December jobs: 1.8 million jobs created in 2012

(MoneyWatch) The last jobs report of the year confirmed a 2-year trend of good but not great progress. In December, 155,000 jobs were created and the unemployment rate matched November's revised 7.8 percent. For all of 2012, the economy added an average of 153,000 per month for a total of about 1.8 million jobs, almost exactly the number created in 2011.

The reason that we have not seen more robust job creation is due to sub-par economic growth, which has been hovering at around 2 percent for two years. The economy needs to grow by closer to 3 percent to create the hundreds of thousands of jobs per month required to dramatically lower unemployment and get more of those 12 million unemployed back on their feet.

5-year snapshot:

The December jobs report marked the 5th anniversary of the beginning of the "Great Recession", which makes now a good time to provide a snapshot of labor market progress. Beginning in December 2007 through December 2012, the U.S. economy shed a total of approximately 3.9 million jobs, of which the government accounted for a quarter and the private sector three-quarters. A devastating 8 million jobs were lost in 2008 and 2009, before the recovery created 4.7 million over the last three years. In other words, the job market has come a long way from the dark days of the Great Recession, but has a lot more ground to cover.

U.S. job creation 2008-2012 (BLS)

For 2013, economists predict that average monthly job growth should increase only slightly to 165,000 and the annual average unemployment rate will be 7.7 percent. Expectations are muted due to the second phase of the so-called "fiscal cliff" negotiations, which will focus on focus on a reduction in government spending in order to address the nation's mushrooming $16 trillion debt burden.

It's important to underscore that when the government spends fewer dollars, it creates a negative impact on economic growth. J.P. Morgan chief U.S. economist Michael Feroli expects that fiscal cliff issues "will probably hold things back awhile." The extent of the damage depends entirely on the amount of reduction and the pace at which it will occur. Throughout the fiscal cliff debate, critics of tax increases and spending cuts worried that the dual effect would throw the country into another recession.

Bill Black, associate professor of economics and law at the University of Missouri-Kansas City recently noted in a Naked Capitalism post that a dramatic reduction in government spending could inflict "austerity at a time when it is likely to throw the nation into a gratuitous recession...We have all seen austerity force the Eurozone into a gratuitous recession in which Italy, Spain, and Greece have Great Depression levels of unemployment...austerity is a policy that is the self-destructive economic analogy to the medical insanity of bleeding patients."

Now that the patient (the U.S. economy) has survived trauma (the financial crisis) and intensive care (the Great Recession), it would be a shame to derail the recovery progress.

December jobs report

-- Jobs created: +155K (Revisions from Nov and Dec: +14K)

-- Private jobs created: +168K

-- Government jobs lost: -13K

-- Unemployment rate: 7.8 percent (Nov revised up to 7.8 percent)

-- Broad unemployment rate: 14.4 percent (includes the official rate plus "marginally attached workers," those who are neither working nor looking for work, but say they want a job and have looked for work recently; and people who are employed part-time for economic reasons, meaning they want full-time work but took a part-time schedule instead because that's all they could find)

-- Total unemployed: 12.2 million

-- Long-term unemployed: 4.8 million, representing 39.1 percent of the total unemployed

-- Average duration of unemployment: 38.1 weeks

-- Participation rate: 63.6 (below the 66 to 67 percent rate that was normal over the last 20 years; 2/3 of recent decline is due to demographics)

-- Average work week: 34.5 hours

-- Hourly earnings: $23.73 (Over the past 12 months, up 2.1 percent)

-- Health services: +45K (2012 total: 338K)

-- Leisure and hospitality: +31K

-- Professional and business services: +19K

-- Manufacturing: +25K

-- Construction: -+30K (reverses -20K in Nov, perhaps due to Superstorm Sandy)

-- Retail: -11K

Editor's note: CBS MoneyWatch initially published an Associated Press story on the unemployment report, which we have since replaced with this staff-written article. You can find the initial AP report and reader comments here.

[luadda22]

"before the recovery created 4.7 million over the last three years".

Really?? The BLS stated that there were 11.1 million unemployed in January 2009. Here they state that there are 12.2 million unemployed now?? 4.7 million jobs created, but the number of unemployed increased 1.1 million??

Must be the new math.

[omnibus66]

When the pugs do their spending cuts jobs will be lost, unemployment will go up, Fake News will blame Obama, and Boehner can quit crying. Oh happy day.

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[ichibandan]

Zmonkee said: "Before taking office has your president ever had to make payroll? pay vendor invoices? actually....pay anything? A community organizer has no idea how to run a company or a country."

But apparently a community organizer knows how to win elections. Your bisunessman candidate, even with all the superpac millions, fell flat. Even his own party shuns him. Anyone with business experience knows running a country is not like running a company.In a business, the CEO makes decisions. In a country, you have both houses voting on your proposals, then funding is appropriated after much debate and partisanship that could never be tolerated in the buziness world.
And let's get this "community organizer" thingy out in the open.It's used as a racial slur by many right wingers, plain and simple. You're not fooling anyone with your dog whistles.

[ichibandan]

Kipfista: "Actually, the average umployment rate under Bush was 5.3%. The average for 8 YEARS Bush."

That's like a dying cancer patient saying that the avarage size of the tumor that will kill him was 2" in diameter. It's silly Barbie doll fantasy talk. Bush started his first term with low unemployment but left the country with the biggest,sloppiest mess since the Great Depression.The guy was a total screw up from start to finish. He was always an underachiever and he showed us that repeatedly. How anyone could think he has any worth after all that is truly a fool.

[MaryWaterton]

We know from the "Labor Participation Rate" (which stands at an all-time low of about 60%) that the true unemployment rate couldn't possibly be 7.8% and is more likely in the range of 15-17% based upon the U6 quantifier. But, Americans prefer a lie to the truth because God has turned them over to a depraved mind (Romans 1). And if American citizens don't care about the truth, then why should the news media tell the truth?

[kipfista]

Let's see, for 2013 we have taxes increased on people making over $400k a year. Now when Obamacare kicks in, that's another tax which people making $200k more are going to get hit hard. That's not even counting all the little taxes added to all little things medical. But before you silly liberals start dancing in the streets on how the so called rich are getting hammered, here's a little reality check for you. Taxes are going to be increased on EVERYBODY ELSE who has a job with the payroll tax hike. You know, the rich $40k a year stiff. So celebrate now, on how you all got suckered by Obama and the media.

[kipfista]

"We have all seen austerity force the Eurozone into a gratuitous recession in which Italy, Spain, and Greece have Great Depression levels of unemployment"

Who in the fck is this guy kidding? Much of Europe was in recession BEFORE any austerity measures were taken.

[ichibandan]

That's correct Kipfista most of europe was expeirencing a recession before austerity measures. But since the austerity kicked in , they are now in depression mode. Any idot can see austerity by itself does not create recovery. It never did throughout history.

[thefatcat2]

THE DEMOCRAT AGENDA NEWS PRESS NEVER TALK ABOUT
What effect increased tax's will have on the economy.
After adding in the increased Obama Social Security tax
on every paycheck -- there is a lot less to spend, for us, at least.

[ichibandan]

They said the same thing when Clinton raised taxes in the early 90's. But the result was unprecedented economic boom.Hard to argue with history, unless you want to ignore it.

[jschm2681]

weakest recovery since WWII- says it all

[thechooch1]

jschm2681 GREAT RECESSION, biggest economic downturn since the Great Depression says it all.