56 percent to 32 percent margin.

And the poll holds some troubling signs for Obama’s campaign. Clinton does better against McCain in the general election matchup, giving her more ammunition for the electability argument. White women are deserting him in the poll and his unfavorable ratings have risen. He remains in a strong position to win the nomination but his support has eroded in the wake of his Pennsylvania loss and the “bitter” and Wright controversies.

Given the vulnerabilities that seem to be creeping into Obama’s campaign, why should Clinton drop out – even in June. Why not hang around and see what happens during the summer, if not wage an active campaign, then at least remain viable until Denver?

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Tags:
Hillary Clinton ,
Barack Obama ,
John McCain ,
CBS News poll
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Starting Gate
April 30, 2008 3:00 PM

CBS News Poll: Dem Party Split But Hopes Remain High For Fall

A new CBS News/New York Times poll coming out this evening shows strong feelings remain among supporters of both Democratic presidential candidates – and that significant numbers of them may end up unhappy with the outcome.

Half of Hillary Clinton’s primary supporters say they would be dissatisfied if Barack Obama ends up as the party’s nominee while 49 percent said they would be satisfied. Among those Democrats supporting Obama, far fewer, 35 percent, said they would be dissatisfied with Clinton as the nominee, compared to 64 percent who said they would be satisfied with her as the party’s standard-bearer.

When it comes to a “Dream Ticket,” featuring both candidates, more than half of each candidate’s supporters said they would be open to the idea of having the other come on as a running mate. Overall, 65 percent of Democrats agreed that Clinton should pick Obama if she were to win the nomination, including 79 percent of Obama supporters and 53 percent of Clinton supporters. If he were to win, 59 percent of all Democrats agreed that Obama should pick Clinton as his running mate, including 53 percent of his supporters and 67 percent of hers.

Despite the seeming hardened feelings among Democrats regarding the candidate they support, voters overall expect the party to capture the White House in November. Fifty-six percent of all registered voters in the poll said they expect the Democrat to win the general election while just 32 percent said they expect the Republican candidate to prevail.

The full poll will be released at 6:30pm ET, watch the CBS Evening News and visit CBSNews.com then for full details of the poll.
Tags:
CBS News Poll ,
Clinton ,
Obama
Topics:
Polls
April 3, 2008 2:00 PM

CBS/NY Times Poll: The Best Jobs Are Behind Us?

Almost half of all Americans believe that the best years are in the past when it comes to good jobs according to a CBS News/New York Times poll being released today. Forty eight percent of adults surveyed said they believe the country’s best years are in the past on the jobs front while 43 percent said the best times are still to come. But Americans are only slightly less optimistic as they were in 1996 when 44 percent said the best times for jobs was behind us and 46 percent said the best was to come.

When it comes to jobs, over half of adults said they were concerned about someone in their household losing a job, with 28 percent of them saying they are very concerned. Forty five percent said they were not concerned and those with incomes under $50,000 per year said they were more concerned than those earning more money.

The entire CBS News/New York Times poll will be released at 6:30pm ET this evening. Watch the CBS Evening News for the results and visit CBSNews.com to see the entire poll then.
Tags:
CBS News poll ,
jobs ,
economy
Topics:
Polls

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