Political Hotsheet
By

Leigh Ann Caldwell /

CBS News/ May 3, 2012, 9:12 AM

What's Ron Paul up to?

Joe Raedle/Getty Images

(CBS News) Mitt Romney is largely accepted as the presumptive Republican presidential nominee, but he's not the only candidate left in the race. Texas Rep. Ron Paul continues his quest for delegates.

The three-time presidential candidate is committed to staying in the race until the Republican Party's convention in Tampa at the end of August.

Paul is spending his time in two states with upcoming primaries. On Sunday, Paul will hold a Tea Party rally in Austin, Texas, which holds its primary on May 29. Before then, he is spending the week holding a series of rallies at or near college campuses in California, which holds its primary on June 5. He's also hosting multiple fundraisers.

As Paul continues to campaign on his message of small government, his passionate supporters are helping him influence the delegate count.

"The goal is to work as hard to get as many delegates as possible to see what happens," campaign spokesperson Gary Howard told Hotsheet. "The plan as it has always been is to work hard in the caucus and convention states."

A look at CBS News' estimated delegate scorecard would suggest Romney, with 865 delegates, has eclipsed Paul, who has 78. But the Paul campaign disputes those numbers, arguing the initial delegate estimates don't give the whole picture. Even in states that have already voted, the campaign is still working the process by "reaching out to state delegates" and persuading them to support Paul.

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The Paul campaign knows very well that the Republican primary is a race for delegates and not a race for votes. For many states, including those that hold caucuses, delegate allocation does not necessarily correlate to voter preference.

Howard points to the campaign's efforts in states that undergo a lengthy, multi-step convention process to allocate delegates. Paul's supporters are are involved at the grassroots level. They have learned the system and have engaged in Republican Party infrastructure.

For instance, in Louisiana, Paul's campaign said he won 74 percent of the 150 state delegates at Louisiana's state convention last weekend, despite placing fourth and obtaining only 6 percent support in Louisiana's primary on March 24.

The libertarian-oriented candidate is also out-performing in the delegate race in Colorado, Iowa and Minnesota. And in Romney's home state of Massachusetts, state delegates backing Paul picked up a majority of slots.

Howard said the campaign won't know its true delegate count until next month, when the states complete their conventions and finalize their delegate count.

© 2012 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
67 Comments Add a Comment
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Justin-Rogers says:
Ms. Caldwell - Thank you for this objective, unbiased piece focusing on the realities of the race. You are a credit to real journalism . . . may it be restored.
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judeth says:
Mitt is not largely accepted, presumptive, yes. But the people aren't so sure, the fat lady is being forced on stage by msm.
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Red_Demon1 says:
That debate a few months ago was terrible... Ron Paul won all the debates... Newt and Santorum are hacks and terrible fathers... The KING'S NEWS must be entertaining! This so called NEWS is BS! Romney must DROP OUT or suffer another humiliating GOP defeat... Like he did to McCain four years ago! BUH-BYE!
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Kate4ronpaul says:
It is so sad to see how uninformed Americans are. I read more intelligent comments from foreigners who like Dr. Paul than TV watching-fast food eating Americans. It's time to wake up people, the laws that are being past will and are affecting you. Read the constitution, it's not only a good idea, it's the law. Ron Paul 2012
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jaykay3141 replies:
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If the laws are "past", then they're long gone. If they're PASSED, then they're still in effect.
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dryon says:
What's Ron Paul up to? Ron Paul is trying to win the GOP Presidential nomination by following the rules set in place by the National Republican Party to secure the nomination.

Please vote for Ron Paul in your Republican Primary or Caucus for President in 2012.

And I ask all the Republican National Delegates to vote for Ron Paul in the 1st round of voting at the convention in Tampa.
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erniel58 says:
Great article and such a relief to see one of the larger networks finally catch on. Two interesting additional notes: 1) The Paul and Santorum campaigns have worked hand and glove to make sure the delegates pulling for Santorum move over to the Paul column. (2) the Romney delegate counts were assigned by AP using projections of his popular vote percentages times the number of delegates from each state. This ignores the complex systems that are unique to each state in assigning delegates to candidates.

When you correct for these two factors, Dr. Paul already leads Romney in delegates. There are some 926 delegates yet to be assigned in upcoming primaries. 926! in a race that requires 1144 to win! And that is to say nothing of changes to the delegations of states that have already held their straw votes!

The air of "inevitability" has been set up by the fact that this election was front-loaded with contests in pro-Romney states like MA and other New England states. The second half includes many states that are much more conservative, independent, or anti-Establishment to think much of a glib huckster with liberal roots.

It is the journalistic duty of CBS and others to resist this put-up job and report that this is still very much a race. Otherwise, the "presumptive nominee" spin will be allowed to unfairly influence the upcoming primaries in IN, NC, WV, CA, TX, etc. It's a scoop! GO with it!
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Trips911 replies:
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Makes sense! Great comment
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1starDiamond says:
HAHAHA Ron Paul is a joke. He seems to think even if WE THE PEOPLE want Mitt that if he throws a fit at the RNC he will get it. It's always good to dream though but it's been over for a long time. All he is doing is making himself look bad. He REFUSES to UNIFY the party and that is the kind of person some people want as president? If I didn't know better I would think Ron Paul was a democrat.
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Mrmnbumpy replies:
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FYI. Under rule 38 of the republican national committee rules say that no delegate is bound to any candidate.... Read a little... So think again about this primary being even close to over ...
jerter1 replies:
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Haa Ron Paul a democrat? Funny considering Mitt Romney registered democrat in 1992. When was Ron Paul ever registered with the democrat party? Mitts identical to Obama on policy.
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reckoningx says:
Like the constitution to win??

Vote Ron Paul!!

No more wars!!
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auvacom says:
There will NEVER ...... be ..... a Romney administration!
Romney can NOT ever be our president .... he can NOT win!


In a three way race Mitt would run THIRD .... wake UP ... GOP old guard.
Only the most "yellow dog" old guard, dedicated republicans will back Mitt .

Reliable polls show that 22% of AMERICAN voters will NEVER vote for a Mormon.Probably a unfair prejudice BUT life is not always fair.

ONLY Dr Paul can attract voters outside the GOP and win the General election.

If Mitt ran on a third party ticket he would not get enough votes to hurt anyone.
.........................................................................................................................
The GOP has TWO choices
1. RON PAUL
2. LOSE the general election by margins worse than anyone can remember PLUS lose numerous Senate and house seats.
........................................................................................................................


A new and better ( much better ) way to elect a president ....
Check out www . americanselect . org ..... THIS CAN WORK .... if Tampa doesn't!
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countficula says:
You would think it would be clear to everyone by now that Obama or Romney is your ONLY choice would tip the masses off ! NDAA, FISA, CISPA, HR 347, War on Terror, War on Drugs, War on all fronts, etc...It is the old peanut under the shell game! If you listen to your TV you are going to get what they TELL you you are going to get, get it? Obama=Goldman Sachs, Romney = Goldman Sachs...DO YOU GET IT? Follow the money. Use your head. It is right in front of your face!
Are you really so blind that you can't see that Obama and Romney are all the same thing?

YOUR rights are disappearing in front of your face, YOURS MAN! Wake up. This isn't a popularity contest, it's not some 5th grade I want the popular guy on my soccer team crap. This is real and it is right now! Get on board, do something for your country. We have to stick together, all of us.
Ron Paul 2012!!
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