When should you take Social Security?
(MoneyWatch) When should you take Social Security? It's a question I get all the time, from in-laws, friends of my parents, and MoneyWatch readers. For most people, the answer is straightforward, if not popular: As late as you can, the closer to age 70 the better.
The reason is simple: The longer you wait, the higher the payout. Granted, this advice is useless if you can't afford to wait. But if you have any flexibility at all, it's important to consider the numbers. Last year, while doing research for my book, I was struck by the fact that, as interest rates fell, the "return" you get by waiting looks better and better. Over the weekend my former colleague Jack Hough, at SmartMoney magazine, pointed out that the case for waiting has gotten even stronger since then, as interest rates have continued to fall.
The easiest way to understand the issue is to look at the numbers:
If you are making $75,000 and you retire this year at age 62, your annual Social Security payout would be about $16,300 (that number will vary depending on your earnings over your lifetime). If you wait until your full retirement age of 66, your Social Security income in 2016 will be around $22,600. If you can hold out until age 70, expect to bring in more than $30,000.
Some people prefer a bird in hand, and they argue that you're better off taking the checks at age 62 and investing the money. Here's the problem: You would have to earn around 8 percent a year on your Social Security checks to match that payout. There's no investment in the world that pays 8 percent a year without a lot of risk. Despite all the fear over Social Security funding levels, the program has a U.S. government guarantee behind it, and even if you're skeptical of the Treasury, it's far safer than junk bonds that yield 8 percent.
Holding out for bigger checks becomes more valuable the longer you live. Using the numbers above, if you live to age 90 you'll get $170,000 more in Social Security by waiting until age 70 to take benefits. Of course it's great to have a bigger paycheck; it's also a nice form of inflation protection. The bigger your checks, the higher the dollar amount of any cost-of-living adjustments. Unless you're in ill health (and therefore may not live long enough to benefit) or simply can't afford not to take Social Security early, it's a no brainer.
The broader lesson here is what led to the name of my book: Worth It...Not Worth It: Simple & Profitable Answers to Life's Tough Financial Questions. While managing money is never easy, the answers to many of the questions we face are fairly simple, once you see the numbers. The same is true for life insurance, investing, and even whether to use your credit or debit card.
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While in the past, they used the 3 legged stool for retirement savings plan (one being the pension by corporation, one being the SSA benefits, and one being personal savings), that analysis is now broke.
We all know what has happened with corporate pensions, they went by way of the PBGC with the benefits instantly cut in half with new people having to use 401(k) or similar plans. As such, that leg is completely sawed off for current employees.
As for the SSA benefits leg, thats looking to be chopped in half (The SSA benefits says only a 27% drop via the do-nothing route, but knowing human behavior, people in general don't really realize how bad things are until they are in the midst of it, thus why I estimate more like 50% drop come the early 2040's).
Now with 1.5 legs lost of the 3 legged stool, the analysis has now become more like a bean bag chair. The more dollars you put into your own bean bag chair (retirement funds, rather through employment or on your own with IRA plans), the more comfortable you will be. As such, build up your own retirement funds with the retirement type accounts.
Once you realize this and build up your own retirement funds, you become less dependent on the SSA benefits, thus now you can afford to delay it another 3 or 4 years (in my case, it's 3 years of delay with my normal retirement age being 67). As such, even if the funds has been cut back by 50% under the do nothing route of fixing the current issues with the FICA situation, when that SSA benefits does kick in, it will be the icing on the cake.
For me, my income has almost always been in the poverty range, but yet, my savings has been significantly higher than at least 70% of those in my own age group, so following this route is very doable, if you can get yourself and your household to be disciplined enough to do it.
My girlfriend brought up a good point in favor of not waiting the extra time (66 at full benefit vs waiting until 70). I've never read her argument anywhere, but it's a valid one. She said why not collect it when you're healthy at 66 and can fully enjoy it, than wait until you're 70 and perhaps not able to enjoy it as much. I should mention that I'm fortunate enough to be able to afford to put off collecting until I'm 70.
Thanks for any opinions!
Dan Kap,
Whittier, CA
I have an answer for you to calculate your "break even point". It is not a simple formula but here it goes:
Lets assume (made-up #) that you will earn $1,000 per year if you take SS at age 66. If you take it at age 70 lets assume you will earn $1,500 pre year. (insert your own numbers)
You must multiply your potential earnings from 66-70 by the number of years (4 years) (ex. $1,000x4=4,000).
Then for each year 70+ you would take your potential earnings at age 70 and subtract what you WOULD be receiving if you took SS at age 66. (1,500-1,000= 500.)
Since in this example you be earning 500 more per year it would take you 8 years (500x8=4,000) to "break even".
I hope this helps! ( Remember to insert your own $$$ amounts for the earnings at 66 and earnings at 70!)