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What the stimulus is meant to do, and is doing, is to incite and give businesses and consumers the confidence to keep on producing and spending respectively for the upcoming spending in the economy it is to generate exponentially. Initially by giving tax breaks, benefits, spending to maintain teaching and social services jobs and then spending on stimulus projects contracts given to companies which are then encouraged not to lay off workers. All these with the consequent multiplier effect in the economy.
Companies and consumers effectively bought to this idea once the Stimulus bill was enacted and kept on producing and consuming respectively in anticipation that upcoming Stimulus spending will maintain a stable economic environment from which recovery is possible. Hence the reason why the stock market and consumer and business confidence started rising. This effort was accompanied by the bank bailout and efforts to provide credit to consumers and companies.
It is effectively because the Stimulus Package is real, a commitment of 787 billion dollars by the US government for real economic projects, that consumers and businesses bought to the scheme and started acting in a positive manner in anticipation of its positive impact in the upcoming months (the Stimulus Package direct impact should enter in full force by the fourth quarter). In fact, many economists have even argued that the amount provided for the Stimulus should have been much more higher.
I?ll argue that irrespective of party creed, it will seem to me that the criticism levied against the Stimulus is much more of a ?political vogue? (and has nothing to do with ?realistic? economics) na?vely taken up by the media which tend to operate on the basis of ?two sides to any story? (not a criticism though). The milestone which any such critical arguments has to overcome is to answer the question: how could a depression be avoided and a recovery started following the failure of the financial system?
The stimulus is rather the impetus for the overall economic agenda advanced by the Obama Administration and is meant to arrest the downward spiral of the economy and create a new basis on which the the US economy will be rebuilt for the upcoming years (not only the next 2 years).
The goal here is to move away from an economic model which has been based on speculation and credit indebtedness as was the case in the last few years (following the deregulatory policies started during the Clinton Administration) culminating into the mortgage crisis and the failure of the financial system.
The Obama Administration?s economic model is meant to refocus the economy on real growth. The government will provide the impetus for the new economic model by initiating policies meant to: better regulate the financial system to encourage real/productive and not speculative enterprise, reign on the culture of credit indebtedness (by enterprises and individuals), revamp education (for a more competitive economy based on a better qualified workforce), bring about a more energy efficient and independent economy with green jobs, bring down health care costs in order to lessen the burden on individuals and enterprises and provide universal coverage, and finally control deficits through economic growth and reigning down on health care costs (with pay-as-you-go as the future approach to public spending).
You will certainly notice that the stimulus spending is more or less continuous with this economic agenda.
Actually, the initial impact of the stimulus for private enterprise and consumer confidence has been ?anticipatory? in that it arrested a situation where the trend of business and consumer confidence was heading the economy to a depression. That is why the statistics point to the fact that business and consumer confidence stop plunging after the stimulus plan was passed and the stock market has been ?going north? since then. It is the anticipation of the impact of the stimulus plan that has stabilized business and consumer confidence, heading off the real prospect of a depression. In other words, the stimulus package first impact was to act as the brakes for an economy that was heading to a depression disaster.
http://www.rususa.com/money/finance.asp See link above for the effect of the stimulus plan on the stock market immediately after its passage in mid-February 2009: the NASDAQ, Dow Jones and S & P 500 have made a dramatic U-turn upward since March 2009.
The reason for the high job losses is very simple. Those jobs were going to be lost anyway as business and consumer confidence entered a vicious cycle to depression following the failure of the financial system - these job losses arose out of lack of confidence in the financial system. Actually, the stimulus role at the onset more than any immediate spending in the economy itself has been to provide assurance to consumers and businesses that government will spend in the economy thereby upholding consumer and business confidence and avoiding the real prospect of a depression. So the stimulus first role has been "anticipatory" in forestalling a depression.
Believe it or not, it is not out of the question that without the stimulus plan we might have been talking now about the loss of not 1.6 million jobs but 5 or 6 million jobs at the trend at which consumer and business confidence went on falling before its passage. See link on the rise of consumer confidence since the stimulus plan was passed in mid-February 2009. http://www.market-harmonics.com/free-charts/sentiment/consumer_confidence.htm
Actually, the word "stimulus" here can be misleading in that it underemphasizes the effect of the stimulus in arresting a grave and downward spiral of the economy and rather draw focus mainly on creation of jobs which is the second and yet to fully come dimension of its impact.
Let's imagine that the stimulus plan was to be suspended now. What will happen is that the anticipation consumers and business had about its boosting effect on the economy will die out, and this of itself will create uncertainty and may well lead to a new downward spiral. The Stimulus has a double effect with respect to recovery and job creation. Perhaps the lesser acknowledged effect is the confidence created in the economy for private enterprise and consumer consumption. In fact, this indirect effect will be the strongest push for economic recovery and job creation. Then there is the direct effect of the Stimulus Package spending and its multiplier effect given the areas of expenditure (education, infrastructure, green jobs, etc.)
While critics are pointing to the fact that unemployment is already at 9.4 percent compared to the prediction of 8.8 percent for 2010 made by the Administration, many forget that Economics like Meteorology or Earthquake Prediction for that matter is "no Physics or Maths". What ultimately matters is the bigger picture and trends. Going by the job loss figures for March, April and May (652000, 504000 and 345000 respectively) the argument made by the administration definitely holds. In fact, the Fed, the Treasury as well as other institutions involved in the prediction of economic data tend to revise their figures quite often. What matters is the trend and bigger picture. See link http://data.bls.gov/PDQ/servlet/SurveyOutputServlet?data_tool=latest_numbers&series_id=CES0000000001&output_view=net_1mth.
The Stimulus is rather like a project but in this instance a massive and complex national project. A project can be broken down in two broad categories: design and execution. At the design stage (the first few months of the Stimulus), everything is being organised and put in place administratively with relatively little being carried out. The upcoming months will be the period when the massive spending and investments will be executed at an exponential rate. In fact, 1 billion dollar is already being allocated each day for Stimulus projects.
In layman?s terms, the Stimulus is needed for the simple reason that with the failure of the financial system, businesses and consumers were less willing (uncertainty) and less able (banks failures and failure to provide credit) to produce and spend in the economy implying that companies sold less goods and services than usual and so the companies had to lay out workers who in turn bought less and so the cycle goes (and this might just as well have led to a depression).
Dear Mr. Rahm Emanuel.( AKA Goebbels)
You must step in and take control of the ship. Democrats respect you. Republicans fear you. (You can't fear an idiot)
Posted by thusspokezara
Dear Fidel Obama
We the people have realized that all you care about is yourself and your socalist agenda. Your so called stimulus has reduced the work force by over 2,000,000 and still rising and your efforts to let people build roads and increase entitlement only has run up the tab for our children and grand children. We all know that you are a fraud and by the way, you still owe us your birth certificate. Your arrogance has destroyed our country and the way we are received amongst friends and foes. But again, we know you don't care. Spending money that is not yours is easy and I am sure that your kids don't have to worry about it, Democracy is fallen victim under your regime and the only thing that seperates you from Hitler is the missing moustache. May God have mercy on us.
"In the self-incriminating way Sen. Gramm and his GOP peers finally wrote the GLB bill, the SEC was effectively put to sleep."
You got that right, Gramm is largely to blame for this mess and Bush went right along with it. The party of Coolidge and Hoover have brought you Reagan and Bush. History repeats itself in many ways.
Until prices are brought into line with wages we will have no economic recovery.
This means that a falsely valued $750,000.00 home will have to be brought down to its real value, $75,000.00.
And all the governments of the world pouring all the cash taxpayers of the world have left into an effort to sustain false prices will fail.
That's why socialism, communism, and fascism have always failed.
Because their economic, as well as humanitarian, models do.
And there is no better recipe for disaster than corporate capitalism on the way up, accompanied by corporate socialism on the way down. SearingTruth, September 2008
I think this is tacit admission the Stimulus bill did not work. The GOP said it would not. But Obama still wont listen. Hes going to try the same thing even harder. He is as stubborn as Bush and twoce as misguided.
Newsweek?s Evan Thomas: Obama Is ?Sort of God?
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Newsweek editor Evan Thomas brought adulation over President Obama?s Cairo speech to a whole new level on Friday, declaring on MSNBC: "I mean in a way Obama?s standing above the country, above ? above the world, he?s sort of God."
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I came across your post through a Google search when I was looking for information about this product. The post seems to be relevant and beneficial to what I was looking for.
Here is another one I came through on my search http://theclickbankcode.ratereviews.net/
Eddy
Companies and consumers effectively bought to this idea once the Stimulus bill was enacted and kept on producing and consuming respectively in anticipation that upcoming Stimulus spending will maintain a stable economic environment from which recovery is possible. Hence the reason why the stock market and consumer and business confidence started rising. This effort was accompanied by the bank bailout and efforts to provide credit to consumers and companies.
It is effectively because the Stimulus Package is real, a commitment of 787 billion dollars by the US government for real economic projects, that consumers and businesses bought to the scheme and started acting in a positive manner in anticipation of its positive impact in the upcoming months (the Stimulus Package direct impact should enter in full force by the fourth quarter). In fact, many economists have even argued that the amount provided for the Stimulus should have been much more higher.
I?ll argue that irrespective of party creed, it will seem to me that the criticism levied against the Stimulus is much more of a ?political vogue? (and has nothing to do with ?realistic? economics) na?vely taken up by the media which tend to operate on the basis of ?two sides to any story? (not a criticism though). The milestone which any such critical arguments has to overcome is to answer the question: how could a depression be avoided and a recovery started following the failure of the financial system?
The stimulus is rather the impetus for the overall economic agenda advanced by the Obama Administration and is meant to arrest the downward spiral of the economy and create a new basis on which the the US economy will be rebuilt for the upcoming years (not only the next 2 years).
The goal here is to move away from an economic model which has been based on speculation and credit indebtedness as was the case in the last few years (following the deregulatory policies started during the Clinton Administration) culminating into the mortgage crisis and the failure of the financial system.
The Obama Administration?s economic model is meant to refocus the economy on real growth. The government will provide the impetus for the new economic model by initiating policies meant to: better regulate the financial system to encourage real/productive and not speculative enterprise, reign on the culture of credit indebtedness (by enterprises and individuals), revamp education (for a more competitive economy based on a better qualified workforce), bring about a more energy efficient and independent economy with green jobs, bring down health care costs in order to lessen the burden on individuals and enterprises and provide universal coverage, and finally control deficits through economic growth and reigning down on health care costs (with pay-as-you-go as the future approach to public spending).
You will certainly notice that the stimulus spending is more or less continuous with this economic agenda.
http://www.rususa.com/money/finance.asp See link above for the effect of the stimulus plan on the stock market immediately after its passage in mid-February 2009: the NASDAQ, Dow Jones and S & P 500 have made a dramatic U-turn upward since March 2009.
The reason for the high job losses is very simple. Those jobs were going to be lost anyway as business and consumer confidence entered a vicious cycle to depression following the failure of the financial system - these job losses arose out of lack of confidence in the financial system. Actually, the stimulus role at the onset more than any immediate spending in the economy itself has been to provide assurance to consumers and businesses that government will spend in the economy thereby upholding consumer and business confidence and avoiding the real prospect of a depression. So the stimulus first role has been "anticipatory" in forestalling a depression.
Believe it or not, it is not out of the question that without the stimulus plan we might have been talking now about the loss of not 1.6 million jobs but 5 or 6 million jobs at the trend at which consumer and business confidence went on falling before its passage. See link on the rise of consumer confidence since the stimulus plan was passed in mid-February 2009.
http://www.market-harmonics.com/free-charts/sentiment/consumer_confidence.htm
Actually, the word "stimulus" here can be misleading in that it underemphasizes the effect of the stimulus in arresting a grave and downward spiral of the economy and rather draw focus mainly on creation of jobs which is the second and yet to fully come dimension of its impact.
Let's imagine that the stimulus plan was to be suspended now. What will happen is that the anticipation consumers and business had about its boosting effect on the economy will die out, and this of itself will create uncertainty and may well lead to a new downward spiral. The Stimulus has a double effect with respect to recovery and job creation. Perhaps the lesser acknowledged effect is the confidence created in the economy for private enterprise and consumer consumption. In fact, this indirect effect will be the strongest push for economic recovery and job creation. Then there is the direct effect of the Stimulus Package spending and its multiplier effect given the areas of expenditure (education, infrastructure, green jobs, etc.)
While critics are pointing to the fact that unemployment is already at 9.4 percent compared to the prediction of 8.8 percent for 2010 made by the Administration, many forget that Economics like Meteorology or Earthquake Prediction for that matter is "no Physics or Maths". What ultimately matters is the bigger picture and trends. Going by the job loss figures for March, April and May (652000, 504000 and 345000 respectively) the argument made by the administration definitely holds. In fact, the Fed, the Treasury as well as other institutions involved in the prediction of economic data tend to revise their figures quite often. What matters is the trend and bigger picture. See link http://data.bls.gov/PDQ/servlet/SurveyOutputServlet?data_tool=latest_numbers&series_id=CES0000000001&output_view=net_1mth.
The Stimulus is rather like a project but in this instance a massive and complex national project. A project can be broken down in two broad categories: design and execution. At the design stage (the first few months of the Stimulus), everything is being organised and put in place administratively with relatively little being carried out. The upcoming months will be the period when the massive spending and investments will be executed at an exponential rate. In fact, 1 billion dollar is already being allocated each day for Stimulus projects.
In layman?s terms, the Stimulus is needed for the simple reason that with the failure of the financial system, businesses and consumers were less willing (uncertainty) and less able (banks failures and failure to provide credit) to produce and spend in the economy implying that companies sold less goods and services than usual and so the companies had to lay out workers who in turn bought less and so the cycle goes (and this might just as well have led to a depression).
You must step in and take control of the ship. Democrats respect you. Republicans fear you. (You can't fear an idiot)
Posted by thusspokezara
Dear Fidel Obama
We the people have realized that all you care about is yourself and your socalist agenda. Your so called stimulus has reduced the work force by over 2,000,000 and still rising and your efforts to let people build roads and increase entitlement only has run up the tab for our children and grand children. We all know that you are a fraud and by the way, you still owe us your birth certificate. Your arrogance has destroyed our country and the way we are received amongst friends and foes. But again, we know you don't care. Spending money that is not yours is easy and I am sure that your kids don't have to worry about it, Democracy is fallen victim under your regime and the only thing that seperates you from Hitler is the missing moustache. May God have mercy on us.
You got that right, Gramm is largely to blame for this mess and Bush went right along with it. The party of Coolidge and Hoover have brought you Reagan and Bush. History repeats itself in many ways.
Until prices are brought into line with wages we will have no economic recovery.
This means that a falsely valued $750,000.00 home will have to be brought down to its real value, $75,000.00.
And all the governments of the world pouring all the cash taxpayers of the world have left into an effort to sustain false prices will fail.
That's why socialism, communism, and fascism have always failed.
Because their economic, as well as humanitarian, models do.
And there is no better recipe for disaster than corporate capitalism on the way up, accompanied by corporate socialism on the way down.
SearingTruth, September 2008
A Future of the Brave
http://hubpages.com/hub/Turbo-Cash-Generator--Twitter-Bonus
http://hubpages.com/hub/The-CB-Code-Do-not-buy-The-Clickbank-Code
http://www.goarticles.com/cgi-bin/showa.cgi?C=1647985
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Newsweek editor Evan Thomas brought adulation over President Obama?s Cairo speech to a whole new level on Friday, declaring on MSNBC: "I mean in a way Obama?s standing above the country, above ? above the world, he?s sort of God."
Link: http://newsbusters.org/blogs/kyle-drennen/2009/06/05/newsweek-s-evan-thomas-obama-sort-god