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Read all posts by Jeff Greenfield in Couric & Co.

September 11, 2008 4:11 PM

The Making Of "The Good, the Bad, the Ugly"

(John P. Filo/CBS)
Jeff Greenfield is senior political correspondent for CBS News.
No, CBS News is not re-making a famous spaghetti western. Instead, we’re launching a weekly look at the most effective, most depressing and most what-planet-are-we-on events of the political week. The judgments are non-ideological – effective and depressing and weird events happen across the political spectrum – and we don’t have a standard Olympic-style point-scoring standard for this feature.

For openers, we’ve chosen an obvious starting point: Sen. John McCain’s selection of Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate. We’ve seen selections in the past change a campaign for the worse ...

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Tags:
greenfield ,
politics ,
campaign ,
obama ,
mccain ,
palin
Topics:
Politics
July 14, 2008 5:20 PM

Hail And Farewell

Jeff Greenfield is senior political correspondent for CBS News.
(AP)
As a lifelong New Yorker, I’ve taken for granted many of the iconic symbols of my town: the Empire State Building, the Statue of Liberty and Central Park are each part of my extended neighborhood, and rarely stir the emotions.

But for nearly 60 years, every time I’ve walked into Yankee Stadium, my heartbeat begins to increase.

It happened the first time I went to a ballgame there, walking into the huge fortress, emerging from a tunnel into the startling blue sky and green outfield – having only seen baseball on a mid-century TV, I guess I assumed the real thing would be black and white. More than the physical power, it’s the power of memories that the stadium holds that make its last season so poignant.

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Tags:
jeff greenfield ,
yankees ,
yankee stadium ,
new york ,
bronx ,
baseball
Topics:
Field Notes
January 28, 2008 6:50 PM

The Kennedy Endorsement

(John P. Filo/CBS)
Jeff Greenfield is senior political correspondent for CBS News.
The midday Washington rally at which Ted, Caroline, and Patrick Kennedy endorsed Barack Obama may or may not have enough political weight to change the outcome of the primaries. What it definitely did have was a huge supply of political irony.

First, the candidate whose entire campaign is premised on the need to “turn the page,” who defines the contest as one “between the past and the future,” received the blessing of the political figure most solidly identified with a storied past. Ted Kennedy was elected to the United States Senate in 1962, when Barack Obama was 15 months old. He remains, after 45 years in the Senate, the “last liberal lion,” the embodiment of a kind of Democrat anchored in a New Deal-Fair Deal-New Frontier-Great society era. For those of us of a certain age, our strongest memories of Caroline come from the magazine photographs of her dancing in the Oval Office, while her father clapped his hands … or more likely, from the black-and-white photos of her at her father’s funeral.

For a lot more Americans, there’s another iconic image – the grainy home movie footage of a teenaged Bill Clinton reaching out to shake the hand of President Kennedy at a Boys’ Nation gathering in the early 60s. Back in 1992, the Clinton campaign showcased that image as a way to argue that the torch had been passed to another young, vigorous Democrat. And those pictures of the Clintons sailing with the Kennedys off Cape Cod during his Presidency were not exactly accidents.

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Tags:
barack obama ,
ted kennedy ,
caroline kennedy ,
endorsement ,
campaign
Topics:
Politics
January 2, 2008 6:30 PM

Three Things You Don’t Know About Caucusing

(John P. Filo/CBS)
Jeff Greenfield is senior political correspondent for CBS News.



1.The Democrats and Republicans have two completely different caucus systems.

The GOP takes a straight straw poll — secret ballot with one person, one vote. Whoever gets the most votes win. Simple. Democrats do it differently: Participants form "Presidential preference groups" by moving to different parts of the room. There is no secret ballot (which for some of us suggests that pressure and intimidation might just occur every once in while). The candidates who can't garner 15 percent are considered "non-viable" and their supporters either go home or may realign with more successful candidates. So the second choice of caucus-goers can prove decisive.

Democrats don't use the one-person-one-vote system. Each of the 1,781 precincts gets a certain amount of clout, depending on how big the Democratic turnout was in the last Presidential and gubernatorial contests. So if, for instance, Sen. Clinton turned out huge numbers in Cedar Rapids, it wouldn't be truly measured by the Democratic system — she'd get the same percentage of delegates whether 200 or 2000 people participated. In other words, it's very possible that the candidate who turned out the biggest number of participants statewide could lose — if an opponent's strength was spread more widely.

2. Turnout is really low compared to turnout in primaries.

If the caucuses produce an all-time high of, say, 250,000, that would still equal little more than 10 percent of eligible voters.

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Tags:
jeff greenfield ,
iowa ,
caucus
Topics:
Field Notes
October 31, 2007 6:32 PM

Just A Rough Patch For The Frontrunner?

(John P. Filo/CBS)
Jeff Greenfield is senior political correspondent for CBS News.
So the reviews are in and the consensus is: Hillary had a bad night; maybe a bad, bad night. And the question is: so what?

Can a shaky debate performance really matter to a candidate who dominates the national polls, who leads (narrowly) in Iowa and South Carolina, and humongously everywhere else; a candidate who just picked up the endorsement of AFSCME, one of the biggest public employee unions in the country?

Well, yeah ... maybe. And here's why. When Sen. Clinton followed her effusive praise of New York Gov. Eliot Spitzer's plan to give illegal immigrants drivers' licenses with a refusal to back that idea, a single thought flashed through the minds of a thousand political junkies: "I actually voted for the $87 billion before I voted against it."

That remark by John Kerry, immortalized in late-night comedy monologues and a devastating Bush-Cheney TV ad, encapsulated the view of Kerry as a flip-flopper, a waffler, someone who couldn't be trusted to be clear and steadfast about where he stood.

Clinton so far has dodged that bullet, despite her effort to follow a "general election" strategy through the primaries — that is, to talk in a way that could appeal to independents and moderate Republicans even as she fights for the Democratic nomination. Thus, her tough talk on the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, her refusal to say anything about Social Security other than that we need fiscal responsibility and bi-partisanship (how about apple pie while we're at it?).

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Tags:
jeff greenfield ,
debate
Topics:
Politics
October 26, 2007 10:57 AM

Hillary At 60

Jeff Greenfield is senior political correspondent for CBS News.
(AP)
For many people, the 60th birthday is more a time of mourning than a time of celebration; I bet Hillary Clinton isn't one of those people.

It's not just that her birthday bash at Manhattan's Beacon last night raised some serious money. It's that as she hits this milestone, the political community has decided that she is somewhere between unmatchable and untouchable.

She leads her nearest rival Barack Obama, by some 30 points in the race for the Democratic nomination. She has leads ranging from the narrow in Iowa to the significant in New Hampshire to the astonishing--40 points or so--in California and New York.

Moreover--and more significant--her chief opponents have so far not managed to gain any traction with their principal arguments. This does not--I repeat, not--mean that this nomination is settled, for reasons I'll get to in a minute. It's just that, as of now, nothing that was supposed to matter has mattered to most Democratic voters...

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Tags:
Katie Couric
Topics:
Politics
October 16, 2007 5:09 PM

April In Paris, New Year’s In Des Moines?

(John P. Filo/CBS)
Jeff Greenfield is senior political correspondent for CBS News.
April in Paris? Everyone's romantic dream. Autumn in New York? The best time of all in the Big Apple. Christmas in Killarney? Yes, 'tis grand to be Irish at holiday time.

Now how about … New Year's in Des Moines?

No, it's not a well-known song, it's where the Republican presidential candidates — and the army of operatives, organizers, and media types — will be spending their holiday season now that the Iowa Republican Party has decided to shift its first in the nation caucus date from January 14 to January 3. So, with the New Year's hangover still banging in our heads, and with the college football marathon only starting to wind down, Iowa Republicans will be gathering in school cafeterias, libraries, living rooms, and gyms to start the process of picking the next president.

Why? Because Michigan, long frustrated at politicking in the shadow of Iowa and New Hampshire, effectively decided "to hell with the national party rules" and moved its primary all the way from February 26 to January 15 — a day after the scheduled Iowa caucuses. Since Iowa has a law requiring its caucuses to be at least a week earlier than anyone else's process, which forced a change … sort of.

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Tags:
Jeff Greenfield ,
primaries ,
politics
Topics:
Politics
September 18, 2007 4:07 PM

On The Trail With Joe Biden

(John P. Filo/CBS)
Jeff Greenfield is senior political correspondent for CBS News.
INDIANOLA, Iowa-- On a bright warm late September Sunday, more than 12,000 Democrats have gathered at the Memorial balloon field in Indianola, to hear six Democratic Presidential candidates--a gathering a cynic might say will produce enough hot air to launch an armada of balloon. They are here for Senator Tom Harkin's 30th annual "Steak Fry"--Iowa being well north of the Mason-Dixon line, they actually don't dry the steaks, they grill them--and to attend a Presidential "Cattle call" where cattle is in fact on the menu.
It is also a place to measure the obstacles--and possible opportunity--for one of the longer of the long shot candidates.

When Delaware's Joe Biden was elected to the Senate in 1972, Hillary Clinton was in law school; John Edwards as at North Carolina State; Barack Obama was 11-years-old.

But even though Biden has spent more than half his life in the Senate, and has chaired the prestigious Judiciary and now the Foreign Affair committees--such background holds little sway in American Presidential politics; just ask the 41 sitting US Senators who have tried and failed to reach the White House since JFK did it in 1960. Clinton and Obama travel with Secret Service protection, and each has raised ten times the money Biden has. John Edwards still has the recognition and much of the organization he had in 2004, when he nearly won the Iowa caucuses. Even New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson has spent nearly $2 million n Iowa media advertising; Biden has spent about $270,000.

So Biden travels "light"--in one and two car caravans. He speaks to dozens, not thousands.

So why is he here, 20 years after his first presidential run collapsed amid charges of plagiarism and exaggerated academic credentials?

For Biden, the answer comes down to one word: Iraq, and the fallout from that war...

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Tags:
Joe Biden
Topics:
Politics
September 10, 2007 5:19 PM

The Giuliani of September 10th

(John P. Filo/CBS)
Jeff Greenfield is senior political correspondent for CBS News.
If you ask a lot of New Yorkers, "What did you guys think of Rudy Giuliani the day before September 11th," you may well get an answer along these lines: "We were ready to say goodbye; we liked the job he'd done in making the city safer, cleaner, more confident, but we'd had enough." If you pursue the idea a little further, and ask those who cover politics about the Mayor's approval rating, they're likely to guess that it was somewhere in the mid-30s or low-40s.

The reality is more complex. By the fall of 2001, Giuliani had recovered from a series of missteps and bad breaks that had plagued much of those years: police clashes with minorities, including two fatal shootings of unarmed blacks; a messy domestic life including a separation from his wife that he announced at a press conference--apparently, the first time she'd heard he news. There were endless fights not with hoodlums, organized crime big-shots, and incompetent bureaucrats, but with street vendors, jaywalkers, cabbies, museum officials who display offensive materials.

(AP Photo/Mark Avery)
But by the late summer of 2002, his job approval rating had climbed back above 50%. And had term limits not rendered him ineligible to run, he might well have won a third term, though not by a landslide.

What was true, however, was that there was a palpable sense of exhaustion after nearly 8 years of a combative mayor. Supporters, critics, and reasonably neutral journalists are in remarkable synch on this point.

The Village Voice's Wayne Barrett, one of his severest critics, says: "Rudy is a tremendously successful human behind when he knows what he's going to do next...He had no idea what his personal career plan was in the second term [so] he was all over the place. He was getting street vendors. He was getting jaywalkers. He went from one crazy initiative to another crazy initiative."

Andrew Kirtzman, who covered the mayor throughout his tenure, said, "I think New Yorkers were exhausted by Rudy Giuliani by that day...By the time his second term came around, had an an urge for battles. Now, this is a man who needs a big war. He's a general, and he was a general in search of a war that didn't exit t that point. And by the end of that second term, people...they had had enough.."

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Tags:
Rudy Giuliani
Topics:
Politics
August 30, 2007 5:12 PM

What Makes Thompson Different

(John P. Filo/CBS)
Jeff Greenfield is senior political correspondent for CBS News.
There's an almost compulsory list of items to tick off when you talk about Fred Thompson's now-certain Presidential campaign:

- Watergate lawyer asking the "smoking gun" question to Alexander Butterfield about a taping system inside the White House...check.

- Actor who played roles ranging from White House chief of Staff to President of the United States to pro-life conservative Manhattan DA Arthur Branch on "Law and Order"...check.

- Won a Senate seat in 1994 campaigning in a red pickup tuck to symbolize just-plain-folks roots...check.

- Married a much-younger, attractive woman whose credentials as a veteran political staff person get blithely ignored...check.

But here's the part about Thompson's campaign that really intrigues me. It just could be that he intends to run a very different kind of campaign--stylistically and substantively...

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Tags:
Jeff Greenfield ,
Fred Thompson
Topics:
Politics

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