By

Charles Wilbanks /

MoneyWatch/ March 7, 2013, 5:21 PM

Temp work raises long-term questions for economy

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(MoneyWatch) With job growth still weak in the U.S., another trend poses both an opportunity and a challenge for American workers: The explosion in temporary and part-time employment.

To be sure, such jobs can ameliorate the high unemployment that has plagued the economy since the 2008 financial crisis. Yet labor experts also say that the surge in what they refer to as "contingent" work signifies a historic shift away from the kind of long-term employment that workers once expected and that helped power the rise of the American middle class.

"What's changed in the last 20 years is that there's been an unraveling of job security in the labor market, as well as a diminishment of benefit packages and a deterioration of stable, reliable wages and promotion pathways," said Katherine Stone, a law professor at the University of California, Los Angeles, and labor specialist. "There's been a really fundamental shift in the nature of employment -- it's a sea change. Whether you're talking about the expanded use of short-term employees, temporary workers, project workers, contractors or on-call workers, the use of workers who don't have regular jobs has increased a lot."

Two new studies highlight the rise of the temp economy. First, job-search company CareerBuilder reported Thursday that 40 percent of employers surveyed plan to hire temp workers in 2013. Of that number, 42 percent of those employers say they hope to make some of those workers permanent, full-time employees. CareerBuilder lists several job categories in which hiring of temps is growing, including sales representatives, office clerks, manufacturing assemblers, nurses, home health aides, truck drivers and office clerks.

Meanwhile, a study by consulting firm Challenger Gray & Christmas found that employers in February said they planned to cut more than 55,000 jobs, with over 21,000 of those slated to come from the financial services industry and a healthy dose from defense contractors and aerospace firms. That represented a 37 percent increase in planned layoffs over the same period last year.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics defines contingent employees as "those who do not have an implicit or explicit contract for ongoing employment." By contrast, people who don't continue working because they are, say, returning to school or retiring would not be considered contingent.

Estimates of the number of contingent workers in the U.S. can range widely, depending on how they are defined. But recent data suggest that roughly a third, and perhaps up to 40 percent, of American workers are in part-time, contract or other non-standard jobs. Recruiting firm MBO Partners projects that there will be 23 million contingent workers by 2017, up from roughly 17 million today.

That phenomenon presents problems for workers and society as a whole. Temp and other contingent jobs frequently mean lower wages than those earned by their permanent counterparts, and there are typically no health care or retirement benefits. Lower wages sap people's purchasing power and limits personal consumption, which in turn discourages companies from hiring and slows economic growth.

Erin Hatton, an assistant professor of sociology at the State University of New York, Buffalo, and the author of "The Temp Economy: From Kelly Girls to Permatemps in Postwar America," said that in theory, there is nothing wrong with hiring temp workers. Such arrangements can suit both a worker who needs a  job and an employer with nagging doubts about the health of the economy that is reluctant to hire full-time or permanent staff. But for the worker, the choice is frequently between no job and a temp job with below-market wages and no benefits.

Temp work arrangements "can be useful to both employers and employees, but as we know it has been linked to exploitation," she said. "The fact that temporary workers make less and have no benefits is really problematic. If we could do away with that inequality I would be all in favor of it."

By that measure, the swelling ranks of part-timers, contractors, leased employees and other contingent workers  underscores a bigger shift in the U.S. labor market, one that potentially affects all Americans: Employees who have regular, full-time jobs no longer expect to indefinitely keep those positions. That stands in stark contrast with the employment model that prevailed through much of the 20th century, when workers commonly planned on staying with a company for years, if not their entire careers.

"The perception has shifted," Stone said. "You see that with younger people who are entering the workforce. There's a change in employee expectations of what the labor market has to offer them."

According to Hatton, the staffing industry has played a huge role in creating a myth that it's bad for the bottom line to invest in workers, even though numerous academic studies show that's not true. As Hatton recounts in her book, that ethos dates back to the birth of the staffing industry in the 1950s. By the 1970s, staffing firms were  marketing the notion that it made more sense to "rent" rather than "own" workers.

Ironically, that push came at roughly the same time the best-selling business book of its generation, "Up the Organization, How to Stop the Corporation From Stifling People and Strangling Profits," written by former Avis Rent-a-Car president Robert Townsend, argued that people were a valuable resource who, if properly cultivated, would lead to greater profits.

The emergence of contingent work isn't confined to these shores. In a 2012 study that looked at 10 countries, including Australia, Italy, Japan, Germany and the U.S., Stone found evidence that the kind of standard, full-time employment that was once a feature of the labor market is increasingly a thing of the past. Since 1985, according to data from the Organization for Economic and Cooperative Development, most European countries have seen a decline in permanent employment.

Driving that change: Employers' preference for "flexible" work practices that allow them to adjust their staffing levels as competitive forces change. In the 1980s, as global competition intensified, corporate leaders and human resources executives began to re-think the very idea of employment. The focus shifted away from providing employees with stability and financial security to one that maximized corporate flexibility in managing workers. Such policies became standard practice. In conferences and on conference calls with Wall Street analysts, CEOs touted this new fluid workplace, which they said padded the bottom line and drove innovation.

Another key factor that appears to be associated with the surge in contingent workers is declining union membership, along with the shrinking number of workers covered by collective bargaining agreements.

The upshot? The relationship between companies and companies has changed, perhaps permanently. Said Stone, "Employers are very clear in telling workers that they're 'at-will' employees. The rhetoric has changed, and they don't want to build up expectations of regular work."

© 2013 CBS Interactive Inc.. All Rights Reserved.
22 Comments Add a Comment
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Kenezen says:
The trend will probably continue to expand temporary employment. won't it?
With limitations of jobs concerning The new health Care? Aren't employers trying to under-employ so certain aspects of the Plan does not affect them.

Manufacturing has been largely gone since 1979-2000. I guess we won't be seeing much of that coming back. A huge number of Manufacturers with prominent names like GM, GE,Honeywell, Goodrich, Cessna, and others have all committed to enormous investment in Mexico. Mexico's GDP is through the roof.
I hear the major reasons they picked Mexico miles from our borders was the tax rates on profits of 30+% compared to far less in Mexico, the many Federal Government Agency rules and harassment especially the EPA and NLRB plus others, and Class Action law suits using Agency rules. Is this information correct??
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sjc_1 replies:
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That is what you have been told to believe or want to believe, so no one will change that. I see no evidence that business is going to Mexico because of lax rules.
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zmonkee says:
question-- are the 20+ people on michelle's private staff, that between them make over $1.25 million a year, perm or temp?
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bluecollarjoe says:
Just another example of how corporate CEO's are squeezing American workers out of a living wage. "Corporate ethics" is now an oxymoron where the CEO's greed for a bigger bonus in the short term overides the long-term good of the company and its workers. The 10% of Americans who own %80 percent of all stock are also looking for the short-term "bump" in stock value just to make a quick profit. The demise of the middle class (and therefore "traditional family") is being "flipped" for a quick buck. Corporate and capital gains tax reform would help stop this trend.
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zmonkee replies:
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just wait til obamacare kicks in, and even more people will be working less hours to stay under that magic number 30!! And companies will be keeping the number of employees under 50--
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twmat311 says:
The funny thing is that this is "news." Ten years ago, I was a contract worker, and even then it was the new normal. The transiency it creates will be a long term study; "temps" have no attachment or loyalty, and when a workplace loses the community aspect, it leans toward becoming a herd of robots. If companies have weighed and accepted that investing and growing employees is not cost effective, then the old traditional workplace is going to become less a "career" and more a "job" - and it explains why more are changing paths more frequently.

Yet they still ask "where do you see yourself with us 5 years from now"...
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nehicks says:
The country as a whole, has too few jobs and too many people. Our "government" wants to allow 11 million or more illegal aliens the "right" to work, thereby reducing the number of jobs available for the LEGAL citizens of this country. Loyalty works both ways. Companies, if they want to keep the best workers, will do what it takes. Part of my job is to process applications for employment. I get applications every day that show the younger people, who move from job to job every 2, 3 5, 6 months. Most of the time, the reason given is to find a job that pays more money. Employers have to foot the bill for training these people, only to have them leave after just a few months. If you didn't like the money when offered, why did you bother to take the job? Workers such as these, are one of the reasons companies are going to Temp workers. Why invest in them, if they are just going to leave?
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skeezix06 replies:
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Why invest your time in companies in right-to-work states and who make a fetish of telling employees that they shouldn't expect to work 20 years or more because the company's going to designate them as either excess or useless and dump them eventually? If you want loyalty, you better expect to pay for it and you better treat the workers like you think they have some value.
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Ulgnud says:
At some point we will revert back to the sweatshop conditions among other management practices that gave rise to the labor unions in the first place. Not that the Unions couldn't stand some purging of corruption as well. Most of the benefits like sick leave, 8 hr work days, safety in the work place, reasonable wages, vacations, medical benefits, and good apprenticeship programs were fought for and won by the Unions. Be careful what you want because without some sort of pressure, the companies will go right back to their old ways. There are ways to prevent a company from moving offshore and dumping foreign made products on us. Government that functions properly has the authority to level the playing field for American industry and workers. They are tasked with the well being of America. We simply have to elect people that look out for America first.
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johnlockesghost says:
Wow! Labor experts are just now concerned about the future of workers? Where have they been, on the riviera or otherwise enjoying their ill gotten gains?
What do they suppose is going to happen to the labor market once all the illegal aliens are given their citizenship? How do they think the job market is affected by illegal aliens even before their given their citizenship? What do they think the impact on the labor market has been due to the outsourcing of jobs to foreign nationals, whether overseas or on visa in the United States? What a bunch of f....... idiots!
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forphalupper says:
This status cuts both ways... We, as contracted workers, are free to look for work anywhere we want, anytime we want. Loyalty - in both directions - is earned. I remember hearing a story about Russian immigrants moving to New York in the mid-seventies, who were used to the Soviet state providing 'cradle-to-grave' everything. Jobs, medical care, etc. But once they got to the 'land of the free', they realized 'freedom' comes with a lot of responsibility, and they had to learn to do everything for themselves. Many returned to 'Mother Russia'. Forget these seven words at your peril. 'There is no such thing as security'.
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hypnotoad72 replies:
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So let's say no employer will put out loyalty.

Still, you make the new normal sound a lot cozier than it is. Wages haven't kept up, SMBs are going out of business... you should try looking at both ways before talking about both ways. The reality of the situation isn't as charming as you're trying to make it out as being.

BTW: Do you prescribe your "cradle to grave" philosophy to corporations that receive taxpayer-funded handouts? Corporate welfare definitely hasn't improved in the last 4 or 5 decades...

http://www.ctj.org/html/corp0402.htm

http://www.ctj.org/html/layoffs.htm

Are two of many articles, from many sources, that put dents in your beliefs.
hypnotoad72 replies:
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Best of all, on top of all that, the "first to file" patent "reform" from a couple years ago will ensure competition won't be able to get in. The patent holder will be trolling even you, if you dared do what you're trying to preach onto everyone else right now.

Just saying.
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hypnotoad72 says:
And a few days ago the media was basically saying the current "recovery" is another jobless one...
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skeezix06 says:
You're talking about a third world work force, more or less.
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hypnotoad72 replies:
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The new normal.
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