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The Smartest Things Ever Said About Market Timing
Warren Buffett
- "Our stay-put behavior reflects our view that the stock market serves as a relocation center at which money is moved from the active to the patient."
- "We continue to make more money when snoring than when active."
- "The only value of stock forecasters is to make fortune-tellers look good."
- "My favorite time frame is forever."
- "Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves."
- "I can't recall ever once having seen the name of a market timer on Forbes' annual list of the richest people in the world. If it were truly possible to predict corrections, you'd think somebody would have made billions by doing it."
- "Whenever some analyst seems to know what he's talking about, remember that pigs will fly before he'll ever release a full list of his past forecasts, including the bloopers."
- "'Market timing' is unappealing to long-term investors. As in hunting deer or fishing for rainbow trout, investors have learned the importance of 'being there' and using patient persistence -- so they are there when opportunity knocks."
- "What to do when the market goes down? Read the opinions of the investment gurus who are quoted in the WSJ. And, as you read, laugh. We all know that the pundits can't predict short-term market movements. Yet there they are, desperately trying to sound intelligent when they really haven't got a clue."
- "Do you know what investing for the long run but listening to market news everyday is like? It's like a man walking up a big hill with a yo-yo and keeping his eyes fixed on the yo-yo instead of the hill."
- "Only liars manage to always be out during bad times and in during good times."
- "Market timing is impossible to perfect."
- "It must be apparent to intelligent investors that if anyone possessed the ability to do so [forecast the immediate trend of stock prices] consistently and accurately he would become a billionaire so quickly he would not find it necessary to sell his stock market guesses to the general public."
- "Let's say it clearly: No one knows where the market is going-experts or novices, soothsayers or astrologers. That's the simple truth." -- Fortune
- "A decade of results throws cold water on the notion that strategists exhibit any special ability to time the markets." -- The Wall Street Journal
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Larry Swedroe Larry Swedroe is a principal and the director of research for The Buckingham Family of Financial Services, comprised of Buckingham Asset Management, LLC, BAM Risk Management, LLC and BAM Advisor Services, LLC (and its network of independent registered investment advisor firms). He has authored or co-authored 10 books, including his most recent, The Quest For Alpha. Follow him on Twitter at http://twitter.com/larryswedroe. His opinions and comments expressed on this site are his own and may not accurately reflect those of the firm.
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