Political Hotsheet
By

Lucy Madison /

CBS News/ May 24, 2012, 11:43 AM

New poll shows Obama with edge in 3 key races

President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney

President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney

/ Getty Images

Updated: 3:50 p.m. ET

(CBS News) With polls showing President Obama and presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney neck-and-neck nationally, new surveys by NBC/Marist are out showing the president with a slim advantage in the crucial battleground states of Florida, Ohio and Virginia.

The surveys, conducted May 17-20, show Mr. Obama leading Romney by four points, 48 percent to 44 percent, in both Florida and Virginia, slightly outside the polls' 3-point margin of error.

In Ohio, the president leads Romney 48 percent to 42 percent, according to the poll.

A majority of voters in all three states expressed a sense of optimism regarding the economy, saying they believe the worst is behind us with regard to the recession. Still, 40 percent or less said they expect the economy to improve in the next year.

NBC notes that Romney's polling numbers tend to be stronger among people who are surveyed over landlines, while Mr. Obama tends to perform better among those who are reached via cell phone. In both Florida and Virginia, Romney beat Mr. Obama among landline users, while Mr. Obama bested Romney among those on cell phones. In Ohio, Mr. Obama outperformed Romney in both categories, but opened up his edge from 3 points among landline users to 10 points among cell phone users.

The Marist poll contrasts with one released Wednesday by Quinnipiac, which showed Romney up six points, 47 percent to 41 percent, in the crucial battleground state of Florida. 

The Marist survey also shows Mr. Obama with an advantage among women voters. According to NBC, Romney leads the president narrowly among men in all three states, but in Florida and Virginia, Mr. Obama leads Romney among women by 10 points. In Ohio, he has a 12-point edge over Romney among women voters.

Senate Democrats enjoy similar advantages in these states, according to the survey. In Ohio, Democratic candidate Sen. Sherrod Brown leads Republican Josh Mandel by 14 percent, 51 percent to 37 percent, among registered voters. In Virginia, Democrat Tim Kaine edges out Republican George Allen by six points, 49 percent to 43 percent, and in Florida, Democrat Bill Nelson has a four-point advantage over Republican Connie Mack, with 46 percent support to 42 percent support.

While the NBC/Marist poll shows the president with a slight lead in these three key battleground states, NBC notes that his lead in Ohio and Virginia has diminished since March, when he led Romney by 12 points in Ohio and by 17 points in Virginia.

Moreover, a Quinnipiac poll released Wednesday showed Mitt Romney edging Mr. Obama out by six points in Florida.

All three races are expected to be down-to-the wire this November, and each potentially has the power to tip the delegate scale toward either Mr. Obama or Romney.

© 2012 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
75 Comments Add a Comment
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TimeToEvolve says:
So Barry, you think that having a vulture capitalist from Wall Street as pResident will help you?
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TimeToEvolve says:
So Joe, you want Robmee a vulture capitalist for pResident? OMG have you not had enough of a dose of faile free market from Wall Street and the Banksters yet? You want more? You want Robmee to Robyou too?
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BigMykul says:
NBC notes that Romney's polling numbers tend to be stronger among people who are surveyed over landlines, while Mr. Obama tends to perform better among those who are reached via cell phone. In both Florida and Virginia, Romney beat Mr. Obama among landline users, while Mr. Obama bested Romney among those on cell phones. In Ohio, Mr. Obama outperformed Romney in both categories, but opened up his edge from 3 points among landline users to 10 points among cell phone users.
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Hmmm, didn't there come out a program for persons on public assistance to give them FREE cellphones and service??? I believe this was from the Obama administration. So I guess those who have to pay for phone service are for Romney, and those getting it free must be for Obama.
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marychgo replies:
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Assuming (with much doubt) that you actually seek an answer, NO, the government is NOT providing free cellphones/cellphone service to people on public assistance. So your comment is idiotic!
marychgo replies:
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Sorry, BigMikul, you're wrong: the government is NOT providing free cellphones/cellphone service for people on public assistance. But feel free to believe your own bigotry....
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Fox_Rush_Zombie says:
While reading a number of the comments here it dawned on me that the whole republican party is turning to a 'Ruby Ridge mentality'. Is that what bigotry can do to a person???

Sad.
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gep1955 says:
whether you're a dem, repub, indy or moderate your house is underwater, business is down, most job applicants can't spell, can't find work, gas is up, food is up, insurance is up, the schools stink, God and American traditions are under attack and the president is STILL saying he inherited it. Obama hasn't got prayer.
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Fox_Rush_Zombie replies:
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WOW!!

Probably time to eat that 38 you keep straped to your ankle! What a pathetic, frightened little creature.
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nearl451 says:
Nothing like any old poll that shows Obama winning to drive the Republican partisans into desparate, drooling, foaming, rabid dogs.



LOL.
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nearl451 replies:
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Rain, then why the extreme reaction?

The "real" poll is in November. All others are meaningless.
Fox_Rush_Zombie replies:
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ROFL!

Every time a poll is released that they don't agree with a whole gaggle of them come crawling out of the swamp screeching, "It's a phony poll!" "It's the liberal biased media!"

Funny stuff!
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TimeToEvolve says:
The fact is that Robmee the plastic parasite only cares about Wall Street and not Main Street. Why would he do anything as pResident that is different than the rape and pillage of American workers that he did at Bain Capital? All he wants to do is cut taxes on himself and get rid of even more regulations of business. Someone please answer.
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markag55 says:
Thank you. I'm from Los Angeles, so nothing I can say will help Obama. However, if you're from a so-called "swing" state, please let your choice be known. Unfortunately, I'm from the "left" of Obama, so most people will not listen to me. However, think of a Supreme Court ruled by the right-wing (which they almost are at this point). Our hard-earned rights will go down the drain rather quickly. I don't want to move to northern Europe--help me!
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tvwatcher5345 says:
the Good Lord will see that obama is re-elected, the people that elected and re-elected the spawn of satan (the bush administration)will receive their coupe de grace and all will be right with the world
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fedup12 says:
I dont know what to think. Obama may be less liberal than Romney. Jury is still out.
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